Posts for Ticker ‘CMGI’

ModusLink Replaces CMGI (MLNK, CMGI)

Moduslink_logoCMGI Inc. (NASDAQ: CMGI) is now ModusLink Global Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: MLNK).  Shares are now open for trading after opening at $9.00.  Last night the company reported earnings, but traders will now be focused on the company’s name change and stock ticker change as it sheds its last remnants of being the old internet incubator.  The company’s main operations are in the arena of global supply chain business process management. 

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CMGI Is No More (CMGI, MLNK)

Cmgi_logoModuslink_logoCMGI Inc. (NASDAQ: CMGI) is about to go through an investor transformation.  The former Internet incubator is now mostly ModusLink and will reflect that change. It also released its quarterly earnings with its net revenue was $276.3 million, up 9.4% over the same period last year.   On a non-GAAP  basis its operating income was $6.3 million, down from $7.2 million in the same period last year.  We don’t really have any great estimates from analysts to use for a comparison right now as it looks like the old figures were not updated.  The company is also changing its name and stock ticker effective tomorrow.

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CMGI Internal Guidance Breaks Major Move (CMGI)

After the close of trading today, CMGI Inc. (NASDAQ: CMGI) reported its quarterly numbers.  Unfortunately for holders, the reaction isn’t a strong one. 

The ModusLink owner and incubator for tech and alternative energy announced a loss at -$0.05 EPS on $239.2 million in revenues.  There was only one real estimate out there and that was for $0.08 EPS on $282.1 million in revenues.  Keep in mind that the company counted its non-GAAP operating income of $7.6 million and it also claimed a 230 basis point improvement in gross margin.  Its operating income after items was listed as $10,000.00.

The company lowered its own prior fiscal 2008 guidance and put the new range at $1.05 to $1.10 Billion in revenues with operating in come at 2% to 2.5% of revenues.  Back in March, the company guided to a range of $1.10 to $1.15 billion in revenues and operating income, before any restructuring expenses, to be approximately 2.0% to 2.5% of revenue.   The company also noted that restructuring charges would run in the $5 to $8 million range this year, which looks in line with prior targets it set.

Its cash and cash equivalents and available-for-sale securities of $248.6 million at the end of the third quarter and continued to have no outstanding bank debt.

Unfortunately for shareholders, the stock is being hit in after-hours trading by about 14% down to $12.83.  Before this drop shares had recovered almost 40% from the March lows.  Missing a single estimate is one issue, but lowering your own guidance is another.  That’s holding true even for this cult stock.

Jon C. Ogg
June 9, 2008

CMGI Braces For Earnings (CMGI)

After the close of trading today, or shortly before the close as before, we’ll get the fiscal Q3-2008 quarterly earnings report out of CMGI Inc. (NASDAQ: CMGI).

Unfortunately there is only one real estimate out there and that is for earnings of $0.08 EPS on $282.1 million in revenues.  With only one estimate and with how this has performed after earnings in the past, it is obvious that relying only on the raw numbers is not the way to go.  Back in March, the company gave the following guidance for this Fiscal Year:

  • Revenue of $1.10 billion to $1.15 billion;
  • Operating income before any restructuring expenses, to be approximately 2.0% to 2.5% of revenue in fiscal 2008;
  • Restructuring expenses for fiscal 2008 are expected to be $5 million to $8 million.

The company also repurchased 507,000 shares for some $6 million last quarter, with it still having authorizations of $36 million available for future repurchases in its previously announced $50 million stock buyback plan.

The company has made a better transition away from being an incubator only into an operating company via its ModusLink supply chain unit. 

More interesting than elsewhere, CMGI has slowly and quietly seen a rapid share price appreciation of nearly 40% above its March 2008 lows.  While it has had a hard time staying above $15.00 in the last two weeks, its move has nonetheless been an impressive one.

As of January 31, 2008, CMGI had working capital of approximately $320.4 million compared with $319.4 million at January 31, 2007. Included in working capital as of January 31, 2008 were cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities totaling $265.2 million compared to $275.0 million at January 31, 2007. 

Its current market cap is roughly $730 million.  Shares are up less than 1% at $14.90 today, and the 52-week trading range is $9.66 to $21.80.

Jon C. Ogg    
June 9, 2008

So Far, CMGI Passes Earnings Test (CMGI)

CMGI, Inc. (NASDAQ: CMGI) shares are trading up slightly in after-hours trading  after earnings.  The supply chain manager and internet incubator posted a 14.4% drop in revenues to $278.0 million, but gross margins improved to 14.0% compared with 12.5% in the prior year period.  It also posted a 23.7% drop in operating income of $8.6 million.  Its net income was down 22.5% to $0.58 EPS on $27.8 million.

This one tends to operate on a pattern of its own because the targets for earnings and revenues are few and far between, but we did give a full earnings preview here.  As far as guidance, it continues to expect revenue of $1.10 billion to $1.15 billion and operating income to be about 2.0% to 2.5% of revenue in fiscal 2008.

While CEO Joe Lawler was a bit cautious in tone, he did note, "…….The challenging economic environment requires lower cost supply chains, faster time to market and swifter response to promotions and liquidations to reduce excess inventory. These factors play to the strengths of our business model and are contributing to our growing sales pipeline. Based on the strength of that pipeline, we are maintaining our full year financial guidance.”

As of January 31, CMGI’s working capital of $320.4 million comprised of cash and equivalents of $265.2 million. During the quarter, CMGI repurchased approximately 507,000 shares on the open market for about $6.0 million.  It has spent roughly $14 million of its $50 million share buyback plan. 

CMGI closed down 4% at $10.62 in regular trading, and shares are up 3% at $10.95 in after-hours trading.  The company’s market cap at the close was $520 million at the close.

Jon C. Ogg
March 10, 2008

CMGI Braces For Earnings (CMGI, SFE)

Today we’ll get to see earnings out of CMGI Inc. (NASDAQ: CMGI).  First and foremost, we’d note that the actual estimates are a guide and that this one almost seems like it acts on its own and any "formal estimates" are not as set in stone as with larger companies.

The estimates for the supply chain management company and internet incubator from First Call are $0.21 EPS on $315 million in revenues, although we would caution that there are only two estimates listed.  Next quarter estimates are $0.12 EPS on $282.1 million in revenues. Estimates for fiscal July-2008 are $0.60 EPS on $1.14 billion in revenues.

We’ve only seen one target at $22.00 and that is an old one.  CMGI does have a significant short interest of $4.022 million shares as of the end of February, up slightly from the prior report.            

CMGI’s 52-week trading range is $9.66 to $26.00, although we would note that this is after a reverse-split adjustment so it isn’t quite as representative as it sounds.

The company did recently make a new acquisition just last month.

Last quarter, CMGI said it would focus on gross margins with expanded offerings and lowering of infrastructure costs.  Its goal was to reach 12% to 14% margins with cost cuts.  One other issue that was noted was that the company expects to continue to derive the vast majority of operating revenue from sales to a small number of key clients.

We routinely have CMGI screened for our "10 Stocks Under $10" newsletter, although there hasn’t been a call there on this one of late because of price constraints.  A perceived competitor is Safeguard Scientifics (NYSE: SFE), and that was just added to the newsletter list this weekend.

Jon C. Ogg
March 10, 2008

CMGI Adds To ModusLink Via Acquisition (CMGI)

CMGI Inc. (NASDAQ: CMGI) has announced an acquisition this morning of a company called Open Channel Solutions, Inc., which is a provider of entitlement and e-business management solutions.

This acquisition was all cash and was listed as a total value of $24.5 million for OCS.  CMGI is paying out a net purchase price of $11 million for a minority interest and the repayment of debt that OCS currently holds.

CMGI said that this will be neutral to 2008 earnings and accretive thereafter.  In its integration of OCS into ModusLink, the company provides solutions that manage entitlements for software licenses, maintenance & support subscriptions, hardware features and rights-managed content.

Interestingly enough, this company was spun-off of Modus Media International back in 2001.  After CMGI acquired Modus Media international in 2004, CMGI took a minority interest in the company and it has been held as an @Ventures investment since. 

If you adjust for its reverse stock split, CMGI shares have seen a trading range over the last 52-weeks of $9.66 to $26.00.

Jon C. Ogg
February 20, 2008

Short Sales in Reverse Stock Splits (JAVA, CMGI, SUNW)

Since Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ:JAVA) and CMGI (NASDAQ:CMGI) have recently completed reverse stock splits, we wanted to see what short sellers had done in the stock.  Short sellers often pile on more pressure with added short sales betting against stocks who perform reverse stock splits.

The following data is based on the Trade Date of November 27 and the Settlement Date of November 30:

Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ:JAVA) had an adjusted 11.101 Million shares listed in its short interest after accounting for its reverse stock split.  What is interesting is that from mid-November that is a drop of some 30.5% in the short interest.  Maybe there is some love after all.

CMGI, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMGI) had an adjusted amount of 3.585 Million shares listed in its short interest after accounting for its recent reverse stock split.  This represents only a gain of 2.29% in the short interest from mid-November on an adjusted basis.

Sun Microsystems used to trade under the "SUNW" stock ticker, and even had the "JAVAD" ticker briefly, and CMGI traded briefly under the "CMGID" stock ticker while that was a pending reverse split.

Jon C. Ogg
December 12, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

CMGI’s Mixed Earnings Bag (CMGI)

CMGI Inc. (NASDAQ:CMGI) earnings have been released.  Surprisingly enough, it seems as though that because it is not a $1 or $2 stock any longer that no one is trading the stock.

We recently noted CMGI in our "10 Stocks Under $10" weekly subscriber newsletter with ten stocks that trade under 10-bucks.   Here are today’s earnings (with percentage changes year over year where applicable):

  • Net revenue of $274.7, (-3.1%);
  • Operating income of $9.1 million, (+80.9%);
  • Income from continuing operations of $9.2 million, (-5.1%);
  • Net income of $8.6 million, (-16.6%);
  • Non-GAAP operating income of $17.1 million, (+66.4%);
  • Diluted EPS from continuing operations of $0.19, compared to diluted earnings per share from continuing operations of $0.20 for the same period in the prior fiscal year;
  • Diluted earnings per share including discontinued operations of $0.18, compared to diluted earnings per share including discontinued operations of $0.21 for the same period in the prior fiscal year.
  • CMGI also ended with $261.2 million in cash and equivalents.

Joseph C. Lawler, Chairman, President & CEO of CMGI: “Revenue was expectedly lower compared with last year due to two specific previously announced client programs that were discontinued, however we are very pleased with the growth we are seeing from other client engagements. Excluding those discontinued programs, revenue grew by approximately 15% compared to the year ago period. Gross margin performance was higher than expected, driven by work mix, continuous improvement initiatives and higher volumes for certain client programs.”

CMGI continues to expect revenue of $1.10 billion to $1.15 billion and operating income to be approximately 2.0% to 2.5% of revenue in fiscal 2008, before any restructuring.  During the first quarter ended October 31, 2007, CMGI repurchased 568,000 shares (after giving effect to the recent reverse stock split) for aggregate consideration of $8.0 million, and pursuant to which the Company has authorized the repurchase of up to $50 million of common stock over an 18-month period.

We are going to look for "new contract awards" for an area we’d like to see here.  The company needs more contracts for longer periods of time and it needs to demonstrate that customer losses are either in-sourcing or are from natural attrition that would be expected at larger companies.  Otherwise we think that traders will get tired of hearing about customer defections.

Shares were initially down by about 0.5%, but now shares are up $0.01 in after-hours.  The stock closed at $10.33 today and the implied 52-week trading range to account for the reverse split is $9.66 to $26.00.

Jon C. Ogg
December 3, 2007

Stocks Under $10: CMGI (CMGI)

CMGI Inc. (CMGI) has just become eligible under the "10 under $10" with yesterday’s drop to $9.97. The shares are slightly above $10 today 

The company just recently began trading without the "D" as CMGID after its reverse stock split.  Wall St. is still cautious as the main operations of the company are in the ModusLink "supply chain" business. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to be cautious about any aspect of logistics in a slowing economy when transports have remained quite negative. 

Stocks that go through reverse stock splits often have a contrary impact from what they intended: lower share prices, mainly from short sellers.  Investors seem inclined to stay on the sidelines a bit longer with CMGI, even if this is technically back under $1.00 based on the pre-reverse-split share prices. 

The reports earnings on December 3, and caution seems to dictate against jumping in ahead of what will be a tough quarter to please even cult stock investors.

The Editors

Subscriber to the 24/7 Wall St. "Ten Stocks Under $10" newsletter.

The Business Day In Global Warming (MCEL, ASTI, CSUN, CPST, CMGI, USEY)

Senator Joe Lieberman and Senator John Warner introduce the Climate Security Act to aim for 50% carbon emission reduction in the U.S…… by 2050.

Lazard Capital gets even more bullish on key solar names, after already showing some strong expectations earlier this week.  You still have to use some caution though, as per the Cowen & Co. research note on China Sunergy (NASDAQ:CSUN) having its stock being overextended.

Google blew past its earnings and analysts are looking for much higher stock prices, so it has more and more money to keep it push going to be ‘carbon neutral’ by the end of the year.

Oil hit $90/barrel this week, T. Boone Pickens is now calling for $100/barrel.  Believe it or not, he’s not alone:

Millennium Cell Inc. (NASDAQ:MCEL) and Horizon Fuel Cell Technologies Pte. Ltd have signed a Letter of Intent to jointly develop and sell products on a global basis. The companies have also entered into a definitive agreement which will result in the exchange of their respective equity valued at $5 million.

Ascent Solar Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTI) has filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission post-effective amendments to two existing Form SB-2 registration statements that cover, among other things, the shares of common stock issuable upon exercise of outstanding Class B warrants. Today’s filings do not register additional securities for sale by Ascent Solar, but are intended solely to convert the existing registrations on Form SB-2 into less burdensome and less costly registrations on Form S-3.

Capstone Turbine Corp. (NASDAQ:CPST) has released a 65 kilowatt microturbine that meets extremely low global emission requirements including California’s stringent distributed generation emissions standard.

CMGI Inc.’s (NASDAQ: CMGI) @Ventures announced that one of the companies in its venture capital portfolio, The Generations Network, Inc. will be acquired by Spectrum Equity Investors. Under the terms of the agreement, Spectrum will lead an investment of $300 million to purchase a majority interest in the company.

U.S. Energy Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: USEY)…. The NASDAQ Stock Market will delist the Company’s shares of common stock and suspend trading in the shares effective with the opening of trading on Thursday, October 18, 2007. The Company has been advised that its shares are eligible for quotation on the Pink Sheets Electronic Quotation Service.
Business Week article touts the "green business notion of profitability is going up in smoke."
The early-week edition of "The Business Day In Global Warming"
If you wish to subscribe directly to this link please set your RSS feeds to:
http://www.247wallst.com/alternative_energy/index.html

Jon C. Ogg
October 19, 2007

Jon Ogg produces the subscriber-based Special Situation Investing Newsletter; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.  Trial members signing up this weekend will still be entitles to view the first part of our "Small Cap Internet Watch List" of likely takeover targets in the sector.

As a reminder, whether you prefer the term "Global Warming" or "ClimateChange" is not the issue as far as 24/7 Wall St. covers it. Greenbusiness has become big business, and this affects many publiccompanies today.

The Business Day In Global Warming (RZ, VE, NGG, COP, ADM, HIT, POWR, CMGI, GE, CVX)

This morning Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) cut estimates from 2007 to 2009 for corn-based ethanol producers for much of the same reasoning that we have been cautious on the sector.

Raser Technologies, Inc. (NYSE Arca: RZ) announced today that it has added to its geothermal rights in the Escalante Desert in southwestern Utah through a 10 year lease agreement with a private property owner for undisclosed financial terms.

National Grid (NYSE: NGG) has welcomed plans by the MassachusettsDepartment of Environmental Protection (DEP) to introduce auctions forCO2 allowances across the state that are being developed in support ofthe Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) that was endorsed byGovernor Patrick earlier this year.

Veolia Water, part of Veolia Enrinnment SA (NYSE:VE) Won a contract to Supply 3 Million inhabitants with drinking water in Tianjin, China.  From what we’ve read, they need it.

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) and Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE:ADM) have announced a new alliance to develop next generation biofuels.  Expect more and more announcements of this sort from oil comnpanies.  You don’t think any of them are going to say "No we’re not interested because we only are interested in oil."  They might feel that way today, but at the end of the day oil companies are just energy companies.

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Short Sellers Backed Off CMGI Into Earnings (CMGI)

CMGI Inc. (NASDAQ:CMGI) saw its short interest come in at 34.781 million shares in September 2007, down some 12% from the 39.926 million shares listed as being in the August short interest.  Shares traded down about 5% last night in after-hours trading after its earnings, although the shares had initially taken a 10% haircut.  Here was the full summary of its results.

We had noted ahead of time how the results were going to be more of a focus rather than the side show items.  Here are other items of interest pertinent to last night’s earnings report and the short interest:

Jon C. Ogg
September 26, 2007

JOn Ogg produces the 24/7 Wall St., LLC Special Situation Investing Newsletter; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Media Digest 9/26/2007 Reuters, WSJ, NYTimes, FT, Barron’s

According to Reuters, Toyota (TM) says that its sales in the US may not rise this month.

Reuters writes that Microsoft (MSFT) will replace a number of damaged disks from its new Halo 3 game.

Reuters writes that Nasdaq (NDAQ) and Borse Dubai have won approval to buy the OM.

The Wall Street Journal writes that Moody’s and S&P will go before Congress today to defend their ratings of sub-prime instruments and other investments.

The Wall Street Journal writes that Microsoft (MSFT) has begun to turn to outside talent rather than fill key management jobs from within.

The New York Times reports earnings at Redhat (RHT) rose sharply.

The FT reports that Amazon (AMZN) has launched it competition to Apple (AAPL) iTunes.

The FT also reports that Nintendo is now the second largest company in the US based on market cap.

Barron’s reports that quarterly revenue fell at CMGI (CMGI).

Bloomberg writes that GM (GM) and the UAW have reached a tentative contract.

Douglas A. McIntyre

CMGI Traders Focusing On Results (CMGI)

We had previously noted for CMGI Inc. (NASDAQ:CMGI) that the core results were going to be closely looked at more than all the sideshow items, and that appears to be the case.  The company affected a 1-10 reverse split, a $50 million share buyback, and will have a ticker change for 20 days.  CMGI shares in after-hours were trading down 10%, but now shares are down roughly 6% at $1.50 after closing up $0.01 at $1.60 on the day.  Here is a more draw out explanation of each point of the earnings report:

  • RESULTS:  CMGI’s revenue was $252.6 million, down 3.6% from Q4 2006; Gross margin increased to 12.1% from 10.7% last year; Operating loss of $2.4 million compared with operating income of $1.7 million in Q4 2006; Net loss of $6.2 million or $0.01 per diluted share compared to net loss of $2.5 million or $0.01 in Q4 2006; Non-GAAP operating income of $7.2 million compared with $7.6 million in Q4 2006; Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities at July 31, 2007 increased to $282.3 million from $228.7 million at July 31, 2006.
  • EXCEPTIONS: As anticipated, revenue for the fourth quarter was affected by specific client programs that were discontinued, but were partially offset by growth from other client engagements.
  • DEVELOPMENTS: CMGI continued to invest in its strategic initiatives which are focused on penetrating new target vertical markets with investments of approximately $5.7 million during the quarter (approximately $2.9 million was recorded as an operating expense in the period and the remainder capitalized on the balance sheet).
  • OUTLOOK: The company currently expects revenue of approximately $1.10 billion to $1.15 billion and operating income to be approximately 2.0% to 2.5% of revenue in fiscal 2008, before any restructuring. Restructuring for fiscal 2008 is expected to be $5 million to $8 million.
  • SHARE COUNT REDUCTION; REVERSE SPLIT: CMGI Announces One-for-Ten Reverse Split is now authorized which had been approved by stockholders at the Annual Meeting of Stockholders on December 7, 2006. CMGI’s common stock will begin trading at the split-adjusted level on November 1, 2007; and for 20-trading days following the split the stock will trade under the trading symbol "CMGID". After the 20-trading day period, CMGI’s common stock will resume trading under the symbol "CMGI". The number of shares of CMGI common stock issued and outstanding will be reduced from approximately 490 million shares as of September 25, 2007, to approximately 49.0 million shares post-split. No fractional shares will be issued in connection with the reverse stock split. CMGI shareholders who would be entitled to fractional shares will receive cash payments in lieu of receiving fractional shares.
  • STOCK BUYBACKS: The board of directors has authorized the repurchase of up to $50 million of the company’s common stock over the next 18 months.

For now, the results and guidance are more of the focus than the sideshows. 

Jon C. Ogg
September 25, 2007

Jon C. Ogg produces the 24/7 Wall St., LLC Special Situation Investing Newsletter; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

CMGI Earnings Expectations (CMGI, SFE, ICGE)

CMGI (NASDAQ:CMGI) is set to report earnings after the market close on Tuesday, September 25, 2007.  As a reminder, one of the recent quarter earnings did actually come out ahead of the market close.  So this will be one to watch on Tuesday from about 2:00 PM EST on.

This is going to boil down to the results from ModusLink, its logistics operations.  If you want to trust the one stated estimate it is $0.02 EPS on $256.6 million.  Here was what the company offered for guidance at its last conference call.

There is always a chance that Wall Street will look at the alternative energy investments, but right now it seems that the focus will be on the actual results if other companies are a decent bogey here.  We recently noted its new launch in Europe with more geographies promised.

Sometimes the obvious is all that matters, and that seems to be the case going into this earnings report.  In the past there have been many similar ties to Safeguard Scientifics (NYSE:SFE) and to Internet Capital Group (NASDAQ:ICGE), although there have been very indirect ties on news and relative price moves over the last year.

Other articles of Interest:

Shares closed down $0.03 at $1.59 today on only 5.465 million shares, and the 52-week trading range is $1.03 to $2.60.  Average trading volume is back down to well under 10 million shares, far short of when the buzz machine was surrounding this every day.

Jon C. Ogg
September 24, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he produces the Special Situation Investing Newsletter and he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

CMGI Launches New European Solutions; Aims For More Regional Offerings (CMGI)

CMGI, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:CMGI) main unit, ModusLink Corporation has just announced its new Gateway to Europe Solution.  This is supposed to be the first solution to be unveiled in a series of regionally optimized Gateway-to-Market Solutions designed to help technology manufacturers more rapidly establish a high-performing supply chain infrastructure in key geographic markets.  The goal is to lower capital investment and risk to the companies.

The Gateway to Europe Solution combines ModusLink’s local and global market knowledge, integrated operations and extensive global footprint, with a complete range of regionally optimized and integrated services.  This will help in meeting the needs of customers in multiple countries with multiple language requirements to effectively managing variable regulatory compliance, VAT taxation, sourcing constraints and customs clearance.  For whatever this is worth, this issue here is one of the most complex issues currently in international transportation.

The Gateway to Europe Solution is a bundled offering that enables sourcing and supply-base management, materials and content management, light manufacturing and optimized configuration, fulfillment and e-Business; and complete aftermarket services.

ModusLink anticipates that additional Gateway-to-Market solutions will be forthcoming and will focus on the delivery of regionally optimized solutions for key economic regions throughout the world.

There is a catch here, and it boils down to compliance and how user-friendly the system will be.  The truth is that this has all of the key buzzwords that would make this more attractive.  The question is whether or not ModusLink can deliver upon the claims.  We should be getting some data from outside independent supply chain evaluators, so stay tuned.

Jon C. Ogg
September 18, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Recent Market Malaise Extra Painful For Cult Stocks (CMGI, SFE, HOKU, LOCM, OMEX)

When you see close to a 10% drop in the broad market, you just automatically assume it punishes the speculative names even worse.  Being Hi-Beta has a price.  That wasn’t any different in the last mini-tank.  Many of these companies essentially have not had any real official change to their underlying stories.  But we all know that the ’story’ is dependent upon good times lasting for many quarters or longer. 

This last drop has been extremely tough on many of these speculative and ‘cult stocks’ over the last couple of weeks.  Here are a just a few of the instances in some of the more cult stock names we cover from time to time:

CMGI Inc. (NASDAQ:CMGI) is actually less than 10% above its 52-week lows of $1.20 now.  At $1.36 it is down almost 50% from the $2.60 highs.  This was a major cult stock for the first half of the year.  If the capital markets are closing it may crimp its wave of investing into recent alternative energy companies.  That argument seems flawed, and the ModusLink story has still been receiving coverage.  Here was what we The story didn’t seem like it has changed at all, but it is obviously not at all immune to a market tank nor to a softening economy and any tightening liquidity crunch isn’t going to be well received by CMGI speculators.

Safeguard Scientifics (NYSE:SFE) traded as high as $3.28 at the end of April, and shares sit at $2.00 mid-day.  Safeguard traded up after such a large move earlier this year at CMGI.  We interviewed the CEO at the end of June.  Maybe their own capital hasn’t dried up for investing, but partners may have a harder time pulling the trigger now.

Local.com (NASDAQ:LOCM) also saw shares skyrocket on a patent award and on other business developments, but even on the 2+% post-earnings gain today shares have fallen more than 50% from highs in July.

Hoku Scientific Inc. (NASDAQ:HOKU) is still up nearly 300% from lows, but it has been shares in recent weeks fall from highs of over $14.00 down to just under $8.00 today.  Its pending contracts have been viewed with less certainty over the future financing of its polysilicon factory under plans in Idaho.  That is the logic behind the slide any way.  We gave a "both sides of the coin" picture on this back in June, and right now it’s on tails.

Odyssey Marine (NASDAQ:OMEX), formerly OMR on AMEX, shares are higher after it filed amended complaints against Spain after Spain wants its treasure back for free that it lost in shipwrecks and after a recent brief company boat seizure and data copied from one of the laptops on board. This was the story that got Odyssey back on the map, no pun intended.

Obviously there are many names out there that have been given a hard market slap.  A 7% drop in the DJIA has equated to a 7% drop in the NASDAQ.  All eyes are on the FOMC today, although with a liquidity and a housing market at serious risk Bernanke & Co. probably have more on their mind besides small cap speculative stocks. 

In really tough times that won’t have major buyouts and times where investors may not be able to count on share buyback plans to add a floor, investors look at defensive stocks.  Here was our revised ‘bulletproof stock list’ from last week.  Just keep in mind that if a market stays tough, even the teflon stocks fall victime to the firing squad.

Jon C. Ogg
August 7, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Shorting the NASDAQ Hi-Flyers (June 2007) (ATML, CNXT, CHTR, CMGI, FNSR, LVLT, PMCS, SIRI, SUNW, COMS)

Stock Tickers:    ATML, CNXT, CHTR, CMGI, FNSR, LVLT, PMCS, SIRI, SUNW, COMS

It is always interesting to see how short interest changes month to month in the lower priced more active stocks on NASDAQ that get attention from the fast money and retail investor with a degree of fervor.  Here is a list of the changes from May to June, and you can tell that the changes here show more short sellers increasing their activity over the last month.

Company (Ticker)                     JUNE      MAY      CHANGE
Atmel (ATML)                            10.67M   9.70M     +9.9%
Conexant (CNXT)                     45.8M    40.5M      +12.8%
Charter Comm. (CHTR)         90.8M    91.1M      (-0.25%)
CMGI (CMGI)                             33.5M    27.3M      +22.5%    
Finisar (FNSR)                         29.4M    25.2M      +16.6%
Level 3 (LVLT)                          119.9M   109.3M   +9.7%
PMC-Sierra (PMCS)                 28.1M    25.8M      +8.8%
SIRIS (SIRI)                               101M      91.2M     +10.7%
Sun Micro (SUNW)                   28.9M    30.2M       (-4.2%)   
3COM (COMS)                          25.8M     21.5M      +19.6%   

The NASDAQ 100 Trust (QQQQ) saw its short interest rise more than 26%, with its short interest carried at 197.6 million shares in June compared to 156.6 million in May.  Stay tuned Wednesday as we’ll have more of the sectors broken down for chips, Internet, biotech and more.

Jon C. Ogg
June 27, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Nasdaq Short Interest, June 2007

Below are the major short interest positions for stocks traded on Nasdaq for the period ending June 15 compared to comparable numbers for May.

Company                              Shares Short In June              Change

Intel     (INTC)                        100.1 million shares short       +23%

Sun Micro  (SUNW)                 29.0 million                           +4%

Sirius   (SIRI)                         101.1 million                          +11%

Oracle (ORCL)                         48.7 million                           +3%

Microsoft  (MSFT)                  113.9 million                           +15%

Yahoo!   (YHOO)                     72.6 million                             +8%

Conexant  (CNXT)                    45.8 million                           +13%

Applied Materials  (AMAT)       53.0 million                            +28%

Qualcomm  (QCOM)               31.9 million                            +20%

Amgen  (AMGN)                    42.0 million                             +64%

Level 3   (LVLT)                    120.0 million                            +10%

Starbucks    (SBUX)               25.9 million                             -1%

Comcast   (CMCSA)             113.4 million                            +1%

Dell   (DELL)                         34.2 million                             +5%

Nvidia  (NVDA)                      20.8 million                            +77%

Adobe  (ADBE)                     19.8 million                            +19%

Symantec  (SYMC)               50.7 million                            +15%

Ebay    (EBAY)                     32.5 million                              -4%

Charter   (CHTR)                   90.9 million                               nc

Dendreon  (DNDN)                40.1 million                              -2%

Apple (AAPL)                       29.9 million                             +7%

CMGI  (CMGI)                      33.5 million                            +23%

Douglas A. McIntyre