Read America’s Ten Shrinking Corporate Giants

Large companies can lose a significant amount of their revenues because they get into a great deal of financial trouble. A company may lose part of its customer base quickly because of economic forces, or it may be part of a financial catastrophe. As a result, the company’s revenue declines, and it begins to post large losses. In cases like these, companies often are forced to sell divisions to fund their survival. Alternatively, companies may close some of their operations that drain capital. General Motors and Citigroup are good examples of this category. Each moved from relative prosperity to difficulty in a very short period.

The other reason large companies shrink quickly is by design. The management of a corporation created by merger or acquisition activity may find that some of its pieces no longer fit together. One division may grow at a much higher or slower rate compared to others. Also, the way the stock market values one part of a large corporation may change because it is in a category Wall Street no longer favors. That, in turn, becomes a burden on the stock price of the entire enterprise. Telecom hardware company Motorola Solutions and media giant Time Warner fall into this category. Each is smaller than it was five years ago because it spun out a major business.

24/7 Wall St. used Capital IQ to screen the largest companies in America based on total revenue in 2006. We then screened for those that had the largest drops in total revenue between 2006 and 2010. Most of the eight companies on this list lost a third of their total revenue over the period, and some lost more than half. The list is ranked by total revenue loss from greatest to least.

This is 24/7 Wall St.’s list of America’s Shrinking Corporate Giants

Read the Ten Cheap Products Making American Companies Billions

All of the companies that make the most money from selling inexpensive items have exceptionally strong brands. They are highly recognizable and held in high regard. Coca-Cola, which makes billions of dollars off its trademark drink Coke, is the most valuable brand in the world, according to brand valuation company Interbrand. According to Brand Z, McDonald’s, producer of the world’s favorite french fries, is the most valuable brand. Other brands, such as Cheerios, Campbell’s, and Starbucks, are also instantly recognizable.

These products have such strong brands partly because their parent companies spend huge sums of money on advertising. In 2011, Procter & Gamble, maker of Gillette razors, spent $9.3 billion on ads for all products — 11.3% of its total sales. This amount increases substantially each year, reflecting the lengths companies must go to preserve market share. Ian Cook, chief executive of Colgate-Palmolive, recently promised “increased advertising support behind many new and existing Colgate products” in 2012 to protect its global standing. The company said it had increased advertising spending in the fourth quarter to $428 million, up 5% from one year ago.

Additionally, these brands benefit from having been around for years and having existed in the public conscious a very long time. Products such as Coke, Colgate toothpaste, and Dole bananas have been around since the 19th century. Campbell’s soup and Cheerios have been household staples since the middle of the 20th century. Consumers have grown to trust the brands and expect a certain level of quality.

24/7 Wall St. reviewed the 500 largest companies by sales to identify the ones that focus on inexpensive consumer goods and low-priced food products. We then looked at the most inexpensive products sold for less than $5 and hold the highest market share. These are the cheapest products making American companies billions.

The World Bank sharply cuts global growth forecasts. (Reuters)

Greece and private creditors race to settle on a deal to avoid a financially dangerous default. (Reuters)

Fallout from the Chinese housing bubble may hit GDP. (Reuters)

More Americans use savings to help during what remains a harsh economic climate. (Reuters)

Olympus says the potential of an equity partner would be delayed until new management receives appointments. (Reuters)

Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) plans to cut 1,600 people when it breaks into two companies. (Reuters)

Asia-based companies may buy Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM); Samsung states it has no interest. (Reuters)

Calpers plans to sell much of its real estate portfolio. (WSJ)

A Harvard Business School project finds that graduates voice concerns about the tax code and political gridlock. (WSJ)

More companies buy Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) Macs than in past years. (WSJ)

Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) and Citigroup (NYSE: C) report loan growth as they announce earnings. (WSJ)

More Chinese citizens now live in cities rather than rural areas. (WSJ)

Spain plans to cut debt within it major states. (WSJ)

The National Science Board says more R&D jobs have moved to Asia. (WSJ)

The National Automobile Dealers Association says new fuel economy rules would damage sales. (WSJ)

An Abu Dhabi-based fund puts money into struggling UniCredit. (WSJ)

The FDIC proposes bank stress tests. (WSJ)

The United States Conference of Mayors says few cities have added jobs since the recession. (NYT)

Prime Minister Lucas Papademos says many investors in Greek sovereign paper will take large losses. (NYT)

Factory growth in the U.S. beats that among all G7 nations. (FT)

The World Bank says developing nations should prepare for a poor economic environment. (FT)

Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Barclays (NYSE: BCS), Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) will all bid for AIG (NYSE: AIG) debt portfolios held by the U.S. government. (FT)

Central banks increase the gold they lend for the first time in a decade. (FT)

Douglas A. McIntyre

• The 17 Most Important IPOs to Watch in 2012.
• The 24/7 Wall St. 2012 Model Dividend portfolio
• Bankruptcy, liquidation, delisting and all… Here is a list of ten stocks that are not expected to survive 2012.
• Major semiconductors and expected price performance of leaders in 2012.
• Top Oil & Gas stocks with expected price performance in 2012.

One firm gave what looks and feels like an outrageous possibility: a 50% drop from the peak in Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) shares.

Jim Cramer’s top four of the thirty DJIA picks are AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA), General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) and Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT). FULL SUMMARY

A Doug Kass call was made for E*TRADE Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: ETFC) to be acquired, even though it all but killed any M&A prospects.

Barron’s gave ten stocks it sees as its favorite picks in 2012, and the trend here is based upon value stocks and dividend stocks rather than aggressive growth stocks.

Molycorp. Inc. (NYSE: MCP) received a wishy-washy outlook concerns from top analyst for this year.

3 Groups of small and mid-cap stock picks expecting huge upside in 2012:

Small & Mid-Cap Stocks With 50% Upside In 2012 (OIS, OI, ROSE, WBC, CIE)
Small Caps With 50% Upside in 2012 (TEN, WNR, APO, SNV, MTZ)
Small Caps With Over 50% Stock Upside in 2012 (PNK, CDXS, VVUS, SCMR)

A consensus breakdown of top analyst stock picks for biotech in 2012. Dendreon Corporation (NASDAQ: DNDN) was noted with having more than 40% upside at the time, but that was literally seen in one day this last week.  Three top medical technology picks in 2012 from Zacks Investment Research were Boston Scientific Corporation (NYSE: BSX), Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (NASDAQ: ISRG). and St. Jude Medical, Inc. (NYSE: STJ).

Eight nations with active ETFs, closed-end funds, and ADRs which may benefit from credit rating upgrades in 2012.

JON C. OGG

AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) was Jim Cramer’s first pick of the week, with its higher dividend and slightly better share discount to peak prices being noted as the reason.  The $4 billion break-up fee may have taken out too much from the value and the carrier’s iPhone business has held up better than many would have expected.

Read Also: Modified Methodology Predicts 12% DJIA Gain In 2012 to 13,678

Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) was Jim Cramer’s top pick for the DJIA stocks on Friday.  His reason is not defense as much as it is the 787 Dreamliner’s slow start and secular growth driver ahead,  Cramer touted a huge order backlog in other planes which have already been developed years ago and showed how it has so much pricing power in the Airbus duopoly that AMR was even given permission to honor its pending aircraft purchases while AMR is in bankruptcy.

General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) was touted by Jim Cramer as one of the top DJIA picks for 2012.  Cramer sees more than 10% upside, but that is in-line with street estimates and some analysts are even more positive than Cramer.  Cramer sees the recent dividend hike sooner than expected as having been one catalyst and improved and diversified core business metrics.

Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT) was picked by Cramer in the middle of the week after a positive performance of about 17% in 2011 and with its 3.1% dividend yield.  The value he sees is in this long pending break-up of the company because it is too large and diverse in food for the street to grasp right now.  This is even though he called it a no-man’s stock that is neither appealing to growth nor value investors right now.

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JON C. OGG

The nearly certain nine Dogs of the Dow are as follows: AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T); Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ); Merck & Company, Inc. (NYSE: MRK); Pfizer, Inc. (NYSE: PFE); General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE); E.I. du Pont de Nemours (NYSE: DD); Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ); Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC); and The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG).  The horserace for the tenth spot on the Dogs is taking place among three DJIA components, with a distant fourth in the running: Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT); Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT); Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX); and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM).

Here is the current expected order of the 2012 Dogs of the Dow, with dividend yields included:

• AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) 5.9%
• Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) 5.2%
• Merck & Company, Inc. (NYSE: MRK) 4.5%
• Pfizer, Inc. (NYSE: PFE) 3.7%… After the most recent dividend hike which has not been paid out, the new yield will be 4.06% rather than a rounded off 3.7%.
• General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) 3.6%
• E.I. du Pont de Nemours (NYSE: DD), or DuPont, 3.6%
• Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) 3.5%
• Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) 3.4%
• The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG) 3.14%

The four DJIA stocks competing for the tenth-spot:

• Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) 3.07%
• Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT) 3.08%
• Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) 3.03%
• J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) 2.98%

What is so interesting about this list is that Microsoft is entering the Dogs for what may be the first time ever.  McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE: MCD) is actually not in the list this year.  Those which have recently raised dividends outside of Microsoft are AT&T, Merck, Pfizer, and G.E.

If you average the top nine DJIA yields, investors get an average of about 4.06%.  If you include a 3.05% average for the competing four to go into the tenth spot, then the average dividend yield comes to 3.96%. As far as how this compares to the 2011 list, the lowest yield a year ago was roughly 3.1% as well.

Is it any coincidence that the average yield last year among the ten Dogs was 4.01%?  Here is the 2011 Dogs of the Dow review from a year ago for comparison.

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JON C. OGG

ConAgra reported reported adjusted EPS of $0.47, compared with a consensus estimate of $0.43. Revenue came in at $3.4 billion, compared with an estimate of $3.34 billion. In the same period a year ago, ConAgra posted EPS of $0.46 on $3.15 billion in revenue.

General Mills reported adjusted EPS of $0.76, below estimates of $0.79. Revenue beat expectations of $4.6 billion, coming in at $4.62 billion. A year ago, General Mills posted adjusted EPS of $0.92 on revenue of $4.1 billion.

ConAgra expects EPS growth in the low- to mid-single digit range for the 2012 fiscal year. The current consensus EPS estimate is $1.80 for the full year ending in May, compared with EPS of $1.75 last year. ConAgra, which failed in a hostile takeover attempt on Ralcorp Holdings Inc. (NYSE: RAH), has been making small acquisitions to boost its revenues.

General Mills forecasts full-year EPS of $2.59-$2.61, while the consensus estimate is $2.61, up from $2.48 last year. The company is looking to its recently acquired controlling stake in yogurt maker Yoplait to help boost earnings.

In the early afternoon today, ConAgra shares are up more than 3.5% at $26.10, after posting a new 52-week high this earlier of $26.38. Trading volume is heavy, with 4.8 million already having trading hands today, compared with a daily average of 4 million.

General Mills shares are down about -1.5% at $39.00 in a 52-week range of $34.54-$40.72. Volume is also heavy in the shares, with more than 5 million traded so far today compared with a daily average of about 4.6 million.

Paul Ausick

S&P’s threat of a downgrade of eurozone nations puts huge pressure on the region’s leaders. (Reuters)

An independent panel that reviewed the financial activity of Olympus suggests legal action be taken. (Reuters)

An MIT report says the U.S. power grid is vulnerable to cyber attacks. (Reuters)

BP (NYSE: BP) says high oil prices could hurt global growth. (Reuters)

Samsung announces a new flash memory chip operation in China to cost as much as $4 billion. (Reuters)

John Corzine ignored warnings about his firm’s risky trades, some of which were given to his board by management. (WSJ)

Merkel and Sarkozy will support changes in the euro area treaty that would hold nations more closely to their budgets. (WSJ)

Ford (NYSE: F) begins to search for a CEO as Alan Mulally plans to leave within two years. (WSJ)

AMR (NYSE: AMR) likely will make deep expense cuts so it can exit Chapter 11. (WSJ)

Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) announces who will manage the two divisions into which the company will be broken. (WSJ)

Clearwire (NASDAQ: CLWR) will try to raise $300 million. (WSJ)

California Governor Jerry Brown will try to get a tax on high-income residents to cover the costs of education. (WSJ)

Alpha Natural Resources (NYSE: ANR) will pay fines to cover a mining disaster that happened before it owned the operator of the mine involved — Massey. (WSJ)

BP says Halliburton (NYSE: HAL) destroyed evidence about the Deepwater Horizon disaster. (WSJ)

A leading Greek politician says his country’s recession will last through 2013. (WSJ)

Viacom (NYSE: VIA) expects strong ad growth in the near term. (WSJ)

ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) says that two agencies approved its drilling in the Alaska’s National Petroleum Reserve. (WSJ)

Eastman Kodak (NYSE: EK) changes some of its advisers as it tries to avoid Chapter 11. (WSJ)

Norway’s sovereign-wealth fund pushes to replace board members at some U.S. firms it owns. (WSJ)

Debate over whether Walmart (NYSE: WMT) will hurt local merchants in India has caused deep rifts in a government that may let large retailers own stores in the country. (NYT)

An antitrust hearing will check issues with the Express Scripts (NASDAQ: ESRX) and Medco Health Solutions (NYSE: MHS) merger. (NYT)

Edgar M. Bronfman Jr. departs as chairman of Warner Music Group (NYSE: WMG). (NYT)

Dubai may refinance $10 billion in state debt. (FT)

Douglas A. McIntyre

If you add up the past 12 SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE: DIA) dividend payments, the DJIA yield has been almost 2.5% over the last year. The good news is that the yield is already higher if you include the hikes that are likely to be announced. The price of the DJIA today should offer what will be closer to a 3% dividend yield in 2012.

The list of the 30 DJIA components is very long, but we have reviewed each and all of the following: Alcoa (NYSE: AA), American Express (NYSE: AXP), AT&T (NYSE: T), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Boeing (NYSE: BA), Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO), Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), DuPont (NYSE: DD), Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), General Electric (NYSE: GE), Home Depot (NYSE: HD), Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM), Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT), McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD), 3M (NYSE: MMM), Merck & Company (NYSE: MRK), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), Travelers Companies (NYSE: TRV), United Technologies (NYSE: UTX), Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ), Walmart Stores (NYSE: WMT) and finally Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS).

We have broken out each DJIA component to review the history and expected dividend action individually. While this is a no short read, dividend and income investors better pay close attention here. Value investors should pay attention as well. It is these DJIA components that are often considered as the prize of the sector and many peers are facing the same trends today and tomorrow. Our review focuses on when the last hikes have been seen, when the next dividend hike will come, and what the price and implied upside to the Thomson Reuters consensus price target offers. We also even have shown an expected income payout ratio on each if applicable to further show which companies can boost their payouts ahead.

Alcoa is still hanging its hat on the notion that the aluminum market will double by 2020, so we have to at some point expect the DJIA component to boost its dividends again in the years ahead. Still, the company is trying to accumulate more liquidity and the current climate is a choppy one for metals players. The dividend has been stuck at $0.03 since the first of 2009 and it was $0.17 per quarter before then. Any hikes might only be nominal until the business climate becomes a bit more steady and predictable. The 1.1% is very unimpressive for a DJIA component and we have no great dividend ambitions in the near-term for Alcoa, even if only 10% to 15% of expected 2012 income is slated for payouts. At $10.35, the consensus price target of about $13.25 is well under the 52-week high of $18.47.

American Express has had its dividend steady at $0.18 per quarter since its January 2008 payment and the current yield is only 1.4%. The company’s credit metrics keep improving and its payout is not quite 19% of expected earnings next year. Still, this is a financial stock and it is hard to a financial stock to boost dividends right now. It has no branch bank operations but the climate remains tenuous. At $49.70, the consensus price target is around $55.75 if you trust price targets on financial firms.

AT&T has had four quarters in a row of $0.43 and it has a history of raising its dividend each year. The question that hangs over it is the regulatory block over the T-Mobile buyout and the huge penalty that AT&T will ultimately have to pay out of it cannot clear regulatory hurdles. This is one of the dividend stars with a 5.8% yield but it also pays out more than 70% of its expected income. Another hike is possible, but our take is that the dividend yields are now so high that telecom giants will only ratchet them up slightly. At $29.20, the consensus price target is $31.90.

American Express Co. (NYSE: AXP) was over 151.6 million shares, SAME AS last quarter.
Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE: BK) was 1,793,915 shares, SAME AS last quarter.
CVS Caremark Corporation (NYSE: CVS) is a NEW POSITION of 5,661,000 shares worth $190.1 million.
Comdisco Holdings (NASDAQ: CDCO) was roughly 1.5 million shares, SAME AS BEFORE.
Coca Cola Co. (NYSE: KO) was right at 200 million shares, SAME AS BEFORE.
ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is roughly 29.1 million shares, roughly the SAME AS BEFORE but it is still lower than previous quarters.
Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ: COST) 4,333,363 Shares, SAME AS last quarter after having lowered it before.
DirecTV (NASDAQ: DTV) is a NEW POSITION listed as 4,249,400 shares worth $ 179.6 million.
Dollar General Corporation (NYSE: DG) is a LARGER POSITION at 4.497 million shares worth some $169.8 million versus last quarter’s new position of 1,497,800 shares.  This one of our Top Stocks for the Next Decade.
Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) was 421,800 shares; SAME AS before but lower than the 1.276 million shares originally.
Gannett Co. (NYSE: GCI) was 1.74 million, SAME AS BEFORE but decreased in prior quarters.
General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE: GD) is a NEW POSITION of 3.064 million shares worth $174.3 million.
General Electric Corp. (NYSE: GE) is 7.777 million shares; SAME AS before.  Please note that this does not include the huge preferred shares from late in 2008 that are likely to be called from Buffett later this year.
GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK) 1.51 million shares, SAME AS last quarter.
Ingersoll-Rand (NYSE: IR) was 636,600; SAME AS last quarter but still way down from prior reports.
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) is a NEW POSITION of 9.333 million shares worth $199.6 million. 
International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE: IBM)  is a NEW POSITION and we found out this morning that Buffett’s stake is nearly 64 million shares worth well over $10 billion with an average cost of about $170 per share.
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) was just over 37.4 million, a LOWER POSITION versus the 42.6 million shares the June quarter and way under the peak of 62 million shares at one point in prior quarters.
Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) was a LOWER POSITION at 89.7+ million versus 99,467,624 shares at the June quarter and way down from before selling during the Cadbury purchase.

Despite the revelation made this morning and despite the new positions in IBM and Intel, there is still data not represented in Berkshire Hathaway’s full holdings: Confidential information has been omitted from the Form 13F and filed separately with the Commission.  It looks as though Warren Buffett was again given permission to delay or omit some of the new holdings.

PAGE TWO…BUFFETT HOLDINGS ‘L to Z’

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JON C. OGG