When Team Buffett adds to a position, it is often in the new or relatively new positions already in the Buffett portfolio.  24/7 Wall St. has taken a look at the recent additional stake or new stake positions to see which shares that Mr. Buffett and his team of portfolio managers has likely added to along with some color and logic behind the move.

CVS Caremark Corporation (NYSE: CVS) was a larger position as of the end of 2011 at 7.106 million shares after having been a new holding in a recent quarter.  This was worth about $280 million at the start of 2012 and it is up more than 10% since then and the market cap here is $58 billion.

Da Vita Inc. (NYSE: DVA) was previously listed as a new position of 2.684 million shares worth $203 million at the end of 2011 but that position is worth about 12% more.  This is the leader as a kidney dialysis provider.  If the health trends remain then this one is right up Buffett’s alley.

DirecTV (NASDAQ: DTV) was most recently listed as a larger position which was listed as 20.348 million shares worth $870 million at the end of 2011.  In a prior report we had it as a new position of 4.249 million shares one quarter earlier.  The share price alone is up over 13% from the value at the end of 2011.

Dollar General Corporation (NYSE: DG) is one of the stocks which we think Team Buffett would have liked to own much more of.  The rapid rise in the value of the dollar store trends as a secular theme was even noticed at Berkshire.  This was the same size at the end of 2011 at 4.497 million shares but this was a new position and a larger position and it seems that the price just appreciated too fast for Buffett and friends to add many shares.  Perhaps they participated in the most recent secondary offering, but that might not appear based on the cut-off dates.

General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE: GD) was most recently a larger stake of 3.877 million shares worth $257 million after being listed as a new position just one quarter earlier before of 3.064 million shares.  These shares are hardly higher than the end of 2011, so perhaps Buffett and team have added to the stake on weakness.

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) was a larger of 11.495 million shares worth $278 million at the end of 2011; this was a new position of 9.333 million shares last quarter.  Shares are up 16% so far in 2012, so Buffett’s stake here may have grown in size and in value.

International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE: IBM) is one that Buffett already hinted at owning more of, but perhaps that is due to IBM’s share float shrinking from its buybacks.  The most recent filing showed some 63.905 million shares worth some $11.75 billion now after having been a new position with an average cost of about $170 per share.  Buffett’s bet has been worth more than a 10% unrealized gain ($1 billion or so) on what is now one of his largest positions.

Liberty Media Corporation (NASDAQ: LMCA) was a new position of 1.7 million shares worth some $132.7 million.  If Buffett is involved much here, it is under his new portfolio managers. Shares are up about 6% this year so far but it is unknown what the real goal or strategy is here when you consider the DirecTV angle.

Visa Inc. (NYSE: V) was most recently listed as a larger position of 2.865 million shares worth $291 million at the end of 2011.  This was listed as 2.291 million shares in the previous quarter.  The company has a near-duopoly and market strength and history that it seems just like a Buffett dream.  He likes banks, but owning the toll road providers for the theme of consumers using less cash and more card swipes in the years ahead.

Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC) is almost certainly a larger stake.  The reason for believing that is that Wells Fargo seems to be a position which grows in size infinitely and it was raised during the prior filing period to more than 383 million shares.  As of Friday’s closing bell, that stake (assuming no share count growth at all) would be worth a shopping $12.65 billion.

It is unlikely that Buffett would have added to each and every position.  He just doesn’t do that and his new team may be more interested in adding on other new targeted stocks on the books.

Again, here is the FULL BUFFETT STOCK HOLDINGS.

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JON C. OGG

Comcast posted EPS of $0.45 versus an estimate of $0.42. Revenue grew nearly 23% year-over-year to $14.89 billion, again higher than the consensus estimate of $14.43 billion.

The cable companies are losing subscribers to Verizon Wireless, a joint venture between Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) and Vodafone plc (NASDAQ: VOD) and AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) both of which offer high speed wireline broadband service in addition to voice and mobile services. And the competition is about to get even keener.

Verizon Wireless’ $3.6 billion bid for additional wireless spectrum from SpectrumCo LLC, a joint venture of Comcast, Time Warner Cable, and privately-held Bright House Networks and Cox Communications Inc., is about to change the landscape. The additional spectrum is what the other wireless carriers and the Federal Communications Commission are examining with a fine-toothed comb, but the cross-licensing agreements that give Verizon and Comcast and Time Warner Cable the ability to sell each other’s products are, perhaps, the bigger deal.

Although the FCC has not yet ruled on Verizon’s acquisition, the companies are acting like the deal is done. A Verizon-Comcast cross-licensing deal in San Francisco adds digital TV to its standard triple-play offer. AT&T, which offers its wireline U-verse high-speed service in San Francisco, has no comparable offer.

Similar deals between Comcast and Verizon are already in place in Portland, Oregon, and Seattle and Spokane, Washington. Verizon and Time Warner have launched a similar bundle in Raleigh, North Caroline, Kansas City, and Columbus and Cincinnati, Ohio. Subscribers can bundle cable services with Verizon Wireless mobile phone service and get the same deal from either the cable company or Verizon.

Cable-like companies such as Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX), Dish Network Corp. (NASDAQ: DISH), and DirecTV (NASDAQ: DTV) will also find the going getting tougher. Netflix is at the mercy of content providers like Comcast and Time Warner, which are likely to drive Netflix’s costs higher while lowering their own. Verizon could throttle network speeds for Netflix streaming videos, and although the carrier would eventually be stopped, it might be too late for Netflix. The satellite companies, likewise, could find themselves paying more for content.

As for AT&T’s U-verse and Verizon’s FiOS, neither is as valuable nor has as well-defined a growth path as wireless services. Comcast’s Xfinity broadband service will disappear eventually and be subsumed by the Verizon wireless network.

People want mobility and that means wireless services. At first, the deals between Comcast and Verizon and Time Warner and Verizon will be appealing because the companies will be offering free or low-priced smartphones as well as the convenience of a single provider for all of a customer’s communications needs. But as smaller competitors like MetroPCS Communications Inc. (NYSE: PCS), Leap Wireless International Inc. (NASDAQ: LEAP), and even T-Mobile USA, the US arm of Deutsche Telekom AG (OTC: DTEGY) fall by the wayside, large markets will have at most two choices, Verizon or AT&T, and small markets will not get even that.

The new cross-licensing services launched too late to have any impact on first quarter results, but the deals should make some kind of showing on second quarter results. The smart money says that the deals will be winners.

Comcast’s shares are down -2.7% this morning at $29.76 in a 52-week range of $19.19-$30.88.

For those interested in the Verizon-SpectrumCo deal, the FCC web site has all the relevant documents under Docket Number WT 12-4. To date 539 comments have been filed and thousands of pages of documents.

Paul Ausick

The unofficial closing bells put the DJIA down nearly 72 points to 13,126.06 (-0.54%), the NASDAQ fell more than 15 points (-0.49%) to 3,104.96, and the S&P 500 fell -0.49% or nearly 7 points to 1,405.54.

There were several analyst upgrades and downgrades today, including DirecTV Inc. (NASDAQ: DTV) raised to ‘buy’ at Citigroup and reiterated as ‘buy’ at Canaccord Genuity; Kinder Morgan Inc. (NYSE: KMI) started as ‘equal weight’ at Morgan Stanley; Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) cut to ‘sector perform’ at RBC; Weight Watchers International Inc. (NYSE: WTW) started as ‘outperform’ at Credit Suisse; and Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) raised to ‘market perform’ at JMP Securities.

Earnings reports since markets closed last night have led to some price changes as of the last half hour of trading today: Christopher & Banks Corp. (NYSE: CBK) is down -13% at $2.05 after posting a new 52-week low of $1.85 earlier today; Synnex Corp. (NYSE: SNX) is down -13% at $37.94 (more coverage here); Family Dollar Stores Inc. (NYSE: FDO) is up 0.6% at $58.58 (more coverage here); and Jos. A. Banks Clothiers Inc. (NASDAQ: JOSB) is down -8.7% at $49.77 (more coverage here). After markets close today the Mosaic Co. (NYSE: MOS), Red Hat Inc. (NYSE: RHT), and Sanchez Energy Corp. (NYSE: SN) will report earnings. Before the markets open in the morning, we’ll get earnings from Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE: BBY) and Shaw Group Inc. (NYSE: SHAW).

Other standouts from today include the following stocks:

Commercial Metals Corp. (NYSE: CMC) is up 0.49%. The steel and metal fabricator posted better-than-expected earnings this morning. More coverage here.

Amylin Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: AMLN) is up more than 53%. The drug maker rejected a takeover bid. More coverage here.

Vermillion Inc. (NASDAQ: VRML) is up 19%. The drug maker received a patent approval today. More coverage here.

Stay tuned for Wednesday. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart, Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser, and Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker are giving speeches. We have also noted the following events on the schedule (all times Eastern):

• 8:30 a.m. – New unemployment benefits claims
• 8:30 a.m. – Corporate profits
• 10:30 a.m. – EIA natural gas storage report
• 11:00 a.m. – Kansas City Fed manufacturing index

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Paul Ausick

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: ARNA) Cut to Neutral at Piper Jaffray.

A123 Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: AONE) Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank.

Chimera Investment Corporation (NYSE: CIM) Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank.

DirecTV, Inc. (NASDAQ: DTV) Raised to Buy at Citigroup; Reiterated as Buy at Canaccord Genuity.

Freescale Semiconductor Holdings (NYSE: FSL) Started as Neutral at Goldman Sachs.

Hatteras Financial Corporation (NYSE: HTS) Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank.

IAC/InterActiveCorp (NASDAQ: IACI) Cut to Neutral at Citigroup.

Kinder Morgan Inc. (NYSE: KMI) Started as Equal-weight at Morgan Stanley.

NVIDIA Corporation (NYSE: NVDA) Raised to Market Perform at JMP Securities.

Progressive Corporation (NYSE: PGR) Raised to Outperform at Credit Suisse.

Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) Reiterated as Buy and raised target to $180 at Canaccord Genuity.

Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) Cut to Sector Perform at RBC.

Weight Watchers International Inc. (NYSE: WTW) Started as Outperform at Credit Suisse.

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JON C. OGG

The cable box is now three decades old. Cable was first build for rural areas that could not get broadcast signals. It quickly moved to cities as pay-TV channels like HBO were created. The cable box has not been pushed out of most homes, despite the efforts of companies like Tivo (NASDAQ: TIVO), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and telecom firms with fiber to the home. These fiber products have been championed by the likes of AT&T (NYSE: T) and Verizon (NYSE: VZ), which have had a place in American homes where they have provided telephone service for years. Even that presence has not helped them much.

The only industry that can fairly claim it has dislodged cable in many cases is satellite TV. Dish Network (NASDAQ: DISH) and DirecTV (NASDAQ: DTV) each have millions of subscribers. But satellite TV firms were early in the video-to-home business, offering service not long after cable companies did.

The attraction of the home living room has been a magnet to the world’s largest tech companies for years, because it is a multibillion-dollar business. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) tried to establish its own home entertainment system, which was Windows based. The project, begun in the early 2000s, was still-born. Microsoft found that consumers did not view TVs as they did PCs. And it had the same problem competing with the nearly universal adoption of cable and satellite. One more service made the living room too crowded.

Video service providers like Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) have had success in the living room, but Netflix does not replace the cable box. It complements it. Netflix may compete with cable VOD, but its does so over broadband and is not the primary signal to the television set. Some cable companies fear that Netflix will create a de facto cable system. That would be difficult. Netfilx would have to set relationships with content providers as disparate as local TV stations and MTV. There is a tiny chance Netflix could do that, but the process would take years. Cable TV operators established those relationships years ago.

Intel, which may create a new set-top service, will be unable to convince consumers that it should be the third, fourth or fifth entertainment and information product in the living room.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Thus far, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) has received comments from MetroPCS Communications Inc. (NYSE: PCS), DirecTV Inc. (NASDAQ: DTV), Sprint, and T-Mobile USA, the US mobile carrier of Deutsche Telekom AG (OTC: DTEGY).

Besides access to an additional 259 million customers in the US, the proposed acquistion includes cross-selling agreements between the buyer and the sellers. The competitors have been asking the FCC to require fuller disclosure of these agreements because they are an integral part of the deal for the spectrum licenses. All are worried about Verizon’s ability to wield unbeatable market power in virtually every market.

Through these agreements, the cable companies, on the one hand, and Verizon Wireless, on the other, will become agents to sell one another’s products and, over time, the cable companies will have the option of selling Verizon Wireless’ service on a wholesale basis. Additionally, the cable companies and Verizon Wireless have formed an innovation technology joint venture for the development of technology to better integrate wireline and wireless products and services.

The cross-selling agreements are a nice bonus for the cable operators, who now will be able to bundle wireless service with their existing phone, broadband, and cable TV services. The sale has the the added benefit of getting the cable guys out of the low-margin, high-cost wireless business.

For Verizon Wireless, the purchase gives them a larger population to cast their net over and an opportunity to bundle the cable operators’ services into a package of their own. But the added spectrum is what the deal’s all about for Verizon Wireless. The new capacity will be a significant aid to the build-out of the company’s 4G LTE network.

Comcast will realize about $2.3 billion from the sale and Time Warner Cable will get about $1.1 billion. That’s about double their investments in the original spectrum license purchases in 2006.

Paul Ausick

The unofficial closing bells put the DJIA up more than 123 points to 12,904.01 (0.96%), the NASDAQ rose more than 44 points (1.51%) to 2,959.85, and the S&P 500 rose 1.1% or nearly 15 points to 1,358.05.

There were several analyst upgrades and downgrades today, including Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) cut to ‘equal-weight’ at Morgan Stanley; Deere & Co. (NYSE: DE) cut to ‘market perform’ at Wells Fargo; Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) cut to ‘neutral’ at BofA/ML; Lorillard Inc. (NYSE: LO) started as ‘buy’ at Jefferies; and MEMC Electronic Materials Inc. (NYSE: WFR) raised to ‘hold’ at Jefferies.

Earnings reports since markets closed last night have led to some price changes as of the last half hour of trading today: Advance Auto Parts Inc. (NYSE: AAP) is up 7.3% at $85.20 after posting a new 52-week high of $86.30; Apache Corp. (NYSE: APA) is up 0.14% at $107.82; Barrick Gold Corp. (NYSE: ABX) is up 1.24% at $48.02; DirecTV (NASDAQ: DTV) is down -1.9% at $45.41; Duke Energy Corp. (NYSE: DUK) is up 1.53% at $21.19; General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) is up 9% at $27.17; Molson Coors Brewing Co. (NYSE: TAP) is up 3% at $45.18; Strayer Education Inc. (NASDAQ: STRA) is down -8% at $105.81; and PF Chang’s China Bistro Inc. (NASDAQ: PFCB) is up 2% at $35.35.

Other standouts from today include the following stocks:

Jingwei International Ltd. (NASDAQ: JNGW) is up more than 43% at $2.08. The Chinese software company is being taken private.

Advance America, Cash Advance Centers Inc. (NYSE: AEA) is up more than 32% at $10.46 after posting a new 52-week high of $10.55 early this morning. The cash advance provider is being acquired by Mexico’s Grupo Elektra for $10.50/share, for a total price of about $655 million.

HyperDynamics Corp. (NYSE: HDY) is down nearly -30% at $1.42 after posting a new 52-week low of $1.01 earlier this morning. The independent oil & gas exploration and production company reported only non-commercial quantities of hydrocarbons at its offshore West African field.

PMFG Inc. (NASDAQ: PMFG) is down nearly -20% at $16.85. The machinery maker has announced a secondary offering of 2.6 million shares at $16/share.

Avis Budget Group Inc. (NYSE: CAR) is down nearly -16% at $12.28. The car rental company posted an unexpected loss in the fourth quarter.

Stay tuned for Friday. We have noted the following events on the schedule (all times Eastern):

• 8:30 a.m. – Consumer price index
• 10:00 a.m. – Leading economic indicators

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Advance Auto Parts Inc. (NYSE: AAP) shares almost hit a 52-week high on Wednesday.  Estimates are $0.75 EPS and $1.32 billion in sales.

Apache Corporation (NYSE: APA) $2.87 EPS on $4.3 billion in revenue; watch for news on northern Africa operations.

Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) $0.12 EPS on $1.97 billion in sales; next quarter estimates are $0.16 EPS on $2.08 billion in sales.  This report will have every chip cap-ex stock elsewhere looking closely.

Baidu Inc. (NASDAQ: BIDU) is the “Google of China’ by many investors… estimates are $0.91 EPS and $700.75 million in sales.  Next quarter estimates are $0.83 EPS and $665.9 million in sales.   Around $138 it is back in the middle of its 52-week trading range.

Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE: ABX) $1.27 EPS and shares are in the lower half of the 52-week range.

DIRECTV, Inc. (NASDAQ: DTV) $0.92 EPS on $7.4 billion in sales; Team Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway added shares to the position.

DaVita Inc. (NYSE: DVA) $1.48 EPS on $1.85 billion in sales; Team Buffett added this as a new position for the Berkshire Hathaway holdings.

Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE: DUK) $0.21 EPS on $3.37 billion in revenue

EarthLink Inc. (NASDAQ: ELNK) is still around and acting as a business broadband provider rather than just a dial-up ISP of the days past.  Estimates are $0.04 EPS and $349.23 million in sales.

General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) $0.41 EPS and $38.2 billion in sales; GM is still a busted IPO but is trading down under 7-times 2012 expected earnings.  Value, or value trap?

Leap Wireless International Inc. (NASDAQ: LEAP) -$1.11 EPS on $808 million in sales.  Watch shares of MetroPCS Communications, Inc. (NYSE: PCS).

Molson Coors Brewing Co. (NYSE: TAP) $0.70 EPS

Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN) $1.10 EPS on $3.18 billion in sales

SunPower Corporation (NASDAQ: SPWR) was the ‘solar buyout that only got partly acquired’ and shares have been bashed.  At $7.36, the 52-week range is $4.94 to $23.36.  Earnings estimates are -$0.05 EPS on $669 million in sales.

Waste Management, Inc. (NYSE: WM) $0.60 EPS on $3.35 billion in revenue.  The 3.8% yield may make more interest than in rival Republic Services.

Web.com Group Inc. (NASDAQ: WWWW) is expected to post $0.23 EPS and $93.95 million in sales.  If all goes well, this one trades at less than 10-times expected 2012 earnings.  It has been hard to not notice a high degree of advertising out of Web.com of late.

Thursday’s Economic Data:

8:30 AM EST Weekly Jobless Claims (365K est.)

8:30 AM EST January Housing Starts (677K est.)

8:30 AM EST January PPI (+0.4% es.)

9:00 AM EST Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke speaks on community banking

10:00 AM EST Treasury’s Geithner speaks to Senate Budget Committee

10:00 AM EST February Philly Fed

10:30 AM EST Weekly Natural Gas inventories

4:30 PM EST Feb. 15 Foreign Central Bank Treasury Holdings

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JON C. OGG

Charles River Laboratories International Inc. (NYSE: CRL); Chimera Investment Corporation (NYSE: CIM); Nordic American Tankers Ltd. (NYSE: NAT); Rackspace Hosting Inc. (NYSE: RAX); Avon Products, Inc. (NYSE: AVP); Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (NYSE: GT); MetLife Inc. (NYSE: MET); Omnicom Group Inc. (NYSE: OMC); Zynga Inc. (NASDAQ: ZNGA); Agilent Technologies, Inc. (NYSE: A); NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA); PG&E Corp. (NYSE: PCG); Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE: DVN); Deere & Co. (NYSE: DE); NetApp, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTAP); Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCSA); Apache Corporation (NYSE: APA); DIRECTV, Inc. (NASDAQ: DTV); Waste Management, Inc. (NYSE: WM); Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN); Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT); Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE: DUK); H.J. Heinz Company (NYSE: HNZ); and Campbell Soup Company (NYSE: CPB).

Earnings estimates are from Thomson Reuters and the dates may change by the companies.  More detailed previews will be available each day this coming week with much more color and trading information.

MONDAY, FEB 13

Charles River Laboratories International Inc. (NYSE: CRL) $0.56 EPS

Chimera Investment Corporation (NYSE: CIM) $0.11 EPS

Nordic American Tankers Ltd. (NYSE: NAT)  -$0.29 EPS… with losses expected this year, we will be watching for any dividend news after the company sold 5.5 million shares last month.

Rackspace Hosting Inc. (NYSE: RAX) $0.15 on $281 million in sales; this one still trades at close to 60-times 2012 expected earnings of $0.81 EPS.   

TUESDAY, FEB 14

Avon Products, Inc. (NYSE: AVP) $0.51 EPS on $3.11 billion; a serial disappointment in shares, but turnaround investors have hopes that the bar is set extremely low.  Earnings will prove if there is a value story here or just more of a value trap.

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (NYSE: GT) $0.20 EPS on $5.88 billion in sales; this is still a long-term turnaround story valued at less than 7-times expected earnings.

MetLife Inc. (NYSE: MET) $1.24 EPS on $16.81 billion in revenues; shares are mid-way between the 52-week high and 52-week low.

Omnicom Group Inc. (NYSE: OMC) $0.95 EPS on $3.8 billion in sales.

Zynga Inc. (NASDAQ: ZNGA) estimates are not yet available for its first quarterly earnings report.  Shares are now back over $13.00 due to the Facebook-effect on anything tied to social media.

Don’t forget about Valentine’s Day….

Nuance has been thought of as a potential takeover name for Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) and for Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) on and off for some time.  This may not change the speculation status much.  But what this does accomplish is a new platform to “easily find content by speaking channel numbers, station names, show and movie names.”  This would allow for searching by content, actor, and genre.  The notion that this allows for staying connected through Twitter, Facebook and Skype may just be gravy.

Dragon TV was unveiled as a voice and natural language understanding platform for TV, device and set-top box OEMs and service operators geared toward making it easy to find and access the TV show that a subscriber wants to watch.

If Nuance can open this up to cable outfits Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCSA) and Time Warner Cable Inc. (NYSE: TWC), and to AT&T INc. (NYSE: T) for its uVerse, let alone DIRECTV, Inc. (NASDAQ: DTV) and Dish Network Corporation (NASDAQ: DISH) for satellite, then Nuance may get a much wider footprint.

How this gets monetized is up for anyone’s guess.  Nuance projected that about 1.6 billion TVs should be connected to the web by 2014 according to Strategy Analytics.  It even notes the difficulty in finding what is on television.  How many times have you been looking for a televised game or show and have no idea what channel it is on?

This will allow OEMs and service operators to deliver TVs, set-top boxes and applications that let consumers find and experience content with Nuance’s leading voice technologies.

Again, the trick is on the monetization.  If it can get a piece of a upcharge for the service then this may open up millions and millions more in revenues per month.  If it is a promotional feature, then this may just be a another brand building effort.

JON C. OGG