The unofficial closing bells put the DJIA up nearly 34 points to 12,530.91 (0.27%), the NASDAQ fell nearly 11points (-0.38%) to 2,839.38, and the S&P 500 rose 0.14% or nearly 2 points to 1,320.73.

There were several analyst upgrades and downgrades today, including Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) maintained as ‘neutral’ but estimates raised at Credit Suisse; ARM Holdings plc (NASDAQ: ARMH) raised to ‘buy’ at S&P; Duke Energy Corp. (NYSE: DUK) raised to ‘buy’ at UBS; National Oilwell Varco (NYSE: NOV) raised to ‘buy’ at SocGen; and MetLife Inc. (NYSE: MET) raised to ‘buy’ with a target price of $46 at Argus.

Earnings reports since markets closed last night have led to some price changes as of the last half hour of trading today: Hewlett-Packard is up 3% at $21.72 (more coverage here); Fred’s Inc. (NASDAQ: FRED) is down -2.5% at $14.05; H.J. Heinz Co. (NYSE: HNZ) is down -0.8% at $53.41; Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF) is down -7.5% at $57.17 after posting a new 52-week low of $55.75 earlier today (more coverage here); Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST) is up 1% at $84.16 (more coverage here); and The Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD) is down -0.3% at $76.54.

Tomorrow we are scheduled to get earnings reports from America’s Car-Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT), Mentor Graphics Inc. (NASDAQ: MENT), Post Holdings Inc. (NYSE: POST), Frontline Ltd. (NYSE: FRO), and JDA Software Group Inc. (NASDAQ: JDAS).

We’ve also reviewed some potential value stocks among major oil companies, gold & silver miners, conglomerates, industrials, retail, and semiconductor stocks.

Other standouts from today include the following stocks:

Rosetta Genomics Inc. (NASDAQ: ROSG) is up nearly 52% at $17.07. The medical device maker is still booming on last week’s announcement that treatment would be covered by Medicare.

Pandora Media Inc. (NYSE: P) is up 12.5% at $11.62. The Internet radio company reported better-than-expected results last night. More coverage here.

Stay tuned for Friday. Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser is giving a speech. We have also noted the following events on the schedule (all times Eastern):

• 9:55 a.m. – Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index

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Paul Ausick

When the stores reported first quarter earnings, the preponderance of guidance pointed to slower sales in the second quarter likely based on sales pulled forward into the first quarter due to warm weather. But it could be the case that falling gasoline prices are giving sales a lift in May that could continue through June. According to the latest report from Retail Metrics, retailers are on track to post a comparable store sales gain of 3.6% in May, excluding the negative effect of lost sales at Walgreen Co. (NYSE: WAG) due to its being dropped by pharmacy benefits management firm Express Scripts Inc. (NASDAQ: ESRX).

We looked at a dozen retailers with an eye toward discerning value opportunities for investors: Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST), Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT), Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT), Macy’s Inc. (NYSE: M), Kohl’s Corp. (NYSE: KSS), J.C. Penney Company Inc. (NYSE: JCP), Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS), Limited Brands Inc. (NYSE: LTD), American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (NYSE: AEO), Abercrombie & Fitch Inc. (NYSE: ANF), The TJX Companies Inc. (NYSE: TJX), and Dollar General Corp. (NYSE: DG).

Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST) traded at $84.14 and has a market value of around $37 billion. The consensus target price from Thomson Reuters is $86.83 and the 52-week range is $70.22-$92.10. Costco has a dividend yield of 1.3%. The implied upside to the consensus target is just 3%, and we would note that the target is below the 52-week high.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) traded at $64.65 and has a market value of around $220 billion. The consensus target price from Thomson Reuters is $65.28 and the 52-week range is $48.31-$64.88 (new high set today). Walmart has a dividend yield of 2.5%. The implied upside to the consensus target is barely 1%, but we would note that the target is still above the 52-week high.

Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) traded at $56.84 and has a market value of around $38 billion. The consensus target price from Thomson Reuters is $63.65 and the 52-week range is $45.28-$58.95. Target has a dividend yield of 2.1%. The implied upside to the consensus target is 12%, and we note again that the target is above the 52-week high.

Costco Sales

Costco (NASDAQ: COST) continues its extraordinary run as the most successful big-box retailer. Its club membership system has bettered the more traditional store operations of Walmart (NYSE: WMT) and Target (NYSE: TGT). Net sales for the quarter that ended May 6 increased 8% from last year to $21.85 billion. Net sales for the first 36 weeks increased 10% to $65.54 billion. Same-store sales were up 5% for the most recent quarter. Costco’s shares trade at $83.50, up from a 52-week low of $70.22. Costco’s revenue per employee was $569,488, compared to $206,117 for Walmart.

Best IPOs

A quick review of the 25 largest U.S. IPOs ever shows how badly Facebook has done in early trading. Most of the companies on the list have tremendous revenue, traditional business plans that they have been able to freshen, and large profits. Among these are Visa (NYSE: V), UPS (NYSE: UPS), General Motors (NYSE: GM), MetLife (NYSE: MET) and Prudential Financial (NYSE: PRU). The thing that stands out most about the list is how few tech companies it has. Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) is on the list, of course. But most of the companies are financial ones or firms that are manufacturing based. (Data from CapitalIQ.)

Facebook Investigation

The debate over whether some large investors were warned about a revenue downgrade of Facebook (NASDAQ: FB) continues. Several media have carried stories about Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) passing on numbers that showed lowered forecasts for earnings and revenue in the second quarter and the full year. The attorney general of Massachusetts has begun an investigation into whether information was selectively disclosed. Morgan Stanley insists that it was in compliance with all the regulations that set rules for IPO behavior. Even if Morgan Stanley makes its case successfully, the news likely will keep individual investors out of the market. Many of these investors have turned to mutual funds, exchange traded funds and fixed income paper to protect their interests. That behavior has been reinforced by the Facebook IPO.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Same store sales were up 5% for the most recent quarter. Costco’s shares trade at $83.50 up from a 52-week high of $70.22. Costco’s revenue per employees was $569,488 compared to $206,117 for Wal-Mart.

Target and Wal-Mart reported numbers which, although good, where much less robust.

Douglas A. McIntyre

The unofficial closing bells put the DJIA down nearly 7 points to 12,496.07 (-0.05%), the NASDAQ rose about 11 points (0.39%) to 2,850.12, and the S&P 500 rose 0.17% or about 2 points to 1,318.85.

There were several analyst upgrades and downgrades today, including Facebook Inc. (NASDAQ: FB) started as ‘buy’ with a target price of $40 at Needham (more coverage here); Patriot Coal Corp. (NYSE: PCX) cut to ‘hold’ at Deutsche Bank; The Blackstone Group LP (NYSE: BX) raised ‘buy’ at Sterne Agee; Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) raised to ‘neutral’ at Goldman Sachs; and Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) cut to ‘neutral’ at Mizuho and maintained as ‘underperform’ with a $14 target price at Credit Suisse.

Earnings reports since markets closed last night have led to some price changes as of the last half hour of trading today: Dell is down -16.8% at $12.55 after posting a new 52-week low of $12.31 earlier today (more coverage here); American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (NYSE: AEO) is up 1.4% at $20.07; Big Lots Inc. (NYSE: BIG) is up 4% at $36.20; Hormel Foods Corp. (NYSE: HRL) is up 1.2% at $29.54; Suntech Power Holdings Co. Ltd. (NYSE: STP) is up 1.5% at $2.01 (more coverage here); and Trina Solar Ltd. (NYSE: TSL) is up 4.9% at $5.59.

Tomorrow we are scheduled to get earnings reports from Fred’s Inc. (NASDAQ: FRED), H.J. Heinz Co. (NYSE: HNZ), MakeMyTrip Ltd. (NASDAQ: MMYT), Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF), The Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD), and Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST).

Other standouts from today include the following stocks:

PetSmart Inc. (NASDAQ: PETM) is up 13.3% at $62.99 after posting a new 52-week high of $63.19 earlier today. The company reported better-than-expected earnings and forecast more good things to come.

Seagate Technology PLC (NASDAQ: STX) is down -2.4% at $25.72. The disk drive maker is buying France-based LaCie SA for $186 million.

Stay tuned for Thursday. New York Fed President William Dudley is giving a speech. We have also noted the following events on the schedule (all times Eastern):

• 8:30 a.m. – Durable goods orders
• 8:30 a.m. – New claims for unemployment benefits
• 10:30 a.m. – EIA weekly natural gas storage report
• 11:00 a.m. – Kansas City Fed manufacturing index
• 1:00 p.m. – 7-year note auction
• 4:30 p.m. – Fed balance sheet and money supply

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Paul Ausick

These are some of the focus companies reporting earnings in the coming week: Tech Data Corporation (NASDAQ: TECD); Urban Outfitters Inc. (NASDAQ: URBN); Autozone Inc. (NYSE: AZO); Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE: BBY); Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL); PetSmart Inc. (NASDAQ: PETM); Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE: RL); Big Lots Inc. (NYSE: BIG); Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ); NetApp Inc. (NASDAQ: NTAP); Pandora Media Inc. (NYSE: P); Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL); Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST); Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF); and VeriFone Systems Inc. (NYSE: PAY).

MONDAY, MAY 21

Tech Data Corporation (NASDAQ: TECD) is set to report and show how the outlook is for the companies which actually distribute all of the technology components and finished smartphones and consumer electronics devices around the world.  Shares were recently under $48 and the 52-week range is $38.21 to $59.29.  The consensus estimate is $1.16 EPS and $6.18 billion in revenue.

Urban Outfitters Inc. (NASDAQ: URBN) is going to show if its turnaround is closer or just still chugging along.  Estimates are $0.20 EPS and $579.2 million in revenue.  Shares were recently around $25.50 and the 52-week range is $21.47 to $33.90; the consensus target price is about $29.70.

TUESDAY, MAY 22

Autozone Inc. (NYSE: AZO) took it hard on the chin recently when rival Advance Auto warned of a difficult second quarter.  This is one of the high-priced stocks and shares are around $366 against a 52-week range of $266.25 to $399.10.  The consensus analyst target price is $419.80; estimates are $6.25 EPS and $2.13 billion in revenue; next quarter estimates are $8.47 EPS and $2.84 billion in revenue.

Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE: BBY) is in such disarray that we won’t even bother with the warnings and the caveats here.  Estimates are $0.60 EPS.

Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) is now trading at only about 7.5-times forward earnings.  Estimates are $0.46 EPS and $14.89 billion in sales.  Earnings have been choppy on guidance but the PC makers and components makers are all talking up the release of Windows 8 as a new catalyst.  With shares trading just under $15.00, the 52-week range is $13.29 to $18.36 and the consensus price target is almost $19.50.

PetSmart Inc. (NASDAQ: PETM) has been a steady “beat earnings and raise guidance” outfit as Americans will pay endless and countless dollars on Fido and Fifi.  Estimates are $0.73 EPS and $1.6 billion in revenue. With shares around $56.00, the 52-week high is $59.36.

Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE: RL) has sold off nearly $40 from its highs since March.  The question is how its business has been holding up in slowing markets even if the U.S. sales have been strong.  Estimates are $0.83 EPS and $1.6 billion in sales.  With shares around $143 the 52-week range is $105.00 to $182.48 and the consensus price target from analysts is just over $190.00.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 23

Big Lots Inc. (NYSE: BIG) should be called “Warning Lots” because it has lowered guidance and been hard on two different waves.  With shares under $35 and against a high of $47.22, the premium values of the dollar stores may and discounters may be hurting here.  On the flip side, the bar has been set extremely low.  Estimates are $0.69 EPS and $1.3 billion in revenue.

Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) is now around the $22 handle and the news of another 25,000 or more in layoffs (versus 350K as of October 31, 2011) is not helping the growth hopes.  Estimates are $0.91 EPS and $29.92 billion in sales.  The stock now trades at about 6-times earnings, but the consensus price target is down to just over $29.00 as no one wants to pay up for the valuation of this DJIA component.

NetApp Inc. (NASDAQ: NTAP) has been pounded and the last 45 days has looked like a downward staircase on its chart.  At about $34.00, the 52-week range is $33.00 to $56.49 and the consensus price target objective is just over $47.00.

Pandora Media Inc. (NYSE: P) is no longer market-influencing, but it is a cult stock and the earnings could create a large gain or a large drop.  With shares under $10.50, the post IPO range is $7.83 to $26.00.  Estimates are -$0.17 EPS and $74.3 million in revenue.  Can the company make it to profitability by the end of next year?

Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL) is expected to be profitable.  A profitable homebuilder!  At $25.50, the 52-week range is $13.16 to $27.80.  A lot of good news already has to be priced in, so we would want to expect upside to remain positive here.  Estimates are $0.04 EPS and $381.9 million in revenue.

THURSDAY, MAY 24

Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST) almost always beats its earnings estimates.  At $83.75 the 52-week range is $70.22 to $92.10; analysts have a target price of $86.80 or so.   Estimates are $0.87 EPS and $22.1 billion in revenue.

Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF) has come off of its highs significantly and this is the king of jewelry stores for investors.  There will have been two smaller reports ahead of Tiffany in the week with Fred’s and Zale.  Estimates for Tiffany are $0.69 EPS and $816.8 million.  With shares under $61.00, the 52-week range is $56.21 to $84.49 and the consensus price target is $75.63.

VeriFone Systems Inc. (NYSE: PAY) has pulled back by about 20% from its highs, but the woes of the company seem to be behind it.  At $44.80, the 52-week range is $30.25 to $55.89 and the consensus analyst price target is $54.10.  Estimates are $0.61 EPS and $471.5 million in revenue.

As a reminder, dates and estimates can change ahead of earnings and some may have already changed.

JON C. OGG

Target posted EPS of $1.04 for the quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $1.01. Revenue totaled $16.87 billion, slightly better than the consensus estimate of $16.85. For the current quarter, the company forecast EPS of $0.94-$1.04, versus a consensus estimate of $0.99. For the full fiscal year, Target raised its EPS forecast from $4.05-$4.25 to $4.10-$4.30, versus a consensus estimate of $4.28.

Response to the company’s results have been a bit muted because just last month the company forecast EPS of $1.04-$1.10, and today’s report came in at the low end of that range. And the company’s revenues were just barely better than expected, a sign perhaps that profits will be a little harder to generate from the store’s lower-income customers who could desert Target if the company raises its prices.

Walmart is expected to post EPS of $1.04 on revenue of $110.5 billion when it reports results tomorrow. The company is likely to do all it can to post the best possible numbers in an effort to put the Mexican bribery scandal in a much less prominent place than it now occupies.

Costco is expected to post EPS of $0.87 on revenue of $22.14 billion next week. The warehouse retailer has a forward P/E of 19.38, compared with Walmart’s 11.28 and Target’s 11.49, indicating that shares are about fully valued. Costco’s same-store sales reports for the past couple of months significantly better than year-ago sales, and analysts responded by leaving the EPS estimate unchanged. Target’s estimated EPS rose by $0.05 since last month, on its better-than-expected same store sales.

Target’s shares are up 1.7% after the first hour of trading this morning, at $56.04 in a 52-week range of $45.28-$58.95.

Paul Ausick

Also, keep in mind that portfolio managers Todd Combs and Ted Weschler are still new and those new positions of under $200 million $300 million are likely tied to them.

24/7 Wall St. has gone through line by line of each position to see which stocks have been bought and sold as new positions, as well as having added in whether or not the number of shares grew or shrank on each since the prior quarter. We had added some color in on some of the positions if applicable.

Be advised that the number of subsidiaries that this filing covers is 14 entities rather than 18 entities in the prior quarter. There is also a note in the 13F filing showing that the SEC has granted “Confidential Treatment” on some Berkshire stock holdings and that likely suggests that Buffett is still acquiring a position he does not want the public to know about yet. This filing does not signal the half-dozen or more European shares that Buffett said he bought so that remains an outstanding issue as well.

The value of the stock portfolio was $66,151,587,000 at the end of 2011 and this was listed as $75,300,250,000 at the end of March 2012.

American Express Co. (NYSE: AXP) was over 151.6 million shares, SAME AS last quarter.

Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE: BK) is now 5.6 million shares, HIGHER THAN the 1,793,915 shares last quarter.

CVS Caremark Corporation (NYSE: CVS) is the SAME SIZE at 7.106 million shares after having been a new holding in a recent quarter and having been raised one quarter ago.

Coca Cola Co. (NYSE: KO) was right at 200 million shares, SAME AS BEFORE.

ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is roughly 29.1 million shares, roughly the SAME AS BEFORE but it is still lower than previous quarters in past reports.

Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ: COST) 4,333,363 Shares, SAME AS last quarter after having lowered it before.

Da Vita Inc. (NYSE: DVA) is now 6 million shares worth $541 million and that LARGER THAN BEFORE after having been a new position of 2.684 million shares.

DirecTV (NASDAQ: DTV) is a LARGER POSITION listed at 22.999 million worth over $1.13 billion. This one had been 20.348 million shares worth $870 million one quarter earlier and it had been a new position just two quarters ago at 4.249 million shares.

So far this morning we have sales figures from Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST), Target Inc. (NYSE: TGT), Macy’s Inc. (NYSE: M), Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS), Stage Stores Inc. (NYSE: SSI), Limited Brands Inc. (NYSE: LTD), Stein Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: SMRT), Wet Seal Inc. (NASDAQ: WTSLA), Buckle Inc. (NYSE: BKE), and Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ: ZUMZ).

Costco reported same-store sales growth of 4%, compared with a Thomson/Reuters estimate of 5.1% growth. Total sales rose 7%, and same-store sales excluding gasoline and currency effects rose 5% in April.

Target reported same-store sales growth of 1.1%, far short of an estimate of 2.8%.

Macy’s same-store sales growth came in at 1.2%, against an estimate of 1.9% growth.

Gap stores reported same-store sales fell -2% in April, compared with an estimated drop of -0.8%.

Stage Stores posted a same-store sales drop of -1%, much better than a forecast drop of -4.8%.

Limited Brands posted same-store sales growth of 6%, nicely above the estimate of 4%. The company also raised the lower end of its EPS guidance for the first quarter from $0.35 to $0.38. The top end of the range remained at $0.40.

Stein Mart posted a smaller-than-expected same-store sales drop of -1.6%, compared with the consensus estimate of -2.1%. For the first quarter same-store sales were down -0.4%.

Wet Seal reported that same-store sales dropped by -9.6% in April, compared with an estimated decline of -9%. For the first quarter, same-store sales are down -7.7% and total sales are down -5.2%.

Buckle posted same-store sales growth of 1% in April, compared with an estimate of 0.9%. Total sales grew 9.9% during the first quarter.

Zumiez reported same-store sales growth of 10.1% in April, compared with an estimate of 6.8% growth. Same-store sales for the first quarter rose 12.9% compared with the first quarter of 2011. Total sales rose 19.8% in April compared to April 2011.

Paul Ausick

The unofficial closing bells put the DJIA up nearly 67 points to 13,280.31 (0.5%), the NASDAQ rose about 4 points (0.13%) to 3,050.44, and the S&P 500 rose 0.57% or nearly 8 points to 1,405.89.

There were several analyst upgrades and downgrades today, including Watson Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NYSE: WPI) reiterated as ‘buy’ at Canaccord Genuity; AstraZeneca PLC (NYSE: AZN) raised to ‘neutral’ at BofA; Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE: ANF) raised to ‘buy’ at UBS; SunPower Corp. (NASDAQ: SPWR) raised to ‘buy’ at Citigroup; Yingli Green Energy Holdings Co. Ltd. (NYSE: YGE) raised to ‘buy’ at Citigroup; Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST) cut to ‘hold’ at Deutsche Bank; and Meru Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: MERU) cut to ‘neutral’ at RW Baird.

Earnings reports since markets closed last night have led to some price changes as of the last half hour of trading today: Arch Coal Inc. (NYSE: ACI) is down -3.8% at $9.39 (more coverage here); Veeco Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ: VECO) is up 14.8% at $34.67 (more coverage here); Pep Boys – Manny, Moe & Jack (NYSE: PBY) is down -21.8% at $11.67 (more coverage here); Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM) is up 7.9% at $33.25; Corn Products International Inc. (NYSE: CPO) is down -0.14% at $56.98; Avon Products Inc. (NYSE: AVP) is down -7.6% at $19.95; Domino’s Pizza Inc. (NYSE: DPZ) is down -9.6% at $34.18; Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) is down -0.14% at $22.87; and Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO) is up 0.9% at $24.92.

Tomorrow we get earnings from Barrick Gold Corp. (NYSE: ABX), JDS Uniphase Corp. (NASDAQ: JDSU), Marathon Oil Corp. (NYSE: MRO), First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR), and Visa Inc. (NYSE: V).

Other standouts from today include the following stocks:

P.F. Chang’s China Bistro Inc. (NASDAQ: PFCB) is up 29.7% at $51.46. The company is being taken private in a deal worth $1.1 billion. More coverage here.

Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE: DAL) is up 0.8% at $11.05. The airlines bought an oil refinery from newly-public Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX). More coverage here.

Chesapeake Energy Corp. (NYSE: CHK) is up 6.3% at $19.60. The company’s chairman will be replaced and the company reports earnings after markets close today. More coverage here.

Stay tuned for Wednesday. Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo and Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker are giving speeches. We have noted the following events on the schedule (all times Eastern):

• 7:00 a.m. – Mortgage Bankers Association purchase applications
• 7:30 a.m. – Challenger job cut report
• 8:15 a.m. – ADP employment report
• 10:00 a.m. – Factory orders
• 10:30 a.m. – EIA weekly petroleum status report

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Paul Ausick