The unofficial closing bells put the DJIA up more than 89 points to 13,090.95 (0.69%), the NASDAQ rose more than 68 points (2.3%) to 3,029.63, and the S&P 500 rose 1.37% or nearly 19 points to 1,390.70.

There were several analyst upgrades and downgrades today, including Apple raised to ‘outperform’ at Scotia and maintained ‘buy’ with a target price of $775 at Canaccord Genuity; J.C. Penney Co. Inc. (NYSE: JCP) raised to ‘market perform’ at BMO; McDonald’s Corp. (NYSE: MCD) cut to ‘hold’ at Argus; Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) started as ‘buy’ at Citigroup; Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) cut to ‘hold’ at Argus; and Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) raised to ‘buy’ at Deutsche Bank.

Earnings reports since markets closed last night have led to some price changes as of the last half hour of trading today: Apple is up 8.9% at $610.02 (our coverage here); Anixter International Inc. (NYSE: AXE) is down -4% at $66.76; Edwards Lifesciences Corp. (NYSE: EW) is up 11.5% at $81.74; Juniper Networks Inc. (NYSE: JNPR) is down -4% at $20.78; Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC) is up 3.6% at $72.77; Newfield Exploration Co. (NYSE: NFX) is up 5.2% at $35.47; AutoNation Inc. (NYSE: AN) is down -0.9% at $33.27; Clayton Williams Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: CWEI) is up 1.6% at $76.45; Corning Inc. (NYSE: GLW) is up 6.7% at $14.25; Harley-Davidson Inc. (NYSE: HOG) is up 6.1% at $53.45 after posting a new 52-week high of $53.98 earlier today; Lithia Motors Inc. (NYSE: LAD) is up 7.4% at $26.84; and US Airways Group Inc. (NYSE: LCC) is up 2.5% at $9.55 (more coverage here).

Other standouts from today include the following stocks:

Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) is down -4.5% at $103.55. The heavy equipment maker reported declining sales in China as growth in the country has slowed, which led to the sell-off today.

CNH Global NV (NYSE: CNH) is up 3.6% at $45.66. The farm equipment maker beat EPS estimates by almost 50% and sales were also higher.

Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) is up 5.3% at $77.06. The aircraft maker reported solid earnings and revenues this morning. More coverage here.

Stay tuned for Thursday. We have noted the following events on the schedule (all times Eastern):

• 8:30 a.m. – New unemployment benefits claims
• 8:30 a.m. – Chicago Fed national activity index
• 10:00 a.m. – Pending home sales index
• 10:30 a.m. – EIA weekly natural gas storage report
• 11:00 a.m. – Kansas City Fed manufacturing index
• 1:00 p.m. – 7-year note auction
• 4:30 p.m. – Federal Reserve balance sheet and money supply

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Paul Ausick

The company is taking advantage of the burst of new car sales in the first quarter. US sales have jumped to an annual rate of 14.5 million new cars. Total retail sales for all US auto dealerships rose 7% in the first quarter, while AutoNation’s sales of new cars rose 10%. Other national auto dealers, like America’s CarMart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) and CarMax Inc. (NYSE: KMX) primarily sell used cars.

AutoNation’s unit sales in the first quarter rose 13% year-over-year, up 16% in domestic models, 6% in imports, and 14% in luxury models. The domestic category includes vehicles built by Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM), and Chrysler. The import category includes vehicles from Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM), Honda Motor Corp. (NYSE: HMC), and Nissan Motor Corp. (OTC: NSANY.PK). Luxury models includes cars from Mercedes, BMW, and Toyota’s Lexus brand.

AutoNation could be positioned better going forward than its used car rivals CarMax and America’s CarMart, both of which attracted more cash-strapped buyers during the recession. But used car inventories are falling, prices are rising, and new car dealers are pricing their trade-ins more agressively.

AutoNation shares are up only 0.22% in pre-market trading this morning, at $33.65 in a 52-week range of $30.46-$41.55.

Paul Ausick

Apollo Group Inc. (NASDAQ: APOL) Reiterated Buy and raised price target to $63 from $55 at Argus.
ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ: ASML) Raised target at Credit Suisse.
AutoNation Inc. (NYSE: AN) Started as Neutral at Stern Agee.
Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC) Cut to Underperform from Neutral at Zacks (late Monday call).
Choice Hotels (NYSE: CHH) Cut to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
Gulfmark Offshore, Inc. (NYSE: GLF) Started as Outperform at Credit Suisse.
HSN, Inc. (NASDAQ: HSNI) Started as Buy at Stifel Nicolaus.
ICICI Bank Ltd. (NYSE: IBN) Cut to Underperform as Bear of the Day at Zacks.
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) maintained as the top tech/semi pick for 2012 from Credit Suisse.
Macy’s Inc. (NYSE: M) Reiterated Outperform and raised target to $36 from $32 at Credit Suisse.
Motorola Mobility Holdings Inc. (NYSE: MMI) Maintained Sell at Argus.
Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) Cut to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/ML.
Overseas Shipholding Group Inc. (NYSE: OSG) Cut to Market Perform at Wells Fargo.
Republic Services, Inc. (NYSE: RSG) Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan.
Ryder System, Inc. (NYSE: R) named as value stock of the day at Zacks.
SM Energy Co. (NYSE: SM) Maintained Outperform as Bull of the Day at Zacks.
Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) Reiterated Buy and raised estimates at Argus.
Tidewater Inc. (NYSE: TDW) Started as Neutral at Credit Suisse.
The Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS) Cut to Equal-weight at Barclays.
Xerox Corporation (NYSE: XRX) Cut to Equal-weight at Barclays.

If you enjoyed the Top Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades, you can sign up in the box below to join our morning email list to receive news directly in your inbox each morning. We also include major IPO’s and M&A, special situation developments, observations on Warren Buffett and key market gurus, as well as special exclusive feature stories.

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JON C. OGG

GM and Ford have both had median target prices lowered in the past month, and GM stock is trading down more than -7% today compared to its price on November 9th. GM’s median target price is now $33.00, and at today’s price of $21.28, the potential upside is 55%. Ford’s median target price is $15.00, and at today’s price of $11.04, its implied gain is nearly 36%. Battery fires in the Chevy Volt have weighed on GM shares, and Ford is being weighed down by uncertainty about a successor to its current CEO. Ford did reinstate a $0.05/share dividend recently, which gave the shares a bit of a boost.

If US sales rise as predicted in December, the potential upsides to these two stocks could close quickly. Toyota today lowered its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending in March by more than 50%, citing supply problems due to the floods in Thailand. If there are buyers out there, GM and Ford could benefit from Toyota’s continuing troubles.

The car rental firms are all trading lower today than they were a month ago, and the implied gains for Hertz, Avis, and Zipcar are all above 80%. It might be best to think of those as signs of further deterioration in share prices and targets rather than any sort of implied upside.

The best performers have been the dealers. AutoNation has burst through its target price, and CarMax and America’s Car-Mart both have had their target prices raised in the past month. CarMax has the highest implied upside of the three, at 11%, while America’s Car-Mart’s potential upside is about 3%. Recent strength among these dealers should continue through this month, and this looks the one sector of the auto-related industry that stands to gain the most.

The parts stores have also performed well, with O’Reilly also busting through its median target price of $80 and posting a new 52-week high today at $81.24. AutoZone posted weak earnings earlier this week, which has pushed the share price down. But the company’s implied upside to a raised target price of $360.00 is about 9%. The Pep Boys have an implied upside of about 45%, based on a target price of $16.00 and current share price of $11.00. The company’s recent weak earnings report could indicate that the target price needs to come down, not that the share price is on its way up.

The search for a value play among these stocks would probably point to either GM or Ford, both of which appear to be undervalued and to be poised on the verge of a very good sales month. While the dealers and the parts stores have performed better recently, these stocks are pretty fully valued now. The implied gains of greater than 80% among the rental car companies is not a hopeful sign.

Paul Ausick

Jackson noted that trucks were still 53% of the business.  As far as the hype and hope of hybrid and electric vehicles, there is a lot more talk than there is reality.  He noted, “Yes, interest is extremely high… lots of conversations… 70% of our customers like to talk about hybrids.  But, I have news for everybody at the end of the day it is about price.  And consumers aren’t going to pay the price premium for electric vehicles and hybrids, even with the government subsidies.”

To show just how little of the business is really migrating, Jackson said that of that 70% of customers having an interest in hybrids, only about 2.5% of the customers actually buy the hybrids or electric vehicles.

On the Chevy Volt from General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM), Jackson called it a technical marvel and he said people like to drive it.  Unfortunately, he went on to note, “Customers say, ‘I will take a Chevy cruiser at 42 MPG and at half the price.’” He even noted that these vehicles often have $7,500 of subsidy in them, or $10,000 in California, so if you take out the subsidy there is nothing happening there.

Mr. Jackson ended by noting that prices of hybrid and electric vehicles will have to come down dramatically and at the end of the day.  He even threw in the price point argument by saying that Americans are very practical and going to weigh what they save at the pump through time versus the higher up-front costs of these vehicles.

The question we would ask our readers is “What does this say about the world of hybrid and electric vehicles versus gas guzzlers?”  It is probably not time to go out and short sell those oil companies any time soon.

The full CNBC video interview is here, and it discusses much more than just hybrid and electric vehicles.

JON C. OGG

Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) Cut to Market Perform at BMO.
AutoNation Inc. (NYSE: AN) Raised to Neutral at Goldman Sachs.
Boston Properties Inc. (NYSE: BXP) Maintained Buy but cut target to $105 from $120 at Argus.
Cree Inc. (NASDAQ: CREE) Maintained Buy with $33 target at Canaccord Genuity.
Dole Food Co. Inc. (NYSE: DOLE) Cut to Underperform with $9 target at BofA/ML.
Garmin, Ltd. (NASDAQ: GRMN) reiterated Outperform as Bull of the Day at Zacks.
Gilead Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ: GILD) Raised to Outperform at BMO; Raised to Buy at Citigroup (late-Monday).
Hartford Financial Services Group (NYSE: HIG) Cut to Underperform as Bear of the Day at Zacks.
Harman International Industries Inc. (NYSE: HAR) named as Value stock of the day at Zacks.
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) Started as Hold at ThinkEquity.
Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) Re-initiated as Sell with $60 target at Canaccord Genuity.
Pharmasset, Inc. (NASDAQ: VRUS) downgraded by Wells Fargo, UBS, Canaccord Genuity, Leerink Swann, and Citigroup after super-premium buyout.
Tyson Foods, Inc. (NYSE: TSN) Reiterated Buy at BofA/ML.
Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ: WYNN) Cut to Neutral at Janney Capital.
YUM! Brands, Inc. (NYSE: YUM) added to U.S. Focus List at Credit Suisse.

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JON C. OGG

The automakers, General Motors and Ford, have remained essentially flat. GM’s report earlier today beat consensus estimates, but the outlook for the rest of the fourth quarter was lowered. If GM’s forecast comes true, the company could miss fourth quarter EPS estimates by as much as $0.50. The company earns profits only a bit better than Ford’s on sales that are about 10% higher. That means there are still costs to wring out of GM’s manufacturing. And the company’s China sales are not growing at the pace they were a year ago either.

GM’s target price remains at $42.00, which implies an 83% upside potential. Ford’s target price also remained the same, at $16, for an implied gain of 43% above today’s price. Neither target price is realistic in today’s economy.

Among the car rental companies, both Avis and Zipcar have had target prices cuts. Avis now has a target price of $24.50, down from $27 on October 20th. The potential upside has dropped from 133% to 87%.

The current share prices at Hertz and Avis are 12% and 13% higher, respectively, than they were on October 20th. Hertz’s implied gain at today’s stock price is 81%, and Avis’s is 87%. It is impossible to imagine a scenario in which either company makes a gain of that size. Far more likely are further target price cuts.

At Zipcar, the target price has dropped from $31.25 to $30.50, and upside potential has fallen from 80% to a shade above 70%. The company’s forward P/E also fell from an outrageous 273 to a more modest 149. Maybe someday the number will return to reality. Until then, target price cuts could be expected.

Among the auto dealerships, AutoNation got a boost to its median target price, from $32 to $32.50. The stock is trading today at $34.43, about 6% above its target price. But it’s share price is down from $37.06, a drop of about -7%. AutoNation reported a 6% sales gain year-over-year in October, with the biggest gain in its luxury car sales, which were up 27%.

Both CarMax and Car-Mart are trading higher than they were on October 20th, but there has been no change to the target price for either company. Car-Mart’s current price is only 11% below its target price, setting the stage for a boost if the company posts good numbers at its earnings report next week.

The largest change in the auto sector stocks we covered in October came in the parts suppliers group. O’Reilly’s median target price was raised from $68 to $80, and the shares are trading today at $77.74, a scant 3% below the new target. Shares posted a new high today at $77.94, on a day when the markets are down more than -2%.

Neither AutoZone nor Pep Boys was able to match that, as both have put up new 52-week lows since our October report.

All data from Yahoo! Finance and current prices were gathered at about noon today.

Paul Ausick

AutoNation Inc. (NYSE: AN) 38.1% year-to-date; caution: at $38.94 the consensus price target is $31.28.

Ross Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: ROST) 38.7% year-to-date; caution: at $87.73 the consensus price target is $85.00.

Limited Brands, Inc. (NYSE: LTD) 39.0% year-to-date; at $42.71 the consensus price target is $44.71.

Goodrich Corporation (NYSE: GR) 39.2% year-to-date; This is being acquired, so no color.

Tesoro Corporation (NYSE:TSO) 39.9% year-to-date; at $25.94 the consensus price target is $20.31.

EQT Corporation (NYSE:EQT) 41.6% year-to-date; at $63.50 the consensus price target is $72.28.

Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: ERTS) 42.6% year-to-date; at $23.35 the consensus price target is $25.63. This was previously listed as our top pick for the best video game stock for 2011.

Whole Foods Market, Inc. (NASDAQ: WFM) 42.6% year-to-date; at $72.12 the consensus price target is $74.47.

Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE: RL) 43.2% year-to-date; caution: at $158.79 the consensus price target is $150.00.

Teradata Corporation (NYSE: TDC) 44.9% year-to-date; at $59.66 the consensus price target is $60.56.

Range Resources Corporation (NYSE: RRC) 53.0% year-to-date; at $68.84 the consensus price target is $76.50.

Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE: MA) 54.9% year-to-date; at $347.24 the consensus price target is $374.82.  It seems odd to see one financial stock here.

Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM) 55.1% year-to-date; at $84.89 the consensus price target is $88.71. Health insurance has not been as bad of a business as the administration was looking for.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE: CMG) 58.1% year-to-date; caution: at $336.12 the consensus price target is $328.45.  The growth continues, but it is at or close to being fully valued.

V.F. Corporation (NYSE: VFC) 60.4% year-to-date; at $138.22 the consensus price target is $144.33.

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (NASDAQ: ISRG) 68.3% year-to-date; caution: at $433.86 the consensus price target is $419.27.  DaVinci sales remain robust as more surgeons are looking for robotic surgery capabilities.

Biogen Idec Inc. (NASDAQ: BIIB) 73.5% year-to-date; caution: at $116.36 the consensus priced target is $115.22.  Here is how this compared to the rest of its peers before earnings season.

El Paso Corp. (NYSE: EP) 81.8% year-to-date; being acquired so no color.

Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation (NYSE: COG) 105.3% year-to-date; ; at $77.72 the consensus price target is $91.32.

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JON C. OGG

Competition plays a critical role in car rental agencies as well. We’ve gathered some data on Hertz Global Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HTZ) and Budget Group Inc. (NYSE: CAR), who were battling over Dollar Thrifty until earlier this month. We’ve also included Zipcar Inc. (NASDAQ: ZIP) in our review because there is evidence that its short-term rental model is about to get competition from both the big rental companies and the new car makers themselves.

Finally, we’ve looked at parts suppliers O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ: ORLY), AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO), and Pep Boys – Manny, Joe, and Jack (NYSE: PBY). As car owners hold onto their cars longer, parts suppliers stand to profit.

All data from Yahoo! Finance and current stock prices were gather just before noon today.

General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) has a median target price of $42.00 from 17 brokers. Shortly before noon today, shares are trading today at $22.78, for an implied gain of $19.22, or 84%. GM’s forward P/E is 5.24 and the company does not pay a dividend. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $19.05-$39.48, and at today’s price that’s about 20% above its 52-week low and 42% below the 52-week high.

Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) has a median target price of $16.00 from 15 brokers. Shares are trading today at $11.61, for an implied gain of $4.39, or 38%. Ford’s forward P/E is 6.59 and the company does not pay a dividend. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $9.05-$18.97, and at today’s price that’s about 28% above its 52-week low and 39% below the 52-week high.

Hertz Global Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HTZ) has a median target price of $21.00 from 5 brokers. Shares are trading today at $10.37, for an implied gain of $10.63 or 133%. Hertz’s forward P/E is 6.43 and the company does not pay a dividend. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $7.80-$17.64, and at today’s price that’s about 33% above its 52-week low and 41% below the 52-week high.

Avis Budget Group Inc. (NYSE: CAR) has a median target price of $27 from 5 brokers. Shares are trading today at $11.61, for an implied gain of $15.39, or 133%. Avis’s forward P/E is 8.95 and the company does not pay a dividend. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $8.45-$19.49, and at today’s price that’s about 37% above its 52-week low and 40% below the 52-week high.

Zipcar, Inc. (NASDAQ: ZIP) has a median target price of $31.25 from 4 brokers. Shares are trading today at $17.38, for an implied gain of $13.87, or 80%. Hertz’s forward P/E is an astronomical 273 as the company has yet to show a profit since its IPO in April. The company does not pay a dividend. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $16.50-$31.50, and at today’s price that’s about 5% above its 52-week low and 45% below the 52-week high.

AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE: AN) has a median target price of $32 from 8 brokers. Shares are trading today at $37.06, about 5% above its consensus target price. AutoNation’s forward P/E is 17.55 and the company does not pay a dividend. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $22.28-$41.55, and at today’s price that’s about 66% above its 52-week low and 10% below the 52-week high.

CarMax Inc. (NYSE: KMX) has a median target price of $33 from 13 brokers. Shares are trading today at $27.76, for an implied gain of $5.24, or 19%. CarMax’s forward P/E is 14.06 and the company does not pay a dividend. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $22.77-$37.02, and at today’s price that’s about 22% above its 52-week low and 25% below the 52-week high.

America’s Car-Mart, Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) has a median target price of $37 from 5 brokers. Shares are trading today at $29.89, for an implied gain of $7.11, or 24%. Car-Mart’s forward P/E is 8.86 and the company does not pay a dividend. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $22.77-$37.50, and at today’s price that’s about 31% above its 52-week low and 20% below the 52-week high.

O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ: ORLY) has a median target price of $68 from 19 brokers. Shares are trading today at $70.16, about 2% above its consensus target price. O’Reilly’s forward P/E is 17.12 and the company does not pay a dividend. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $52.97-$72.00, and at today’s price that’s about 32% above its 52-week low and 3% below the 52-week high.

AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO) has a median target price of $350 from 17 brokers. Shares are trading today at $326.17, for an implied gain of $23.83, or 7.3%. AutoZone’s forward P/E is 12.59 and the company does not pay a dividend. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $229.84-$337.23, and at today’s price that’s about 42% above its 52-week low and 3% below the 52-week high.

Pep Boys – Manny, Joe, and Jack (NYSE: PBY) has a median target price of $16 from 5 brokers. Shares are trading today at $10.95, for an implied gain of $5.05, or 46%. The Pep Boys’s forward P/E is 9.43 and the company pays a dividend yield of 1.1%. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $7.86-$15.96, and at today’s price that’s about 39% above its 52-week low and 31% below the 52-week high.

As you can see, there are some of the auto-related stocks that are close to or are now fully valued.  Still, there remains massive upside if the consensus analyst targets can be met.  Some upside targets are still so high that you have to wonder if they have been updated to reflect the new reality or if they are even really attainable.

Paul Ausick

Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) continued to show that gravity does not exist, at least for it. Share rose over 9% to an all-time high of $297.35. The stock has a 52-week low of $95.33. Netflix plans to conquer Latin America’s streaming content world as it has already done in the US.

Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF), Target (NYSE: TGT), and Kohl’s (NYSE: KSS) were all helped by strong June retail results.

S&P 500 TOP 10 LISTS

BIGGEST STOCK PRICE GAINERS

FOR WEEK, MONTH (JULY) AND YEAR-TO-DATE AS OF JULY 7