We have already seen the first wave of bank earnings, but the rest of the week is full of bank and financial earnings. In fact, the real bank earnings season is all taking place on Wednesday and Thursday of this week.
We have compiled basic earnings previews and shown Thomson Reuters estimates from the following: Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS); State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT); Bank Of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE: BK); U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB); Northern Trust Corporation (NASDAQ: NTRS); American Express Co. (NYSE: AXP); Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC); Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS); and Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE: COF).
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) is set to report earnings on Wednesday morning and the earnings estimates have been coming down more than just marginally ahead of the expected earnings report. It is no longer expected to have the name “Golden Slacks” attached as a nickname right now. The current target is $1.24 EPS on $6.54 billion in sales, but the earnings targets were above $2.00 EPS recently and the street expected almost $3.00 just about 90 days ago.
State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT) is set to report earnings on Wednesday morning and the consensus estimate for the trust and custodial bank is expected to rise about 8% to $0.94 EPS. Bank Of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE: BK) is set to report earnings on Wednesday morning and the earnings estimates are $0.53 EPS and $3.75 billion in revenues. We will be waiting to see if any of the charges to trust and custodial customers taking the cash holdings operations to a cost rather than as an interest bearing account will have made a difference. That seems to have gone away but it may have just been lost in the shuffle.
U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) is expected to report earnings on Wednesday morning. The estimates are $0.63 EPS on $4.76 billion in sales. Northern Trust Corporation (NASDAQ: NTRS) is also due Wednesday morning and estimates are $0.68 EPS and $972.3 million.
American Express Co. (NYSE: AXP) is due on Thursday after the close and earnings estimates are $0.98 EPS and $7.92 billion in sales. As with the rest of the lenders and credit cards, we expect to hear continued improvements in credit metrics regarding the customer base.
Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC) is due to report on Thursday morning. The most unpopular of the big ‘too big to fail’ money-center banks in America, has a consensus earnings estimate of $0.23 EPS on $24.08 billion in revenues. This has been the best DJIA stock so far in 2012 even including the last two trading sessions. It is a bit more than just interesting that earnings estimates have ratcheted higher over the last ten days when estimates elsewhere have been cut so much in banking. The huge discount to book value is again likely to be less material than in years passed.
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) is set to report on Thursday morning as well. Long gone is worrying about the relative book value and long gone is the comparison to Goldman Sachs. Estimates are for a loss at -$0.57 EPS and $5.57 billion in revenues.
Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE: COF) is due to report earning on Thursday and this is the credit card bank “for the rest of America.” The earnings report could be wildly far off of estimates because the bank is in the process of acquisitions which could greatly skew the headline numbers. A fresh SEC filing showed that monthly data showed a continued improvement in default rates and in late payments in December. The consensus estimate is $1.55 EPS and $4.08 billion in sales.
JON C. OGG