Commodities & Metals

Buybacks Might Not Save Monsanto Earnings

Corn Field
Source: Thinkstock
Monsanto Co. (NYSE: MON) reported fourth-quarter and fiscal 2014 results before markets opened Wednesday. The fertilizer and seed maker reported an adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) loss of $0.27 on revenue of $2.63 billion. In the same period a year ago, Monsanto reported an adjusted diluted EPS loss of $0.47 on revenue of $2.2 billion. Fourth-quarter results also compare to the Thomson Reuters consensus estimates for an EPS loss of $0.24 and $2.42 billion in revenue.

For the full year, Monsanto posted EPS of $5.23 on revenues of $15.86. Consensus estimates called for EPS of $5.21 on revenues of $15.68 billion. For the prior fiscal year Monsanto posted EPS of $4.56 on revenues of $14.86 billion.

Monsanto guided fiscal year 2015 EPS to a range of $5.75 to $6.00 “despite continued industry headwinds and an increase in investments to unlock future growth.” The company projects free cash flow of $2.0 billion to $2.2 billion and net cash from operating activities in the range of $3.2 billion to $3.6 billion.

The company also said that its first-quarter 2015 earnings will be roughly half the size of the comparable period last year. The drop is attributed to a change Monsanto’s full-year earnings pattern, where first-quarter earnings getting smaller and growth getting concentrated in the third-quarter. Second- and fourth-quarter earnings are expected to be approximately equal to last year’s totals. Monsanto expects a “significant uptick in third-quarter earnings reflecting timing shifts and business growth in its largest markets.”

The current consensus EPS estimate for the first quarter is $0.79, compared with $0.67 a year ago. Taking Monsanto’s new guidance, we should expect first-quarter earnings of around $0.33 a share. The current consensus full-year estimate for 2015 is $6.03, slightly above the top end of Monsanto’s estimated range.

Monsanto also spent $7.1 billion on share buybacks during the past year:

In fiscal year 2014, the company used its free cash flow position to return cash to shareowners through buybacks and dividends, including the completion of the company’s $2 billion share repurchase authorization. In June, the company announced a new $10 billion share repurchase authorization, inclusive of a $6 billion accelerated buyback program.

As promised, the company spent about $6.1 billion on share buybacks in the fourth quarter.

Monsanto’s shares were up about 0.3% in premarket trading Wednesday, at $108.50 in a 52-week range of $102.88 to $128.79. Thomson Reuters had a consensus analyst price target of around $138.20 before the report.

ALSO READ: 8 Stocks That Analysts Think Will Double

Sponsored: Find a Qualified Financial Advisor

Finding a qualified financial advisor doesn’t have to be hard. SmartAsset’s free tool matches you with up to 3 fiduciary financial advisors in your area in 5 minutes. Each advisor has been vetted by SmartAsset and is held to a fiduciary standard to act in your best interests. If you’re ready to be matched with local advisors that can help you achieve your financial goals, get started now.

Thank you for reading! Have some feedback for us?
Contact the 24/7 Wall St. editorial team.