Ackman had pushed for replacing Green with Hunter Harrison, former CEO of Canadian National Railway Co. (NYSE: CNI), but following the coup Ackman now said not to expect a coronation, “We’re going to do a proper job, we’re going to meet all the candidates and do it the right way.”

Canadian Pacific’s problems, at least according to Ackman, are due to high operating costs and he wants to reduce those costs. Ackman’s stated goal is to lower CP’s operating ratio — that is cost as a percentage of revenue — from around 80% to 66%. That would match the operating ratio at Canadian National, Harrison’s former company. Most of the credit for CN’s success, however, is attributed to Harrison’s predecessor.

CP’s main problem is that it operates mainly in western Canada in a nasty climate with difficult topography. The company hauls mainly commodity minerals and is captive to swings in the market for those minerals. Lowering costs won’t be easy once the workforce is trimmed.

CP’s ability to compete with the likes of Union Pacific Corp. (NYSE: UNP), CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX), Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNSF), owned by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK-A), and Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC) is dubious, given that CP is much smaller than any of these and that the only likely merger possibility is Kansas City Southern (NYSE: KSU). A potential merger between Canadian National and BNSF was squashed by regulators in 1999, so a tie-up with one of the larger railroads is unlikely.

What is likely is that Ackman has shaken up sleepy Canadian companies and shareholders. This was Canada’s first big, public battle over corporate direction and many observers believe that it’s just the beginning.

Who could be next? A good bet might by phone maker Research in Motion Ltd. (NASDAQ: RIMM) whose recent struggles are well documented.

CP did not get much of a share price boost yesterday, closing at $75.07 in a 52-week range of $44.74-$79.91. The stock is inactive in pre-market trading this morning.

Paul Ausick

The unofficial closing bells put the DJIA up more than 89 points to 13,090.95 (0.69%), the NASDAQ rose more than 68 points (2.3%) to 3,029.63, and the S&P 500 rose 1.37% or nearly 19 points to 1,390.70.

There were several analyst upgrades and downgrades today, including Apple raised to ‘outperform’ at Scotia and maintained ‘buy’ with a target price of $775 at Canaccord Genuity; J.C. Penney Co. Inc. (NYSE: JCP) raised to ‘market perform’ at BMO; McDonald’s Corp. (NYSE: MCD) cut to ‘hold’ at Argus; Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) started as ‘buy’ at Citigroup; Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) cut to ‘hold’ at Argus; and Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) raised to ‘buy’ at Deutsche Bank.

Earnings reports since markets closed last night have led to some price changes as of the last half hour of trading today: Apple is up 8.9% at $610.02 (our coverage here); Anixter International Inc. (NYSE: AXE) is down -4% at $66.76; Edwards Lifesciences Corp. (NYSE: EW) is up 11.5% at $81.74; Juniper Networks Inc. (NYSE: JNPR) is down -4% at $20.78; Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC) is up 3.6% at $72.77; Newfield Exploration Co. (NYSE: NFX) is up 5.2% at $35.47; AutoNation Inc. (NYSE: AN) is down -0.9% at $33.27; Clayton Williams Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: CWEI) is up 1.6% at $76.45; Corning Inc. (NYSE: GLW) is up 6.7% at $14.25; Harley-Davidson Inc. (NYSE: HOG) is up 6.1% at $53.45 after posting a new 52-week high of $53.98 earlier today; Lithia Motors Inc. (NYSE: LAD) is up 7.4% at $26.84; and US Airways Group Inc. (NYSE: LCC) is up 2.5% at $9.55 (more coverage here).

Other standouts from today include the following stocks:

Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) is down -4.5% at $103.55. The heavy equipment maker reported declining sales in China as growth in the country has slowed, which led to the sell-off today.

CNH Global NV (NYSE: CNH) is up 3.6% at $45.66. The farm equipment maker beat EPS estimates by almost 50% and sales were also higher.

Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) is up 5.3% at $77.06. The aircraft maker reported solid earnings and revenues this morning. More coverage here.

Stay tuned for Thursday. We have noted the following events on the schedule (all times Eastern):

• 8:30 a.m. – New unemployment benefits claims
• 8:30 a.m. – Chicago Fed national activity index
• 10:00 a.m. – Pending home sales index
• 10:30 a.m. – EIA weekly natural gas storage report
• 11:00 a.m. – Kansas City Fed manufacturing index
• 1:00 p.m. – 7-year note auction
• 4:30 p.m. – Federal Reserve balance sheet and money supply

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CSX reported revenues of $2.97 billion, better than the consensus estimate of $2.91 billion and up 5.7% compared with the same period a year ago. EPS came in at $0.43 compared with a consensus estimate of $0.38. Other US carriers Burlington Northern Santa Fe, owned by Berkshire Hathaway Corp., Canadian National Railway Ltd. (NYSE: CNI), Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. (NYSE: CP), Kansas City Southern (NYSE: KSU), Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC), and Union Pacific Corp. (NYSE: UNP) are still to come. Here’s a look at what analysts expect.

Burlington Northern’s revenues and earnings are reported with Berkshire Hathaway’s later this quarter. Year-to-date, petroleum carloads are up 45% while coal loads are down -6%. Other gains are autos, up 13.6%, while intermodal traffic is up just 1.15%.

Canadian National Railway Ltd. (NYSE: CNI) is expected to post revenue of $2.27 billion and EPS of $1.02, an increase of 13% over the same period a year ago. The company reports earnings on April 23rd.

Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. (NYSE: CP) is expected to post revenue of $1.32 billion and EPS of $0.78, a whopping 310% increase over a year ago. The company put out a preliminary estimate of EPS at CDN$0.83 earlier this month. Canadian Pacific reports earnings on Friday.

Kansas City Southern (NYSE: KSU) is expected to post revenue of $543.24 million and EPS of $0.72, a 24% increase over the same period a year ago. The company reports earnings on April 24th.

Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC) is expected to post revenue of $2.75 billion and EPS of $1.12, an increase of 12% over last year. The company reports earnings on April 24th.

Union Pacific Corp. (NYSE: UNP) is expected to post revenue of $4.98 billion and EPS of $1.63, an increase of 26% over the same period a year ago. The company reports earnings tomorrow.

Expectations are for rail stocks are high and, based on the gain reported yesterday at CSX, it looks like those hopes are about to be realized.

Paul Ausick

The company’s traffic in March was down -13.6% year-over-year and down -9.2% for the quarter compared with the same period a year ago. CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX), Union Pacific Corp. (NYSE: UNP), Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC), and Kansas City Southern (NYSE: KSU) have not released numbers yet, but CSX and Union Pacific report quarterly earnings next week so we should know more then.

The decline at Genesee is virtually entirely due to a -42.7% drop in coal shipments in March and a -41.7% drop in coal shipments for the quarter. According to the Association of American Railroads’ latest traffic report, year-to-date coal shipments are down -10.2% on US railroads.

That’s not the largest percentage drop among freight types, but coal represents the largest volume of traffic on the nation’s railroads. US railroads have hauled nearly 200,000 fewer carloads of coal this year than they did last year. Put this down to the lowest natural gas prices in a decade.

The big gainer is petroleum products, which has risen 28.7% year-to-date, to nearly 120,000 carloads, up from about 93,000 a year ago. This is the effect of rail shipments from the Bakken shale fields of North Dakota and Montana, where there isn’t enough pipeline capacity to transport the oil to markets. But the total number is barely 10% of the coal volume.

Genesee’s shares closed up about 2.5% yesterday at $53.55 in a 52-week range of $44.38-$66.83. Shares are inactive in the pre-market this morning.

Paul Ausick

The unofficial closing bells put the DJIA up about 58 points to 13,252.76 (0.44%), the NASDAQ rose more than 15 points (0.51%) to 3,056.37, and the S&P 500 rose 0.60% or more than 8 points to 1,402.59.

There were several analyst upgrades and downgrades today, including Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC) cut to ‘equal weight’ at Barclays; Dendreon Corp. (NASDAQ: DNDN) started as ‘hold’ at Stifel Nicolaus; Ebay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) cut to ‘neutral’ at Credit Suisse; Celgene Corp. (NASDAQ: CELG) started as ‘buy’ at Stifel Nicolaus; and Digital Realty Trust (NYSE: DLR) cut to ‘hold’ at Jefferies.

Earnings reports since markets closed last night have led to some price changes as of the last half hour of trading today: Abraxas Petroleum Corp. (NASDAQ: AXAS) is down -4.6% at $3.55; AMC Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: AMCX) is down -4% at $44.18; Cato Corp. (NYSE: CATO) is down -0.2% at $27.51; ENI S.p.A. (NYSE: E) is up 1.1% at $47.89; FutureFuel Corp. (NYSE: FF) is up 1.4% at $11.53; Ross Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: ROST) is down -0.5% at $56.31; and Travelcenters of America LLC (AMEX: TA) is up 15% at $6.10.

Other standouts from today include the following stocks:

Euro Tech Holdings Co. Ltd. (NASDAQ: CLWT) is up 55% at $4.50. The Chinese water treatment company has been awarded two new contracts.

Towerstream Corp. (NASDAQ: TWER) is up nearly 42% at $3.69. The 4G wireless provider reported better-than-expected earnings after markets closed yesterday.

Aixtron SE (NASDAQ: AIXG) is up more than 18% at $131. The LED maker is getting a boost from an analyst’s upgrade. More coverage here.

Winnebago Industries Inc. (NYSE: WGO) is up about 16% at $10.32. The recreational vehicle maker missed estimates this morning, but reported a strong order backlog.

Coffee Holding Co. Inc. (NASDAQ: JVA) is up more than 15% at $13.73. The coffee wholesaler continues to attract buying on its strong earnings report last week.

Scholastic Corp. (NASDAQ: SCHL) is up more than 14% at $36.89 after posting a new 52-week high of $40.17 earlier today. The children’s media company raised its 2012 guidance.

Flamel Technologies SA (NASDAQ: FLML) is down nearly -23% at $6.18. The French-based biopharmaceutical company has acquired Eclat Pharmaceuticals and Eclat’s CEO will take over the combined company.

Verso Paper Corp. (NYSE: VRS) is down nearly -13% at $1.77. The paper firm is giving back last week’s gains as its tender offer had to be extended.

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (NASDAQ: EGLE) is down more than -12% at $1.58. The dry bulk shipper reported a narrower-than-expected loss yesterday, but shipping companies still face a terrible year.

Vringo Inc. (AMEX: VRNG) is down more than -11% at $1.63. The social networking software company is merging with Innovate/Protect Inc. See the press release for details.

Stay tuned for Friday. Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans is giving a speech. We have also noted the following events on the schedule (all times Eastern):

• 8:30 a.m. – Consumer price index
• 9:15 a.m. – Industrial production
• 9:55 a.m. – Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index

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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NYSE: AMD) Raised to Buy at Jefferies.

Aixtron SE (NASDAQ: AIXG) Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank.

Celgene Corporation (NASDAQ: CELG) Started as Buy at Stifel Nicolaus.

Dendreon Corporation (NASDAQ: DNDN) Started as Hold at Stifel Nicolaus.

Digital Realty Trust (NYSE: DLR) Cut to Hold at Jefferies.

eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) Cut to Neutral at Credit Suisse.

IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE) named Bull of the Day at Zacks.

Joy Global, Inc. (NYSE: JOY) Cut to Neutral at UBS.

Level 3 Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ: LVLT) Raised to Buy at BofA/ML.

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE: NSC) Cut to Equal Weight at Barclays.

RadioShack Corporation (NYSE: RSH) named Bear of the Day at Zacks.

SeaCube Container Leasing Limited (NYSE: BOX) named as value stock of the day at Zacks.

Veeco Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ: VECO) Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank.

If you enjoyed the top analyst upgrades and downgrades, you can join our free email newsletter that includes analyst summaries each morning sent right to your inbox.  We also cover top issues such as IPOs, special financial exclusives, mergers and more. Sign up in the box below.

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JON C. OGG

Fortunately there are no shipping stocks included in the average or it could have been even more thrilling. The Baltic Dry Index has fallen by -44% in the past 12 months as new ships have flooded the market and cargoes have dwindled due to a slower economy.

We’ve looked at eight companies in the transportation business to see if there is any value to be gained here: airlines United Continental Holdings Inc. (NYSE: UAL) and Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV); railroads CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX), Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC); truckers JB Hunt Transport Services Inc. (NASDAQ: JBHT) and Landstar System Inc. (NASDAQ: LSTR); and shipping companies North American Tankers Ltd. (NYSE: NAT) and Frontline Ltd. (NYSE: FRO).

Over the past 12 months, only truckers JB Hunt and Landstar and rail carrier Norfolk Southern have been able to post share price gains. Hunt is up more than 28%, Landstar is up 27%, and Norfolk Southern is up about 7%.

United Continental Holdings Inc. (NYSE: UAL) has a consensus target price is $33.58 and the stock is trading today at around $20.80, for a potential gain of 61%. Airlines are generally the hardest and most immediately hit by increases in fuel costs. Despite that, United’s share price has gained slightly more than 10% since the beginning of the year.

Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV) has a consensus target price of $12.46 and a current price of around $9.07, for a potential upside of 37%. Southwest’s share price is up more than 6% since the beginning of the year, though for the past 12 months it’s down more than -22%.

US rail traffic is down 0.3% year-over-year for the first two months of 2012. Container traffic is up 3.2% while truck trailer traffic is down -7.7%. In the last week of February, traffic was down -5%. None of this appears to bode well for either the railroads or the truckers.

CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX) has a consensus target price of $27.20 and shares are trading today around $21.18, for a potential gain of 28%. CSX shares lost about -12.5% over the past 12 months but are up slightly since January.

Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC) has a consensus target price of $85.68 and a current price of $69.27, for a potential gain of 24%. The target price is virtually unchanged since December, but the share price has fallen by a $5/share. Norfolk Southern, one of our three gainers in the past 12 months, has lost more than -5% of its share price since January.

JB Hunt Transport Services Inc. (NASDAQ: JBHT) has a consensus target price of $54.48, and a current price of around $52.32, for a potential gain of just 4%. In December the target price was around $48, so Hunt’s target has been moving in the right direction and the stock price has kept pace. As fuel costs rise, though, Hunt could face some hard choices.

Landstar System Inc. (NASDAQ: LSTR) has a consensus target price of $56.94 and a current price of $55.41, for a potential upside of just 2.8%. The company’s target price in December was around $52, so, like Hunt, the target keeps moving up as does Landstar’s performance. Fuel costs could start trimming profits here too, though.

The shipping business has too many ships sailing around at unprofitable day rates. Until that situation resolves itself — not likely until 2013 — anything that resembles value in the shipping business is likely a mirage.

North American Tankers Ltd. (NYSE: NAT) has a consensus target price of $13.80 and current price of $14.22, indicating that the stock is fully valued.

Frontline Ltd. (NYSE: FRO) has a consensus target price of $5.83 and a current price of $5.50, for a potential gain of less than 1%. Frontline’s target price is essentially identical with it’s December target, when the stock was trading at less than $3/share.

Of the stocks reviewed here, JB Hunt has performed best for the past 12 months and is the leading performer since the beginning of this year, if you don’t count the shipping stocks. Both shipping stocks have larger gains, but they were down so far that any direction looks like up. Chasing the gains on either Nordic American or Frontline is almost purely speculative. JB Hunt, and to a lesser degree, Landstar, are the best bets here.

Paul Ausick

ABB Limited (NYSE: ABB) Cut to Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABG) named as Value stock of the day at Zacks.
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (NYSE: BBVA) Raised to Outperform at Credit Suisse.
B&G Foods Inc. (NYSE: BGS) reinstated as Neutral at Credit Suisse.
CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX) Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan.
Gilead Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ: GILD) Cut to Equal Weight at Barclays.
ImmunoCellular (NASDAQ: IMUC) named Bull of the Day at Zacks.
Infosys Limited (NASDAQ: INFY) Cut to Neutral at Credit Suisse.
Itron, Inc. (NASDAQ: ITRI) Cut to Neutral at Credit Suisse.
KLA-Tencor Corporation (NASDAQ: KLAC) Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan.
Lam Research Corporation (NASDAQ: LRCX) Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan.
NextEra Energy Inc. (NYSE: NEE) Reiterated Buy at Argus.
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC) Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan.
Oracle Corporation (NASDAQ: ORCL) Cut to Market Perform at JMP Securities.
Willis Group Holdings (NYSE: WSH) named Bear of the Day at Zacks.

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Agrium Inc. (NYSE: AGU) Cut to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Markets.
Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S.A. (NYSE: BLX) named as value stock of the day at Zacks Investment Research.
Genworth Financial Inc. (NYSE: GNW) Downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Zacks Investment Research.
HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE: HBC) maintained Underperform but also named as Bear of the Day at Zacks Investment Research.
Jefferies Group, Inc. (NYSE: JEF) Cut to Hold from Buy by Meredith Whitney (Late-Wednesday call).
Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) Maintained Buy with $11 target at Stern Agee; maintained as Outperform at Credit Suisse.
Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE: NSC) maintained Outperform as Bull of the Day at Zacks Investment Research.
Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE: POT) Raised to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital Markets.
Saks Inc. (NYSE: SKS) Downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Zacks Investment Research.
VIVUS, Inc. (NASDAQ: VVUS) Cut to Neutral from Buy at Roth Capital; Maintained as Outperform at Credit Suisse.

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JON C. OGG

To start with the worst, Frontline is down more than -88% for the year, and its median target price has dropped to $6.00 from $7.25 in late October. At today’s share price of $2.98, the potential upside is slightly more than 100%. DryShips is not much better, with a lower target price of $5.00. At today’s price of $2.37, the implied gain is nearly 111%. Neither Excel nor Diana is as bad, but neither is likely to achieve anywhere near their implied gains of 63% and 46%, respectively. The shipping business has too many ships sailing around at unprofitable day rates. Until that situation resolves itself — not likely until 2013 — anything that resembles value in the shipping business is likely a mirage.

Railroads are faring better because rail traffic is up. The Association of American Railroads reported this morning that November carload traffic on US railroads grew 4% compared with November 2010. Intermodal traffic (containers) grew by 3.7% year-over-year. The largest increase came in motor vehicle carloads, which grew by 42% compared with last year and petroleum product carloads which grew by more than 28%.

Another large gain, more than 30%, came in carloads of crushed stone, sand, and gravel. Because beach sand is the most common material used in hydraulic fracturing of oil and gas wells, it’s probably a reasonable assumption to give the drilling industry credit for the increase.

Of the four railroads, Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern have both had target price boosts since late October. Union Pacific’s median target price is $114.00, up from $110.00. At a current price of $102.70, the potential upside in UP’s stock is 11%. The company’s dividend yield of 2.4% is also tied with Norfolk Southern’s for the best in the group.

Norfolk Southern’s median target price is $85.50, up from $82.00. At a current price of $74.90, the stock has a potential upside of 14.5%. With a slightly higher implied gain and an equal dividend yield, Norfolk Southern might be the best bet among the railroads.

In trucking, J.B. Hunt’s median target price fell from $49.00 to $48.00, but that was quite likely due to two brokers dropping coverage. At today’s price of $$45.40, the potential upside for the stock is just 5.7%. The company pays a dividend yield of 1.2%.

Landstar’s median target price is $52.00, up half a dollar from late October, and again likely due to a drop in the number of brokers covering the stock. At today’s price of $45.90, the potential upside for the stock is 13.3%. Landstar pays a dividend yield of 0.5%. Earlier this week, Landstar was downgraded from ‘buy’ to ‘neutral’ at SunTrust.

Of the two trucking companies, neither has a clear edge over the other. Hunt is more fully valued, but the company reported record results in the third quarter. If Hunt can do that again, then the current target price will be left way behind. Hunt’s strength in intermodal transportation could easily make that happen.

Of all ten stocks reviewed here, Norfolk Southern may be the safest bet, but J.B. Hunt may add more significant growth potential to its relatively limited upside potential.

Paul Ausick