New Home Sales Decline 2% in October

November 23, 2016 by Paul Ausick

The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development reported Wednesday morning that sales of new homes in October slipped to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 563,000, a decrease of 1.9% below the revised September rate of 574,000 and an increase of 17.8% compared with the October 2015 rate of 478,000. The consensus estimate from a survey of economists expected a rate of around 601,000.

The September rate was revised downward by 19,000. The consensus estimate called for sales of 590,000.

At the peak in 2005, new home sales posted a seasonally adjusted annual rate of nearly 1.4 million.

The Census Bureau also reported that the median sales price for new homes sold in September dipped by $9,000 from $313,500 in September to $304,500, and the average sales price fell by $22,800 to $354,900. At the end of October the number of new homes for sale totaled 246,000 and represented a supply of 5.2 months at the current sales rate.

In October, 49% of the estimated 45,000 monthly sales were sales for homes priced at less than $300,000. The percentage is 6 points higher than the September rate. Sales of homes priced between $300,000 and $399,999 fell by 1 point to 27% of all sales. Sales of homes in the range of $400,000 to $499,999 fell from 13% to 11%, and sales slipped from 11% to 9% for homes sold in a range of $500,000 to $749,999. Home sales for properties priced above $750,000 accounted for 4% of all new home sales in October, up 1 point from the September rate.

Rising interest rates following the elections had no effect, of course, on October sales or prices, but now that mortgage interest rates have parked above 4% for a week there is likely to be some effect on November sales, even though rates remain near historic lows.

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