Daily Archives: February 10, 2009

SIRIUS Bankruptcy (SIRI, SATS)

"Going, Going, Gone!"

"Going, Going, Gone!"

Sirius XM Radio Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI) is being mentioned in TheStreet.com, New York Times, the WSJ, and elsewhere as either “filing for bankruptcy protection” or that it was “near to filing for bankruptcy protection.”

I had just spoken with Michael Hartleib of SaveSIRIUS.org, a group he leads that’s critical of the company’s strategy.   Needless to say, Mr. Hartleib is not too happy. That was why he called us.

Sirius is part of our “companies that won’t make it” for 2009, which is a list of 10 stocks that have operating business but may file for bankruptcy protection or worse.  Bankruptcies are almost good for shareholders of common stock.  Not unless they need a big tax write-off against capital gains.

Hartleib has also noted some issues about conflicts of interest over the SIRIUS debt purchases by EchoStar Corp. (NASDAQ: SATS).

Jon C. Ogg
February 10, 2009

3M Adds Pressure On GE Dividend Situation (MMM, GE)

money_stack_pic53M Co. (NYSE: MMM) just did the opposite of what many large companies are doing in the current liquidity-crunched environment.  The conglomerate just raised its dividend to $0.51 per share.  We have been commenting how General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) needs to cut its dividend, so it is important to see how these two compare.
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Icahn Buys More Lions Gate After Major Drop (LGF, IEP)

money_stack_pic4After the close of trading, there was an SEC filing showing that billionaire and activist investor Carl Icahn now controls more than 10.5%  of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. (NYSE: LGF).  This was on the heels of a huge drop today.
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Third Wave SPAC IPO Dies Before Launch

burning-money-pic3Third Wave Acquisition Corp. has just filed with the SEC to withdraw it proposed inital public offering.  You can probably guess why: In light of current market conditions.
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No Love For NVIDIA (NVDA)

semiconductor-image2NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) earnings show the dual problems of the PC sector.  If you are not a fan of caution or if you think you can’t take any more negative news, let’s just say this is disturbing.
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Applied Leaves Little To Imagination (AMAT)

Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) just reported earnings.  There was of course the expected drop as many chip and chip equipment players have shown.  Although the company warned about earnings, there were very few very negative surprises here.
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The 52-Week Low Club (CXW)(LFG)(COF)(MGM)

sad_clown2Corrections Corp (CXW) Weak earnings outlook. Plunges to $10.50 from 52-week high of $10.50.

Lions Gate (LFG) US box office numbers drop. Shares down to $3.65 from 52-week high of $10.97.

Capital One Financial  (COF) Market does not like bank rescue package. Dips to $12.63 from 52-week high of $63.50.

MGM Mirage (MGM) Casino stocks downgraded. Falls to $5.47 from 52-week high of $71.96.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Hopes Rise with Baltic Dry Index (BHP, MT)

tx-00338-coil-well-gusher-odessa-texas-posters3The Baltic Dry Index is rising from a low in December 2008 of about 660 (essentially zero) to about 1800 (only a little better) now, and the rise is producing a glimmer of hope for the global economy. The index attempts to put a number on the cost of shipping raw materials, like iron ore and coal, by sea. The index reached an all-time high of over 11,000 in May 2008. Read More »

Pink Slips At Wal-Mart HQ? (WMT)

walmart-logoWal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) was supposed to be a winner in the economic slide as the “trade down” shopping destination.  It goes without saying that Wal-Mart has more than a few critics.  Now it looks like it will get a few more employee relations problems.  The reason: LAYOFFS.
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AMD Vote Fails For Fab-Lite Move, For Now (AMD, INTC)

semiconductor-image1Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) may end up getting stuck with its manufacturing operations.  Its plan to become “fab-lite” has been delayed because it did not win enough shareholder support.

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Geithner’s Bank Rehab, Still More Questions Than Answers

burning-money-pic2Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner is out with his banking and financial rescue plan.  This will not go without criticism and not all methodologies look set in stone, mainly because this package still raises plenty of questions.
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Intel’s $7 Billion Gamble… Too Much? Too Soon? (INTC, AMD, NVDA, AMAT, KLAC, NVLS)

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) is making a huge gamble on high- paying jobs and manufacturing.  It isn’t cuts.  Intel plans expansions for the inevitable recovery ahead.  $7 billion worth.
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Yingli, A Solar Gainer (YGE, FSLR, SPWRA)

solar_panel_pic2Chinese solar panel maker Yingli Green Energy Holding Company Ltd. (NYSE:YGE) reported earnings of $14.7 million (EPS of $0.12) for the fourth quarter this morning. Analysts had been expecting EPS of $0.07, so this announcement is boosting the stock by about 3% in early trading.
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Patriot Beats Low Expectations (PCX, BTU, ACI, CNX)

coal_imagePatriot Coal Corp. (NYSE:PCX) reported fourth quarter and full year numbers this morning. Patriot’s report follows the trail blazed earlier this year by Peabody Energy Corp. and Arch Coal Inc. (NYSE:ACI) and CONSOL Energy Inc. (NYSE:CNX).

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SiRF’s Buyout, Quasi-False Premium (SIRF)

SiRF Technology Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRF) is soaring following a takeover.   This is a huge premium deal on the surface, but there might be issues after you start peeling the onion.
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When Left Alone, Economies Never Fall Into Recession

By John Tamny  RealClearMarkets

Hoping to get his economic stimulus plan passed, President Obama has warned Americans that “If we don’t move swiftly to put this plan in motion, our economic crisis could become a national catastrophe.” Translated, bread lines are in our future absent help from Washington.

The problem here is that what Obama assumes is a logical impossibility. Economies, despite protests otherwise from economic thinkers on both sides of the political spectrum, never recess on their own. More realistically, if left alone, economies can only grow. That is the case because productive work effort is what constitutes economic growth, and given the human need for food and shelter, people will always work in order to insure the existence of both.

Read more…

Piper Jaffray Upgrades Energy Conversion Devices (ENER) to Buy

Piper Jaffray & Co. upgrades Energy Conversion Devices (Nasdaq: ENER) from Neutral to Buy and raised its price target $25 to $33, citing strength in Europe, U.S. legislation, and less pronounced ASP declines.

 
Piper analyst says, “We upgrade shares of ENER to BUY for three primary reasons: 1) greatest exposure to strength in France and Italy; 2) prime beneficiary of pending US federal/state legislation; and 3) ASP declines are less pronounced than anticipated.

Read more…

GM’s Pre-Congress Hail Mary… Cuts & Hikes (GM)

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) is doing almost whatever it can to get aggressive in cost cuts and streamlined operations ahead of its first post-bailout review next week.  Some of the cuts were known, and some are much greater than expected.
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Top Pre-Market Analyst Downgrades (CPST, HAYN, HNZ, OSIS, SBP, VECO)

burning-money-pic1These are some of the top pre-market analyst downgrades and negative research calls we have seen from Wall Street with more than two hours to open this Tuesday morning:

Capstone Turbine (CPST) Cut to Market Perform at Wachovia.

Haynes International (HAYN) Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; Cut to Hold at KeyBanc.

Hines (HNZ) Cut to Neutral at Credit Suisse.

OSI Systems (OSIS) Cut to Market Perform at Morgan Keegan.

Santander (SBP) Cut to Hold at Societe Generale.

Veeco Instruments (VECO) Cut to Hold at Citigroup.

Jon C. Ogg

February 10, 2009

Early Bird Analyst Upgrades (AXA, ENER, IFX, MAN, RTP, XTO)

money_stack_pic1These are some of the top pre-market analyst upgrades and positive calls we have seen this Tuesday morning with well over two hours until the market opens:

AXA (AXA) Started as Buy at Jefferies.
Energy Conversion Devices (ENER) Raised to Buy at Piper Jaffray.
Infineon (IFX) Raised to Hold at RBS.
Manpower (MAN) Raised to Neutral from Sell at Goldman Sachs.
Rio Tinto (RTP) Raised to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
XTO Energy (XTO) Raised to Outperform at RBC.

Jon C. Ogg
February 10, 2009