Posts related to ‘International Markets’

S&P Next International Bond Downgrade (BWX)

If you think that the credit issue and risk in sovereign debt is going away any time soon, you better think again.  A small under-covered downgrade today is something which should be reviewed by those who are concerned about international sovereign debt ratings.  It might seem odd that ratings of ETFs and funds might see the same sort of collateral risks seen elsewhere as if they are financial institutions.  Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services has lowered its fund credit quality rating on the SPDR Barclays Capital International Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: BWX).  This may sound irrelevant on the surface, but this is one of those calls that could have longer-term credit implications for all entities out there which have ties to weaker sovereign nations.

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S&P To Greece’s Rescue (NBG)

Standard & Poor’s may have just come to the rescue of Greece in a better or more clear manner than what the European nations have tried to do all along.  The ratings agency has just affirmed Greece’s “BBB/A-2″ ratings.  While the outlook is “Negative” the country is off of credit watch.  While it was not mentioned in the ratings call, the National Bank of Greece SA (NYSE: NBG) is reacting favorably as the proxy for the country.

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Asia Markets And Europe Open (3/12/2010)

Markets in Asia were mixed.

The Nikkei rose .8% to 10,751.

The Hang Seng was down .1% to 21,208.

The Shanghai Composite was down to 3,013

At the open in Europe, the FTSE rose .2% to 5,628. The Dax was higher by .2% to 5,943. The CAC was up .1% to 3,912.

Data from MarketWatch and Reuters.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Asia Markets And Europe Open (3/11/2010)

Markets in Asia were slightly higher.

The Nikkei rose 1% to 10,685. Sony (SNE) moved higher.

The Hang Seng was up .1% to 21,228.

The Shanghai Composite was up .6% to 3,051.

At the open in Europe, the FTSE was down .2% to 5,628. The Dax was off .3% to 5,921. The CAC 40 dropped .5% to 3,925.

Data from Reuters and MarketWatch.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Asia Markets And Europe Open (3/10/2010)

Msrkets in Asia were narrowly mixed.

The Nikkei rose a fraction to 10,564. Toyota (TM) fell.

The Hang Seng rose .1% to 21,219.

The Shanghai Composite was down 1% to 3,050.

At the open in Europe, the FTSE dropped .2% to 5,592. Barclays (BCS) fell. The DAX was off .2% 5,876. The CAC 40 fell .1% to 3,606.

Data from MarketWatch and Reuters.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Asia Markets And Europe Open (3/9/2010)

Markets in Asia were narrowly mixed.

The Nikkei fell .2% to 10,588.

The Hang Seng rose .1% to 21,208. China Life (LFC) rose.

The Shanghai Composite was higher by .5% to 3,069.

At the open in Europe, the FTSE as flat at 5,671 and the DAX was flat at 5,877. The CAC 40 rose .2% to 3,912.

Data from Reuters and MarketWatch.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Asia Markets And Europe Open (3/8/2010)

Stocks in Asia jumped.

The Nikkei was up 2.1% to 10,586.

The Hang Seng rose 2% to 21,197.

The Shanghai Composite was higher by .7% to 3,053.

At the open in Europe, the FTSE was up .2% to 5,611. BHP Billiton (BHP) rose. The DAX was higher by .2% to 5,889. The CAC 40 moved up .2% to 3,916.

Data from Reuters and MarketWatch.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Asia Markets And Europe Open (3/5/2010)

Markets in Asia were higher.

The Nikkei rose 2% to 10,348. Sony (SNE) rose sharply.

The Hang Seng was up .6% and the Shanghai Composite rose .1%.

Data from MarketWatch.

Douglas A. McIntyre

The Parthenon Is For Sale

The Parthenon was built in 432 BC. It is priceless. The site brings in a lot of tourist dollars, but it more than a source of capital; it is a national treasure like the Louvre.

A member of the German conservative CDU party, Marco Wanderwitz, said he wanted Greece to sell off some of its islands to help pay off the nation’s debt. Wanderwitz has never been known for the practicality of his thinking, but he is creative. Greece has very little to offer as collateral for the money it needs, and those who may buy its sovereign debt know it. There is no reason to put a lien on workers who do little but go out on strike.

Greece began selling $6.8 billion worth of sovereign bonds which mature in ten years. The paper will yield 6.35%, which is well above US Treasuries, but below the rates that Michael Milken was able to get for most of his corporate junk bond clients. The reasonable interest rate was a vote of confidence that Greece can reduce costs and bring in extra revenue to bring down its deficit which is currently 12.7% of GDP.

The debt offering was only the beginning of a very hard path that the Greek government will have to walk to refinance $34 billion in sovereign debt due in late May. The amount cannot be restructured without the help of the large financially stable governments of Europe, particularly Germany and France. German Chancellor Angela Merkel cannot supply Greece with capital or guarantees because almost every citizen of her country is against it. Germans, who spend so much of their time toiling in laboratories and factories, are understandably annoyed by television images of the Greeks sunning themselves or carrying placards as they stage labor protests in Athens.

The Greeks will not forgo their strikes for the same reason that the Italians will not stop changing governments. The spirit of anarchy and protest are deeply ingrained in the Greek people and that trait can not be exorcised. Greece will suffer more strikes and they will probably grow in size and frequency. The members of the national unions clearly believe that they are not to blame for the country’s problems and that the books of Greece will not be balanced with their wages.

A Greek debt default may be inevitable even if the central government agrees to austerity measures and attempts to deliver on them. Even though its debt may be restructured, this does not mean that the Greek government will pay this debt. The US government has spent a year restructuring the monthly payment terms of home loans to bring down an owner’s cost to stay in his house. Many of these people defaulted soon after their new arrangements are in place. Some do not have the discipline to stick to a household budget. Others never had the income to pay their mortgages, even at a reduced rate.

Greece probably is not able to collect enough taxes to cut its budget deficit no matter how much it would like to. The labor unrest will not go away, nor is there any reason that it should. The Greeks seem to have no more concern about the state of their country than the Germans do.

Greece could turn some of its treasures over to the Germans, or the Greek government could threaten to. That might get the attention of its citizens and make them finally understand that there is more at stake in the financial crisis than whether public workers get bonuses. Like the German embassy in Athens which sits on land which is officially owned for diplomatic purpose by the German government, the Parthenon could be annexed so that it sits on German soil as well. It would not have to be moved at all. It would just bear a small sign that says “Property of the German People”.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Greece To Raise 3 Billion-5 Billion Euros In Junk Debt, Maybe

Greece has decided to raise three billion to five billion euros through a 10-year bond. The country has hired several banks including Barclays (BCS) and HSBC (HBC) to handle the transaction.

The bonds have not been priced, and perhaps they never will be. Read More »

Asia Markets And Europe Open (3/4/2010)

Markets in Asia fell.

The Nikkei was down 1.1% to 10,146. Toyota (TM) moved up over 3%.

The Hang Seng was off 1.4% to 20,576. China Unicom (CHU) fell and HSBC (HBC) rose.

The Shanghai Composite dropped 2.4% to 3,023.

At the open in Europe, the FTSE was down .5% to 5,504. The Dax was down .8% to 5,774. The CAC 40 moved lower by .8% to 3,813. AB Inbev (BUD) fell.

Data from MarketWatch and Reuters.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Greek Stock Proxy: Austerity Plan Falls Short (NBG)

Every time there is news from Greece about its debt woes, the first place to look for a reaction on how it will play out for U.S. investors and traders it seems to be the ADRs of the National Bank of Greece SA (NYSE: NBG).  Today’s $6.5 billion austerity plan to raise VAT taxes, take more deficit monitoring measures, and to cut certain public servant salary hikes does not appear to be enough.  This is despite the notion that many EU markets and stocks were higher today.

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Greek Government Will Cut Another $6.5 Billion From Budget And Slashes Its Throat In The Process

Greece cut another $6.5 billion from its budget.

The country had little choice. It cannot sell bonds to offset financial obligation because of its deficit which is about 12% or GDP. Moreover, Greece is concerned that eurozone nations will not bail it out. Reuters reports that the plan will cut public sector bonuses by 30%. and freeze public pensions  Greece may also increase its VAT by two points to 21%.

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Asia Markets And Europe Open (3/3/2010)

Markets in Asia were mixed.

The Nikkei rose .3% to 10,253. Toyota (TM) surged.

The Hang Seng fell .1% to 20,877. China Mobile (CHL) fell. HSBC (HBC) rose.

The Shanghai Composite was up .8% to 3,097.

At the open in Europe, the FTSE was down .1% to 5,478. The Dax was down .1% to 5,768. The CAC40 fell .3% to 3,803.

Data from Reuters and MarketWatch.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Asia Market And Europe Open (3/2/2010)

Markets in Asia were mixed.

The Nikkei rose .5% to 10,222.

The Hang Seng was down .8% to 20,899. HSBC (NYSE:HBC) fell sharply.

The Shanghai Composite dropped .5% to 3,075.

At the open, the FTSE was up .3% to 5,424. The Dax rose .1% to 5,720. The CAC 40 was flat at 3,771.

Data from Reuters and MarketWatch.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Greek Prime Minister: The Devil Made Us Do It

The presumed causes for Greece’s deficit and current financial crisis number in the dozens. The most often mentioned are the spending habits of administrations prior to the current one, the way that Greeks have of not paying taxes, and the strength of the unions which object to any cut in the pay of a large part of the Greek population.

Prime Minister George Papandreou has come up with a new reason for Greece’s troubles and it is certainly among the most creative. He claims that corruption and the habit of prosecutors letting fraud and lawlessness continue unchecked has brought Greece to its knees.

“The crisis in our country is not limited to our fiscal problem. It is only the tip of the iceberg,” Papandreou said at a cabinet meeting according to Reuters. He must have been too busy raising money for his nation to have brought up the corruption problem before

Douglas A. McIntyre

China Cools Off

China’s manufacturing sector slowed more than expected in February. The nation’s Purchasing Managers’ Index dropped to 52 in February from 55.8 in January.

The culprit of the slowdown was a tightening of credit in China meant to slow inflation. That is at least what most economists say. But, it may not be true. Read More »

Asia Markets And Europe Open

Markets in Asia were higher.

The Nikkei rose .5% to 10,172. Toyota (TM) fell.

The Hang Seng was up 2.2% to 21,057. HSBC (HBC) moved higher.

The Shanghai Composite was up 1.2% to 3,088.

At the open, the FTSE was up .9% to 5,402. BP (BP) rose. The Dax was up 1.4% to 5,685 and the CAC 40 rose 1.3% to 3,758.

Data from Reuters and MarketWatch

Douglas A. McIntyre

The Unusual Suspects (BRK-B, CH, ECH, NBG, CRXX, COST, TM, F, RDY, MIL, PALM, SIRI)

This coming week we have many key issues coming front and center in our list of “Unusual Suspects.”  Some are ongoing issues with mergers and the waves of earnings reports seem to be quieting down considerably.  We had big news from Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK-B, BRK-B) this weekend and expect more coverage Monday on this.  We are also watching The Chile Fund Inc. (NYSE: CH), iShares MSCI Chile Investable Market Index (NYSE: ECH), and National Bank of Greece SA (NYSE: NBG) for international macroeconomic and social events.  We also have coming events this week in CombinatoRx, Incorporated (NASDAQ: CRXX), Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST), Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM) and Ford Motor (NYSE: F).  Other issues to watch closely this week are Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd. (NYSE: RDY), Millipore Inc. (NYSE: MIL), Palm Inc. (NASDAQ: PALM) and SIRIUS XM Radio Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI).

We have given some wide expectations, issues to watch, and background data on each stock for this coming week.

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Beware Of Greeks Bearing Bad News

EU economic inspectors and IMF officials have been in Greece to review the economic carnage. What they found was at the horrible end of a scale that ranges from good news to bad. Prime Minister George Papandreou told parliament ”The damage is incalculable. It is not only financial or fiscal but also affects the position of the state… Our duty today is to forget about the political cost and think only about the survival of our country.”

The bad news was compounded by a decision to delay a bond offering by the Greek government which was to raise $3 billion in much-needed money. Read More »