Posts for Ticker ‘HOT’

Can Hyatt IPO Beat Current IPO Doldrums? (H, HOT, MAR)

Hyatt LogoLate Friday night, after a really poor market day, Hyatt Hotels issued an amended S-1 for its planned initial public offering.  Because of last week’s market volatility, we are getting mixed signals about both the ultimate pricing and about which night the hotel operator will price its deal.  The deal is still set for 38 million shares in a price range expected as $23.00 and $26.00.  The company will also trade under the ticker “H” on the NYSE.

Hyatt is controlled by the Pritzker family.  It has a huge underwriting syndicate with Goldman Sachs as lead manager.  Co-managers are listed as Deutsche Bank, J.P. Morgan, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Citigroup, UBS, HASBC, Piper Jaffray, Wells Fargo, and Scotia Capital.  Other companies also listed on the prospectus are Robert W. Baird, Loop Capital Markets, M.R. Beal, Ramirez & Co., Siebert Capital Markets, and The Williams Capital Group.  The underwriting group has an overallotment option to purchase up to an additional 5.7 million shares of common stock.

The mid-point of this IPO will generate roughly a $4.11 billion market cap, and the net tangible book value as of September 30, 2009 was approximately $4.5 billion (roughly $26.98 per share).  This is less than 80% of the value of Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc. (NYSE: HOT) $5.4 billion market cap and less than half of Marriott International, Inc. (NYSE: MAR) $9 billion market cap.
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Top Analyst Downgrades (ARO, AKAM, AIZ, EP, HOT, SVU)

These are the top Wall Street analyst downgrades and cautious research calls seen early this Friday morning:

Aeropostale (ARO) Cut to Sell at Goldman Sachs.
Akamai (AKAM) Cut to Market Weight at Thomas Weisel.
Assurant (AIZ) Cut to Neutral at SunTrust.
El Paso (EP) Cut to Neutral at Goldman Sachs.
Starwood Hotels (HOT) Cut to Hold at Soleil.
SuperValu (SVU) Cut to Equal Weight at Barclays.

You can join our open email distribution list to get updates each morning on analyst upgrades and downgrades, top day trader alerts, IPO’s and secondary offerings, Warren Buffett and other guru activity, M&A and more.

JON C. OGG
October 9, 2009

Media Digest 10/7/2009 Reuters, WSJ, NYTimes, FT, Bloomberg

newspaperReuters:   Wealth management firms are starting to target the not-so wealthy.

Reuters:   Gold’s record price drew a muted response.

Reuters:   Google (NASDAQ:GOOG), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), and Palm (NASDAQ:PALM) are heating up the smartphone software race. Read More »

Top Analyst Upgrades (AET, AMZN, AMX, BJ, CAL, ERTS, FO, FPIC, HUM, MAR, HOT)

These are this Wednesday morning’s top analyst upgrades and positive research calls that we have seen from Wall Street:

Aetna (AET) Raised to Neutral at Goldman Sachs.
Amazon.com (AMZN) Raised to Buy at BofA Merrill Lynch.
America Movil (AMX) Started as Outperform at Wells Fargo.
BJ’s Wholesale (BJ) Raised to Overweight at Barclays.
Continental (CAL) Raised to Buy at Argus.
Electronic Arts (ERTS) Raised to Outperform at FBR.
Fortune Brands (FO) Raised to Buy at Goldman Sachs.
FPIC Insurance (FPIC) Raised to Outperform at Oppenheimer.
Humana (HUM) STarted as Buy at Collins-Stewart.
Marriott Hotels (MAR) Started as Buy at Citigroup.
Starwood Hotels (HOT) Started as Buy at Citigroup.

You can join our open email distribution list which goes out several times per week for top analyst upgrades and downgrades, top day trader alerts, IPO’s, key secondary offerings, guru investor data on Buffett and others, mergers, and more.

JON C. OGG

Top Analyst Upgrades (DOX, CVX, GS, ILMN, INTU, KBH, HOT, WU)

These are the top pre-market analyst upgrades and positive research calls we have seen from Wall Street early this Thursday morning:

Amdocs (DOX) Raised to Outperform at Oppenheimer.
Chevron (CVX) Started as Buy at Societe Generale.
Goldman Sachs Group (GS) Raised to Buy at BofA/Merrill.
Illumina (ILMN) Raised to Buy at Auriga.
Intuit (INTU) Started as Buy at Deutsche Bank.
KB Home (KBH) Raised to Outperform at Credit Suisse.
Starwood Hotels (HOT) Raised to Market Perform at FBR.
Western Union (WU) Raised to Outperform at Credit Suisse.

JON C. OGG

Top 10 Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades (APD, CHTT, CTXS, FCX, PLAB, QCOM, SAP, PCU, STM, HOT)

These are the top ten pre-market analyst upgrades, downgrades, and initiations we have seen from Wall Street analysts this Wednesday morning with about two and a half hours until the market opens:

  • Air Products (APD) Raised to Buy at KeyBanc.
  • Chattem (CHTT) Cut to Hold at Jefferies.
  • Citrix Systems (CTXS) Cut to Perform at Oppenheimer.
  • Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) Raised to Buy at Citigroup.
  • Photronics (PLAB) Raised to Buy at UBS.
  • Qualcomm (QCOM) Started as Outperform at Morgan Keegan.
  • SAP (SAP) Raised to Buy at Jefferies.
  • Southern Copper (PCU) Raised to Hold at Citigroup.
  • STMicro (STM) Raised to Buy at BofA/Merrill.
  • Starwood Hotels (HOT) Cut to Underperform at Baird.

JON C. OGG
JULY 8, 2009

Top Analyst Downgrades (ACLI, AMR, GPS, NOK, SO, HOT)

These are some of the top analyst downgrades or cautious calls we have seen early this Tuesday morning:

  • American Commercial Lines (ACLI) Cut to Market Perform at Morgan Keegan.
  • AMR Corp. (AMR) Cut to Sell at Argus.
  • Gap Inc. (GPS) Started as Neutral at Robert W. Baird.
  • Nokia (NOK) Started as Underperform at BMO Capital Markets.
  • Southern Co. (SO) Cut to Hold at Citigroup.
  • Starwood (HOT) Cut to Market Perform at Wachovia.

JON C. OGG

Top Analyst Downgrades (AKS, AFL, CMA, DT, FDX, HAL, FITB, KEY, HOT)

burning-money-pic19These are some of the top pre-market analyst downgrades and negative calls we have seen from Wall Street firms with about two hours until the market open this Wednesday morning:

AK Steel (AKS) Cut to Sell at UBS.
AFLAC (AFL) Cut to Underweight at Barclays.
Comerica (CMA) Cut to Hold at Citigroup.
Deutsche Telekom (DT) was downgraded at both Deutsche Bank and JPMorgan after this week’s warning.
FedEx (FDX) Raised to Neutral at BofA-Merrill.
Halliburton (HAL) Cut to Equal Weight at Barclays.
Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) Cut to Market Perform at BMO.
KeyCorp (KEY) Cut to Hold at Citigroup.
Starwood Hotels (HOT) Cut to Neutral at Baird.

JON C. OGG

Top Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades (EXPE, F, JNJ, CTXS, DSX, EGLE, GM, JCI, HOT, URBN)

These are the top upgrades and downgrades from Wall Street analysts this Friday morning:

Expedia (EXPE) Raised to Buy at Citigroup.
Ford (F) Started as Buy at UBS.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Raised to Buy at UBS.
Citrix Systems (CTXS) Cut to Market Weight at Thomas Weisel.
Diana Shipping (DSX) Cut To Market Perform at Wachovia.
Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) Cut To Market Perform at Wachovia.
General Motors (GM) Started as Sell at UBS.
Johnson Controls (JCI) Started as Buy at UBS.
Starwood Hotels (HOT) Cut to Underperform at FBR.
Urban Outfitters (URBN) Cut to Neutral at Cowen & Co.

JON C. OGG

March 20, 2009

Top Pre-Market Analyst Downgrades (ALL, AZN, ETFC, FITB, JNPR, QCOM, RF, RYAAY, SEPR, HOT, TKR, TWC, TROW, UA, VE, ZNT)

These are some of the many pre-market downgrades and negative calls we have seen from Wall Street analysts this Friday morning:
Allstate (ALL) Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan.
AstraZeneca (AZN) Cut to Hold at Citigroup.
E*TRADE (ETFC) Cut to Underperform at Raymond James.
Fifth Third (FITB) Cut to Market Perform at Bernstein.
Juniper Networks (JNPR) Cut to Neutral at Piper Jaffray.
Qualcomm (QCOM) Cut to Hold at Societe Generale.
Regions Financial (RF) Cut to Market Perform at Bernstein.
Ryanair (RYAAY) Cut to Hold at Citigroup.
Sepracor (SEPR) Cut to Sell at Piper Jaffray.
Starwood Hotels (HOT) Cut to Perform at Oppenheimer.
Timken (TKR) Cut to Hold at KeyBanc.
Time Warner Cable (TWC) Cut to Sell at Collins Stewart.
T. Rowe Price (TROW) Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan.
Under Armour (UA) Cut to Sell at Piper Jaffray.
Veolia Environnement (VE) Cut to Sell at Citigroup.
Zenith National Insurance (ZNT) Cut to Market Perform at FBR; Cut to Perform at Oppenheimer.
Jon C. Ogg
January 30, 2009

Major S&P Stocks On Decade Lows (AA, AMAT, AMD, DOW, EK, GCI, HOG, INTC, IP, JNY, M, MU, MSFT, NWL, NWS, SLE, STX, LUV, HOT, YRCW)

Broken_merger_torn_moneyCovering any part of the positives in this market has been literally as rewarding as jumping in the bear cage with the bears at the zoo.  We have been refraining from doing as many stocks which are on 52-week lows as the list is just too many companies.  But after the close we perused the entire S&P 500 and a few more large companies.  We reached down in the barrel and found an extensive list of stocks which are now trading at lows of the entire decade.   Fortunately for the seriously depressed, we took out the stocks which are financials, autos, housing, REIT’s, and penny stocks.  Below is the full list.

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Top Pre-Market Analyst Upgrades (ACE, AUTH, CMCSA, IFX, LLTC, MCHP, SOLF, HOT)

These are not all of the upgrades and positive analyst calls affecting shares, but these are some of the calls impacting shares pre-market this Thursday morning:

  • Ace Limited (NYSE: ACE) Raised to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
  • AuthenTec (NASDAQ: AUTH) Started as Overweight at JPMorgan.
  • Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) raised to Buy at Goldman Sachs.
  • Infineon Tech (NYSE: IFX) Started as Buy at Jefferies.
  • Linear Tech (NASDAQ: LLTC) Raised to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
  • Microchip Technology (NASDAQ: MCHP) Raised to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
  • Solarfun Power (NASDAQ: SOLF) Started as Buy at Jefferies.
  • Starwood Hotels & Resorts (NYSE: HOT) Raised to Outperform at Wachovia.

Jon C. Ogg
July 17, 2008

Key Analyst Downgrades (CSC, HPC, JBX, RMD, SAPE, HOT, TRIN, WB)

These are some of the preliminary downgrades or negative research calls seen out of Wall Street analysts this Monday morning in early morning hours:

  • Computer Sciences Corp. (NYSE: CSC) Cut to Sell from Neutral at Goldman Sachs.
  • Hercules (NYSE: HPC) Cut to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank.
  • Jack In The Box (NYSE: JBX) Cut to Buy from Strong Buy at Wedbush Morgan.
  • Resmed (NYSE: RMD) Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Sapient (NASDAQ: SAPE) Cut to Sell from Neutral at Goldman Sachs.
  • Starwood Hotels (NYSE: HOT) Cut to Sell at Goldman Sachs.
  • Thomson Reuters (NASDAQ: TRIN) Cut to Sell from Neutral at UBS.
  • Wachovia (NYSE: WB) Cut to Neutral at UBS.

Jon C. Ogg
July 14, 2008

Starwood Stays Mildly Hot (HOT)

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide, Inc. (NYSE: HOT) has come out with earnings early this morning at $0.44 EPS from operations excluding special items, or a net of $0.42 EPS.  While these numbers are lower than last year, they are well above the First Call estimate of $0.25 EPS.

The hotel and resort operator repurchased approximately 6.1 million shares for approximately $277 million in the first quarter, leaving some $316 million available for repurchases.

The company said that overall lodging trends remain strong, but uncertainty makes predicting results ahead difficult.  For next quarter it is targeting $0.50 to $0.54 EPS and for 2008 its target is $2.40 to $2.58 EPS.  First Call had next quarter at $0.55 EPS and 2008 EPS at $2.42.

The assumptions are still based around some growth and still based around conditions not deteriorating further, but overall this is a fairly impressive report compared to what the overall expectations would have pointed to.

With over three hours to the open it is too soon to see real indications.  Shares closed at $49.62 yesterday, and the 52-week trading range is $37.07 to $75.45.

Jon C. Ogg
April 24, 2008

Top 10 Pre-Market Analyst Calls (AIV, BBBY, DVA, LEH, MCD, OPLK, PERY, HOT, TLAB, WLP)

These are the top analyst calls we are looking at this Friday morning:

  • Apartment Investment (NYSE: AIV) Cut To Neutral From Buy at UBS.
  • Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ: BBBY) Cut To Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan.
  • Davita (NYSE: DVA) Raised To Buy From Neutral at UBS.
  • Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) Raised To Buy From Hold at Citigroup.
  • McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD) Started At Overweight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Oplink Communications (NASDAQ: OPLK) Cut To Sell From Neutral at Piper Jaffray.
  • Perry Ellis (NASDAQ: PERY) Started At Buy at SunTrust.
  • Starwood Hotels (NYSE: HOT) Cut To Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia.
  • Tellabs (NASDAQ: TLAB) Cut To Neutral From Buy at UBS.
  • WellPoint (NYSE: WLP) Cut To Equal-weight From Overweight at Lehman.

Jon C. Ogg
March 28, 2008

52-Week Low Club (December 28, 2007)

Some of these stocks hit 52-week lows and recovered off of lows so they won’t have a low close.  But these did all touch or breach the 52-week lows.  At the end we also broke out retail stocks, financial stocks, airlines & transports, and hotels.  A separate report could have been compiled for REIT’s as well, but many of those were left off because of room or volume. There were enough 52-week lows today that you might even wonder if there had been a mini-crash in the markets.  Here are the 52-week lows for December 28, 2007:

  • Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD)… imagine if the company got Hector Ruiz to leave.
  • American Greetings (NYSE: AM)…again.
  • AstraZeneca (NYSE:AZN)… new entrant.
  • Carmike Cinemas (NASDAQ:CKEC)
  • ChipMOS (NASDAQ:IMOS)
  • Corp. Office Property (NYSE: OFC)
  • Cryptologic (NASDAQ: CRYP)
  • Diebold (NYSE:DBD)
  • Fortune Brands (NYSE:FO)
  • Group 1 Auto (NYSE: GPI)
  • Infinera Corp. (NASDAQ: INFN)
  • Introgen (NASDAQ:INGN)
  • Japan Smaller Cap Fund (NYSE: JOF)
  • Lamar Advertising (NASDAQ: LAMR)
  • Legget & Platt (NYSE: LEG)
  • Martha Stewart (NYSE: MSO)
  • Marvell Tech (NASDAQ:MRVL)
  • Mattel (NYSE:MAT)
  • McClatchy (NYSE:MNI)
  • Micron Tech (NYSE:MU)
  • NGAS Resources (NASDAQ:NGAS)
  • Nortel Networks (NYSE:NT)
  • Owens Corning (NYSE:OC)
  • Omnicare (NYSE:OCR)
  • Prestige Brand (NYSE: PBH)
  • PC-Tel (NASDAQ:PCTI)
  • Ruth’s Chris (NASDAQ:RUTH)
  • SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK)
  • Theravance (NASDAQ:THRX)
  • Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO)
  • Wendy’s (NYSE: WEN)
  • World Fuel Services (NYSE:INT)
  • U-Store-It (NYSE:YSI)

Retail Stocks on 52-week lows: Ann Taylor (NYSE:ANN), Big Lots (NYSE:BIG), Borders Group (NYSE:BGP), Bon Ton Stores (NASDAQ:BONT), Chico’s FAS (NYSE:CHS), Finish Line (NASDAQ:FINL), Liz Claiborne (NYSE: LIZ), Macy’s (NYSE: M), Office Max (NYSE:OMX), Petsmart (NASDAQ:PETM), Stage Stores (NYSE:SSI)

Financial stocks on 52-week lows: Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Canseco (NYSE: CNO), Discover Financial (NYSE: DFS), Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:FITB), Fortress Investment (NYSE: FIG), MBIA Inc. (NYSE: MBI), Washington Mutual (NYSE:WM)… urgh!  When does it stop?

Airlines/Transports on 52-week lows:  Airtran Holdings (NYSE: AAI)…again.  Did they launch a Friends Die Free rewards plan?  Continental Airlines (NYSE:CAL), Fedex (NYSE:FDX), Mesa Air (NASDAQ:MESA), Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA)… near $100 oil is a real pain.

Hotels Hitting 52-week lows: Host Hotels (NYSE: HST), Lasalle Hotel (NYSE: LHO), Starwood Hotels (NYSE:HOT), Sunstone Hotel (NYSE: SHO), Wydham Worldwide (NYSE:WYN).  Maybe these all wish they could get the private equity buyers back in the sector.  If only they could still borrow.

These CEO’s new year’s resolutions are all the same: "In 2008 I want to keep my stock off the 52-week low lists."

Jon C. Ogg
December 28, 2007

52-Week Low Club (AAI, ANN, AM, BIG, BJRI, CHS, CC, LIZ, M, OMX, MSO, RL, HOT, WM, WEN, ZLC)

Today’s list of 52-week lows was still dominated by retail and consumer spending stocks, although a surprise surge from several key semiconductor names made today’s list.  Some of these did end up recovering back above their respective 52-week lows.  Here’s your list for today:

  • Airtran (AAI)…down from a $13.09 high.  $95+ Oil is a pain. Stock broke significant support at $8.00 two weeks ago so it’s in no-man’s land.
  • Ann Taylor (ANN)… Is the growth story gone? If so and IF it can hit its earnings estimates then it is a hidden value stock.  But with women spending less on clothes over the holidays it may just be a value trap.
  • American Greeting (AM)… I started complaining about the cost of greeting cards LONG BEFORE the economy softened, and I’m not alone.
  • Big Lots (BIG)…again…should say "habitual offender" on it.
  • BJ’s Restaurants (BJRI)…cool brewpub, although still expensive on earnings measurement.
  • Chico’s FAS (CHS)…again.
  • Circuit City (CC)…needs to fire that CEO immediately.
  • Liz Claiborne (LIZ)…again.
  • Macy’s (M)….again.
  • Marvell Tech (MRVL).. see chip stocks on 52-week lows.
  • Martha Stewart Living (MSO)… Is it changing its name to "DYING"? Maybe a weak ad environment and magazine environment is even worse than we thought?
  • Micron Tech (MU) turnaround still can’t turn around… see chip stocks on 52-week lows.
  • Office Max (OMX)…again.
  • Ralph Lauren Polo (RL)…recovered above that 52-week low but this was a surprise to see even in a weak consumer. Stock is now over $40.00 under highs.
  • Sandisk (SNDK).. see chip stocks in 52-week lows.
  • Starwood Hotels (HOT)… givin’ all the inheritance away may not keep young Paris happy.
  • STMicro (STM)…see chip stocks on 52-week lows.
  • Washington Mutual (WM)… when WA-MU changes its name to UH-OH!
  • Wendy’s International (WEN)… just an expensive burger chain with a "hoped for buyout" allowing a premium, otherwise would be even lower.
  • Zale Corp. (ZLC)….. I didn’t get my wife diamonds for Christmas either.

All these CEO’s have a fairly easy new year’s resolution for 2008: "I want to keep my stock from hitting 52-week lows"…….

Jon C. Ogg
December 27, 2007

52-Week Low Club (BIG, BONT, CHS, M, OMX, SSI, HOT, ZLC, RT, F, WM, BSC)

We didn’t include only retail names on the 52-week lows today, but it could have been easy to do.  The retail scene just didn’t do too hot over Christmas and these are pying the price.  The good news is that many of these names bounced back above their 52-week lows.

Here are the retail names alone:

  • Big Lots (NYSE: BIG) still slurping.
  • Bon Ton Stores (NASDAQ:BONT)
  • Chico’s FAS (NYSE: CHS)
  • Macy’s (NYSE: M)
  • Office Max (NYSE: OMX)
  • Stage Stores (NYSE:SSI)
  • Starwood Hotels (NYSE: HOT)
  • Zale’s (NYSE: ZLC)

Ford (NYSE: F) merely touched on its 52-week lows but didn’t put in any new 52-week lows.  Maybe this one isn’t quite retail, but it sure reflects a weak consumer. 

Ruby Tuesday (NYSE:RT) is in the same boat as it isn’t a retail store but is consumer discretionary (and the food is nothing special).

A couple surprise financial names are on today’s list, although maybe it isn’t that large of a surprise.  Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) didn’t stay that low, but it was looking dismal this morning.  Washington Mutual (NYSE:WM) also didn’t stay that low but this morning was looking a bit harsh for WA-MU.

Jon C. Ogg
December 26, 2007

The 52-Week Low Club (FNSR)(CNXT)

CDC Corp (CHINA) Ugly earnings. Falls to $4.15 from 52-week high of $11.45.

Finisar ((FNSR) No recent news. Fiber optic equipment maker falls to $1.38 from 52-week high of $4.21.

Conexant (CNXT) Second day of sell-off. Down to $.92 from 52-week high of $2.20

Retail Ventures (RVI) Bad quarter. Sells off to $4.15 from 52-week high of $23.30.

Quiksilver (ZQK) Apparel company drops outlook. Drops to $8.87 from 52-week high of $16.08.

Black & Decker (BDK) Housing hurts financial results. Down to $71.95 from 52-week high of $97.01.

Marriott (MAR) Travel stocks continue to sell off. Down to $31.34 from 52-week high of $52.

Starwood Hotels (HOT) Ditto. Weekly hotel room revenue numbers weak. Drops to $46.22 from 52-week high of $75.45.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Largest Van der Moolen Specialist Stocks II (VDM, LAB, HUM, MBI, IP, MT, PFE, PHM, SAP, HOT, SYK, TXT, UA, WEN)

We have already noted the Van der Moolen (NYSE:VDM) exit of all NYSE Specialist activities and we’ve already covered some of the other key stocks where Van der Moolen acts as a Specialist in the underlying stocks.  What we wanted to look at is the underling stocks companies where Van der Moolen acts as a specialist to the companies.  The huge list can be found at http://www.vdm-usa.com/clients/alpha.asp off their web site.

Please be advised that these may have changed because we’ve already seen two merger stocks on the full list that are no longer traded.  This was taken from Van der Moolen’s site, so any errors there probably means they already laid off the I.T. editor for its web site.

Here are some of the key names for a second list: Humana Inc. (HUM), International Paper Co. (IP), MBIA Inc. (MBI), Mittal Steel Co. (MT), Pfizer Inc. (PFE), Pulte Homes Inc. (PHM), SAP A.G. (SAP), Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc. (HOT), Stryker Corp. (SYK), Textron Inc. (TXT), Under Armour, Inc. (UA), Wendy’s International Inc. (WEN)….  Also listed is LaBranche & Co. Inc. (LAB), which is a bit ironic seeing as that this is another specialist firm. 

Jon C. Ogg
November 15, 2007

Jon Ogg produces the 24/7 Wall St. Special Situation Investing Newsletter; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.