Posts for Ticker ‘HON’

More DJIA Component Earnings On Deck (AXP, MSFT, HON)

NYSE Floor ImageWe still have two DJIA components to report earnings this week.  If you can believe it this week marked 12 of the 30 components reporting earnings, and that takes us to a total of 18 of the 30 components that will have reported earnings after the end of the week.  This afternoon we have American Express Company (NYSE: AXP) on deck with earnings, and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) is on deck tomorrow morning.  Also on deck Friday morning is Honeywell International Inc. (NYSE: HON), a former-DJIA component which many traders feel should have never been taken out of the DJIA.

We have compiled data using Thomson Reuters consensus data and added in color on options expectations, analyst calls, and technical analysis where appropriate. We have also included share performance from June 30, and then  provided performance since the March 9 close that traders are using as the official date of the end of the death spiral in the financial markets.
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Larry Ellison Doesn’t Play Chicken

houseLarry’s Ellison, the founder and CEO of Oracle (NASDAQ:OFCL) does not make idle threats. He does not have to. In most games against his competition he holds the majority of the cards. He has taken over a number of businesses in his sector of the tech world. Those that resisted were taken over anyway. The management of PeopleSoft learned that lesson the hard way. Read More »

7 More DJIA Stocks on Earnings Deck (BA, MMM, AXP, T, MCD, MRK, MSFT, MO, HON)

NYSE Floor ImageWe have already run the 5 of the 30 DJIA components that reported earnings this morning.  But we still have 7 more of the 30 DJIA components reporting during the rest of this week alone.   The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA), 3M Company (NYSE: MMM), American Express Company (NYSE: AXP), AT&T, Inc. (NYSE: T), McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE: MCD), Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE: MRK), and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) are all on the earnings docket this week.   We also have earnings from Altria Group, Inc. (NYSE: MO) and from Honeywell International Inc. (NYSE: HON), both of which are ex-DJIA components that many traders and investors still think of as Blue Chips.

We have created detailed earnings previews for each stock with consensus estimates from Thomson Reuters, as well as earnings data and color for what to watch out for where applicable.  Also included is how much each stock has rallied since June 30 and since the March 9 close that all traders mark as the low index closing date and the end of the death-spiral bear market we were in earlier this year.
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First Solar Scores With New CEO (FSLR, HON, GE)

Solar Panel PicFirst Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) is making a significant management change, right at the top of the company. Mike Ahearn is stepping down as CEO and will be replaced by Robert J. Gillette.  This may come as a shock to many, but  it comes at a time when even a leader like First Solar is having a hard time navigating the difficult climate.  As previously announced, Mr. Ahearn will continue to serve in the full-time position of executive chairman.
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Boeing Suppliers Not Chasing Boeing News (BA, SPR, BEAV, HON, COL, LMIA, TIE, PCP, GE, ETN, PH, BW)

Boeing 787 ImageThis morning’s news out of Being Co. (NYSE: BA) about the 787 Dreamliner setting a maiden flight date before the end of this year and scheduling preliminary deliveries into Q4-2010 is really getting the love put back into Boeing shares.  In mid-morning trading the stock is actually up over 7% or $3.50 at $51.32 and it has already seen its average daily volume surpassed.  But where this gets interesting is that so many of the key Boeing suppliers for the 787 Dreamliner are trading down.  Precision Castparts (NYSE:PCP) and Spirit Aerosystems (NYSE:SPR) are both up significantly with the news and Rockwell Collins (NYSE:COL) is up, but the rest of the lot is either up marginally or is trading lower with the overall market.

USEC Picking Up Efforts (USEC, HON)

USEC Inc. (NYSE:USU) has appointed Christine M. Ciccone as senior vice president of external relations.  This is not going to just be a media and government affairs position.  This position is meant to lead the public policy efforts with the U.S. government, media, and stakeholders, but will also develop and implement strategic communication plans for the company in a position that reports directly to President/CEO John Welch.
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Imminent Change to DJIA 30 (GM, F, CSCO, ORCL, AAPL, GOOG, CL, HON, PEP, TGT, AMZN, MDT, ABT, GS, BRK-A)

Word is out that the Dow Jones Indexes team is set to release the name of the replacement for General Motors (NYSE: GM) in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.  We have heard that the new candidate will be announced today and also heard that the change may be announced early Monday. We have a list of stocks we believe are the most likely candidates, and a list of exclusions for several reasons.  Again, this pertains to replacing GM, so if there are a series of index changes then some of the others could make it in that we feel are not as likely.  Because the index is price-weighted rather than market capitalization-weighted, some of the would-be hopeful stocks are probably not really under consideration as members of the DJIA.
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DJIA Component Replacement Candidates for GM (GM, F, CSCO, ORCL, GOOG, AAPL, CL, HON, PEP, TGT, MDT, ABT, GS, BRK-A)

The bets are on that General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) is done as far as the current stock is concerned.  While it seems that the equity holders of today will keep 1% of the “New Co.,” this is far from fitting into parameters of being one of the thirty components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.  We have speculated on this with other companies moving in and out, but we have compiled a list of companies which we think could be replacements.  We have also listed some of the companies we think will not be included that many traders and investors might be hoping could be up for inclusion.
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DJIA: Don’t Reshuffle Index, Just Cease The Index (GE, MMM, AA, GM, C, BAC, AIG, HON, DIA, SPY)

burning-money-pic10The Dow Jones industrial average, or DJIA, is perhaps the mostly widely recognized index in the world.  When people talk about “The Market” in cabs and in bars, and on the phone, they do not really mean the advance/decline line.  They do not mean the S&P 500.  They don’t even mean the tech-heavy NASDAQ.  They mean the stodgy old DJIA.

There has been much discussion about the Dow now that so many of its members are trading are well under $10.00 (and some challenging $1.00).  This may sound like lunacy, but there are many reasons that this long-time market barometer should be killed.

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Early Analyst Calls (CHTR)(HON)(AEO)(MAR)

Cammonopoly_wideweb__430x3250Charter Communications (CHTR) was downgraded to "sell" at Citigroup.

Honeywell (HON) was downgraded to "hold" at Argus.

American Eagle (AEO) was startes as "buy" by Pali.

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Media Digest 12/16/2008 Reuters, WSJ, NYTimes, FT, Bloomberg

NewspaperAccording to Reuters, retail sales will probably drop further after the holidays.

Reuters reports that the shock waves of the Madoff scandal are spreading around the financial world.

Reuters writes that the auto bailout will be announced by Wednesday.

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INDEX ALERT: Which Stock Will Replace AIG on the DJIA? (AIG, MO, HON, GOOG, AAPL, CSCO, PEP, BRK-A, CL, MDT, ABT)

There is one critical aspect to the stock market that pertains to American International Group (NYSE: AIG) which has been given less coverage because of the media’s focus on the turmoil in the stock markets.  AIG is one of the 30 components of the Dow Jones industrial average, the most widely known stock market index.  AIG is on the verge of imploding, and even if it survives it will be a shadow of its former self.  So this brings up a key question: Which company will replace AIG in the DJIA?  This seems like it will likely take place soon.  As you will see below, we have made many possible selections here.

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The 52-Week Low Club (BA)(AM)(ROK)(HON)(SONC)(LCAV)

Boeing (BA) Hit by broker downgrade on fears of order cuts from troubled airlines. Down to $69.16 from 52-week high of $107.83.

American Greetings (AM) Happy card company gets beat up on poor earnings. Sells down to $13.93 from 52-week high of $29.10. Have a nice day.

Rockwell International (ROK) Weak guidances sends stock diving. Moves off to $44.89 from 52-week high of $75.60.

Honeywell (HON) Hit by downgrades in defense stocks and Boeing. Sells off to $51.20 from 52-week high of $62.99.

Sonic (SONC) Fast food. Bad earnings. Falls to $14.40 from 52-week high of $26.19.

LCA-Vision (LCAV) Says number of procedures the company does will be down this quarter. Drops like a rock to $4.54 from 52-week high of $50.69.

Douglas A. McIntyre

GE’s New 2008 Fair Value: $33.75… Conglomerates Head Lower (GE, MMM, UTX, HON)

General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) poor earnings report may be a shock to most.  When you consider that the annual preview was just given one month ago, this flies in the face of the economy and the financial malaise bottoming out around current numbers.

So what we wanted to do was come up with a fair market value based upon Jeff Immelt’s new guidance for 2008.  Immelt put guidance at $2.20 to $2.30.  If you take a mid-point of $2.25 and assign a fair market P/E multiple of 15, you derive a new fair value of $33.75 for the stock.

To make matters worse, investors in stocks will still want a return in the vicinity of 6% to 8% for taking the risk in equities versus fixed income.  If that is the case, then GE shares may see $31.25 to $31.83 for the required rate of returns to be in the stock.  Before this, GE’s shares had recovered nicely and analysts had an average target price that was north of $42.00.  Those targets will be coming down sharply.  Right before the open, GE shares are down over 11% at $32.60.  Interestingly enough, the 52-week low is $31.65.

Analysts will be looking for the fallout in other conglomerates this morning.  They’ll also hit financials, as if there are any safe zones after the news.  Management at 3M Co. (NYSE: MMM), United Technologies (NYSE: UTX), or Honeywell (NYSE: HON) might want to get their guidance for 2008 out today or Monday.  Those companies are all down this morning, but all are initially down by less than 2% right at the open as they are deemed as having lower exposure to the financial sector.

You can join our open email distribution list to hear about special financings, secondary offerings, IPO’s, M&A, and more previews for other special situations in various stages.

Jon C. Ogg
April 11, 2008

Jon Ogg produces the Special Situation Investing Newsletter.  He can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com and he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

DJIA Index Changes (MO, HON, BAC, CVX)

It’s been a while since we have seen any serious changes to the Dow Jones industrial Averages components, with 2004 being the last change and 1999 before that.  This morning there are some announced changes to the components:

  • Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) and Chevron (NYSE: CVX) are being added into the index.
  • Altria (NYSE: MO) and Honeywell (NYSE: HON) are being removed from the list.   

There will probably be some criticism here for "changing an index to populist trends."  The DJIA is also a price-weighted index, although this will not result in massive changes to the index components elsewhere.  We’ll follow up with more if we make any serious determinations:

  • Deletes: HON $57.83; MO $73.09
  • Adds: BAC $42.16; CVX $79.26

It is interesting that despite the problems in the financial sector that the DJIA chose to include bank of America.  Perhaps that is a solid vote of confidence if there ever was one. Interestingly enough, Chevron used to be a component and was replaced in the 1990’s.

Honeywell is a bit of a surprise.  But Altria is actually not that surprising when you consider that it completely unloaded Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT), is about to unload Phillip Morris International as a separate unit, and will probably retire quite a bit of stock in a share buyback.

As large as the DJIA is for "the market," it is far smaller in index weightings for money managers than the S&P 500 Index, and this will not have any direct impact on their weightings in the S&P 500 index.

Jon C. Ogg
February 11, 2008

7 Dow Components Report Earnings Next Week (JNJ, PFE, UTX, T, MSFT, CAT, HON)

Monday is a market holiday in observance of Martin Luther King Day in the U.S.  But after that we have an earnings deluge with hundreds of companies issuing their earnings.  For the bulk of the earnings this will also mark the fiscal year-end.  We actually have 7 of the 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average components reporting next week and many of these are the Dogs of the Dow we have covered.

On Tuesday, January 22, 2008 Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) will show us how its drug, medical products, and consumer products are doing.  Estimates are $0.86 EPS on $15.4 Billion in revenues for its Q4 2007.

On Wednesday January 23, 2008 We have two components of the Dow posting earnings.  We’ll get to see earnings from drug-giant Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) with its fiscal Q4 earnings projected at $0.47 EPS on $12.19 Billion in revenues.  United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) will show us how its Otis, Carrier, UTC Fire and Security, Pratt and Whitney, Hamilton Sundstrand, and Sikorsky units are performing; and its Q4 2007 earnings are projected to be $1.06 EPS on almost $14.1 Billion.

On Thursday, January 24, 2008 we have its Q4 results from AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), and Ma-Bell and her re-rolled break-ups are expected to post $0.71 EPS on $30.55 Billion in revenues.  We’ll also see what Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) can show us what it earned in its Q2, 2008 earnings in software sales with its estimates pegged at $0.46 EPS on revenues of $15.95 Billion.  Goldman Sachs just added it to its CONVICTION BUY LIST.

On Friday, January 25, 2008 we have two components reporting, and this is actually a light day for an earnings season with it being Friday.  Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) is expected to post earnings of $1.50 EPS on revenues of $11.77 Billion and this giant machinery beast has performed horribly of late.  If CAT guides poorly ahead then it will put that "global building growth trade" for 2008 in even more jeopardy than it already is.  Honeywell (NYSE: HON) is also reporting its Q4 2007 earnings and estimates are $0.91 EPS on revenues of $8.94 Billion from the diversified tech and manufacturing conglomerate.

Estimates are from First Call.  Please be advised that earnings dates can change and many of these estimates may be higher or lower by the time they actually report earnings.  There are frequently last minute changes made to estimates.

Jon C. Ogg
January 18, 2008

Suppliers Feel More Boeing 787 Delays (BA, SPR, BEAV, HON, COL, LMIA, TIE, PCP)

The Wall Street Journal has announced that there may be (actually it says "near announcing") some new delays out of Boeing (NYSE: BA) on its 787 Dreamiliner.  We first noted that the Boeing suppliers were likely to be under pressure back on OCTOBER 10, 2007 on word of the first real delays in the Dreamliner.

Here is a snapshot of some of the many suppliers for Boeing, with some price comparisons:

  • Spirit Aerosystems (NYSE:SPR) is the ex-Boeing unit, which makes fuselage parts: stock price on October 10 after the first Boeing delay: $36.50.  Share price today: $26.12 (-7%).
  • BE Aerospace (NASDAQ:BEAV) has cabin and seating contracts with Boeing; Stock price on October 10 after the first Boeing delay: $43.30. Share price today: $40.10 (-3%).
  • Honeywell (NYSE:HON) has the cockpit award; Stock price on October 10 after the first Boeing delay: $60.00.  Share price today: $56.69 (-1.9%).
  • Rockwell Collins (NYSE:COL) has information management pacts with Boeing; Stock price on October 10 after the first Boeing delay: $73.35.  Share price today: $65.10 (-2.4%).
  • LMI Aerospace (NASDAQ:LMIA) has Boeing as principal customer for structural components, assemblies, and kits; Stock price on October 10 after the first Boeing delay: $27.65.  Share price today: $22.97 (-1%).
  • Titanium Metals (NYSE:TIE) has long-term Boeing titanium/metals supply pacts; Stock price on October 10 after the first Boeing delay: $33.29.  Share price today: $23.45 (-4.7%).
  • Precision Castparts (NYSE:PCP) manufactures aerospace structural castings, aerospace airfoil castings, industrial gas turbine castings; Stock price on October 10 after the first Boeing delay: $146.75.  Share price today: $118.64 (-4.7%).

Shares of Boeing had been down in a weak market today, but shares rolled over on this announcement and are now down almost 3% to $79.27.  Its 52-week trading range is $77.81 to $107.83, and it closed at $98.33 back on October 10, 2007 when the first real delay came about.  The bulls look like they are going to have to hope the company refutes that delays will be anything significant.  Imagine if things get bad enough that some airlines start actually canceling or trimming orders.

Jon C. Ogg
January 15, 2008

Top 10 Pre-Market Analyst Calls (BSC, CAL, DELL, ESRX, HON, ILMN, NUAN, SPW, STM, AU, DROOY, GFI, GBN, HMY)

These are not the only big analysts calls this Friday morning, but these are the ones that 24/7WallSt.com is focusing on this morning:

  • Bear Stearns (BSC) raised to Buy at Merrill Lynch.
  • Continental (CAL) raised to Outperform from Peer Perform at Bear Stearns.
  • Dell (DELL) raised to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan.
  • Express Scripts (ESRX) started as Buy at Deutsche Bank.
  • Honeywell (HON) raised to Neutral at JPMorgan.
  • Illumina (ILMN) raised to Overweight from Equal Weight at Lehman; raised to Buy at UBS.
  • Nuance Communications (NUAN) raised to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
  • SPX Corp. (SPW) raised to Overweight at JPMorgan.
  • STMicroelectronics (STM) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform.

DEUTSCHE BANK Downgrades Gold Stocks:

  • Anglogold (AU) downgraded to Sell from Hold;
  • DRDGOLD (DROOY) downgraded to Hold from Buy;
  • Gold Fields (GFI) downgraded to Sell from Hold;
  • Great Basin Gold (GBN) downgraded to Hold from Buy;
  • Hamrmony Gold (HMY) downgraded to Sell from Hold.

Jon C. Ogg
January 11, 2008

Backward & Forward, Cramer In 2007 To 2008

2007 was one volatile year and for now it appears that will be the norm for at least the start of 2008.  Everyone’s favorite market pundit or least liked pundit is obviously Jim Cramer.  If you love Cramer or can’t stand him it really doesn’t matter.  He signed a new multi-year deal with CNBC recently.  Here are some of his major calls this year that will still be referred to in 2008:

Here were Cramer’s TOP 9 STOCKS FOR 2007, with a call broken down for each one.  Borat would say HI FIVE on some and NOT SO NICE on others, as would be expected.  Cramer’s 14,582 year-end DJIA target…..Friday’s close was 13,365.87……although we did hit 14,279.96 on OCT11, 2007.  Cramer also gave a batch of price targets on most of theDJIA components:

Cramer’s Stock Picks FOR 5-YEARS OUT:

SOME LISTS: His list of recession proof stocks compared to ours.  We are updating our
Defensive Stocks For The First Half Of 2008" currently.  Cramer gave a huge list of companies he expects to benefit from the alternative energy traders (SGR, FWLT, BWA, OMG, FSLR, FTEK, WFR, TTEK, ZOLT, BP, SPWR, CY, CPST, ITRI)… Jim Cramer pondered which US companies China would want to acquire, about 3 months before sovereign funds started buying into US companies.  Cramer’s mortgage winners and losers…… Here were his MAJOR BULL MARKET STOCK PICKS(MHS, CVS, AGN, CELG, GENZ, CEPH, RIG, HAL, EMR, CAT, CMI, UTX, KO,PEP, CL, GS, SKS, VFC, UNP, CSX, BA), some of which are DJIAcomponents.  Cramer produced a "MUST OWN" list of stocks, many of whichare up significantly and some are down (WHR, BDK, ATI, BGC, HON, ASD, JCI, MDR, FWLT, CAT, TEX, DE, QCOM)

Cramer spent lots of time on International stocks that most US investors might not cover on their own.  He made a big call on Mercadolibre (MELI) (also BIDU, GOOG) with some emphasis on buying immediately, right before it made a huge run up.  Cramer’s Hidden Video Game Investment Perfect World (PWRD, ATVI, ERTS, VIA) was one he said could run more than 50% for 2008.  Cramer made 5 TOP CHINESE PICKS (CEO, CHL, SSW, FMCN, BIDU, GMR).  We’ll see in 2008 if any of his Canadian OIL TRUSTS get acquired in 2008 (BTE, CNE, PGH, PVX, PWE, AAV, GDI).  Cramer also went over his top picks from Europe for American investors (TOT, SI, ABB, PHG, BF)

ON TECHNOLOGY:  Cramer’s NEW HORSEMEN OF TECH…. will the list change in 2008???  Did Cramer Say $1,000.00 on Google, Or Is It $600.00? That was in May 2007.  Cramer Gave Monster Price targets to Baidu.com (BIDU, GOOG).. will these targets change in 2008? Cramer was very positive on all the GPS stocks,although we’d expect that Cramer will change his tune in 2008 now thatthe holiday madness is behind us (GRMN, UA, CROX, NVT, TRMB, SIRF).

Would it be fair not to include the Barron’s attack on Cramer from summer for those of you that criticize his every word?

ON WARREN BUFFETT…. Cramer noted that BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT in Canada may be the next Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK/A) NYSE: BAM). Cramer reviewed 10 Warren Buffett stocks for analysis and then reviewed 10 More Warren Buffett stocks:

Will his buyout of ALCOA (AA) prediction come true in 2008??? Cramer gave a list of stocks that had bought back so much stock that they might be taking themselves private.

Join our free email distribution list for other Cramer calls or for updates we send out regarding IPO’s, spin-offs, restructuring, reorganization, activist investors and more.

Happy New Years from the 247WallSt.com team!

Jon C. Ogg
December 31, 2007

Key Earnings Reactions (October 19, 2007)

(AMD) Advanced Micro Devices -$0.71 EPS vs -$0.62 est.
(BSX) Boston Scientific $0.20 EPS vs $0.07 guidance.
(CAT) Caterpillar $1.40 EPS vs $1.43 est.; narrows 2007 guidance.
(FITB) Fifth Third $0.71 EPS vs $0.68 est.
(GOOG) Google traded up 1% after beating earnings; added 2,100 jobs.
(HOG) Harley Davidson $1.07 EPS vs $1.05 est.; cautious near-term.
(HON) Honeywell $0.81 EPS vs $0.81 est.
(ISRG) Intuitive Surgical traded up almost 5% after beating earnings and raising guidance.
(MMM) 3M $1.29 EPS vs. $1.28 est.; guidance looks raised but that is on gains.
(PMCS) PMC-Sierra slightly beat estimates but CEO retiring; stock traded up marginally.
(SLB) Schlumberger $1.09 EPS vs $1.07 est.
(SNDK) SanDisk indicating down after beating earnings and seeing slight drop in pricing.
(WB) Wachovia $1.05 EPS vs $1.03 est.; was $0.90 after items.
(XLNX) Xilinx $0.30 EPS vs $0.29 est.
(XRX) Xerox $0.27 EPS vs. $0.26 est.

Jon C. Ogg
October 19, 2007