Stock Tickers: LVLT, MO, GS, RSH, AMGN, YHOO, AMZN, GILD, LEH, UTSI, BBBY, RAD, SVNT, NYX, AAPL, CSCO, HAL, SLB, LUV, BUD, DEO, HIG, DOW, ROH, COP, DO, GD, PAYX, PEP, TSM.
So we are now past Q1, and it’s time to see how the pundits did out of the "Top Picks for 2007". On a dividend and price adjusted basis, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down roughly 1% for the quarter; the NASDAQ was up less than 1%; and the S&P 500 was up just marginally above flat. So, this wasn’t exactly a barn stormer of a quarter.
Jim Cramer is a man that has to take a lot of heat from critics, but out of his 9 picks 7 of them are up on the year as of Friday’s close.
Smart Money Magazine actually has the most impressive line-up of stockpicks for 2007: 10 out of its 11 stock picks are UP for the year so far.
Fortune actually was a coin toss as its picks are half up and halfdown. They do actually have the "BEST PICK" though as RadioShack (RSH)is up more than $10.00, or about 62%.
All in all, there are no real blow-ups in ths "2007 Stock Picks" fromany of the major pundits. The single worst pick was in Forbes’ WilliamBlair analyst call where Amgen (AMGN) keeps putting new yearly lowsalmost daily.
| Ticker | 12/29/2006 | 3/30/2007 | UP/DN |
| Forbes (William Blair Analyst) | |||
| AMGN | $ 68.31 | $ 55.88 | DN |
| GILD | $ 64.93 | $ 76.65 | UP |
| PAYX | $ 39.33 | $ 37.87 | DN |
| PEP | $ 62.25 | $ 63.56 | UP |
| TSM | $ 10.93 | $ 10.75 | DN |
| Fortune Magazine | |||
| AIG | $ 71.48 | $ 67.22 | DN |
| MO | $ 84.97 | $ 87.81 | UP |
| COP | $ 71.51 | $ 68.35 | DN |
| DO | $ 76.07 | $ 80.95 | UP |
| GD | $ 74.14 | $ 76.40 | UP |
| JOYG | $ 48.18 | $ 42.90 | DN |
| MSFT | $ 29.76 | $ 27.87 | DN |
| JPM | $ 47.96 | $ 48.38 | UP |
| RSH | $ 16.78 | $ 27.03 | UP |
| LUV | $ 15.32 | $ 14.70 | DN |
| Smart Money Magazine | |||
| DOW | $ 39.58 | $ 45.86 | UP |
| ROH | $ 50.81 | $ 51.72 | UP |
| YHOO | $ 25.54 | $ 31.29 | UP |
| AMZN | $ 39.46 | $ 39.79 | UP |
| HIG | $ 92.83 | $ 95.58 | UP |
| DEO | $ 78.30 | $ 80.95 | UP |
| BUD | $ 48.91 | $ 50.46 | UP |
| GS | $ 199.02 | $ 206.63 | UP |
| LEH | $ 77.98 | $ 70.07 | DN |
| CHL | $ 43.22 | $ 44.85 | UP |
| CCH | $ 39.60 | $ 42.03 | UP |
| NEWSLETTER ADVISORS: | |||
| Louis Navallier | |||
| SLB | $ 62.99 | $ 69.10 | UP |
| Tom Gardner | |||
| BBBY | $ 38.10 | $ 40.17 | UP |
| Bernie Schaeffer | |||
| UTSI | $ 8.75 | $ 8.29 | DN |
| Jim Cramer’s 2007 Picks: | |||
| Speculative Picks | |||
| LVLT | $ 5.60 | $ 6.10 | UP |
| RAD | $ 5.44 | $ 5.77 | UP |
| SVNT | $ 11.21 | $ 12.02 | UP |
| Growth Picks: | |||
| NYX | $ 97.20 | $ 93.75 | DN |
| AAPL | $ 84.84 | $ 92.91 | UP |
| CSCO | $ 27.33 | $ 25.53 | DN |
| Value Picks: | |||
| MO | $ 84.97 | $ 87.81 | UP |
| GS | $ 199.02 | $ 206.63 | UP |
| HAL | $ 30.98 | $ 31.74 | UP |
Since we are only one quarter into the year, we only listed these as"UP" or "DOWN" rather than show the percentage gains and losses. It issort of like looking at baseball player batting averages after thefirst week of the season in that there is nowhere near enough time toeven bother making examples that will hold up a year out.
Jon C. Ogg
April 2, 2007
Jon Ogg can be reached at [email protected]; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.
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