Daily Archives: November 15, 2006

Cramer Says The Canadian Trusts Are Oversold, Buy the Canadian Oil Trusts

Cramer on MAD MONEY said you can now BUY the Canadian oil trusts after they took a huge beating from the Canadian tax changes.Canetic Resource Trust (CNE) with a 19% yield;Enterra Energy Trust(ENT) with a 20% yield.The Canadians allowed all TRUST shares to pass on a dividend TAX FREE, but the breaking of a campaign promise not to tax these trust as corporations was made. In 4 years there will be 35% of the dividends shaved off for Canadian taxes. He said the trusts fell 10% to 30% immediately on the news, which you know if you follow them.He said the bounce started today and it will continue, but you are also getting a call option essentially free that the new Candian legislation will be stopped or changed.He has 3 more that fit the bill. He thinks that these are huge dividend names Pengrowth (PGH), Baytex Energy (BTE), and Precision Drilling (PDS). They are all bouncing on big volume and these are all buys.Jon C. OggNovember 15, 2006

Cramer Says To Hell with Microsoft’s Zune, BUY APPLE (AAPL)!!!!

Stock Ticker: AAPLOn tonight’s MAD MONEY segment on CNBC, Cramer went over a stock where it was hit because of competition. He said Microsoft (MSFT) just took aim at Apple (AAPL) with Zune’s launch against iPod.Cramer said “the Microsoft launch is officially being pronounced a dud!”…… That is not “dude”. He thinks AAPl is a fantastic must own stock and the Zune he even noted as the “Edsel,” an old Ford failed car launch that was a dud. He thinks the Zune colors stink and the Zune music store is also a dud. He also said that the fact that it is made by Microsoft, and kids and many others hate them.He said the Zune is not Vista compatible. It is a rejiggered Toshiba and if they want to take on AAPL they should do a better design. Zune’s rankings are also lower than expected. At Amazon.com this was only #12 yesterday on electronics and #7 today. If it was great on launch it would be #1.Cramer said that AAPl has been impervious to this launch. HE said they still have a tiny market share, but they have 50% of market share with upper-end college students. He thinks their retail initiative is great and they are even testing Mac sales at Best Buy.After Cramer said this AAPL traded up after-hours an additional 0.8% to $84.75, although it closed down 1.1% at $84.05 today. Cramer said he thinks AAPL is a $100.00 stock “By the end of the year.”Jon C. OggNovember 15, 2006

Market Wrap (Nov. 15, 2006)

DJIA 12,251.71; Up 33.70 (0.28%)NASDAQ 2,442.75; Up 12.09 (0.50%)S&P500 1,396.57; Up 3.35 (0.24%)10YR-Bond 4.615%; Up 0.047NYSE Volume 2,857,269,000NASD Volume 2,074,955,000US Airways (LCC) rose some 16.75% to $59.46 after it made an offer to acquire Delta Airlines for some $8 Billion in stock and debt. Other airlines traded up in response to a consolidating industry: UAUA traded up 9% to $39.99, CAL traded up 12.6% to $43.21, AAI traded up 16% to $12.82, and JBLU traded up 7.4% to $15.13.Emergent BioSolutions (EBS) was another dismal IPO that traded as a broken deal. It priced at $12.50, under the range and closed down even lower at $11.70.Comverse Tech (CMVT) gave up a sharp 14% to $17.69 after the company disclosed accounting irregularities and problems on revenue recognition back to 2002, and that is after its ongoing options SNAFU.CDC Corp (CHINA) traded up 10% to $7.80 after it outperformed earnings estimates.Embrex (EMBX) traded up39% to $16.64 after Pfizer’s animal health unit acquired the company for $17 per share.Trimeris (TRMS) rose 20% to $12.03 after the company realigned its focus on its HIV drug Fuzeon.e-Future Information (EFUT) finally fell 31% to $29.89 after several days or parabolic gains after its recent thin volume IPO.Tripos (TRPS) was the largest percentage loser by falling 60% to $0.62 after posting a loss and selling its discovery research unit.SunTrust Banks (STI) rose 1.3% to $80.26 after the company announced a planned succession to its CEO, partly on thought that it could be acquired.Grainger (GWW) rose 3.5% to $73.57 after it raised the guidance range to where the mid-point was above consensus estimates for fiscal 2007.Prudential (PRU) rose 1.8% to $81.00 the day after it allocated $3 Billion to share buybacks.Corel (CREL) fell 0.9% to $12.84 after Entrust (ENTU) filed a copyright infringement suit against the company.StemCells (STEM) rose 5% to $3.34 after it was announced that the company performed its first neural stem cell transplant.Vanda Pharma (VNDA) rose a sharp 52% to $14.90 after it posted positive insomnia treatment results for jet setters and those with infrequent sleep issues.Sify Ltd. (SIFY) fell 2.2% to $9.47 after its CFO was leaving to pursue other interests.Jon C. OggNovember 15, 2006

A Little Fiasco At Zumiez (ZUMZ)

Retailer Zumiez announced earnings that looked good on paper. Revenue for the period ending October 28 rose 43% to $82 million. Same store sales were up over 10%, but that slowed a bit from over 13% for the first nine months.Net income for the three month period was $6.8 million. That was up from $5.3 million in the same quarter a year ago. Not much movement there.Guidance was lackluster. “The company stated that it is maintaining guidance for fiscal 2006 to $0.66 to $0.67 in diluted earnings per share.” Not much of an endorsement for Q4 action.The stock was beaten to within an inch of its life on the news. It fell 13% almost immediately and was down to $27.30. The company’s 52-week high/low is $38.85/$18.06.There should be a lot of unhappy shareholders come the morning.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Cramer Reviews How to Trade Off Deals

On today’s STOP TRADING segment on CNBC, Jim Cramer discussed how to play the potential Delta/USAir merger and the Blockbuster deals.Jim Cramer said on NYSE (NYX) that the Deutsche Boerse was running scared. Cramer said the NYSE will be immediately accretive. He still thinks it is going to $250.00 down the road. He also thinks a deal with Taiwan or Tokyo will add huge to it.Cramer also said NYMEX (NMX) will open at a huge premium.He also noted the world gold demand and said that global industrial demand was the only growth area. He also said that foreign emerging banks have been demanding gold. He still likes Yamana Gold (AUY) because “they have gold out the ying yang!”Cramer said he would buy UAL (UAUA) for any airline deal as it is the cheapest stock in the airline group as a whole.On Blockbuster (BBI), Cramer said he hasn’t cared about BBI so much. But after the Weistein exclusive deal and after they have really tried to do more things he thinks BBI shares could hit $6.00.Jon C. OggNovember 15, 2006

Value Act Capital Lowers Stake in Williams Scotsman (WLSC)

From 13D TrackerIn an amended 13D filing on Williams Scotsman International, Inc (NASDAQ: WLSC), Value Act Capital disclosed a 4.9% stake (2.1 million shares) in the company. This is down from the 2.52 million share stake the firm disclosed in an August 13D filing.http://www.13dtracker.blogspot.com/

Spirent Communications (SPM) Rejects Large Shareholder Proposal for Board Representation

From 13D TrackerSpirent Communications Plc (NYSE: SPM) said it considered and rejected a proposal from Sherborne Investors GP, LLC to remove the Company Chairman, the Chairman of the Audit Committee and the Chairman of the Remuneration Committee and to replace them with four Sherborne nominees.The company said a Spirent Board proposed by Sherborne would comprise four Sherborne nominees (led by Mr Bramson of Sherborne who would become Chairman), one Lexa BV nominee, two independent non-executive directors and two executive directors.The company said they offered Sherborne two seats on the Spirent Board, one as Deputy Chairman and one as Chairman of the Audit Committee, but this offer was rejected.Sherborne has previously notified Spirent that it holds 130,250,000 shares in the Company, representing 14.68% of the issued share capital and Lexa BV has previously notified Spirent that it held 120,000,000 shares in the Company, representing 13.52% of the issued share capital.http://www.13dtracker.blogspot.com/

Red Hat Gets A Break, Finally (RHAT)(NOK)(MSFT)(NOVL)

After being pounded in the market when its Linux solution was left out of Microsoft’s alliance with alternative Linux shop Novell, Red Hat has finally gotten a break. Nokia has chosen Red Hat’s Linux software system for it network server platforms.While Red Hat has more market share in the Linus OS business than Novell, the deal, with its huge marketing support, boosted a flagging Novell.Red Hat’s stock has fallen from $32 in May to its current price of under $17. But, the stock may have run too far, too fast before that. It stood at under $11 in May 2005, so it had tripled in a year.Wall St. should not forget that Red Hat is nicely profitable, and growing. In the last reported quarter ending August 31, the company did just shy of $100 million, and had an operating profit of over $9 million. Revenue had gone up each of the three immediate quarters.Novell’s deal with Microsoft may put it too close to the huge software company that many enterprise customers do not trust. Microsoft has made “land grabs” in the past, and companies like Nokia may elect to use Red Hat over the rival “Novell brought to you by Microsoft” Linux solution.For Red Hat, not all the news is bad.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Wal-Mart, Home Depot, Target: Looking for some holiday cheer – Nov. 14, 2006 (WMT)(HD)(TGT)

By William Trent, CFA of Stock Market BeatA couple of months ago, we addressed the prospects of slowing consumer spending by saying, “Slowdown? Maybe. But if you have the right merchandise consumers will still spend more than they earn.”Now we get a similar assessment from CNNMoney:Moreover, since consumer purchases fuel two-thirds of the economy, these two months provide a vital temperature-taking of the overall health of the nation’s economy.Any significant slowdown in consumer spending immediately raises concerns that the economy as a whole will likely follow.So how do things look so far? Despite the retail picture being a little muddy this year, analysts for the most part seem to agree that consumers are not yet shying away from shopping.They’re just becoming more cautious and more picky about where they shop.Betting against the consumer is always a long shot. Sometimes they come in, but usually they don’t. Given the housing weakness, this may be the year for it. However, it’s not something we’ll put a lot of money on.The author may hold a position in the securities discussed. The author’s current holdings are as follows: Long: Intuit (INTU) put options; Nasdaq 100 (QQQQ) put options; Bookham (BKHM; Ballard Power (BLDP); Syntax Brillian (BRLC); CMGI (CMGI); Genentech (DNA); Ion Media Networks (ION); Lion’s Gate (LGF); Three Five Systems (TFS); Adobe Systems (ADBE) call options; Ceradyne (CRDN); IShares Japan (EWJ); StreetTracks Gold (GLD); Starbucks (SBUX); U.S. Oil Fund (USO); Plantronics (PLT) call options; Short: Lion’s Gate (LGF) call options; Dell (DELL) put options; Ceradyne (CRDN) call options; Plantronics (PLT) put options.http://stockmarketbeat.com/blog1/

Watch Out for Rambus Headlines Today

Stock Ticker: RMBSWe have a dual situation in Rambus (RMBS) today. The company is presenting at the UBS Global Communications and Technology Conference at 11:30 a.m. Eastern Time this morning and it has Federal Trade Commission oral hearings today at 2:00 PM EST.This UBS Global Communications and Technology Conference event will be available through a webcast and can be accessed at Rambus’ Investor Relations web site at http://investor.rambus.com/.In another event, the Federal Trade Commission is meeting to consider oral arguments in the Rambus case. This meeting is set to adjourn to a closed session after the open session. The time is for 2;15 PM EST today and will be held at the FTC building at 600 Pennsylvania Ave. in Washington, D.C. The matters to be considered are two-fold in that oen is public and one is private. Portion Open to the Public: (1) Oral Argument in Rambus Incorporated, Docket 9302. Portion Closed to the Public: (2) Executive Session to follow Oral Argument in Rambus Incorporated, Docket 9302.Please keep in mind that these hearings and public sections can change without notice, so there is always a shot that nothing will be mentioned at all on newswires today.SYNOPSISWhile certain court cases have gone in Rambus’ favor, the FTC is the body that has ruled against Rambus over it having created a monopoly by deceiving a standards-setting committee years ago. If the FTC stays on the anti-Rambus stance, then it could potentially create an environment that Rambus may have to pay back some of the back-royalties it collected and it could thwart many such royalty payments in the future.Any adverse stance if you take it three steps further could be deemed by the street as a threat to the Rambus business model. Since Rambus does NOT manufacture chips and sell them on their own and since they are 100% reliant on negotiated royalties for use of their chip design, this is essentially just a royalty company that collects fees for using their designs. It would also give any defendant or plaintiff on the other side of Rambus a real leg to stand in future court cases.While we have laid out the potential worst case scenario, it should be taken not as a prediction. In reality these cases tend to create a cap or a more stable royalty payment scenario rather than an outright elimination. With certain agreements in place it is now cheaper for certain patent and design licensees to just pay than it is to go in and risk punitive damages by refusing to abide by agreements and going to court to overturn an already-signed contract.Since traders tend to shoot first and ask question later, if the bother, you could see some sudden moves in either direction today and not know why the stock moved. That is just another day in the market. As a reminder, RMBS stock options expire Friday (11/17/06) with the rest of the stock option expirations in US-traded public stocks. The company also already noted on Monday that it does not expect to file its quarterly results on time as it investigates stock options granting.Jon C. OggNovember 15, 2006

Embraer Shares Shrug Off Sales Decline

By William Trent, CFA of Stock Market BeatEmbraer (ERJ) reported a sales and profit decline due to production problems with the ramp up of its 190 and 195 aircraft. The issue caused deliveries to fall to 30 aircraft from 41 over the same period last year. Embraer had warned about the problem, cutting its delivery forecast for this year to 135 planes from 145. But it raised its 2007 delivery estimate to at least 160 from 150.Because of the fact that it appears to be timing-related (and of much lower magnitude than the issues at Airbus (EADS) investors appear inclined to shrug off the problems. Over the long run, we think Embraer is sitting in the sweet spot between the large planes nobody will want to fly on and the smaller turboprop planes nobody wants to fly on.We think it is only a matter of time before some carrier decides to create an uber-Southwest (LUV) and launch non-stop regional jet service between large markets and middle tier markets that currently require a connection on the hub-and-spoke model airlines. That could really result in a new order boost.The author may hold a position in the securities discussed. The author’s current holdings are as follows: Long: Intuit (INTU) put options; Nasdaq 100 (QQQQ) put options; Bookham (BKHM; Ballard Power (BLDP); Syntax Brillian (BRLC); CMGI (CMGI); Genentech (DNA); Ion Media Networks (ION); Lion’s Gate (LGF); Three Five Systems (TFS); Adobe Systems (ADBE) call options; Ceradyne (CRDN); IShares Japan (EWJ); StreetTracks Gold (GLD); Starbucks (SBUX); U.S. Oil Fund (USO); Plantronics (PLT) call options; Short: Lion’s Gate (LGF) call options; Dell (DELL) put options; Ceradyne (CRDN) call options; Plantronics (PLT) put options.

Looking at the e-Future Information Technology (EFUT) Exponential Gains & Trading Volume Spike

Stock Ticker: EFUTThe explosion in trading volume in Chinese micro-cap stock E-Future Information Technology (EFUT) has been mind-boggling. This was one of the stealth IPO’s of only 1.1335 million shares that priced at $6.00. Here are the most recent closing prices with trading volume:14-Nov-06 $43.60 14,254,60013-Nov-06 $29.49 3,182,80010-Nov-06 $19.89 1,755,7009-Nov-06 $14.28 634,700 (opened at $11.00)e-Future is the first Chinese software company listed in NASDAQ CAPITAL MARKET, and also the first software company in the front supply chain market. The underwriter was also an unknown firm called Anderson & Strudwick, Inc.The company just made a press release yesterday before the open that they knew of no reason for the exponential performance. It said it has actually issued 2.6+ million ordinary shares to date.Since October 30, 2006, the share price and trading volume of e-Future’s ordinary shares has increased dramatically. On several trading days, e-Future’s trading volume has been a multiple of its total outstanding ordinary shares. Yesterday’s summary: e-Future is unaware of any business information underlying the increase in e-Future’s per share price and trading volume.Being a logistical supply chain software company in China obviously has its perks, but these strange performing IPO’s can be a bit scary after many companies start showing their results. We aren’t saying this is a sham, but these situations more often than not end up correcting themselves in time. This seems to be a classic thin volume explosion that turns into a mega-volume trading stock that is touted by many chat rooms and the day traders play the volume on the momentum alone.EFUT shares are trading down 8% at $40.00 pre-market, but that is after closing up over $14.00 higher than the $29.49 close on Monday.Jon C. OggNovember 15, 2006

Microsoft Pokes Cable And Telecoms

Stocks: (MSFT)(CMCSA)(TWX)(GOOG)(T)(VZ)Microsoft has decided to set up free wireless internet in Portland. For everyone. The whole city. Google has looked at a similar initiative in San Francisco.Since Microsoft is providing its IPTV platform to a number of telecoms like AT&T and Verizon, the move could eventually put it at odds with some of its largest customers.Microsoft’s free wireless broadband will be supported by advertising that will run at the top of the browser page. The big software company understands the process well since online advertising is already a large source of revenue for its MSN division.But, free wireless broadband does not exactly help cable companies and telecoms who are selling broadband access over their networks. AT&T, Verizon, Comcast, and Time Warner Cable bring in a large portion of their revenue from broadband-to-the-home. It is always hard to compete with “free” expecially if the product is good.While it is too early to tell whether Microsoft can turn a profit with ad supports wireless broadband, if it works in Portland traditional broadband suppliers could find that they have a new, very well funded competitor.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Pre-Market Stock News (Nov. 15, 2006)

(AA) ALCOA names new CFO effective Jan. 1, 2007.(ABG) Ashbury Auto filed to sell 3+ million shares for holders.(ADI) Analog Devices $0.39 EPS vs $0.40e.(ALXN) Alexion filed to sell 2.5 million shares of common stock.(ANF) Abercrombe & Fitch $1.11 EPS vs $1.11e.(ARM) Arvin Motor $0.40 EPS vs $0.40e.(BORL) Borland Software -$0.16 EPS and R$82.4M vs -$0.08/$77M(e).(CDCY) Compudyne $0.09 EPS vs $0.02e; unsure if comparable(CEP) Constellation Energy IPO priced 4.5M shares at $21.00, top of the $19 to $21 range.(CHINA) CDC $0.09 EPS vs $0.06e.(CMVT) Comverse found revenue recognition errors.(COBT) Cobalt settled with GlaxoSmithkline.(COCO) Corinthian Colleges $0.02 EPs vs $0.03e.(CRFT) Craftmade announced it will have charges as Lowe’s discontinues orders.(CUZ) Cousins Properties announced a special $3.40 dividend.(DELL) Dell is acquiring private ACS in UK for consulting business for undisclosed terms, although it said it would be immaterial to financial results.(DIGE) Digene said its CEO is retiring.(DISK) Image Entertainment -$0.14 EPS vs -$0.07e; filed to sell shares.(EBS) Emergent Biosolutions IPO priced 5M shares at $12.50, under the $14 to $16 range.(GOOG) Google may be losing the president of its China operations according to Pacific Epoch reports.(HAL) Halliburton noted positively as the way to play the KBR IPO according to Cramer, but UK authorities are demanding a withdrawal of the unit IPO.(HH) Hooper Homes -$0.06 EPS vs $0.02e.(HTZ) Hertz’s upcoming IPO was panned by Cramer on MAD MONEY.(LCC) US Airways is in proposed merger with Delta and will offer $8 Billion for stock and debt.(LZB) La-Z-Boy $0.06 EPS vs $0.02e.(MED) Medifast $0.11 EPS vs $0.09e.(NMX) NYMEX upcoming IPo was noted very favorably by Cramer on MAD MONEY.(NWS) News Corp is close to buying backing Liberty’s 19% stake.(PBY) Pep Boys -$0.14 EPS vs -$0.05e.(PRU) Prudential approved $3 Billion for share buybacks.(SGR) Shaw Group COO resigned to take other position elsewhere.(SIFY) Sify CFO is leaving to take advantage of other opportunities.(SIL) Apex Silver Mines files to sell $200M in mixed securities.(SINT) SI Int’l filed to sell $150 million in mixed securities.(SPWR) SunPower is acquiring private PowerLight.(STEM) Stem Cells trading up 8% after performing first human neural stem cell transplant.(STI) SunTrust president/COO will replace current CEO effective January 1, 2007.(SVM) ServiceMaster may attract private equity buyers according to WSJ.(TAYD) Taylor Devices gapping up 14% pre-market on tsunami warning in Northern Japan.(TLB) Talbots $0.15 EPS vs $0.15e.(TRMS) Trimeris shares rose more than 15% after switching to FUZEON focus in Roche pact.(TWB) Tween Brands $0.58 EPS vs $0.57e.(TWX) Time Warner’s Parsons said he is keeping AOL according to Bloomberg interview.(TYC) Tyco $0.51 EPS vs $0.49e, but that is backing out $0.12 gain; TYC will take $600 million in charges for restructuring to save $50M in 2007 and $200M in 2008.(VAS) Viasys gets FDA marketing approval for Sonara.(VLCF) Knightsbridge tankers $0.85 EPS vs $0.82e.(VNDA) Vanda Pharmaceuticals releases positive insomnia drug results and was interviewed on CNBC.(VRGY) Verigy $0.56 EPS vs $0.48e.(WNS) WNS $0.15 EPS vs $0.14e.

Select Analyst Calls (Nov. 15, 2006)

AMZN started as Buy at Soleil.ASH cut to Neutral at Credit Suisse.ATRS raised to Buy at Jefferies.BBBY cut to Underweight at JPMorgan.BORL cut to Underweight at JPMorgan.CAKE raised to Outperform at FBR.CMVT cut to Sell at Goldman Sachs.DAC started as Buy at Jefferies.DRIV started as Outperform at thomas Weisel.EIX raised to Buy at Goldman Sachs.FL raised to Buy at Merrill Lynch.GOOG started (renewed) coverage with Buy and $600 target.HD raised to Overweight at JPMorgan.MEL raised to Buy at B of A.MO raised to Buy at Goldman Sachs.QCOM reitr Buy at Jefferies.RLH cut to Mkt Perform at FBR.SKS raised to Buy at merrill Lynch.SPLS started as Hold at Soleil.SYK added to Focus List at Merrill Lynch.TELK cut to Underweight at Lehman.TXU cut to Neutral at Goldman Sachs.VNO added to Goldman Sachs’ conviction buy list.VOD raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank.

The Stock Exchanges Vs. The Internet: Free Quotes For All

Stocks: (NYX)(NDAQ)(TWX)(YHOO)The large internet sites that deliver financial news object to the fees that Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange plan to charge for stock quotes. It would appear, at first glance, that the fight is purely economic. The internet sites don’t want to pay much for quotes because it adds to the content cost structure and makes it more expensive to offer services to draw visitors. The exchanges have a more acute problem. Data fees make up so much income for them that a lost of the fees might wipe out much of their operating profits. A look at the 10-Q for the NYSE Group shows revenue of $603 million for the September quarter. Data fees were over $57 million of that. The company’s operating profit was almost $68 million. Those data fees are important.The finanacial internet sites have some many visitors that it could cost them millions of dollars to offer real-time quotes to their users, and now the exchanges want to up the cost of that data.But, the fights goes beyond revenue and profit.The banks that pay huge transaction fees to the exchanges and the companies that also shell out huge sums for their listings may not be entirely happy with a system that makes quotes more expensive and, perhaps, less available to investors due to cost. Do Apple and GM really want the barrier to getting quotes on their stocks raised? Or, would they rather have as many investors as possible with access to the data? Not a difficult question to answer.One can see listed companies putting pressure on exchanges to distribute live quotes for a little as possible, if not for free.Another difficult matter is the question of monopoly. When the exchanges were non-profits is was more palatable for them to charge for quotes that were not available elsewhere. But, they are not “for profit” institutions and they have bought up all of the electronic trading platforms that could offer quotes outside the exchange system. There is now, in essence, only one game in town. In general, the government has not supported “for profit” monopolies, at least not for any extended period of time.There is another important set of players in this game: the investment banks who pay transaction fees to the exchanges. In Europe, seven investment banks including Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, have said they are considering setting up their own trading platform to take volume away from the London Stock Exchange. Why? The banks believe that the fees that they pay to the exhange are too high. It may be more efficient to simply set up a competing system.The internet war with the stock exchanges is likely to become much more complex. If listed companies and investment banks begin to assert their own interests, the exchanges could have more problems than those created by petitions from Yahoo! and AOL.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Europe Market Report 11/15/2006 Deutsche Telekom, BT, Vodafone Up

Stocks: (BCS)(BP)(BT)(GSK)(UL)(RTRSY)(VOD)(BAY)(DCX)(DB)(BT)(SI)(ALA)(AXA)(FTE)(V)Markets in Europe were up modestly at 5.50 AM New York time.The FTSE was up .4% to 6,214. Barclays was up .9% to 707. BP was flat at 593. BT was up 1.3% to 281. GlaxoSmithKline was up .7% to 1376. Prudential was up 1.2% to 658. Reuters was up .5% to 462.25. Unilever was up .3% to 1399. Vodafone was up 2.8% to 139.25.The DAXX was up .5% to 6,420. Bayer was up .1% to 40.22. DaimlerChrysler was up 1.2% to 47.07. DeutscheBank was up .5% to 98.82. Deutsche Telekom was 1.8% to 13.81. Siemens was up .3% t0 74.9.The CAC 40 was up .4% to 5,497. Alcatel was up 1.2% to 10.36. AXA was up .5% to 30.23. France Telecom was up 1.1% to 20.13. ST Micro was up 1.9% to 14.06. Vivendi was up .4% to 29.66.Data from Reuters.Douglas A. McIntyre

Microsoft’s Google Play (MSFT)(GOOG)

Microsoft wants its customers and investors to know that the company is no longer a three-legged beast. It has added a fourth appendage, internet delivered software. Perhaps the only people on Wall St. who did not know this were those who have been away for a year.The Microsoft push is clearly a reaction to Google’s long-lived program to deliver services like spreadsheets, word processing and calendars over the internet with the software stored on servers and not the user’s PC. Microsoft’s new business will operate side-by-side with its desktop, server software and entertainment units.The Microsoft program has one significant difference with Google’s plans. Microsoft internet based software, dubbed Microsoft Live by the company, will work with software already installed on PCs.Microsoft was somewhat circumspect about why it was taking the dual internet-delivered/desktop installed approach. Given Google’s plan to have its products be “internet only” the hybrid approach of the world’s largest software maker might be out of step.The answer lies with the fact that Microsoft may think the Google strategy is the right one, the one that will eventually win, but MSFT cannot destroy it core business of Windows-on-the-PC overnight. With more than half of the company’s revenue from that source, financial suicide is not an option.Because Microsft is tethered so strongly to the past, and most move into internet based software services in a measured way, it may lose a great deal to company’s like Google which have no legacy to protect.That’s bad news for Microsoft.Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Media Digest 11/15/2006 Reuters, Wall Street Journal, New York Times

Stocks: (BKS)(LOW)(BUD)(TGT)(NWS)(MSFT)(GOOG)(C)(HD)(TWX)(GE)According to Reuters, Bershire Hathaway added shares in Nike and Lowe’s, but may have reduced positions in Anheuser Busch and Target.The Wall Street Journal reports that Boeing may win up to $10 billion in new plane orders in the coming weeks as airline replace older planes.Reuters writes that News Corporation believes that its operating profits will be up in double digits although advertising in it major markets will be flat. Fox, satellite holdings, and new media should drive the growth, the company said.Reuters reports that Microsoft believes that web based software will be the most important development affecting the company over the next decade. However, MSFT believes that server delivered software will operate with software already loaded on the PC. This contrast with Google’s model of delivering software strictly over the web.The Wall Street Journal reports that Citigroup now seems to be the lead bidder for a $3.1 billion investment in China’s Guangdong Development Bank.The WSJ also reports that seven major investment banks in Europe are working on a stock trading system that could take trading from the London Stock Exchange. The banks include Goldman Sachs, Merrill, and Citigroup.The Wall Street Journal writes that bankrupt car parts company Collins & Aikman will sell itself off to satify creditors.The Wall Street Journal also writes that Home Depot had a 3.1% earnings drop and cut forecasts due to a soft housing market.The New York Times reports that the president of the NBCUniversal television group is in talks to join Time Warner’s AOL unit. Randy Falco might take over as CEO at AOL.Douglas A. McIntyre

Asia Markets 11/15/2006 Cathay Pacific, Fuji Film Up, Yahoo Japan Down

Stocks: (CAJ)FUJ)(HIT)HMC)(NIPNY)(NTT)(SNE)(TM)(CHL)(CHU)(PCW)(HBC)Markets in Asia were mixed with the Nikkei off and the Hang Seng up sharply.The Nikkei fell .3% to 16,243. Bridgestone was down 1.2% to 2500. Canon was up .5% to 6240. Daiwa Securities was up 1.5% to 1296. Fuji Film was up 2.7% to 4550. Hitachi was up .3% to 708. Honda was up .2% to 4250. Isuzu was up 3.2% to 512. NEC was up 1% to 500. NTT was down 1.2% to 563000. Sharp was up .5% to 2070. Softbank was down 1.1% to 2330. Sony was down .4% to 4710. Toshiba was up .4% to 738. Toyota was up 1.3% to 3010. Yahoo Japan was down 1.7% to 42350.The Hang Seng rose 1.1% to 19,093 to a record close. Cathay Pacific rose 3.9% to 18.24. China Mobile rose 2.6% to 68.35. China Unicom rose 1% to 8.34. HSBC fell .3% to 147.7. PCCW fell .2% to 5.06.The KOSPI rose .4% to 1,413.The Straits Times rose .6% to 2,778.The Shanghai Composite rose 1.8% to 1,923.Data from Reuters.Douglas A. McIntyre