Daily Archives: November 7, 2006

Cramer Prefers Research-in-Motion Over Garmin

Cramer also went over his favorite gadget play. He said tech has outperformed the market in Q4 in 14 of the last 15 years.Cramer said the gadget he would normally say you have to have is R-I-M’s (RIMM) Blackberry, but it has doubled since he recommended it first. Now the momentous decision is to determine if RIMM is the gadget owner of choice, or if it has run too much. Cramer said if you own it and haven’t taken any profit you need to.Cramer said the next gadget maker of choice is Garmin Ltd. (GRMN), the GPS gadget maker. Cramer said he thinks the Blackberry is a more useful product, but GRMN sells through 3,000 distributors. Cramer said that RIMM has targeted the business professional. Cramer said the GRMN market is near penetrated, and RIMM is expanding beyond the business customer. RIMM hasn’t begun to penetrate the consumer yet.RIMM trades at 29 times earnings with 22% growth, or 1.3 time growth rate; GRMN trades at 20 times next year on 16.9 times earnings. Cramer thinks that RIMM is the gadget stock to own through the end of the year. He thinks that RIMM has the best software out there.Cramer says NO to GRMN and says RIMM is a winner even though it is up huge.Jon C. OggNovember 7, 2006

Cramer’s MAD MONEY Positive on Activision

Cramer said he has a holiday play that is good regardless of wins the polls. Cramer thinks that it’s going to be an Activision (ATVI) Christmas. They are #2 behind ERTS. The company’s blowout numbers didn’t matter because they had already guided up. Cramer said if you think video games are too juvenile to invest in then think of them as long interactive movies. Cramer thinks this Christmas season will be a bit abnormal.Sony PS3 comes out November 17 and Nintendo’s Wii comes out on November 19. Cramer didn’t want to leave out Xbox 360 from Microsoft. He has recommended GameStop (GME) much lower, but ATVI is the play.Tomorrow ATVI releases “Call of Duty 3,” and this will be a huge driver and it is available for Xbox 360 and PS3. The Guitar Hero sequal just hit today. It also has the Tony Hawk game.Cramer said it is more risky investing and you have to remember to sell it going into the holidays. Cramer said even though he likes management there is a history of lumpy quarters. He reminded investors to use limit orders and only buy later tomorrow.He says this is a TRIPLE NO COAL IN YOUR STOCKING BUY.Jon C. OggNovember 7, 2006

Market Wrap (Nov. 7, 2006)

DJIA 12,156.77; Up 51.22 (0.42%)NASDAQ 2,375.88; Up 9.93 (0.42%)S&P 500 1,382.84; Up 3.06 (0.22%)10YR-Bond 4.659% Down 0.05NYSE Volume 2,673,233,000NASD Volume 2,065,302,000We had another strong day, sinaling that voters didn’t stop being investors on election day. The federal reserve said that September borrowing fell 0.6% in September aftera 4.6% increase in August, but the actual number was a $1.2 Billion fall-off in activity.Despite fears of voting machine fraud, hacks, and problems, Diebold (DBD) managed to gain another 1% to close at $45.49.Toll Brothers (TOL) lowered guidance and said there was no impending rapid turnaround on the immediate horizon, but with most bad news priced in to homebuilder stocks the shares closed down only $0.01 at $28.04.D.R.Horton (DHI) fell 2% to $22.43 after Merrill Lynch cut its ratinsg down to a Sell.Boeing (BA) rose 5.4% to $84.85 as FedEx decided to cancel its Airbus A380 planes over delays in favor of Boeing 777’s.Adolor (ADLR) fell another 5.2% to $7.29 the day after the FDA requested more data for its bowel disorder drug.Microsoft (MSFT) rose 0.4% to $28.95 after it signed TV and movie distributor deals for downloading via Xbox live with Viacom, Paramount, Time Warner, and others.Jet Blue (JBLU) rose 5.3% to $13.09 after Raymond James raised its rating to Outperform. Southwest Air (LUV) was also raised to Overweight, so LUV rose 2.7% to $15.34.Targeted Genetics (TGEN) rose 34.9% to $2.90 after Biogen-Idec raised its stake in the company.Rural Cellular (RCCC) rose 22% to $11.61 after posting narrower losses than expected.Headwaters (HW) fell amost 15% to $21.47 after on lower earnings, despite the numbers being above expectations.NorTel (NT) fell 10.88% to $2.13 after declaring a 1-10 reverse stock split after losses narrowed on above plan revenues.Despite beating earnings expectations, Anadarko Petroleum (APC) fell 2.1% to $47.33.E*Trade (ET) rose 1.6% to $23.64 after Prudential started it with an Overweight rating and showed it was more favorable than Ameritrade (AMTD).Krsipy Kreme (KKD) rose another 6.5% to $10.21 after Jim Cramer on last night’s MAD MONEY said the analyst that raised it at Prudential was not only not conflicted, but he was a class act.Cyberonics (CYBX) fell 0.37% to $18.64 after the company received a request from the SEC over for more data on information releases.Jon C. OggNovember 7, 2006

Cramer Calls a Short Squeeze in

On today’s STOP TRADING segment on CNBC, Jim Cramer identified a potential short squeeze candidate.Toll Brothers (TOL) is one where Cramer said it has already been downgraded. People can walk into it knowing that they can make money a couple months out even though good news is months away. If it was as bad as the company said then the stock would be down. Cramer thinks the worst is over for housing stocks, although even after a trough it won’t just bounce back immediately.Cramer then went over Yahoo! (YHOO). He is impressed that the bozos running it aren’t killing it. He thinks that the company HAS to be acquired, but it won’t be a private equity deal he thinks.Cramer then called Crocs (CROX) the largest short squeeze coming. He said it has 12 million shares short and the bears will get eaten in it. He said CROX is a bad short and really good long.Jon C. OggNovember 7, 2006

Most Actives: Under $5.00 Tech Stocks Similar to Horsemen (11/7/06)

Even on a strong market day on election day, the volume seems a tad light overall but there is no clear winner over the sub-$5.00 compared to the Horsemen stocks. The sub-$5.00 most actives are up in comparison of volume, but not so much that they could consider themselves winners. Only SIRI is down today, and that is after it was up large yesterday because of its competitor. Tomorrow we have CSCO reporting earnings so that could take precedent on Wednesday and Thursday. Stay tuned!

Ticker Price Change Volume
FNSR $ 3.75 $ 0.09 5,529,069
LVLT $ 5.65 $ 0.30 30,833,802
SIRI $ 3.99 $ (0.03) 28,077,204
SUNW $ 5.47 $ 0.16 33,884,956
PMCS $ 7.55 $ 0.04 5,322,669
CNXT $ 2.01 $ 0.01 5,122,135
CHTR $ 2.76 $ 0.13 14,328,647
Total 123,098,482
NASDAQ 2387.34 21.39 1,129,467,000
Ticker Price Change Volume
INTC $21.02 $ 0.20 26,658,792
MSFT $28.96 $ 0.12 26,748,284
CSCO $24.95 $ 0.27 38,347,988
AAPL $80.94 $ 1.23 9,412,829
ORCL $18.19 $ 0.09 14,396,782
Total 115,564,675

Jon C. Ogg

Idiot Analyst Call Of The Week: AG Edwards Downgrades Tribune

Stocks: (TRB)The oh so bright folks at AG Edwards downgraded The Tribune Company from “buy” to “hold” today. Their theory is that if the company is not sold, it may be worth only $26 to $29. If it is broken into pieces, it could be worth $40 a share.The problem is that the stock currently trades at below $32. So, if things go poorly, the stock could drop $3 to $4. The stock has not been below $27 in the last 12 months. If things go well, the stock could rise $9. That’s not a buy?Guess not.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Nortel Runs The Reverse (NT)

Nortel put out another set of dizzying financials today. Revenue rose 17% to $2.96 billion. The company’s loss fell slightly to $99 million. As usual, the company cannot put out a clear set of numbers. The report had “a gain of $43 million related to changes to its North American employee benefit plans; a gain of $16 million on asset sales; shareholder litigation expenses of $38 million; and restructuring charges of $25 million”.The company also said it would do a 10-for-1 reverse split. These actions always look weak. They are a sign that the company cannot get the stock price up on its own. It also takes a company off its regular spot on the “most actives” list because its trades about 20 million shares a day on the NYSE. It will be lucky to trade 2 million now. Stupid marketing and investor relations move.The argument for the reverse split is that institutions will often not buy stocks that are under $5. Until Nortel stops losing money, Big Money is not going to look at it anyway. But, hope springs eternal.Nortel’s stock is down 2% on these two pieces of news, trading at $2.25, fairly near its 52-week low. It’s a “pick em” to decide which announcement is pushing it down more.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Cisco Earnings Preview (November, 2006)

Cisco Systems (CSCO) reports earnings after the close tomorrow, and expectations are $0.29 EPS and $7.9 Billion in revenues. The large jump in year-over-year revenues is largely because of the Scientific Atlanta acquisition that closed earlier this year. Back in August Cisco projected a 15-20% jump in Fiscal 2007 revenues, and a 19-21% jump in revenues for this quarter.The stock is now up roughly 42% since its last earnings. It closed at $17.29 before earnings on August 8, jumped in 1-day to $19.78, traded up to $21.10 within a week, closed over $22 on September 1, and was strong for most of the last two months. Just as of last Friday CSCO looked as though it was petering out, but it rose essentially 4% yesterday and put in a new high for the year.For a beast the size of CSCO to rise 42%, which is even higher than originally thought, this company needs to do another “WOW” quarter and would seemingly need to show some fairly incredible predictions. The market cap is back up to $151 billion. If investors are not amazed at how well the company did and how the Scientific Atlanta and other deals are contributing to the top-line and bottom-line then you could easily expect some profit taking. The flipside is that unless the news is just unexpectedly bad on guidance, then that profit taking may be answered by many buyers who thought they missed the CSCO boat. With the exception of those couple of months in early 2004 when CSCO went from under $25 to $29+, the stock is back at the higher-end of its very long-term trading band.The street is going to focus on guidance to see if the company is ahead of itself or if there are more goodies in store. The coming quarter is expected to show $0.30 EPS and $8.05 Billion in revenues. Since they gave some fiscal (July) 2007 guidance already, the street is roughly $1.28 EPS and $33.3 Billion in revenues for fiscal 2007.Options traders appear to only be expecting a move of $0.58 to $0.65, but that could change between now and tomorrow afternoon as analysts make their more finalized targets and projections. Options traders also got burned last quarter if they weren’t expecting the large move, so it is somewhat surprising that the volatility and pricing in CSCO stock options are that low.CSCO’s 52-week trading range is $16.87 to $24.85, although that $24.68 close yesterday was higher than any recent closes and that high of $24.85 was also put in on an intraday basis yesterday. Right after the open, CSCO is putting in new highs ar $24.90 as investors try to make their trades within the last 48 hours.We will do an update to this tomorrow morning since so much focus will be geared toward today’s elections.Jon C. OggNovember 7, 2006

Stem Cell Research & Cloning Get Some Potential Fresh Air

Stock Tickers: STEM, GERN, ASTM, VIAC, KOOL, CCELThere are some fresh developments that can affect the prices of stocks that would benefit from additional uses and additional applications for stem cell research, and these new developments may in fact lift certain cloning bans under some pre-set conditions. While these initiatives are overseas, they are un the UK and in Australia.Stem cell stocks up on lift of cloning ban in certain studies:Stemcells inc.-STEMGeron-GERN Aastrom Bio-ASTMViaCell-VIACThermogenics-KOOLCryo-Cell-CCELScientists in the United Kingdom have applied for a license to create hybrid embryos that use human cells and animal eggs for stem cell research. Some of the targeted areas will be to develop new treatments for Parkinson’s, stroke and Alzheimer’s. Kings College London and the North East England Stem Cell Institute (NESCI) submitted the application to the Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority (HFEA), the regulatory body that regulates and supervises embryo research and fertility treatment. The proposed hybrid embryo will be 99.9 percent human and 0.1 percent animal, which may overcome a shortage of human eggs left over from IVF treatments, which have been used for stem cell research.Australia’s Prime Minister, John Howard, has allowed a vote on the controversial issue of lifting a cloning ban for stem celll research. The initial senate vote Tuesday a private members’ bill seeking to legalise therapeutic cloning won by 34 votes to 31 before the senate moved to discussion of proposed amendments. This would allow researchers to clone human embryos to extract their stem cells for disease treatment, although cloned embryos would have to be destroyed within 14 days and could not be implanted in a woman. Existing laws allow stem cells to be harvested only from surplus IVF embryos.Stem cell research has also, of course, been one of the issues in the U.S., and the elections today could be influential on the forward direction of stem cell research uses in the U.S. While that holds true in the US, cloning measures have raised far more controversy than stem cell research, so if you combine the two you will definitely be wanting a Congressional regime change today.Jon C. OggNovember 7, 2006

Google And Achilles (GOOG)(MSFT)(YHOO)

When Achilles mother, Thetis, dipped the child into the river Styx, she held him by his heel. It was at that one spot, which did not get wet, that he was vulnerable.The assumption, which seems to be as safe an money in a vault, is that Google will dominate search for years, if not decades, to come. Google holds something between 40% and 50% of the market, more than No.2 and No.3 Yahoo! and MSN combined.The company’s dominance has driven its market cap to $145 billion. Yahoo!’s is $37 billion.But, late word out of the VC community is that someone may be building a better Google.It seems absurd. Powerset, the new search company, has just raised $12.5 million from two fairly well-known Silicon Valley venture funds. To most large internet companies, that’s lunch money.The new Powerset search technology can apparently discern the meanings between related words. It, in essence, understands sentences and phrases.Most investors will look at Powerset and say that such a small company could never be a threat to Google. Which is probably just the way Yahoo! felt in early 2000 when its stock hit $125. (Google started as a research project at Stamfor University in 1996.)Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Select Pre-Market Stock News (Nov. 7, 2006)

(APC) Anadarko Petroleum $1.75 EPS vs $1.39e.(BZH) Beazer Homes $2.19 EPS vs $1.89e.(CBG) C.B.Richard Ellis replacing FSH in S&P 500 Index on 11/9 close.(CEDC) Central European $0.33 EPS vs $0.34e.(CHD) Church & Dwight $0.57 EPS vs $0.49e.(CHINA) CDC raised guidance.(CMLS) Cumulus Media $0.03 EPS vs $0.04e.(CYBX) Cyberonics gets request from SEC for more information on documentation and disclosures.(CYTO) Cytogen Corp announced Positive Phase I results for Quadramet.(CZN) Citizens Communications $0.40 EPS vs $0.19e; unsure if comparable.(DISH) Echostar $0.31/R$2.47B vs $0.38/$2.44B(e); unsure if EPS comparable.(EMR) Emerson Electric $1.29 EPS vs $1.20e.(ESPD) eSpeed $0.02 EPS vs $0.03e.(FFBC) First Financial replacing NCOG in S&P Small Cap 600 Index on date TBA.(FTEK) Fuel-Tech $0.09 EPS vs $0.06e.(GEMS) Glenayre -$0.08 EPS vs -$0.03e.(GM) GM revised losses by $24 milion from some items in GMAC.(GNTA) Genta -$0.11 EPS vs -$0.12e.(HLF) Herbalife $0.51 EPS vs $0.46e.(HW) Headtwaters $0.61 EPS vs $0.48e.(ISPH) Inspire Pharma -$0.17 EPS vs -$0.24e.(JW/A) John Wiley & Sons to replace AMH in S&P Mid Cap 400 Index on date TBA.(MSFT) Microsoft is offering video downloading on Xbox 360.(NT) NorTel loss narrows, beat revenues; announced 1-10 reverse stock split.(NTES) Netease.com $0.29 EPS vs $0.28e.(NYM) Nymagic $0.93 EPS vs $0.70e.(OMRI) Omrix Bio beat earnings and raised guidance.(PANL) Universal Display -$0.09 EPs vs -$0.12e.(PFGC) Performance Food $0.35 EPS vs $0.34e.(PLMD) Polymedica $0.34 EPS vs $0.36e.(PNCL) Pinnacle Air $0.62 EPS vs $0.58e.(PSYS) Psychiatric Solutions raised guidance.(QLTI) QLT said it was found liable for unjust enrichment and unfair trade in MA court case.(RRD) R.R.Donnelley $0.67 EPS vs $0.67e.(RSCR) Rescare $0.32 EPS vs $0.31e.(SBAC) SBA Communications 0$0.23/R$98.2M vs -$0.17/$95.75M(e).(SLE) Sara Lee $0.34 EPS vs $0.28e.(SRZ) Sunrise Assisted Living raised guidance on preliminary basis.(TM) Toyota Motors beat earnings and raised EPS guidance in Japan.(TRW) TRW filed to sell 6.7+ million shares.(TUTS) Tut Systems -$0.04 EPS vs -$0.08e, revenues short of expectations.(UBMT) United Financial being acquired for $22.91 by US Bancorp (USB).(URBN) Urban Outfitters s-s-s -105; Q3 revenues $308.4 million versus $328M(e).(VMSI) Ventana replacing TRBS in S&P Mid Cap 400 Index on 11/10 close.(VSE) VerSun $0.38 EPS vs $0.38e.(VZ) Verizon in talks to bring YouTube to cellphones.(WCI) WCI $0.25 EPS vs $0.15e; unsure if comparable.(YSI) You-Store-It $0.27 EPS vs $0.23e.

Select Analyst Calls (Nov. 7, 2006)

ADBE started as Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.ADSK started as Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.AHO cut to Underweight at JPMorgan.AMTD started as Neutral at Prudential.ANN cut to Mkt Perform at FBR.AWR cut to Neutral at UBS.BGO cut to Sector Perform at RBC.BMR cut to Mkt Perform at Wachovia.BSX reitr Buy at Jefferies.CBF started as Buy at Citigroup.CTXS started as Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.ET started as Overweight at Prudential.GGP cut to Underperform at RBC.HCN started as Buy at Cantor Fitzgerald.HRB raised to Buy at Soleil.ICFI started as Buy at Jefferies.INPC raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank.LUV raised to Outperform at Credit Suisse.LUX cut to Hold at Deutsche bank.MRVL started as Neutral at Pacific Growth.MSFT coverage resumed as Neutral at B of A.MT cut to Hold at Soleil.MVL cut to Hold at Citigroup.NBIX raised to Neutral at Baird.NHP started as Buy at Cantor Fitzgerald.PLAY raised to Hold at Citigroup.SIE raised to Neutral at UBS.SUNH raised to Buy at UBS.SWFT raised to Neutral at B of A and raised to Peer Perform at Bear Stearns.TEF cut to Neutral at Merrill Lynch.TRB cut to Hold at AGEdwards.TXU cut to Hold at Citigroup.VIRL cut to Neutral at Cowen.XMSR reitr Buy at B of A.

Toyota Kicks Ass And Take Names: 20% Market Share In The US?

Toyota’s stock hit an all-time high in trading in Tokyo overnight.Small wonder. The largest Japanese car company watched its operating profits rise 44% in the most recently announced quarter. Toyota said that sales in Europe and the US of fuel-efficient cars like the Camry helped its results. Of course, Detroit relies on SUVs and pick-ups for most of its profits. These have fallen out of favor as fuel prices rise.Leaving aside the fact that at $215 billion, Toyota’s market cap is as large as the next four most valuable car companies combined and that the company is upping its sales forecasts for the year. The most frightening announcements for the Big Three is that Toyota will start producing and pushing it Tundra pick-up, a move directed at the heart of Detroit’s most lucrative model lines and that it will begin to market additional fuel-efficient cars like its Scion.Toyota will increase production by over 500,000 units next year as it opens new plants in countries like China and Russia.During the first three quarters of 2006, Toyota has increased its market share in the US from 13% last year to 15.2% this year. At that rate, Toyota will have almost 21% of the US market by the end of 2008. Most, if not all of that, would come from US manufacturers.Ouch.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writea about.

GM In China Town

Stocks: (GM)(F)(TM)(HMC)What is it about China? European and American car executives think that if they say the name of the country in the same sentence with the names of their companies, their stocks will immediately go up 5%.GM’s CEO says that his company is getting bigger in China. GM is going to build more cars and components there. It would make sense given how much less expensive the labor is that the UAW-brand workers.Now, of course, Ford, Toyota, Honda, VW, and several other large car companies have the same aspirations for China, so it is starting to look like North America in terms of competition. This does not even factor in the local car companies who may have an edge because of the tendency of the Chinese government to favor the home team.Leaving aside all of the excitement about China, GM is still in deep trouble in it home market. Its share in the US seems to be stable now at about 25%. But, with it program to cut annual costs by $9 billion still not complete and concerns that the UAW may not sacrifice warm bodies forever, GM still has a long way to go.In addition to GM’s own problems in the US, Toyota continues to accelerate its effort to take market share from the Big Three. The big Japanes car-maker said it will open its seventh plant in North America within the next two years. The last anyone looked, GM was not opening any plants in Japan.GM can’t win in China if it stands on feet of clay in the US.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@gmail.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Annual Microsoft Day: VoIP For Everyone

Stocks: (MSFT)(TWX)(CMCSA)(VG)(VZ)(T)Steve Ballmer, MSFT CEO, says that VoIP is going to be built into almost all of its software platforms beginning next year. That means that VoIP capability is going to be embedded in Microsoft’s server software, operating system, and desktop applications.It would appear that Microsoft is tired of being the huge also-ran of tech. It is not attacking across a number of fronts using its huge R&D and balance sheet capacities.VoIP, Vista, Zune, Xbox Live, Mobile Windows for cell phones. The company is making progress in all of these fields, and in some, significant progress.The VoIP products could be very, very disruptive. Companies like Time Warner Cable and Comcast are counting on adding VoIP subscriptions to add revenue on top of their TV and broadband offerings. The MSFT initiative by-passes that by using cable’s pipes to deliver Microsoft VoIP.The telecom companies have even more to worry about. Verizon and AT&T are hoping that fiber-to-the-home will help them sell their current voice services with IPTV and broadband. But the MSFT VoIP initiatives along with offering from cable and operators like Skype and Vonage could hit the phone companies where they live–voice service.Skype and Vonage are not immune from Microsoft’s move either. Everytime a new, large VoIP initiative hits the market, Ebay’s purchase of Skype looks more misguided. And, Vonage is barely hanging onto its franchise as its stock hit a new low almost every week.If Microsoft is embedding VoIP capacity in all of its major software, a lot of companies are about to have a new headache.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Annual Microsoft Day: Xbox Uber Alles

Stocks: (VIA)(TWX)(MSFT)(SNE)(AAPL)(AMZN)The Xbox is going to run TV and movies. Users will be able to rent feature videos and download them over the web.The deal is a real shot at Apple, Amazon, Movielink, and other services that are offering downloads because the Xbox platform has such a large footprint with gamers. Xbox Live, which will support the new service, has 4 million users.Microsoft has already cut deals with Paramount and Warner for movies and with Viacom and CBS for TV.Now, Sony’s Playstation 3 will also allow video downloads, so Microsoft will have some competition in offering feature video content on a game platform.Where will it all go? With video appearing on cellphones and over IPTV fiber-to-the-home platforms, investors have to wonder where the smart money is going to predict who will win. The Xbox, the iPod, IPTV, cell phone video.What is almost certain is the video is going to be on too many platforms for everyone to make money. The exception is the content owners who will make something for every piece of their material that is used.Betting against Microsoft’s Xbox intiative may be dangerous. It looks like the company is back in the innovation business, and they have the pocketbook to back the play.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Annual Microsoft Day: MSFT Conquers Mobile

Stocks: (MSFT)(VOD)(VZ)Microsoft has been working to get its software onto phones for a long time. Now, they seem to have hit a breakthrough.Vodafone, the huge European mobile operator, which also owns a piece of Verizon Wireless, is going to put Microsoft’s mobile operating software on a number of its phones.The reasons behind the move are acutally quite compelling. Vodafone can save a great deal of money by having standardized software on its phones. Building furture applications that do not have to run on a large number of operating systems is also a big plus.In a bid for simplicity in technology, Vodafone is cutting its software systems from 20 to 3. Symbian, supported by mobile giant Nokia, will be one. Linux, the open source software that is used by a programming community around the world is another. And, Microsoft is the last.Symbian dominates the market for software on phones because of Nokia. But, Nokia’s rivals may not be so keen on the software.Microsoft has a huge opportunity to partially dominate the phone software market as an alternative for the Nokia product. With about one billion phones sold worldwide, MSFT may have finally found a market to dominate that rivals PCs.It’s a big win for Mr. Softy.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintrye@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in comanies that he writes about.

YouTube’s Effort To Get Mobile

Stocks: (VZ)(NWS)(CMCSA)Verizon and Google unit YouTube are in talks about putting video content onto cell phones. The service would be part of Verizon’s premium V-Cast service.Verizon would also offer YouTube content for it on-demand IPTV service that is being built-out as part of the telecom’s $18 billion fiber-to-the-home initiative. It is a bet the company move if there ever was one.Since Samsung has just announced that global handset sales will rise only 10% in 2007, anything to sell mobile phones or service plans is going to be welcome.The Verizon initiative has several problems. The first is that YouTube is in talks with Comcast about a similar TV video on demand service. The Verizon IPTV product may, therefore, have no competitor edge.The other major issue is that YouTube content is free now. And, that may be its great strength since very little of the content is mainstream, and the content that is may be subject to copyright actions.Verizon’s V-Cast servicce actually costs money, a monthly subscription fee. Whether mobile users will pay to see people in their underwear lip-syncing songs is an open question. And, the answer may be “no”.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Europe Market Report 11/7/2006 SAP Up, Siemens Down

Stocks: (BCS)(BP)(BT)(GSK)(RTRSY)(VOD)(UN)(UL)(BAY)(DCX)(DB)(BT)(SAP)(SI)(ALA)(AXA)(FTE)(V)Markets in Europe were slightly higher at 6 AM New York time.The FTSE was up .1% to 6,229. Barclays was up .7% to 710.5. BP was up .8% to 602. BT was up .2% to 285.5. GlaxoSmithKline was up .1% to 1417. Reuters was down .1% to 444.5. Unilever was down .4% to 1395. Vodafone was down 1.3% to 132.75.The DAXX was up .1% to 6.338. Bayer was up .1% to 40.4 DaimlerChrysler was up 1.2% to 45.86. DeutscheBank was up .8% to 99.14. Deutsche Telekom was down .8% to 13.57. SAP was up 1.9% to 158.75. Siemens was down .7% to 70.97.The CAC 40 was up .3% to 5,419. Alcatel was up 1.6% to 10.24. AXA was up 1.2% to 30.62. France Telecom was down .5% to 20.3. ST Micro was up .8% to 13.65. Vivendi was down 2.9% to 29.16 on weak earnings.Data from Reuters.Douglas A. McIntyre

Media Digest 11/7/2006 Reuters, Wall Street Journal, New York Times

Stocks: (TM)(V)(MSFT)(VOD)(YHOO)(BA)(VZ)(NWS)(ABT)According to Reuters, Toyota operating profit rose 44% in the most recent quarter, and the company upped it full year forecasts.Reuters writes that Vivendi had poor Q3 results due to low mobile and music sales.Reuters writes that Yahoo! has begun an image advertising test on cell phones. The delivery of graphic ads will be aimed at seeing whether branding ads can be moved to phones.Reuters reports that Samsung sees the mobile phone market growing only 10% in 2007.Reuters also writes that Microsoft will offer movies and TV on its new Xbox system.The Financial Times writes that Boeing will up its 787 production to meet new demand.The Wall Street Journal reports that Verizon is in late stage talks with YouTube to bring video to its cellphones and nationwide IPTV service.The Wall Street Journal writes that Vodafone will use the Microsoft mobile operating system on many of its phones in a bid to cut the number of OSs that it has to put on its handsets and to improve development time and cost.The Wall Street Journal also writes that Abbott Labs will pay $3.7 million for Kos Pharmaceuticals which makes a drug that raised good cholesterol.The New York Times writes that MySpace is trying to move into foreign markets but is finding that internet social site behavior can be very different outside the US.The New York Times also writes that Overstock posted a large loss and may have to raise money next year.Douglas A. McIntyre