Companies and Brands

Analyst Boosts Green Mountain Targets After Poor Earnings Reaction

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. (NASDAQ: GMCR) may be getting roasted after its earnings report, but at least one analyst is viewing the news with some favor. Scott Van Winkle of Canaccord Genuity has reiterated his Buy rating on Green Mountain, but he also raised the price target to $54 from $45 this morning.

Van Winkle believes that new strategies are coming into focus and he is looking for several years of strong revenue and earnings growth from rising penetration of Keurig single-cup coffee makers in North American households. He called the earnings report one with strong upside to his targets and above consensus earnings estimates, but he did note in-line sales and significant margin expansion. Brewer units and sales materially exceeded his own estimates and the outlook is right in line with Van Winkle’s forecast.

K-cup unit sales were basically in-line with his forecast, and the soft revenue was due to an unanticipated product mix shift. The firm believes that Green Mountain’s new CEO has now set the stage for where he will take the company, and the quality of the data provided is expected to continue to increase with better brewer sales and margin growth. With the stock trading under $45 after the report, Green Mountain trades at about 15 times 2013 earnings and 7.5 times expected EBITDA. Van Winkle believes that a 15 P/E ratio is now the base valuation, and he is targeting the $54 objective at about 17.5 times the firm’s 2014 earnings estimate.

For whatever this is worth, Stifel Nicolaus is not expecting forward growth to improve very much.

Green Mountain shares are down 8% at $45.03, and after just over 90 minutes since the open, we have seen more than 8.4 million shares trade hands. The 52-week trading range is $17.11 to $71.15.

Sponsored: Attention Savvy Investors: Speak to 3 Financial Experts – FREE

Ever wanted an extra set of eyes on an investment you’re considering? Now you can speak with up to 3 financial experts in your area for FREE. By simply
clicking here
you can begin to match with financial professionals who can help guide you through the financial decisions you’re making. And the best part? The first conversation with them is free.


Click here
to match with up to 3 financial pros who would be excited to help you make financial decisions.

Thank you for reading! Have some feedback for us?
Contact the 24/7 Wall St. editorial team.