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		<title>24/7 Wall St. Closing Bell (AONE, EXPE, RIMM, AMGN, MMM, AAPL, CSCO, AMSC, BG, DNKN, LO, PEP, PM, SIRI, TDC, IPSU, TSL, DMND, GRPN, TLEO, CZR)</title>
		<link>http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/247-wall-st-closing-bell-aone-expe-rimm-amgn-mmm-aapl-csco-amsc-bg-dnkn-lo-pep-pm-siri-tdc-ipsu-tsl-dmnd-grpn-tleo-czr/</link>
		<comments>http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/247-wall-st-closing-bell-aone-expe-rimm-amgn-mmm-aapl-csco-amsc-bg-dnkn-lo-pep-pm-siri-tdc-ipsu-tsl-dmnd-grpn-tleo-czr/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Feb 2012 21:07:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Paul Ausick</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[24/7 Wall St. Wire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AAPL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AMGN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AMSC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AONE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CSCO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CZR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DMND]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DNKN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EXPE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GRPN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPSU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MMM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PEP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RIMM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SIRI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TDC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TLEO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TSL]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The three major US stock indexes opened a bit higher this morning, and after some volatility have managed to get to the final half hour of trading with a modest gain. Some news is leaking out about the Greek debt swap deal being done, but what’s being reported is not likely to be welcomed in [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=130885&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" title="Stock Market Image" src="http://247wallst.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/stock-market-image.jpg?w=200&#038;h=133" alt="" width="200" height="133" data-id="82326" data-caption="" />The three major US stock indexes opened a bit higher this morning, and after some volatility have managed to get to the final half hour of trading with a modest gain. Some news is leaking out about the Greek debt swap deal being done, but what’s being reported is not likely to be welcomed in by ordinary Greeks. The dollar has been down most of the day as everyone seemed to believe an announcement on the Greek debt deal was imminent. The dollar index is down -0.187% &#8212; a slight uptick from its lower level this morning &#8212; at 78.591. Crude oil is up strongly, with WTI crude up 1.15% at $99.85/barrel and Brent crude up 1.16% at $118.56/barrel. Gold settled up 0.6% at $1,741.20/ounce.</p>
<p>The unofficial closing bells put the DJIA up nearly 7 points to 12,890.61 (0.05%), the NASDAQ rose more than 11 points (0.39%) to 2,927.23, and the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.15% or 2 points to 1,351.96.</p>
<p>There were several <a title="Top Analyst Upgrades &amp; Downgrades (AMGN, AUO, AONE, ELN, EXPE, IR, MMM, MRH, NYX, POST, RIMM, SOHU, AAPL)" href="http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/top-analyst-upgrades-downgrades-amgn-auo-aone-eln-expe-ir-mmm-mrh-nyx-post-rimm-sohu-aapl/">analyst upgrades and downgrades today</a>, including A123 Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: AONE) cut to ‘sell’ at Wunderlich; Expedia Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) cut to ‘hold’ at S&amp;P Capital IQ; Research in Motion Ltd. (NASDAQ: RIMM) reiterated as ‘hold’ with $15 target price at Cannacord Genuity; Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) cut to ‘perform’ at Oppenheimer and named ‘Bull of the Day’ at Zacks; and 3M Co. (NYSE: MMM) cut to ‘hold’ at Deutsche Bank. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) got a lift from a target price increase to $665, which we cover <a title="An Apple Analyst Target Hike to $665 (AAPL)" href="http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/an-apple-analyst-target-hike-to-665-aapl/">here</a>. We’ve also got a <a title="Apple Captures 80% of Mobile Phone Company Profits (AAPL, SSNLF, RIMM, NOK, MMI, GOOG, MSFT)" href="http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/apple-captures-80-of-mobile-phone-company-profits-aapl-ssnlf-rimm-nok-mmi-goog-msft/">story</a> on how Apple gets 80% of the operating profit among all the phone makers.</p>
<p>Earnings reports since markets closed last night have led to some price changes as of the last half hour of trading today: Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) is down -2.1% at $20.00 (here’s <a title="Cisco Analysts Weighing On Further Recovery (CSCO)" href="http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/cisco-analysts-weighing-on-further-recovery-csco/">our coverage</a>); American Superconductor Corp. (NASDAQ: AMSC) is down -8.74% at $5.50; Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG) is up 5.9% at $63.25; Dunkin’ Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: DNKN) is down -2.35% at $28.33; Lorillard Inc. (NYSE: LO) is up 9.8% at $124.46 after posting a new 52-week high of $127.68 earlier today; Pepsico Inc. (NYSE: PEP) is down -3.6% at $64.37 (our coverage <a title="Pepsi Earnings Growth Meets Large Layoffs (PEP, KO)" href="http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/pepsi-earnings-growth-meets-large-layoffs-pep-ko/">here</a>); Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE: PM) is up 2.8% at $80.08 after setting a new 52-week high of $80.99 earlier today; Sirius XM Radio Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI) is nearly flat at $2.19 (additional coverage <a title="The Case For and Against SIRIUS XM… Value Versus Pandora? (SIRI, P)" href="http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/the-case-for-and-against-sirius-xm-value-versus-pandora-siri-p/">here</a>); and Teradata Corp. (NYSE: TDC) is up 10% at $63.85 after posting a new 52-week high earlier today of $64.97.</p>
<p><strong>Other standouts from today include the following stocks:</strong></p>
<p>Imperial Sugar Co. (NASDAQ: IPSU) is up more than 79% at $6.02. The sugar refiner and marketer said it is nearing a sale of one of its divisions.</p>
<p>Trina Solar Ltd. (NYSE: TSL) is up 20% at $11.08. The solar panel maker is getting a big boost from a report that China will add about 3,000 megawatts of solar PV generation this year, although some analysts think the total will be double that. Other Chinese solar panel makers are also getting a nice bump from the news. We have another view of the sudden rise <a title="More Short Covering Exaggerates Solar Rallies (TAN, FSLR, SPWR, ENER, TSL, WFR)" href="http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/more-short-covering-exaggerates-solar-rallies-tan-fslr-spwr-ener-tsl-wfr/">here</a>.</p>
<p>Diamond Foods Inc. (NASDAQ: DMND) is down more than -36% at $23.36 after posting a new 52-week low of $21.44 earlier today. The snack food maker will re-state accounting and that jeopardizes the deal to purchase the Pringles brand from Proctor &amp; Gamble (NYSE: PG). See our coverage <a title="Diamond Foods Is Just Awful… And Not Yet Over (DMND, PG)" href="http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/diamond-foods-is-just-awful-and-not-yet-over-dmnd-pg/">here</a>.</p>
<p>Groupon Inc. (NASDAQ: GRPN) is down more than -15% at $20.82. The Internet coupon company posted weak earnings last night. See our coverage <a title="Groupon Headline Loss Trumps Revenue Beat (GRPN)" href="http://247wallst.com/2012/02/08/groupon-headline-loss-trumps-revenue-beat-grpn/">here</a>.</p>
<p>Taleo Corp. (NASDAQ: TLEO) is up more than 17% at $45.62 after posting a new 52-week high of $45.71. The maker of cloud-based software is being acquired by Oracle Corp. (NASDAQ: ORCL). More coverage <a title="Oracle Buys Cloud-Based Software Player Taleo (TLEO, ORCL)" href="http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/oracle-buys-cloud-based-software-player-taleo-tleo-orcl/">here</a> and <a title="After Taleo, Looking at Other Cloud M&amp;A ‘Hopefuls’ (SKYY, TLEO, ORCL, EQIX, AKAM, RAX, TDC, NTAP, CRM)" href="http://247wallst.com/2012/02/09/after-taleo-looking-at-other-cloud-ma-hopefuls-skyy-tleo-orcl-eqix-akam-rax-tdc-ntap-crm/">here</a>.</p>
<p>Ceasars Entertainment Corp. (NASDAQ: CZR) is down about -3.8% at $14.80. The share price nearly doubled at yesterday’s IPO, to a high of $17.90, but the stock is coming back to earth today.</p>
<p>Stay tuned for Friday. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and Cleveland Fed president Sandra Pianalto are speakingWe have noted the following events on the schedule (all times Eastern):</p>
<ul>
<li>8:30 a.m. &#8211; International trade report</li>
<li>9:55 a.m. &#8211; Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment report</li>
<li>2:00 p.m. &#8211; US Treasury budget report</li>
</ul>
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<p>Paul Ausick</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/247-wall-st-wire/'>24/7 Wall St. Wire</a> Tagged: <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/aapl/'>AAPL</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/amgn/'>AMGN</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/amsc/'>AMSC</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/aone/'>AONE</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/bg/'>BG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/csco/'>CSCO</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/czr/'>CZR</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/dmnd/'>DMND</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/dnkn/'>DNKN</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/expe/'>EXPE</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/grpn/'>GRPN</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/ipsu/'>IPSU</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/lo/'>LO</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/mmm/'>MMM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/pep/'>PEP</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/pm/'>PM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/rimm/'>RIMM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/siri/'>SIRI</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/tdc/'>TDC</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/tleo/'>TLEO</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/tsl/'>TSL</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/130885/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=130885&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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	<category domain="tickers">AAPL</category><category domain="tickers">AMGN</category><category domain="tickers">AMSC</category><category domain="tickers">AONE</category><category domain="tickers">BG</category><category domain="tickers">CSCO</category><category domain="tickers">CZR</category><category domain="tickers">DMND</category><category domain="tickers">DNKN</category><category domain="tickers">EXPE</category><category domain="tickers">GRPN</category><category domain="tickers">IPSU</category><category domain="tickers">LO</category><category domain="tickers">MMM</category><category domain="tickers">PEP</category><category domain="tickers">PM</category><category domain="tickers">RIMM</category><category domain="tickers">SIRI</category><category domain="tickers">TDC</category><category domain="tickers">TLEO</category><category domain="tickers">TSL</category>
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		<title>Top Earnings Previews For Thursday (ATVI, BG, CBOE, DNKN, EXPE, LNKD, MPEL, NUAN, PEP, PBR, PM, RSG, SIRI, SON, TDC)</title>
		<link>http://247wallst.com/2012/02/08/top-earnings-previews-for-thursday-atvi-bg-cboe-dnkn-expe-lnkd-mpel-nuan-pep-pbr-pm-rsg-siri-son-tdc/</link>
		<comments>http://247wallst.com/2012/02/08/top-earnings-previews-for-thursday-atvi-bg-cboe-dnkn-expe-lnkd-mpel-nuan-pep-pbr-pm-rsg-siri-son-tdc/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Feb 2012 19:20:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Administrator</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[24/7 Wall St. Wire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Calendar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ATVI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CBOE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DNKN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EXPE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LNKD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MPEL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NUAN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PBR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PEP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RSG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SIRI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SON]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TDC]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://247wallst.com/?p=130618</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This week should be the last waves of the normalized quarterly earnings reports for companies with December 31 quarter-end dates.  We are also starting to get a few of the first waves of the earnings reports from companies with off-normal quarter-ends.  Wednesday is going to be another busy day with many earnings.  The earnings previews [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=130618&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://247wallst.com/2010/12/22/december-buybacks-near-30-billion-already-more-for-2011-t-aet-azo-adsk-cb-cag-cck-eca-enzn-hd-intc-man-mkl-swy-syk-teva-tibx-pkw-csco-ge-bac-wfc-jpm/nyse-floor-image-10/" rel="attachment wp-att-90669"><img class="alignleft" title="NYSE Floor Image" src="http://247wallst.files.wordpress.com/2010/12/nyse-floor-image.jpg?w=200&#038;h=133" alt="" width="200" height="133" data-id="90669" data-caption="" /></a>This week should be the last waves of the normalized quarterly earnings reports for companies with December 31 quarter-end dates.  We are also starting to get a few of the first waves of the earnings reports from companies with off-normal quarter-ends.  Wednesday is going to be another busy day with many earnings.  The earnings previews are for the following: Activision Blizzard Inc. (NASDAQ: ATVI); Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG); Carbonite Inc. (NASDAQ: CARB); CBOE Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CBOE); Dunkin&#8217; Brands Group Inc. (NASDAQ: DNKN); Expedia Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE); LinkedIn Corporation (NYSE: LNKD); Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd. (NASDAQ: MPEL); Nuance Communications Inc. (NASDAQ: NUAN); PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP); Petroleo Brasileiro (NYSE: PBR); Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE: PM); Republic Services Inc. (NYSE: RSG); Sirius XM Radio Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI); Sonoco Products Co. (NYSE: SON); and Teradata Corporation (NYSE: TDC).</p>
<p>We have compiled earnings preview on each company using Thomson Reuters consensus estimates and added color on each if applicable.  Some of these are market moving, some are sector moving, and some are just interesting for traders to watch around the earnings reports.</p>
<p>Activision Blizzard Inc. (NASDAQ: ATVI) estimates are $0.56 EPS and $2.2 billion in revenues. At $12.55, the maker of World of Warcraft has been very range bound.</p>
<p>Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG) estimates are $1.57 EPS and $13.73 billion in revenues.</p>
<p>Carbonite Inc. (NASDAQ: CARB) estimates are -$0.23 EPS and $16.78 million in revenues. This will be a first real look of a full quarter and unfortunately this one has been cut in half as investors have tempered expectations for the personal data backup service provider.</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/247-wall-st-wire/'>24/7 Wall St. Wire</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/calendar/'>Calendar</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/earnings/'>Earnings</a> Tagged: <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/atvi/'>ATVI</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/bg/'>BG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/cboe/'>CBOE</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/dnkn/'>DNKN</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/expe/'>EXPE</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/lnkd/'>LNKD</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/mpel/'>MPEL</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/nuan/'>NUAN</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/pbr/'>PBR</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/pep/'>PEP</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/pm/'>PM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/rsg/'>RSG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/siri/'>SIRI</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/son/'>SON</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/tdc/'>TDC</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/130618/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=130618&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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	<category domain="tickers">ATVI</category><category domain="tickers">BG</category><category domain="tickers">CBOE</category><category domain="tickers">DNKN</category><category domain="tickers">EXPE</category><category domain="tickers">LNKD</category><category domain="tickers">MPEL</category><category domain="tickers">NUAN</category><category domain="tickers">PBR</category><category domain="tickers">PEP</category><category domain="tickers">PM</category><category domain="tickers">RSG</category><category domain="tickers">SIRI</category><category domain="tickers">SON</category><category domain="tickers">TDC</category>
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		<title>Food Processing Stocks With Most Upside (ADM, BG, TSN, SFD, CPO, CAG, KFT, SLE, GIS, K)</title>
		<link>http://247wallst.com/2011/11/03/food-processing-stocks-with-most-upside-adm-bg-tsn-sfd-cpo-cag-kft-sle-gis-k/</link>
		<comments>http://247wallst.com/2011/11/03/food-processing-stocks-with-most-upside-adm-bg-tsn-sfd-cpo-cag-kft-sle-gis-k/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Nov 2011 19:01:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Paul Ausick</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Analyst Calls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Goods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ADM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CAG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CPO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GIS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[K]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KFT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SFD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SLE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TSN]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://247wallst.com/?p=116689</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The companies we’re looking at today run the gamut from large farm and food products producers to the packaged goods makers that make the products on store shelves. It’s a wide range, for sure, but all are exposed to both commodity prices on one end and on consumer purchasing on the other. Large farm products [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=116689&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img title="Food" src="http://247wallst.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/food1.jpg?w=200&#038;h=200" alt="" width="200" height="200" />The companies we’re looking at today run the gamut from large farm and food products producers to the packaged goods makers that make the products on store shelves. It’s a wide range, for sure, but all are exposed to both commodity prices on one end and on consumer purchasing on the other.</p>
<p>Large farm products companies like Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM) and Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG) have watch corn and wheat prices decline by about -20% and -29% since peaks earlier this year. Fertilizer prices have risen and so have fuel prices. All have an impact on revenues and earnings.</p>
<p>Processing companies like Tyson Foods Inc. (NYSE: TSN), Smithfield Foods, Inc. (NYSE: SFD), Corn Products International Inc. (NYSE: CPO), and ConAgra Foods, Inc. (NYSE: CAG) package private label foods, provide commercial food, and even offer some branded products. The diversity of their customers gives them a bit of a barrier against a collapse in one or another of their markets.</p>
<p>Packaged food giants like Kraft Inc. (NYSE: KFT), Sara Lee Corp. (NYSE: SLE), General Mills, Inc. (NYSE: GIS), and Kellogg Company (NYSE: K) are all household names and depend on strong brands to carry them through slow economic times.</p>
<p>Data from Yahoo! Finance, and current share prices gathered about noon today.</p>
<p><strong>Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM)</strong> has a median target price of $35.00 from 13 brokers. Shares are trading today at $28.88, for an implied gain of $6.12, or 21%. ADM&#8217;s forward P/E is 8.52 and the company pays a dividend yield of 2.3%. The stock&#8217;s 52-week trading range is $23.69-$38.02, and at today&#8217;s price that&#8217;s about 22% above its 52-week low and 24% below the 52-week high. This year’s wheat harvest looks to be on a near-record pace, and wheat prices are expected to fall to below $6/bushel by the end of the year from a current price of around $6.36.</p>
<p>Rising corn prices hit ADM hard in its most recent quarter, lowering profit in its biofuel (ethanol) division by -23% and in its sweetener and starches division by -81%. Corn prices are currently expected to remain about the same into next year, which won’t help ADM’s processing revenue. Fortunately for the company its trading profits will get a boost from the higher corn prices.</p>
<p><strong>Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG)</strong> has a median target price of $74.00 from 11 brokers. Shares are trading today at $61.38, for an implied gain of $12.62, or 21%. Bunge’s forward P/E is 9.32 and the company pays a dividend yield of 1.6%. The stock&#8217;s 52-week trading range is $54.03-$76.13, and at today&#8217;s price that&#8217;s about 14% above its 52-week low and 19% below the 52-week high.</p>
<p>Bunge missed EPS estimates badly in its third quarter as the company ran afoul of volatility in the grain markets. The company painted a brighter picture for its fourth quarter, basing its view on the tightness of supply and the rising demand for food.</p>
<p><strong>Tyson Foods Inc. (NYSE: TSN)</strong> has a median target price of $23.00 from 15 brokers. Shares are trading today at $19.27, for an implied gain of $3.73, or 19%. Tyson’s forward P/E is 9.53 and the company pays a dividend yield of 0.8%. The stock&#8217;s 52-week trading range is $14.79-$20.12, and at today&#8217;s price that&#8217;s about 30% above its 52-week low and 4% below the 52-week high.</p>
<p>Tyson will report earnings for its fourth fiscal quarter on November 21st. The consensus EPS estimate is $0.32, half as much as the same period a year ago. Rising feed costs have hammered revenues and earnings this year, and Tyson and other chicken producers are trying to get its customers to share commodity price risk by taking shorter term contracts tied to the cost of feed grains.</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/agriculture/'>Agriculture</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/analyst-calls/'>Analyst Calls</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/consumer-goods/'>Consumer Goods</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/food/'>Food</a> Tagged: <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/adm/'>ADM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/bg/'>BG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/cag/'>CAG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/cpo/'>CPO</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/gis/'>GIS</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/k/'>K</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/kft/'>KFT</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/sfd/'>SFD</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/sle/'>SLE</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/tsn/'>TSN</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/116689/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=116689&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<category domain="tickers">ADM</category><category domain="tickers">BG</category><category domain="tickers">CAG</category><category domain="tickers">CPO</category><category domain="tickers">GIS</category><category domain="tickers">K</category><category domain="tickers">KFT</category><category domain="tickers">SFD</category><category domain="tickers">SLE</category><category domain="tickers">TSN</category>
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		<title>Ag, Fertilizer Stocks Could Be Headed for a Stall (POT, BG, ADM, MON, MOS, MOO)</title>
		<link>http://247wallst.com/2011/10/27/ag-fertilizer-stocks-could-be-headed-for-a-stall-pot-bg-adm-mon-mos-moo/</link>
		<comments>http://247wallst.com/2011/10/27/ag-fertilizer-stocks-could-be-headed-for-a-stall-pot-bg-adm-mon-mos-moo/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Oct 2011 13:31:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Paul Ausick</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ADM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MON]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MOO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MOS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[POT]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://247wallst.com/?p=115937</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Fertilizer maker Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan, Inc. (NYSE: POT) reported third-quarter earnings this morning that were more than double earnings for the same period a year ago. But in this case, a hit may be as good as a miss. Analysts expected EPS of $0.94 on revenue of $2.17 billion. Potash Corp. delivered diluted EPS [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=115937&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>
<p><a href="http://247wallst.com/2011/04/12/the-ten-crops-that-make-america-the-world%e2%80%99s-breadbasket/agriculture-3/" rel="attachment wp-att-85323"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-85323" title="Agriculture" src="http://247wallst.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/agriculture.jpg?w=200&#038;h=134" alt="" width="200" height="134" /></a>Fertilizer maker Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan, Inc. (NYSE: POT) reported third-quarter earnings this morning that were more than double earnings for the same period a year ago. But in this case, a hit may be as good as a miss. Analysts expected EPS of $0.94 on revenue of $2.17 billion. Potash Corp. delivered diluted EPS of $0.94 on revenue of $2.32 billion. Gross margin rose from 35% in the same period last year to 49% this year. The company also noted that its EPS outlook for the full fiscal year is $3.40-$3.80. The consensus estimate is $3.75. In other words, no upside surprises from Potash Corp.</p>
<p>At the other end of the food chain, food processor Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG) reported third-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.86 on revenue of $15.62 billion. The consensus estimates called for EPS of $1.62 on revenue of $14.32. Only Bunge’s fertilizer operations posted a quarterly gain over the same period last year, and that a scant $9 million. The company’s outlook did not include any specific forecasts for EPS or revenue, but Bunge does expect to fall short of its original estimate of sugar refining and sees continuing pressure on oilseed prices. The company expects its fertilizer business to improve, but that is historically its smallest revenue producer.</p>
<p>Ag company Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM) reports earnings next Tuesday, and the consensus estimates are looking for EPS of $0.67 on $18.93 billion in revenue. The company posted EPS of $1.01 in the second quarter, and the estimate has fallen by 13% over the past three months.</p>
<p>Fertilizer makers Monsanto Co. (NYSE: MON) and Mosaic Co. (NYSE: MOS) recently reported earnings for the first quarter of their 2012 fiscal years, and the results were not particularly thrilling. Monsanto posted an EPS loss of -$0.22, though that was better than an expected loss of -$0.27. For the current quarter Monsanto is expected to post EPS of $0.12. Mosaic posted EPS of $1.17 in its quarter ended in August and analysts are expecting EPS of $1.39 for the current quarter. In its quarter ending in August 2010, Mosaic posted EPS of $1.85.</p>
<p>All the fertilizer makers expect to see a price hike for their products both in the current quarter and next year. The reasoning is that the global economic slowdown notwithstanding, people want and need to eat. Rising economic conditions in the developing world, especially in China and India, support food prices and because it is cheaper to increase yields by applying fertilizer than it is to bring new land into food production, the companies foresee continuing growth.</p>
<p>Potash Corp. noted in its earnings release that shipments of potash to China and India are set for the fourth quarter and the company expects volumes to increase and prices to rise beginning in the first quarter of 2012. Potash Corp. said that contract potash prices to India will rise by $60/metric ton beginning in January.</p>
<p>While the general trend of the news is positive, volatility in the food and fertilizer markets seems to have been discounted in the outlooks for the coming year. The other big problem is the unreliability of information from China regarding stockpiles and demand. One trader has said that 80% of the information out of China is misleading, and that finding the 10%-20% that is accurate and useful is more difficult than it should be. That means that counting on China for growth can be risky, at best.</p>
<p>Shares in Potash Corp. are trading up about 2.4% in the pre-market this morning, at $50.70, in a 52-week range of $39.54-$63.97. Bunge stock is trading up less than 1%, at $60.00, in a 52-week range of $54.03-$76.12. The Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF (NYSE: MOO) is up about 1.67%, at $50.55, in a 52-week range of $39.86-$57.93.</p>
<p>Paul Ausick</p>
</div>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/agriculture/'>Agriculture</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/china/'>China</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/earnings/'>Earnings</a> Tagged: <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/adm/'>ADM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/bg/'>BG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/mon/'>MON</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/moo/'>MOO</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/mos/'>MOS</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/pot/'>POT</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/115937/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=115937&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<category domain="tickers">ADM</category><category domain="tickers">BG</category><category domain="tickers">MON</category><category domain="tickers">MOO</category><category domain="tickers">MOS</category><category domain="tickers">POT</category>
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		<title>The Frontlines in a US-China Trade War (WMT, TGT, BTU, ACI, FCX, RIO, WY, PCL, ADM, BG, CAT, DE, GM, F, GE)</title>
		<link>http://247wallst.com/2011/10/11/the-frontlines-in-a-us-china-trade-war-wmt-tgt-btu-aci-fcx-rio-wy-pcl-adm-bg-cat-de-gm-f-ge/</link>
		<comments>http://247wallst.com/2011/10/11/the-frontlines-in-a-us-china-trade-war-wmt-tgt-btu-aci-fcx-rio-wy-pcl-adm-bg-cat-de-gm-f-ge/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Oct 2011 17:32:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>247wallst</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ACI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ADM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BTU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CAT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[F]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FCX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PCL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RIO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TGT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WMT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WY]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://247wallst.com/?p=114394</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While the debate rages over whether or not the U.S. should enact legislation aimed to curb currency manipulation &#8212; and specifically the Chinese peg to the U.S. dollar &#8212; the impact of such legislation has been made abundantly clear by the Chinese government. China has, in effect, said that the enactment of the currency manipulation [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=114394&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://247wallst.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/china.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-97731" title="China" src="http://247wallst.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/china.jpg?w=200&#038;h=133" alt="" width="200" height="133" /></a>While the debate rages over whether or not the U.S. should enact legislation aimed to curb currency manipulation &#8212; and specifically the Chinese peg to the U.S. dollar &#8212; the impact of such legislation has been made abundantly clear by the Chinese government. China has, in effect, said that the enactment of the currency manipulation bill now being debated in the U.S. Senate would lead to an all-out trade war between the U.S. and China, reminiscent of the trade wars following the Smoot-Hawley tariffs of the 1930s.</p>
<p>Which U.S. industries and companies stand to get hit the hardest in the event a trade war gets started? The U.S. Census Bureau provides data on the <a href="http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/www/index.html">dollar amounts of U.S. imports from and exports to China</a> that we have looked at to see where the impacts could be the largest.</p>
<p>According the Census Bureau data, in 2010 the U.S. imported goods from China worth about $365 billion, while exporting goods worth about $92 billion. If the U.S. were to implement tariffs on imports, the likeliest targets would be the goods with the largest dollar value. These imports include computer, semiconductors and telecom gear worth about $88 billion in 2010, clothing and other household goods worth an aggregate of about $71 billion, toys and similar items worth about $27 billion, televisions and other video equipment worth about $15 billion.</p>
<p>If all that sounds like the stuff you can buy at Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT) or Target (NYSE: TGT) or any number of other U.S. department stores, then be prepared to pay more for these items. Because comparatively little clothing or TVs or toys are manufactured in the U.S. any longer, an import duty on these items would hurt U.S. consumers without providing a lot of help to U.S. manufacturers. Hopes that a new manufacturing segment might spring up are not likely to be realized among large companies but smaller manufacturers could gain some benefit.</p>
<p>However, if China responds with import tariffs of its own, several major U.S. industries could get seriously hurt. Raw materials exports such as coal, copper, iron ore, lumber, and other metals are particularly vulnerable. So are agricultural products like soybeans, cotton, and corn. Industrial and agricultural machinery exports could also face penalties. Another substantial U.S. export is automobiles.</p>
<p>Coal miners like Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU) and Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) could get hit, as could copper miners Freeport-McMoran Copper &amp; Gold (NYSE: FCX) and Rio Tinto (NYSE: RIO). Lumber companies Weyerhaeuser (NYSE: WY) and Plum Creek Timber (NYSE: PCL) could face higher duties on log exports.</p>
<p>Agricultural products companies such as Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE: ADM) and Bunge (NYSE: BG) could be in China’s sights if duties are applied to food exports. Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) and Deere &amp; Co. (NYSE: DE) are likely to see prices for their equipment rise with a concomitant loss of sales to competitors from Japan and Korea.</p>
<p>General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Ford Motor (NYSE: F) both look to China as a growth opportunity. In 2010 U.S. car sales in China totaled more than $3 billion. Slapping a tariff on U.S. cars could really chill the hopes of the U.S. automakers. General Electric (NYSE: GE) could also face tariffs on industrial engines and parts, as well as aircraft parts and other equipment.</p>
<p>China has been fighting inflation for most of this year by restricting bank lending and raising interest rates. Absent a significant currency adjustment, this does little good for the global economy and not much long-term good for China’s domestic economy. If the yuan were allowed to float freely, it could appreciate by as much as 30%. That would quickly eliminate the inflation threat in China, bringing the cost of the country’s goods more into line with foreign costs, slowing the country’s exports, and giving other economies a chance to fill the gap and begin growing again.</p>
<p>But that outcome does not appear likely. Instead, China appears willing to fight the Senate legislation with a trade war. The war of words is likely to last well into next year, but the first real shot is already being primed.</p>
<p>Paul Ausick</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/general/'>General</a> Tagged: <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/aci/'>ACI</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/adm/'>ADM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/bg/'>BG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/btu/'>BTU</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/cat/'>CAT</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/de/'>DE</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/f/'>F</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/fcx/'>FCX</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/ge/'>GE</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/gm/'>GM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/pcl/'>PCL</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/rio/'>RIO</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/tgt/'>TGT</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/wmt/'>WMT</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/wy/'>WY</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/114394/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=114394&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<title>Drop in Copper and Corn Prices May Be Overrated (FCX, SCCO, BHP, RIO, MON, ADM, BG, POT, MOS, VLO, PEIX, JJC, CU, CORN, MOO, DBA)</title>
		<link>http://247wallst.com/2011/10/05/drop-in-copper-and-corn-prices-may-be-overrated-fcx-scco-bhp-rio-mon-adm-bg-pot-mos-vlo-peix-jjc-cu-corn-moo-dba/</link>
		<comments>http://247wallst.com/2011/10/05/drop-in-copper-and-corn-prices-may-be-overrated-fcx-scco-bhp-rio-mon-adm-bg-pot-mos-vlo-peix-jjc-cu-corn-moo-dba/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Oct 2011 14:45:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Administrator</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[ADR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Infrastructure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Metals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ADM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BHP]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[MON]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[MOS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PEIX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[POT]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[VLO]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://247wallst.com/?p=113954</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Since the beginning of September, copper and corn prices have fallen dramatically, with copper off nearly -35% from its 12 month high and corn off about -25%. Because both are often seen as leading indicators of economic growth, it&#8217;s interesting that this time the price of the two commodities may be following the economy instead [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=113954&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://247wallst.com/2011/03/03/commodity-trader-glencore-on-the-road-to-ipo-xsray-blk/commodities-3/" rel="attachment wp-att-96839"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-96839" title="Commodities" src="http://247wallst.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/commodities.jpg?w=200&#038;h=132" alt="" width="200" height="132" /></a>Since the beginning of September, copper and corn prices have fallen dramatically, with copper off nearly -35% from its 12 month high and corn off about -25%. Because both are often seen as leading indicators of economic growth, it&#8217;s interesting that this time the price of the two commodities may be following the economy instead of leading it.</p>
<p>Copper prices peaked in February, about a month behind copper miners Freeport-McMoran Copper &amp; Gold Co. (NYSE: FCX), Southern Copper Corp. (NYSE: SCCO) and a little earlier than BHP Billiton plc (NYSE: BHP) and Rio Tinto plc (NYSE: RIO). The decline in share prices was gradual from about April through July, but beginning in August shares turned more sharply down, as did the price of copper itself.</p>
<p>Corn prices hit a peak in June, and are still about 20% higher than they were in October 2010. None of the big ag stocks are near that high except fertilizer maker Monsanto Co. (NYSE: MON), up 31% in the past 12 months. Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM) shares are off -23% in the past year, Bunge Ltd. shares are off about -3%, Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan shares are down about -11%, and Mosaic Co. is off nearly -18%. Ethanol producers Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO) is up about 2%, while Pacific Ethanol Inc. (NASDAQ: PEIX) is barely breathing, off -96%.</p>
<p>The decline in the copper price began when orders from China began to cool off as a result of the country&#8217;s efforts to slow down its GDP growth. By some reports the country has an over-supply of housing that tops 65 million units. If the number is even half that, demand for copper in China could fall dramatically. And it&#8217;s possible to argue that a housing glut in China drove the copper price to new heights because construction in the US and other developed countries has stalled.</p>
<p>But the current global economic malaise is not entirely attributable to China. Eurozone sovereign debt and questions about the zone&#8217;s banks have pushed markets down hard and could be just as responsible for the falling price of copper as softer demand from China. In other words, copper could be following, not leading, a macroeconomic decline.</p>
<p>The falling price of corn can be attributed to better crop forecasts and the recent &#8216;discovery&#8217; of more than 200 million bushels in US stocks has put even more pressure on corn prices. Unlike copper, though, corn prices get some demand help from a large alternative market. If corn is a leading indicator, then the effect of ethanol production, which consumes about 40% of the US corn crop, distorts its influence.</p>
<p>Ethanol production is highly profitable at the current price of around $6/bushel. Corn prices would have to rise to unprecedented heights over $9.50/bushel before demand from ethanol makers would start to decline. Even without the $0.45/gallon federal subsidy, corn prices would need to top $8/bushel before they would pinch the ethanol makers.</p>
<p>Something similar to the ethanol prop to corn prices doesn&#8217;t exist for copper. Some 70% of copper demand comes from construction and electrical/electronic industries. Of the remaining 30%, about 12% comes from the transportation industry and 9% comes from makers of industrial machinery. None of those sectors is large enough to prop up copper prices as ethanol props up corn prices.</p>
<p>The iPath Dow Jones-UBS Copper Subindex Total Return ETF (NYSE: JJC) is down more than -1.5% in the first half hour of trading this morning at $39.46, barely above its 52-week low of $39.08. The 52-week high is $61.69. The First Trust ISE Global Copper Index Fund (NASDAQ: CU) is up about 2.25%, at $26.37, in a 52-week range of $23.60-$46.85.</p>
<p>Agricultural ETFs are up slightly this morning. The Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE: CORN) is up about 0.5%, at $40.09, in a 52-week range of $31.37-$50.69. The PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (NYSE: DBA) is up about 0.6%, at $29.90, in a 52-week range of $26.60-$35.58. The Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF (NYSE: MOO) is up about 0.9%, at $42.30, in a 52-week range of $39.86-$57.93.</p>
<p>Paul Ausick</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/adr/'>ADR</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/agriculture/'>Agriculture</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/commodities/'>Commodities</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/economy/'>Economy</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/infrastructure/'>Infrastructure</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/metals/'>Metals</a> Tagged: <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/adm/'>ADM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/bg/'>BG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/bhp/'>BHP</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/corn-2/'>CORN</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/cu/'>CU</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/dba/'>DBA</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/fcx/'>FCX</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/jjc/'>JJC</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/mon/'>MON</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/moo/'>MOO</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/mos/'>MOS</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/peix/'>PEIX</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/pot/'>POT</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/rio/'>RIO</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/scco/'>SCCO</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/vlo/'>VLO</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/113954/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=113954&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<category domain="tickers">ADM</category><category domain="tickers">BG</category><category domain="tickers">BHP</category><category domain="tickers">CORN</category><category domain="tickers">CU</category><category domain="tickers">DBA</category><category domain="tickers">FCX</category><category domain="tickers">JJC</category><category domain="tickers">MON</category><category domain="tickers">MOO</category><category domain="tickers">MOS</category><category domain="tickers">PEIX</category><category domain="tickers">POT</category><category domain="tickers">RIO</category><category domain="tickers">SCCO</category><category domain="tickers">VLO</category>
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		<title>Top Analyst Upgrades &amp; Downgrades (AMCX, AHT, BG, CTRN, XRAY, EK, EQY, FFIV, IVN, MFB, PDS, RVBD, RYAAY, SAFM, TUDO)</title>
		<link>http://247wallst.com/2011/09/27/top-analyst-upgrades-downgrades-amcx-aht-bg-ctrn-xray-ek-eqy-ffiv-ivn-mfb-pds-rvbd-ryaay-safm-tudo/</link>
		<comments>http://247wallst.com/2011/09/27/top-analyst-upgrades-downgrades-amcx-aht-bg-ctrn-xray-ek-eqy-ffiv-ivn-mfb-pds-rvbd-ryaay-safm-tudo/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Sep 2011 12:15:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Administrator</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analyst Calls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AHT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AMCX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CTRN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EQY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FFIV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IVN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MFB]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://247wallst.com/?p=113313</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[These are some of this Tuesday&#8217;s top analyst upgrades, downgrades, and initiations seen having an impact from Wall Street research calls. AMC Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: AMCX) Started as Sell at Stifel Nicolaus. Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc. (NYSE: AHT) Started as Outperform at Credit Suisse. Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) Raised to Buy at Citigroup. Citi Trends, Inc. [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=113313&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://247wallst.com/2011/02/14/the-plot-thickens-at-st-joe-joe/bull-and-bear/" rel="attachment wp-att-95230"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-95230" title="Bull and Bear" src="http://247wallst.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/bull-and-bear.jpg?w=200&#038;h=149" alt="" width="200" height="149" /></a>These are some of this Tuesday&#8217;s top analyst upgrades, downgrades, and initiations seen having an impact from Wall Street research calls.</p>
<p>AMC Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: AMCX) Started as Sell at Stifel Nicolaus.<br />
Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc. (NYSE: AHT) Started as Outperform at Credit Suisse.<br />
Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) Raised to Buy at Citigroup.<br />
Citi Trends, Inc. (NASDAQ: CTRN) named <a href="http://www.zacks.com/registration/pfp?ALERT=ZER_LINK&amp;d_alert=ZER_CONF&amp;t=CTRN&amp;ADID=247WALL_CONTENT_ZER" target="_blank">Bear of the Day</a> at Zacks.<br />
DENTSPLY International (NASDAQ: XRAY) named <a href="http://www.zacks.com/registration/pfp?ALERT=ZER_LINK&amp;d_alert=ZER_CONF&amp;t=XRAY&amp;ADID=247WALL_CONTENT_ZER" target="_blank">Bull of the Day</a> at Zacks.<br />
Eastman Kodak Co. (NYSE: EK) Reiterated Hold at Argus.<br />
Equity One Inc. (NYSE: EQY) Raised to Hold at Citigroup.<br />
F5 Networks, Inc. (NASDAQ: FFIV) Started as Hold at Jefferies.<br />
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (NYSE: IVN) Raised to Outperform at Credit Suisse.<br />
Maidenform Brands, Inc. (NYSE: MFB) named <a href="http://www.zacks.com/registration/pfp?ALERT=ZR_LINK&amp;d_alert=rd_final_rank&amp;t=MFB&amp;ADID=247WALL_CONTENT_ZR" target="_blank">Value stock of the day</a> at Zacks.<br />
Precision Drilling Corporation (NYSE: PDS) Started as Outperform at Credit Suisse.<br />
Riverbed Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: RVBD) Started as Underperform at Jefferies.<br />
Ryanair Holdings plc (NASDAQ: RYAAY) Cut to Neutral at Goldman Sachs.<br />
Sanderson Farms, Inc. (NASDAQ: SAFM) Added to Conviction Buy List at Goldman Sachs.<br />
Tudou Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: TUDO) Started as Buy at Deutsche Bank.</p>
<p>With gold and silver bouncing after what looked like a bursting bubble, here is a <a href="http://247wallst.com/2011/09/23/in-shaky-times-precious-metals-funds-that-thrive-gld-gdx-slv-userx-kgc-ocmgx-gg-fsagx-abx-ncm-goldx-gold/" target="_blank">list of the top-rated precious metals funds</a> expected to win in uncertain times from Zacks.</p>
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<p>JON C. OGG</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/analyst-calls/'>Analyst Calls</a> Tagged: <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/aht/'>AHT</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/amcx/'>AMCX</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/bg/'>BG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/ctrn/'>CTRN</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/ek/'>EK</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/eqy/'>EQY</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/ffiv/'>FFIV</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/ivn/'>IVN</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/mfb/'>MFB</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/pds/'>PDS</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/rvbd/'>RVBD</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/ryaay/'>RYAAY</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/safm/'>SAFM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/tudo/'>TUDO</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/xray/'>XRAY</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/113313/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=113313&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<category domain="tickers">AHT</category><category domain="tickers">AMCX</category><category domain="tickers">BG</category><category domain="tickers">CTRN</category><category domain="tickers">EK</category><category domain="tickers">EQY</category><category domain="tickers">FFIV</category><category domain="tickers">IVN</category><category domain="tickers">MFB</category><category domain="tickers">PDS</category><category domain="tickers">RVBD</category><category domain="tickers">RYAAY</category><category domain="tickers">SAFM</category><category domain="tickers">TUDO</category><category domain="tickers">XRAY</category>
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		<title>Top Analyst Upgrades &amp; Downgrades (AET, AMR, ADM, MT, BG, CINF, COH, EXPE, FAST, HGSI, NSIT, JNPR, KMB, PCLN, RYL, LCC, SAFM, WAG)</title>
		<link>http://247wallst.com/2011/08/23/top-analyst-upgrades-downgrades-aet-amr-adm-mt-bg-cinf-coh-expe-fast-hgsi-nsit-jnpr-kmb-pcln-ryl-lcc-safm-wag/</link>
		<comments>http://247wallst.com/2011/08/23/top-analyst-upgrades-downgrades-aet-amr-adm-mt-bg-cinf-coh-expe-fast-hgsi-nsit-jnpr-kmb-pcln-ryl-lcc-safm-wag/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Aug 2011 12:11:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Administrator</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analyst Calls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ADM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AET]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AMR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CINF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COH]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EXPE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FAST]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HGSI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JNPR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KMB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LCC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NSIT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PCLN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RYL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SAFM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WAG]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://247wallst.com/?p=110734</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[These are some of the top analyst upgrades, downgrades, and initiations seen from Wall Street research calls this Tuesday morning. Aetna Inc. (NYSE: AET) Raised to Buy at Jefferies. AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR) Raised to Neutral at BofA/ML. Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE: ADM) Started as Equal-Weight at Barclays. Arcelor Mittal (NYSE: MT) Cut to [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=110734&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://247wallst.com/2011/02/14/the-plot-thickens-at-st-joe-joe/bull-and-bear/" rel="attachment wp-att-95230"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-95230" title="Bull and Bear" src="http://247wallst.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/bull-and-bear.jpg?w=200&#038;h=149" alt="" width="200" height="149" /></a>These are some of the top analyst upgrades, downgrades, and initiations seen from Wall Street research calls this Tuesday morning.</p>
<p>Aetna Inc. (NYSE: AET) Raised to Buy at Jefferies.<br />
AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR) Raised to Neutral at BofA/ML.<br />
Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE: ADM) Started as Equal-Weight at Barclays.<br />
Arcelor Mittal (NYSE: MT) Cut to UNderperform at BNP Paribas.<br />
Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) STarted as Overweight at Barclays.<br />
Cincinnati Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: CINF) Maintained Underperform as <a href="http://www.zacks.com/registration/pfp?ALERT=ZER_LINK&amp;d_alert=ZER_CONF&amp;t=CINF&amp;ADID=247WALL_CONTENT_ZER" target="_blank">Bear of the Day</a> at Zacks.<br />
Coach Inc. (NYSE: COH) Raised to Buy at Jefferies.<br />
Expedia Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) Started as Neutral at Credit Suisse.<br />
Fastenal Company (NASDAQ: FAST) Raised to Outperform as <a href="http://www.zacks.com/registration/pfp?ALERT=ZER_LINK&amp;d_alert=ZER_CONF&amp;t=FAST&amp;ADID=247WALL_CONTENT_ZER" target="_blank">Bull of the Day</a> at Zacks.<br />
Human Genome Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ: HGSI) Started as Buy at Brean Murray.<br />
Insight Enterprises, Inc. (NASDAQ: NSIT) Reiterated Buy as <a href="http://www.zacks.com/registration/pfp?ALERT=ZR_LINK&amp;d_alert=rd_final_rank&amp;t=NSIT&amp;ADID=247WALL_CONTENT_ZR" target="_blank">Value</a> at Zacks.<br />
Juniper Networks, Inc. (NYSE: JNPR) Raised to Outperform at Morgan Keegan.<br />
Kimberly-Clark Corporation (NYSE: KMB) Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays.<br />
Priceline.com Incorporated (NASDAQ: PCLN) Started as Outperform with $720 target at Credit Suisse.<br />
Ryland Group Inc. (NYSE: RYL) Raised to Neutral at Credit Suisse.<br />
US Airways Group, Inc. (NYSE: LCC) Raised to Buy at BofA/ML.<br />
Sanderson Farms, Inc. (NASDAQ: SAFM) Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan.<br />
Walgreen Co. (NYSE: WAG) Cut to Underweight at Barclays.</p>
<p>You are <a href="http://247wallst.com/page/free-newsletter/" target="_blank">invited to join our free daily email distribution list</a> to hear more about analyst upgrades and downgrades, top day trader and active trader alerts, dividend trends, news on Buffett and other investment gurus, IPOs, secondary offerings, private equity, and more.</p>
<p>JON C. OGG</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/analyst-calls/'>Analyst Calls</a> Tagged: <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/adm/'>ADM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/aet/'>AET</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/amr/'>AMR</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/bg/'>BG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/cinf/'>CINF</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/coh/'>COH</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/expe/'>EXPE</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/fast/'>FAST</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/hgsi/'>HGSI</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/jnpr/'>JNPR</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/kmb/'>KMB</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/lcc/'>LCC</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/mt/'>MT</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/nsit/'>NSIT</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/pcln/'>PCLN</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/ryl/'>RYL</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/safm/'>SAFM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/wag/'>WAG</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/110734/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=110734&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<category domain="tickers">ADM</category><category domain="tickers">AET</category><category domain="tickers">AMR</category><category domain="tickers">BG</category><category domain="tickers">CINF</category><category domain="tickers">COH</category><category domain="tickers">EXPE</category><category domain="tickers">FAST</category><category domain="tickers">HGSI</category><category domain="tickers">JNPR</category><category domain="tickers">KMB</category><category domain="tickers">LCC</category><category domain="tickers">MT</category><category domain="tickers">NSIT</category><category domain="tickers">PCLN</category><category domain="tickers">RYL</category><category domain="tickers">SAFM</category><category domain="tickers">WAG</category>
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		<title>No Ethanol Subsidy, No Problem (BG, RDS-A, CZZ, ADM, VLO, PEIX, GPRE, PBR, FUE)</title>
		<link>http://247wallst.com/2011/08/19/no-ethanol-subsidy-no-problem-bg-rds-a-czz-adm-vlo-peix-gpre-pbr-fue/</link>
		<comments>http://247wallst.com/2011/08/19/no-ethanol-subsidy-no-problem-bg-rds-a-czz-adm-vlo-peix-gpre-pbr-fue/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2011 16:01:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Administrator</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Green Biz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil & Gas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ADM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CZZ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FUE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GPRE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PBR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PEIX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RDS-A]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VLO]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://247wallst.com/?p=110578</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What will happen to ethanol makers when the US subsidy ends in December, as appears increasingly likely? Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG) apparently believes that demand  will continue strong, at least in Brazil and maybe the US as well. Bunge has said that it will invest $2.5 billion to expand its Brazilian sugar cane and biofuel [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=110578&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://247wallst.com/2010/11/22/real-mergers-more-in-potash-sector-pot-bhp-vale-kcl-to/corn-image2-10/" rel="attachment wp-att-87198"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-87198" title="corn-image2" src="http://247wallst.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/corn-image23.jpg?w=200&#038;h=93" alt="" width="200" height="93" /></a>What will happen to ethanol makers when the US subsidy ends in December, as appears increasingly likely? Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG) apparently believes that demand  will continue strong, at least in Brazil and maybe the US as well.</p>
<p>Bunge has said that it will invest $2.5 billion to expand its Brazilian sugar cane and biofuel capacity by 2016. The investment will expand the company&#8217;s milling capacity (called crush in the industry) by 50%, to a total of 30 million metric tons annually. The investment plans follow last year&#8217;s $12 billion joint venture, Raizen, in cane ethanol by Royal Dutch Shell plc (NYSE: RDS-A) and Brazil&#8217;s Cosan Ltd. (NYSE: CZZ).</p>
<p>Other US ethanol makers, including Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM), Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO), Pacific Ethanol, Inc. (NYSE: PEIX), and Great Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. (NYSE: GPRE), are also preparing for an end to US subsidies on corn-ethanol although there is not likely to be much impact on their top or bottom lines. The subsidy has largely been passed through corn producers.</p>
<p>Bunge&#8217;s decision should help Brazil return to self-sufficiency in ethanol production. The country has been unable to meet demand for ethanol and is importing some from the US and Europe. That has driven up prices for ethanol and gasoline, which at some times has been cheaper than ethanol due to government caps on the price of fuel.</p>
<p>Petroleo Brasileiro (NYSE: PBR), or Petrobras, has been forced to sell gasoline at less than cost at times, and the company will be glad to see an increase in the crushing capacity for sugar cane. Petrobras recently announced that it would invest $328 million in a new facility to make cane-ethanol. The oil giant plans to spend more than $2 billion on ethanol production and increase its market share in Brazil from 5% to 12% by 2015.</p>
<p>In the US, the federal mandate for ethanol blending with gasoline increases demand and is partly responsible for the run-up of corn prices. Ethanol production consumes about 40% of the total US corn crop. Once the subsidy for corn-ethanol and the $0.54/gallon tariff on imported ethanol end, imports from Brazil could take off.</p>
<p>Ethanol made from cellulosic material was supposed to have contributed 250 million gallons to US supplies this year. Instead, it is producing approximately none. The mandated volume for 2012 is 500 million gallons, which the government is considering reducing to 3.5 million gallons. And even that small amount will be a challenge.</p>
<p>Bunge, Raizen, and Petrobras are putting themselves in a strong position for domestic consumption in Brazil as well as for exporting ethanol to the US, where supply is unlikely to be able to keep up with demand.</p>
<p>Bunge shares are up more than 0.5% today, at $61.19, in a 52-week range of $50.52-$76.13. The ELEMENTS MLCX Biofuels Index Total Return ETN (NYSE: FUE), though quite small and lightly traded, is up more than 1% today, at $12.33, in a 52-week range of $7.40-$13.24.</p>
<p>Paul Ausick</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/agriculture/'>Agriculture</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/green-biz/alternative-energy/'>Alternative Energy</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/green-biz/'>Green Biz</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/oil-gas/'>Oil &amp; Gas</a> Tagged: <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/adm/'>ADM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/bg/'>BG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/czz/'>CZZ</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/fue/'>FUE</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/gpre/'>GPRE</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/pbr/'>PBR</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/peix/'>PEIX</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/rds-a/'>RDS-A</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/vlo/'>VLO</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/110578/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=110578&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Goldman Sachs Calls For Much Lower Food Prices (GS, ADM, BG, TSN, SFD, KFT, CAG, GIS, K)</title>
		<link>http://247wallst.com/2011/07/02/goldman-sachs-calls-for-much-lower-food-prices-gs-adm-bg-tsn-sfd-kft-cag-gis-k/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Jul 2011 11:15:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Administrator</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Analyst Calls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ADM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CAG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GIS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[K]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KFT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SFD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TSN]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) have reversed a forecast from just two weeks ago suggesting that corn, wheat and soybean prices would be higher due to reduced harvests this fall. Following yesterday&#8217;s U.S. Department of Agriculture announcement on acreage planted, the investment bank is now cutting forecasts for futures on corn, wheat [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=107301&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-87198" title="corn-image2" src="http://247wallst.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/corn-image23.jpg?w=200&#038;h=93" alt="" width="200" height="93" />Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) have reversed a <a href="http://247wallst.com/2011/06/14/commodities-watch-corn-prices-fall-as-goldman-raises-outlook-adm-vlo-gpre-peixd-moo-dba/" target="_blank">forecast from just two weeks ago</a> suggesting that corn, wheat and soybean prices would be higher due to reduced harvests this fall. Following yesterday&#8217;s U.S. Department of Agriculture <a href="http://247wallst.com/2011/06/30/commodity-watch-corn-planting-solid-prices-not-so-much-dba-moo/" target="_blank">announcement on acreage planted</a>, the investment bank is now cutting forecasts for futures on corn, wheat and soybeans.</p>
<p>Goldman predicts that prices will remain high this fall, but that by December 2011 the price of a basket of farm products will be lower than it was 12 months earlier by an estimated 7%. By the looks of today&#8217;s prices for corn and wheat, Goldman may have gotten this one right.</p>
<p>Corn is down nearly 6%, at $6.11/bushel and has fallen below the price of wheat, which is currently trading at about $6.15/bushel. Corn has been trading higher than wheat for about two weeks or so, a condition so unusual that it&#8217;s happened only twice before in nearly 30 years.</p>
<p>Falling prices for grains could be good news for food processors like Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM), Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG), and privately held Cargill. Producer/distributors like Tyson Foods, Inc. (NYSE: TSN) and Smithfield Foods Inc. (NYSE: SFD) could also profit, along with consumer products makers like Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT), ConAgra Foods Inc. (NYSE: CAG), General Mills Inc. (NYSE: GIS) and Kellog Co. (NYSE: K).</p>
<p>All these companies are showing share price gains for the first six months of 2011, with ADM up just marginally and ConAgra up near 15%. For the past year, Smithfield share price rose about 50%, Bunge about 39%, and the laggard, General Mills, about 5%. And that&#8217;s with higher prices all along the value chain.</p>
<p>If Goldman is right about a price drop, however, the fourth quarter of 2011 and the first half of 2012 could be even better for Smithfield, Tyson, ConAgra and the other consumer products makers because the costs will fall faster than their prices. Retail prices are sticky compared to commodities prices, and that could even give ADM and Bunge a little boost as they try to hold onto higher prices as their costs drop.</p>
<p>Now the real weather watching begins because the crops are in the ground and the right mix of rain and sunshine can mean the difference between a big crop and a mediocre one. If the crop year produces the harvests that Goldman expects, these food companies could see some good harvests of their own.</p>
<p>Paul Ausick</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/agriculture/'>Agriculture</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/analyst-calls/'>Analyst Calls</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/commodities/'>Commodities</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/economy/'>Economy</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/category/food/'>Food</a> Tagged: <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/adm/'>ADM</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/bg/'>BG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/cag/'>CAG</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/gis/'>GIS</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/gs/'>GS</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/k/'>K</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/kft/'>KFT</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/sfd/'>SFD</a>, <a href='http://247wallst.com/tag/tsn/'>TSN</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/247wallst.wordpress.com/107301/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=247wallst.com&amp;blog=5450697&amp;post=107301&amp;subd=247wallst&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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