Posts related to ‘Uncategorized’

Soros Fund Holdings

Yesterday Soros Fund Management Filed a 13-F outlining the fund’s long portfolio as of September 30th, 2009.  The total value of the holdings reported in the filing is $6,198,089.  Twenty holdings represented roughly 50% of the value.  Soros Fund Management is a hedge fund management company that invests primarily based on macroeconomic analysis.  It should be noted that the fund’s equity portfolio likely contains significant short positions, which are not reported in 13-F filings.  Some of the positions in the filing may be in place as hedges or part of a multi-part trade, rather than a directional bet.  With that in mind, a glance at this firm’s major holdings provides clues to its macroeconomic outlook.  

Total stakes in Petroleo Brasileo Brasileiro (NYSE: PBR) represent 9.23% of the value of the positions reported in the filing, with just over 13 million shares held.  This is down from by 2.3 million from the fund’s last filing. Read More »

Exposing the Myths About China and the Yuan

By John Tamny of Forbes
 
“Money is nothing but a medium of exchange…” – Ludwig Von Mises, The Theory of Money and Credit, p. 31 By John Tamny
 
President Obama’s arrival in China has predictably generated all manner of commentary about the economic relationship between it and the United States. Not surprisingly, the majority of the commentary has been economically untrue, misguided, or both.
 
First up is the notion that China artificially keeps the value of the yuan lower than it would naturally be. What this commentary misses is that currencies aren’t commodities, rather they are concepts. Nothing else.

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Media Digest 11/17/2009 Reuters, WSJ, NYTimes, FT, Bloomberg

Reuters:   The head of GMAC quit.

Reuters:   Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) co-founder Paul Allen has cancer.

Reuters:   The Fed will keep rates low.

Reuters:   Lehman sued Barclays (NYSE:BCS) over a “wind fall” profit on assets. Read More »

Today’s Best Market Rumors (11/16/2009) (DVN)(NVDA)(C)(AAPL)

magazinUpdated throughout the day.

Updated 12.43 PM EST:  Apple may hire its own video game developers to create iPhone and iPod products  (Apple Insider)

Updated 11.57 AM EST:  Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN) may sell its international operations to interests in China  (NYT)

Central banks will be net purchasers of gold for the first time in decades  (CNBC)

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) wants to expand it wealth management operation (Investment News and Business Insider)

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) has started to complain about Intel’s (NYSE:INTC) just as the world’s largest chip company settled antitrust issues with AMD (NYSE:AMD)

Intel plans to release powerful new notebook chips in January. (Digitimes)

Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) will launch a Zune music and movies brand outside the US to try to challenge Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) in the mobile content business.  (FT)

JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) is trying to buy the 50% of management firm Cazenove Group that it does not already own for $1.7 billion.  (Bloomberg)

Citigroup (NYSE:C) has rejected Terra Firma Capital’s offer to restructure EMI Group. (WSJ).

Douglas A. McIntyre

Global Recovery Grows As France And Germany Rebound

uncle samGermany and France, the two largest economies in Europe posted modest third quarter GDP growth. Germany’s economy grew 0.7% in the period that ended September 30 and France announced a 0.3% improvement. In the second quarter, both countries had also reported a tiny up-tick in GDP.

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The Death of Birth Is Not a Worry

By John Tamny of Forbes

“For one particular car produced by an American manufacturer, for example, 30 percent of the car’s value is due to assembly in Korea, 17.5 percent due to components from Japan, 7.5 percent due to design from Germany, 4 percent due to parts from Taiwan and Singapore, 2.5 percent due to advertizing and marketing services from Britain, and 1.5 percent due to data processing from in Ireland. In the end, 37 percent of the production value of this American car comes from the United States.”~Douglas A. Irwin, Free Trade Under Fire
 
With birthrates falling in wealthy nations, there’s a growing perception that those countries face a somewhat darker economic future for their perceived child deficits. The thinking is that with less people working and producing, countries with falling populations will see economic output drop due to a lack of young, able-bodied workers.

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The Twenty-Five Most Valuable Blogs In America

uncle sam

It has been nearly a year since 24/7 Wall St. did its latest edition of the Twenty Five Most Valuable Blogs. Valuations have moved up significantly since then. Advertising CPMs have improved markedly since the beginning of this year. A number of the largest blogs on our list have larger audiences than they did a year ago.

All of the blogs analyzed here are private companies. Blogs owned by larger firms are not measured.  Blogs used primarily as fronts for other businesses have also been excluded. Some of the blogs on the list have raised VC money and those sums can be used as guidelines if they are disclosed. The only worthwhile value is what an acquirer will pay, so any estimate needs to take into account the value the blog may have to an outside buyer. Several blogs from earlier versions of this list were sold, among them Ars Technica and PaidContent. Some of the largest blogs based on audience measurements do not have significant revenue and are also excluded.  For instance, “The Daily Beast”, a large news commentary site controlled by IACI, takes almost no advertising. In theory, it has little if any economic value at all. Read More »

If Obama Is So Bad, Why Are the Markets Up?

John Tamny , Forbes

Recently the Dow Jones Industrial Average passed the psychologically significant 10,000 mark. This is an impressive feat for an index that was trading in the 6,000 range less than nine months ago.

While naysayers would correctly point out that the Dow remains flat compared to 10 years ago, the run-up since last spring can’t be dismissed out of hand. This is particularly true when we consider policies coming out of Washington that seem inimical to stock market and economic health.

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Top 10 Grossing Apple (AAPL) Apps

Apple recently started publishing a list of the top grossing applications in its App Store. Since its inception the App Store has posted over 2 billion downloads. The App Store effectively operates like a consignment shop. Apple keeps a third of the price of any application sold in the App Store, while the developer gets the rest. Apple does not disclose how much revenue it derives from App Store sales, but we can bet that the lion’s share of revenue comes from the top 100 grossing applications. Below is a description of the top ten grossing applications sold in the App Store, along with a description of their developer.

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Best Buy (BBY) Launches Movie Download Service

Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) wants to join the legion of other firms with branded movie download services, although it is not clear why. A number of media sources say that the program will be announced on November 3rd, and will start operating within a few weeks.

The electronics retailer is turning to Sonic Solutions’ Roxio CinemaNow operation to provide the titles. CinemaNow is one of the original providers of online films and has 20,000 available titles, although the company was never successful. Software embedded in Best Buy’s TVs and other consumer electronics products will enable the service to work.

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GMAC’s Lifeline Is the Economy’s Noose

By John Tamny

The 18th century French writer Voltaire once observed that the State is “a device for taking money out of one set of pockets and putting it into another.” Voltaire elegantly distilled what we’re witnessing right now as Washington seeks to prop up what private investors won’t: the redistribution of limited capital from the productive to the unproductive. “Stimulus” this is not.
 
Though economic logic tells us that GMAC should never have received even one dollar of federal largesse, if the planned handout of an additional $5.6 billion is approved by Treasury, GMAC will be the unworthy recipient of $17 billion of taxpayer funds. The latest GMAC lifeline is being defended as a way to revive carmakers GM and Chrysler, which politicians see as important to the health of the U.S. economy.

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Ben Bernanke Is a Walking Economic Fallacy

By John Tamny of Forbes
The great economist Henry Hazlitt once observed that “Economics is haunted by more fallacies than any other study known to man.” Were Hazlitt alive today, he surely would have a field day addressing the numerous economic fallacies offered up by our very own Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke.
From his frequent assertions that economic growth is the cause of inflation, to his support of spending “stimulus” as though wealth redistribution actually drives economic activity, to his belief that simple money creation enhances the economy, it’s fair to say that the world’s most powerful central banker buys into a quite a few of these fallacies. Historians will write volumes on former President George W. Bush’s biggest mistakes in office, and while the left and right will have plenty to work with, it’s likely that for some at least, Bush’s appointment of Bernanke will loom large.

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24/7 WallSt TV: Kraft (KFT) Does Its Shareholders No Favor: Gets Hostile With Cadbury

24/7 WallSt TVThe efforts of Cadbury’s board to keep the company out of the clutches of Kraft (NYSE:KFT) will likely fail because no second bidder has emerged. The Times says that Kraft will make a hostile bid for the UK-based company toward the end of this week. The offer is likely to be at little or no premium to the price at which Cadbury trades now.

Kraft shareholders have every reason to resent the company’s plans to buy Cadbury. The British company is already doing well financially and there is absolutely no reason for Kraft to believe that it can add anything to that performance beyond a one-time set of cost cuts. Read More »

Exxon Mobil, The Great Earnings Bust (XOM)

Exxon LogoIf you think oil companies make too much money regardless of what the numbers are, you might consider looking at just how sensitive the companies are to the price of oil.  The 2009 vs. 2008 earnings and almost all figure look like night and day.  Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) is out with $4.73 billion earnings for the quarter, which is a disappointment and is down about 68% from a year ago.  Gone are the $100 billion revenue days, but Big Oil reported its Q3 earnings of $0.98 EPS on $82.26 billion in revenues.  These figures are down from $2.85 EPS and $137.7 billion in revenues from a year ago.  Thomson Reuters had estimates pegged at $1.03 EPS and $79.29 billion in revenues.  The metrics get worse from there on most fronts.
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Desperately Seeking Bruce Bartlett

By John Tamny

In his brilliant 1981 book Reaganomics, economist Bruce Bartlett observed that “to the Keynesians, all tax cuts are the same.” Seeking to show why that was not the case, Bartlett took readers on a masterful ride through tax policy in the 20th century.
 
As Bartlett put it, the “individual entrepreneur is still the basic motivating force in the economy ” and any “measures which suppress entrepreneurship will ultimately cause the economy to stagnate.” With the top tax rate at the nosebleed level of 71 percent at the time of the book’s publication, Bartlett’s cure was among other things lower taxes in order to reduce the cost of innovation.

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The Twenty Companies That Wall St. Can Trust The Least

Wall St. likes financial statements that give it deep insights into a company’s operations, especially its liabilities. It likes boards that make sure shareholders get as complete a picture as possible of a firm’s balance sheet and details of its P&L, cash-flow, and other critical financial measurements.

bear24/7 Wall St. asked Audit Integrity to put together a list of companies traded on US exchanges with market caps of more than $3 billion that do particularly poorly in the areas  of corporate governance, detailed disclosure of high-risk events including M&A and restructurings, revenue and expense recognition, and asset and liability valuation.

Based on the Audit Integrity model, 24/7 created a list of the twenty companies that Wall St. can trust the least.  Among the companies that the analysis flagged are Altria (NYSE:MO), Chevron (NYSE:CVX), Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS), GE (NYSE:GE), Blackstone (NYSE:BX), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT),  Wells Fargo (NYSE:WMT), and Dow Chemical (NYSE:DOW)

The list:

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The Impressive Absurdity of Insider Trading Rules

by John Tamny of Forbes

In the past week reports about alleged “insider trading” on the part of billionaire Galleon Group founder Raj Rajaratnam have been splashed all over the pages of major financial publications. But amid all the overdone hysteria, one question remains unposed: Is any of this actually news?

Never mind that the empowerment of federal bureaucracies to regulate the stock markets is unconstitutional (nowhere does the Constitution grant such a right to the federal government)–the simple truth is that neither the Securities and Exchange Commission, Congress nor the courts have ever really been able to define insider trading. That’s the case because it’s nearly impossible to distinguish between material and non-material information.

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The Twenty Companies Wall St. Can Trust The Most

uncle sam24/7 Wall St. asked Audit Integrity to screen  companies with market caps of more than $3 billion to create a list of the firms that use the most transparent and conservative accounting programs and have ”best of class” corporate governance and management. This data is based on the The Audit Integrity Accounting and Governance Risk rating which is a forensic measure of the clarity and statistical reliability of a corporation’s financial reporting and governance practices. To create this data Audit Integrity applies over 100 accounting and governance metrics to a company’s publicly filed information.

After reviewing this data, 24/7 created a list of The Twenty Companies Wall St. Can Trust The Most. The firms are ranked based on their Accounting and Governance Risk scores.

The list represents companies that have practices which should be emulated by every public company that wishes to serve the needs of its shareholders by presenting accurate financial data and providing conservative management of shareholder’s investments.

The Twenty Companies Wall St. Can Trust The Most:

 

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Bank Failures Hit 106, Could Go As High As 1,000

According to information provided by the FDIC, seven more banks failed yesterday, bringing the total to 106 for the year, the most since 1992.  Three of the banks were in Florida.

The number could go much higher. RBC Capital Markets has estimated that more than 1,000 banks will fail over the next three to five years.

In September, the FDIC said it had run out of money and proposed that banks pre-pay their fees to the agency that would be

Paul Krugman, and the Middle-Class Champion Myth

By John Tamny

In a world full of paradoxes, Princeton economics professor and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman has become rich decrying what he deems “income inequality.” Only in America could an individual denounce the wealth gap while becoming the very person he denounces.
 
In that sense, it may be that polar opposites Karl Marx and Joseph Schumpeter were right: capitalism is seemingly its own worst enemy. In rich societies, commentators can become wealthy while trashing wealth creation.

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