Weekly Jobless Claims Head Very Much The Wrong Way

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The US Labor Department’s reading on weekly jobless claims rose by 24,000 to 399,000 and there was a revised higher figure. The prior week’s 373,000 was revised higher to 375,000.  Some of the claims here are obviously seasonal, but this is a step in the wrong direction after weeks and weeks of improvements showing that the figures were coming in well under the 400,000 mark.  Bloomberg was expecting a reading of 375,000.

The four-week moving average of weekly claims aims to smooth out the weekly swings and that figure rose by 7,750 to 381,750.

Also on the rise, with a one-week lag, was the army of unemployed measured by the continuing jobless claims and that rose by a sum of 19,000 claims to 3,628,000.

Today’s news was a move in the wrong direction, even if some cyclical theme can be attributed here.  We had been getting more and more used to weeks of sub-400,000 and this gets almost back to that level.

JON C. OGG

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