The unofficial closing bells put the DJIA up nearly 34 points to 12,530.91 (0.27%), the NASDAQ fell nearly 11points (-0.38%) to 2,839.38, and the S&P 500 rose 0.14% or nearly 2 points to 1,320.73.

There were several analyst upgrades and downgrades today, including Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) maintained as ‘neutral’ but estimates raised at Credit Suisse; ARM Holdings plc (NASDAQ: ARMH) raised to ‘buy’ at S&P; Duke Energy Corp. (NYSE: DUK) raised to ‘buy’ at UBS; National Oilwell Varco (NYSE: NOV) raised to ‘buy’ at SocGen; and MetLife Inc. (NYSE: MET) raised to ‘buy’ with a target price of $46 at Argus.

Earnings reports since markets closed last night have led to some price changes as of the last half hour of trading today: Hewlett-Packard is up 3% at $21.72 (more coverage here); Fred’s Inc. (NASDAQ: FRED) is down -2.5% at $14.05; H.J. Heinz Co. (NYSE: HNZ) is down -0.8% at $53.41; Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF) is down -7.5% at $57.17 after posting a new 52-week low of $55.75 earlier today (more coverage here); Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST) is up 1% at $84.16 (more coverage here); and The Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD) is down -0.3% at $76.54.

Tomorrow we are scheduled to get earnings reports from America’s Car-Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT), Mentor Graphics Inc. (NASDAQ: MENT), Post Holdings Inc. (NYSE: POST), Frontline Ltd. (NYSE: FRO), and JDA Software Group Inc. (NASDAQ: JDAS).

We’ve also reviewed some potential value stocks among major oil companies, gold & silver miners, conglomerates, industrials, retail, and semiconductor stocks.

Other standouts from today include the following stocks:

Rosetta Genomics Inc. (NASDAQ: ROSG) is up nearly 52% at $17.07. The medical device maker is still booming on last week’s announcement that treatment would be covered by Medicare.

Pandora Media Inc. (NYSE: P) is up 12.5% at $11.62. The Internet radio company reported better-than-expected results last night. More coverage here.

Stay tuned for Friday. Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser is giving a speech. We have also noted the following events on the schedule (all times Eastern):

• 9:55 a.m. – Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index

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Paul Ausick

With warnings having started from key leaders in the realm of chip stocks, the question is whether or not you can trust the analysts and the consensus upside.  24/7 Wall St. has gone in and evaluated the leaders in each aspect of the semiconductor sector to see where there is value and where the risks currently lie.  We evaluated the following chip companies: Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC); QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ: QCOM); Texas Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ: TXN); Broadcom Corp. (NASDAQ: BRCM); NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA); Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NYSE: AMD); Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (NYSE: TSM); Freescale Semiconductor Holdings (NYSE: FSL); SanDisk Corporation (NASDAQ: SNDK); Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT); Lam Research Corporation (NASDAQ: LRCX); and Altera Corporation (NASDAQ: ALTR).

In a further effort to show just how much these have sold off, we have shown the moves in the following key semiconductor ETFs: Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF (AMEX: SMH); SPDR S&P Semiconductor (AMEX: XSD); and the ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (AMEX: USD).  We have also run the same screens in retail, gold and silver miners, conglomerates, industrial giants, and major oil companies with links to those at the end of this article. Here is the screening of value and upside in the chip giants:

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) traded at $26.60 with a market value of $129 billion.  The consensus target price for the king of PC processors from Thomson Reuters is $29.75 and the 52-week trading range is $19.16 to $29.27.  This DJIA component’s most recent yield was listed as 3.2%. Intel’s implied upside to the consensus target is 16% and it is worth noting that the consensus target is just above the 52-week high.

QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ: QCOM) traded at $57.78 with a market value of $99 billion.  The consensus target price from Thomson Reuters is $71.92 and the 52-week trading range is $45.98 to $68.87.  The CDMA giant yields about 1.7% after dividend hikes. The implied upside to the consensus target is just under 25% but we would note that the consensus target is still over $3.00 above the 52-week high.

Texas Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ: TXN) traded at $29.15 with a market value of $33.4 billion.  The consensus target price from Thomson Reuters is $35.80 and the 52-week trading range is $24.34 to $35.30.  The yield here is about 2.3%. TI’s implied upside to the consensus target is just under 23% and that target is still just above its 52-week high.

Broadcom Corp. (NASDAQ: BRCM) traded at $31.85 with a market value of $17.5 billion.  The consensus target price from Thomson Reuters is $43.21 and the 52-week trading range is $27.59 to $39.66.  Broadcom has a paltry yield of only about 1.2%, but its implied upside to the consensus target is about 35%.  Be advised that this consensus target is almost $4.00 above the 52-week high.

NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) trades at $12.25 and its market cap is just over $7.5 billion. This graphics processor leader has a consensus target price of $16.64 and the 52-week trading range is $11.47 to $20.05.  NVIDIA pays no dividend and that is something which it should consider changing since it has about $3 billion in cash and liquidity. Its implied upside to the consensus target is about 35% and that consensus target price is well under its 52-week high.

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NYSE: AMD) trades at $6.06 and its market cap is only $4.25 billion despite it being so actively traded. The consensus target price for this distant number-2 in PC processors is $8.55 and the 52-week trading range is $4.31 to $8.71.  AMD has no dividend due to very spotty earnings. Its implied upside to the consensus target is more than 41% if you trust the analysts here and its target price is just under its 52-week high.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (NYSE: TSM) currently trades at $14.15 for its ADR and Yahoo! Finance shows its market value being about $73 billion.  The consensus target price from Thomson Reuters is $16.70 and the 52-week trading range is $10.75 to $16.15.  The yield is listed as roughly 2.9%. TSM’s implied upside to the consensus target is 18% and the consensus target is about 4% above the 52-week high.

Freescale Semiconductor Holdings (NYSE: FSL) has been battered since its IPO and shares now trade at $9.75 with an implied market value of $2.4 billion.  This private equity backed chip outfit’s consensus target price from Thomson Reuters is all the way up at $17.92 and the 52-week (less than one-year actually) trading range is $9.43 to $20.97.  Freescale has NO DIVIDEND, which makes it stand out against the peer group now.  Still, if you trust the analysts here the implied upside to the consensus target is a whopping 83%!  Trust is hard to come by here, particularly for a company where backers will sell shares along the way into strength.

SanDisk Corporation (NASDAQ: SNDK) trades around $32.50 and its market value is about $7.9 billion.  The king of flash memory’s consensus target price from Thomson Reuters is $44.46 and the 52-week trading range is $31.34 to $53.46.  SanDisk has no current dividend, something which may need to change down the road considering that this is not anywhere close to a new company.  Its implied upside to the consensus target is 37% but the company has had two warnings.

Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) currently trades at $10.55 and its market value is $13.6 billion.  The consensus target price from Thomson Reuters is $13.65 and the 52-week trading range is $9.70 to $13.94.  Applied now yields about 3.4% and its implied upside to the consensus target is about 29%.

Lam Research Corporation (NASDAQ: LRCX) is worth more than $4.5 billion today but it is acquiring Novellus Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: NVLS) for about $3 billion in stock, so it will soon be larger.  Its shares trade at $38.00, its consensus target price is $48.53 and the 52-week trading range is $34.81 to $48.88.  Lam Research pays NO DIVIDEND now and its implied upside is almost 28%.

Altera Corporation (NASDAQ: ALTR) currently trades at $33.90 and its market value is $10.9 billion.  The consensus target price from Thomson Reuters is $41.00 and the 52-week trading range is $30.39 to $48.91.  Altera has a dink yield of only about 1% and we expect a dividend hike in the coming weeks or months. Its implied upside to the consensus target is about 21% and this one is well off highs and the target is almost $8.00 under its 52-week high.

Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF (AMEX: SMH) has undergone a total transformation since it is no longer the Semiconductor HOLDRs.  At $31.25 its range since the change is listed as $28.86 to $36.17.  This ETF is said to have assets of almost $400 million, but that changes based upon inflows and outflows on top of the change in the price.

SPDR S&P Semiconductor (AMEX: XSD) ETS is now one of the longest ETF in chips since the HOLDRS changed.  At $43.50 now, its 52-week range is $40.09 to $59.85 and it still has only about $44 million in assets.  This one peaked in January and the mix of components has made it more volatile than many leaders.  This ETF would now have to rally by more than 37% to hit its 52-week high again.

ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (AMEX: USD) uses leverage of 2-times for its semiconductor trading, so this is one where it will feel just like getting your fingernails ripped out when your timing is wrong. At $33.50, this leveraged ETF has a 52-week range of $26.18 to $46.46. It would have to rally about 39% to hit its 52-week high again.

As you can see, the semiconductor and chip leaders have now pulled back substantially from their highs seen throughout 2012.  The issue to consider is that Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) and Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) have confirmed that PC sales are slowing.  Some of this is due to Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) and some of it is due to weakness in Europe, weak PC spending in the Americas, and a slowing of growth in the BRIC nations.  How the Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) launch of Windows 8 will impact the PC refresh cycle ahead is now another wild card since PC sales guidance is looking softer than anticipated from just a couple of weeks ago.

We also want to warn investors to not just blindly trust the analysts in semiconductor price targets here.  Summer can be a brutal time for chip stocks.  The drop in the ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (AMEX: USD) during the summer of 2011 was about 40% and the drop from the 52-week high in 2011 to that end of summer trough was almost 50%.

The drop in the SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (AMEX: XSD) during the summer of 2011 was about 25%, but the drop from the peak in early 2011 here to the trough of late-summer was about 31%.

Summer is a very tough time to invest in chip stocks, and the question now is just how much the slowdown is going to continue taking out of chip stocks.  We would certainly avoid trying to play the game of trying to catch falling knives here, but these are all worth keeping an eye on for those inflection points where the valuations start to adequately discount the warning signs.

Gold & Silver Miners with the Most Upside Value  

Major Oil Companies with the Most Upside Value

Industrials with the Most Upside Value  

Conglomerates with the Most Upside Value

Retail Stocks with Upside 

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JON C. OGG

Analog Devices Inc. (NYSE: ADI) Reiterated Buy with $43 target at Argus.

ARM Holdings PLC (NASDAQ: ARMH) Raised to Buy at S&P.

Assured Guaranty (NYSE: AGO) Raised to Buy at UBS.

Baker Hughes Inc. (NYSE: BHI) Cut to Hold at Societe Generale.

Dean Foods Co. (NYSE: DF) named as Bull of the Day in its turnaround at Zacks.

Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) Maintained Buy but target cut to $18 from $22 at Argus.

Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE: DUK) Raised to Buy at UBS.

Eaton Vance (NYSE: EV) Raised to Neutral from Sell at Citigroup.

Express Inc. (NYSE: EXPR) Started as Neutral at JPMorgan.

Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) Maintained Neutral but raised 2012/2013 estimates by 2% at Credit Suisse.

Human Genome Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ: HGSI) Cut to Market Perform with a price target of $13.00 at BMO Capital.

Iridium Communications Inc. (NASDAQ: IRDM) Started as Buy at CRT Capital.

MetLife Inc. (NYSE: MET) Reiterated Buy with $46 target at Argus.

National Oilwell Varco (NYSE: NOV) Raised to Buy at Societe Generale.

OCZ Technology Group Inc (NYSE: OCZ) Started as Outperform with $8 target at Credit Suisse.

RadioShack Corporation (NYSE: RSH) named as Bear of the Day at Zacks.

RailAmerica Inc. (NYSE: RA) Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan.

Three calls seen on NetApp (see here).

If you enjoyed the top analyst upgrades and downgrades, you can join our free email newsletter that includes analyst summaries each morning sent right to your inbox.  We also cover top issues such as IPOs, special financial exclusives, mergers and more. Sign up in the box below.

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JON C. OGG

Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) posts better-than-expected earnings and says it will fire 27,000 people. (Reuters)

Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) loses an important ruling in an intellectual property suit against Google (NASDAQ: GOOG). (Reuters)

Shareholders sue Facebook (NASDAQ: FB) because of trouble with its IPO. (Reuters)

Facebook may move to the NYSE (NYSE: NYX). (Reuters)

Some large investors receive warnings from analysts that projections of Facebook’s earnings have come down. (WSJ)

Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK) increases drilling on the Utica Shale in Ohio. (WSJ)

Sony (NYSE: SNE) will sell part of its LCD business to Sharp. (WSJ)

The head of sales at Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) departs. (WSJ)

Yields on German bonds fall to all-time lows as capital moves to safety. (WSJ)

General Electric (NYSE: GE) says its industrial profit margin will rise in 2013. (WSJ)

Oil falls below $90 for the first time since October. (WSJ)

Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS-A) will begin to drill in far north areas of Alaska. (NYT)

Martha Stewart will once again become chairperson of Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia (NYSE: MSO). (NYT)

A deal for financial coordination among EU nations will be put off until a June meeting. (FT)

Shale gas helps the U.S. lower emissions. (FT)

Large companies turn over CEOs less than in the downturn, according to Booz & Company. (FT)

BMW will triple its output in China. (Bloomberg)

Detroit turns off street lights to save money. (Bloomberg)

Douglas A.McIntyre

On an adjusted basis H-P turned in earnings of $0.98 EPS on total sales of $30.69 billion.  This was above its prior guidance of $0.88 to $0.91 per share and above the consensus from Thomson Reuters of $0.91 EPS and $29.9 billion in revenues.

HP showed the following in PC and tech sales:

• Personal Systems Group revenue was flat year over year with a 5.5% operating margin.
• Commercial revenue increased 3%
• Consumer revenue declined 4%
• Workstations revenue was down 1%
• Desktop units were up 5%
• notebook units were down 6%
• total units were down 1%.

Results elsewhere are as follows:

• Services revenue declined 1% year over year with an 11.3% operating margin
• Imaging and Printing Group (IPG) revenue declined 10% year over year with a 13.2% operating margin.
• Enterprise Servers, Storage and Networking (ESSN) revenue declined 6% year over year with an 11.2% operating margin.
• HP Financial Services revenue grew 9% year over year driven by a 4% increase in net portfolio assets and a 5% increase in financing volume.
• Software revenue grew 22% year over year with a 17.7% operating margin, including the results of Autonomy… but it noted “Autonomy saw a significant decline in license revenue.”

HP spent $350 million of cash during the quarter to repurchase approximately 13 million shares of common stock in open market transactions and the company exited the quarter with $8.7 billion in gross cash.

Cutting another 8% of the workforce in the coming year or more is not going to come without pain.  What is also helping is that the crummy news coming out of Dell caused Dell’s worst day in a decade or more and that set the bar very low for H-P.  H-P closed down 3.2% at $21.08 against a prior 52-week low of $21.28, but shares are up 5.7% at $22.33 in the after-hours session.

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) is not winning with H-P perhaps on lower total unit sales.  Shares closed down 2.2% at $29.11 and the stock is at $29.04 in the after-hours.  Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) is facing the same after a 2.3% drop to $25.44 today and the after-hours session is down at $25.35.

JON C. OGG

When you see a drop of 17% on Dell, you might expect that the volume was 100 million shares or so.  As of 11 AM EST we have still not even seen 40 million shares trade against an average volume of 16.5 million.  The volume is strong, but this feels like the sort of news that would drive 100 million shares.  That being said, Dell traded 51,440,000 shares per NASDAQ trading data on its last earnings report day-after.

Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) is set to report earnings today after the close of trading and estimates are $0.91 EPS and $29.92 billion in sales.  Let’s just say that it is safe to assume that the estimates have unofficially come down significantly.  H-P shares are down 4.6% at $20.77 and this is a new 52-week low.  As a reminder, HP is expected to announce a major round of tech layoffs today as part of its restructuring.

This appears to be the worst trading day in more than a decade for Dell on a percentage drop.  Dell is down 17.1% at $12.50 now and the prior 52-week range is $13.29 to $18.36.  Dell is now probably under 6-times forward earnings estimates after the drop and H-P is roughly the same.  The problem is that no one is willing to pay for contracting earnings power of this sort.  Dell offers no dividend to entice shareholders to stay around, and HP offers at least a yield of about 2.2% based on today’s price.

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) is down 3.2% at $25.19 and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) is down 2.9% at $28.90.

Elsewhere in key PC components, the fallout continues… Seagate Technology PLC (NYSE: STX) is down 2% at $25.81 against a recent high of $32.55 and Western Digital Corp. (NYSE: WDC) is down 2% at $33.82 against a recent high of $44.44.  We warned investors not to chase those on the last round of good news as it should have been anticipated at the end of 2011 and in the first quarter of this year.  It may seem a bit of a surprise, but the US king of DRAM via Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) is down only 0.2% at $5.70 because it is already down so much from the highs of $10.23 over the last year.

It goes without saying… wrecking balls swing back and forth, and the damage is severe.  Dell has become technology’s wrecking ball and having a ”LOW P/E VALUATION” is about as relevant as gold to a dead man today.

JON C. OGG

The most recent market stabilization and recovery could not have come sooner for Dell (and others).  Shares ended April at about $16.50 and the stock hit $14.75 before recently recovering to the $15.07 price today.  The 200-day moving average was cut through like butter on the downside over the last two weeks and there were four trading sessions that the 200-day moving average acted as a ceiling on.  That level is $15.82 and the 50-day moving average is $16.25 as of today.

Analysts still see upside in Dell with the consensus price target of $19.30 representing about 29% upside to Monday’s closing price.  Our big complaint is that Dell has so far refused to pay out a dividend. It has chosen to hold cash for a rainy day and to make acquisitions when possible. Dell also barely trades at 7-times its expected fiscal January-2013 year-end consensus targets from Thomson Reuters.

Options traders appear to be braced for a move of only about $0.60 or just over 4% in either direction based upon the speculative June 2012 put and call options prices.

The big question is no longer just PC sales.  Dell has been moving into services and consulting for businesses on top of its enterprise sales.  We will be looking forward to how Dell talks about the upcoming Windows 8 launch.

Whispernumber.com sent its whisper number to us today and noted that the whisper is also $0.46 just like the official target.  It also noted:

• Last quarter the company reported earnings in-line with the whisper number. Following that report the stock realized a 3.4% gain in five trading days.
• In the comparable quarter last year, the company reported earnings nine cents ahead of the whisper number.  Following that report the stock realized an 8.2% loss in five trading days.

JON C. OGG

There are several issues happening almost simultaneously here.  Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) recently reiterated its guidance and this lends more thought to the PC recovery being sustained.  Even Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD) signaled that it sees increased demand for PCs and its processors ahead.  The reason is in part due to the Windows refresh cycle as Microsoft Corporation is now just a few months away from its launch of the Windows 8 operating system.

Our big question is simple, yet complicated: How bad will the reports be from Dell and H-P?

Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) is in a turnaround and Wall Street refuses to give it any valuation worth noting.  Its value is about 6-times expected earnings.  The chatter has already been telegraphed that some 25,000 or even 30,000 pink slips are going to be handed out at H-P.  That will make its earnings coincide with National Employee Morale Day.  H-P is a DJIA component and it is worth under $44 billion in market capitalization now that its stock is down more than half from the peak in early 2011.  H-P still trades under $22 and its 52-week range is $21.28 to $37.70 against a consensus analyst price target objective of $29.23 that implies about 33% upside.  Thomson Reuters has consensus estimates of $0.91 EPS and $29.92 billion in revenue for H-P.

Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) is dirt cheap for a tech stock and dirt cheap compared to the market, but against H-P it almost sounds expensive at 7.5-times its forward earnings.  Dell is still just under $15 and its 52-week range is $13.29 to $18.36 against a consensus analyst price target objective of $19.43 that implies 30% upside.  Thomson Reuters has consensus estimates of $0.46 EPS and $14.89 billion in revenue for Dell.

Analysts still seem to prefer Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) over Dell and H-P alike if you just pay attention to the media coverage.  What is interesting is that Apple has almost no attention given to its Mac sales at the moment.  It is all about iPads, iPhones, and the coming Apple TV.  Apple shares are finally recovering with a gain of 4% to $551.00 today.  Analysts have a consensus target of $708.55 against the $551 price today.  What is interesting is that Apple’s implied upside is about 28%.

Can it be that analysts actually prefer Dell and H-P over Apple as a group?  That is what the math says on the surface.  The difference is that many of the analysts following Apple are far higher and much more ambitious on Apple than the consensus.

JON C. OGG

The unofficial closing bells put the DJIA down 74 points to 12,368.47 (-0.59%), the NASDAQ fell nearly 35 points (-1.24%) to 2,778.79, and the S&P 500 fell -0.74% or nearly 10 points to 1,295.17.

There were several analyst upgrades and downgrades today, including LinkedIn Corp. (NYSE: LNKD) reiterated as ‘buy’ with a target price of $135 at Canaccord Genuity; Dendreon Inc. (NASDAQ: DNDN) started as ‘sell’ at Maxim; Bank of Ireland (NYSE: IRE) cut to ‘sell’ at Deutsche Bank; Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) started as ‘buy’ at UBS; and Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) raised to ‘buy’ at Guggenheim.

Earnings reports since markets closed last night have led to some price changes as of the last half hour of trading today: ANN Inc. (NYSE: ANN) is up 3.25% at $26.69; Brown Shoe Co. Inc. (NYSE: BWS) is up 21.4% at $10.63 (more coverage here); Progressive Corp. (NYSE: PGR) is down -0.1% at $21.32; and Footlocker Inc. (NYSE: FL) is up 8.9% at $30.50.

Next week we are scheduled to get earnings reports fromTech Data Corporation (NASDAQ: TECD); Urban Outfitters Inc. (NASDAQ: URBN); Autozone Inc. (NYSE: AZO); Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE: BBY); Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL); PetSmart Inc. (NASDAQ: PETM); Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE: RL); Big Lots Inc. (NYSE: BIG); and Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) among others.

Other standouts from today include the following stocks:

Renren Inc. (NYSE: RENN) is down -20% at $4.99. The Chinese Internet company is getting whacked on Facebook’s IPO. More coverage here.

GSV Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: GSVC) is down -18.6% at $13.10. The investment company had a nice hunk of Facebook shares at a very low price — all the value is in today. More coverage here.

Zynga Inc. (NASDAQ: ZNGA) is down -16.3% at $6.92 after posting a 52-week low of $6.90 earlier today. Another stock that climbed on Facebook’s back during the run-up to the IPO, shares were stopped by an automatic trigger shortly after FB shares opened today. More coverage here.

Stay tuned for Monday. Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart is giving a speech. We have also noted the following events on the schedule (all times Eastern):

• 10:00 a.m. – Existing home sales
• 10:00 a.m. – Richmond Fed manufacturing index
• 11:30 a.m. – 3- and 6-month bill auctions

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Have a great weekend!

Paul Ausick

These are some of the focus companies reporting earnings in the coming week: Tech Data Corporation (NASDAQ: TECD); Urban Outfitters Inc. (NASDAQ: URBN); Autozone Inc. (NYSE: AZO); Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE: BBY); Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL); PetSmart Inc. (NASDAQ: PETM); Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE: RL); Big Lots Inc. (NYSE: BIG); Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ); NetApp Inc. (NASDAQ: NTAP); Pandora Media Inc. (NYSE: P); Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL); Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST); Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF); and VeriFone Systems Inc. (NYSE: PAY).

MONDAY, MAY 21

Tech Data Corporation (NASDAQ: TECD) is set to report and show how the outlook is for the companies which actually distribute all of the technology components and finished smartphones and consumer electronics devices around the world.  Shares were recently under $48 and the 52-week range is $38.21 to $59.29.  The consensus estimate is $1.16 EPS and $6.18 billion in revenue.

Urban Outfitters Inc. (NASDAQ: URBN) is going to show if its turnaround is closer or just still chugging along.  Estimates are $0.20 EPS and $579.2 million in revenue.  Shares were recently around $25.50 and the 52-week range is $21.47 to $33.90; the consensus target price is about $29.70.

TUESDAY, MAY 22

Autozone Inc. (NYSE: AZO) took it hard on the chin recently when rival Advance Auto warned of a difficult second quarter.  This is one of the high-priced stocks and shares are around $366 against a 52-week range of $266.25 to $399.10.  The consensus analyst target price is $419.80; estimates are $6.25 EPS and $2.13 billion in revenue; next quarter estimates are $8.47 EPS and $2.84 billion in revenue.

Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE: BBY) is in such disarray that we won’t even bother with the warnings and the caveats here.  Estimates are $0.60 EPS.

Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) is now trading at only about 7.5-times forward earnings.  Estimates are $0.46 EPS and $14.89 billion in sales.  Earnings have been choppy on guidance but the PC makers and components makers are all talking up the release of Windows 8 as a new catalyst.  With shares trading just under $15.00, the 52-week range is $13.29 to $18.36 and the consensus price target is almost $19.50.

PetSmart Inc. (NASDAQ: PETM) has been a steady “beat earnings and raise guidance” outfit as Americans will pay endless and countless dollars on Fido and Fifi.  Estimates are $0.73 EPS and $1.6 billion in revenue. With shares around $56.00, the 52-week high is $59.36.

Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE: RL) has sold off nearly $40 from its highs since March.  The question is how its business has been holding up in slowing markets even if the U.S. sales have been strong.  Estimates are $0.83 EPS and $1.6 billion in sales.  With shares around $143 the 52-week range is $105.00 to $182.48 and the consensus price target from analysts is just over $190.00.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 23

Big Lots Inc. (NYSE: BIG) should be called “Warning Lots” because it has lowered guidance and been hard on two different waves.  With shares under $35 and against a high of $47.22, the premium values of the dollar stores may and discounters may be hurting here.  On the flip side, the bar has been set extremely low.  Estimates are $0.69 EPS and $1.3 billion in revenue.

Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) is now around the $22 handle and the news of another 25,000 or more in layoffs (versus 350K as of October 31, 2011) is not helping the growth hopes.  Estimates are $0.91 EPS and $29.92 billion in sales.  The stock now trades at about 6-times earnings, but the consensus price target is down to just over $29.00 as no one wants to pay up for the valuation of this DJIA component.

NetApp Inc. (NASDAQ: NTAP) has been pounded and the last 45 days has looked like a downward staircase on its chart.  At about $34.00, the 52-week range is $33.00 to $56.49 and the consensus price target objective is just over $47.00.

Pandora Media Inc. (NYSE: P) is no longer market-influencing, but it is a cult stock and the earnings could create a large gain or a large drop.  With shares under $10.50, the post IPO range is $7.83 to $26.00.  Estimates are -$0.17 EPS and $74.3 million in revenue.  Can the company make it to profitability by the end of next year?

Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL) is expected to be profitable.  A profitable homebuilder!  At $25.50, the 52-week range is $13.16 to $27.80.  A lot of good news already has to be priced in, so we would want to expect upside to remain positive here.  Estimates are $0.04 EPS and $381.9 million in revenue.

THURSDAY, MAY 24

Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST) almost always beats its earnings estimates.  At $83.75 the 52-week range is $70.22 to $92.10; analysts have a target price of $86.80 or so.   Estimates are $0.87 EPS and $22.1 billion in revenue.

Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF) has come off of its highs significantly and this is the king of jewelry stores for investors.  There will have been two smaller reports ahead of Tiffany in the week with Fred’s and Zale.  Estimates for Tiffany are $0.69 EPS and $816.8 million.  With shares under $61.00, the 52-week range is $56.21 to $84.49 and the consensus price target is $75.63.

VeriFone Systems Inc. (NYSE: PAY) has pulled back by about 20% from its highs, but the woes of the company seem to be behind it.  At $44.80, the 52-week range is $30.25 to $55.89 and the consensus analyst price target is $54.10.  Estimates are $0.61 EPS and $471.5 million in revenue.

As a reminder, dates and estimates can change ahead of earnings and some may have already changed.

JON C. OGG