Posts for Ticker ‘SKS’

Retail & Apparel Earnings Dominate Next Week (SKS, BJ, GYMB, ANN, DKS, FL, GPS, SHLD, PLCE, WTSLA, ZUMZ)

Bull and Bear ImageIt seems that earnings season is winding down, but next week we have many of the key retail and apparel players reporting earnings.  Saks Incorporated (NASDAQ: SKS), BJ’s Wholesale Club Inc. (NYSE: BJ), Gymboree Corp. (NASDAQ: GYMB), and Ann Taylor Stores Corp. (NYSE: ANN) are all reporting next week.  Next Thursday may feel like a retail and apparel earnings bonanza as we have Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc. (NYSE: DKS), Foot Locker Inc. (NYSE: FL), Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS), Sears Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ: SHLD), The Children’s Place Retail Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ: PLCE), Wet Seal Inc. (NASDAQ: WTSLA), and Zumiez, Inc. (NASDAQ: ZUMZ) all reporting earnings in one day.

We have provided estimates from Thomson Reuters, recent sale store sales data, share performance, and added color on what else to consider where applicable.
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Media Digest 10/29/2009 Reuters, WSJ. NYTimes, FT, Bloomberg

newspaperReuters:   House Democrats unveiled their healthcare bill.

Reuters:   Senators may extend home purchase credits until April.

Reuters:   China will launch a case against The Big Three auto companies.

Reuters:   Galleon paid Wall St. bankers millions to give data that would allow a trading “edge.” Read More »

The 100 Hardest Working Brands In The World

hersheyThere are a number of ways to rank brand values. One of the most important is the level at which a brand contributes to the market value of a public company.

24/7 Wall St. asked Corebrand, the brand research and consulting firm, to look at the top 100 brands based their contribution to market capitalizaton. Using this method, the hardest working brand was Hershey (NYSE:HSY), followed  by Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) and Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG)

Corebrand described the process briefly to 24/7 Wall. St.

24/7 Wall St.: Corebard often refers to the brands on this list as the”hardest working brands”. How did you come to that description?

Corebrand: There are a lot of people measuring and examining the “strongest brands” or the “most valuable brands”.  Our opinion is that examining one without the other is somewhat meaningless.  How “strong” a brand is nice to know but not very relevant unless you understand how that strength benefits business.  Similarly, “value” is little more than a measure of corporate size unless you understand the drivers of that value and how to influence it. By examining the strength of the brand and it’s contribution to total market value, we can help companies and their leadership manage that strength and value over time.

24/7 Wall St.: Is there any advantage or disadvantage to having a brand value be a very large percentage of market cap in the present and as an indication of a company’s future performance?

Corebrand: The brand will need to be in balance with the rest of the company’s assets.  A company should strive to have it’s brand strong enough to fend off competitors or changing market conditions but not so strong that it becomes overly dependent on the brand as a single driver of value.  If a company can achieve and maintain its appropriate maximum strength without becoming over-dependent, it will see greater returns in bull markets and retain greater value in bear markets.

The list: Read More »

Holiday Retail Sales To Be Battered

bearRetail sales dropped 3% or more during the 2008 holiday period. Same-store sales at a number of large chains were down much more than that. The trend was so bad that thousand of store locations where closed early in 2009 and tens of thousand of people in the industry lost their jobs.

The 2010 holiday sales season may be nearly as bad as last year’s. The National Retail Federation expects a hard winter. Read More »

The E-Commerce Savior Leaves Town

AnnCostco’s (COST) same-store sales fell 7% last month. The firm was lucky. Abercrombie & Fitch’s (ANF) numbers were down 38%. Saks (SKS) plunged by 16.3% and Neiman Marcus fell 27.3%. July was a sign that all but a few retailers particularly Wal-Mart (WMT) are continuing to watch the year slip away from them. Read More »

Top Analyst Upgrades (ARMH, ASML, BSX, CLX, GR, IFX, LAZ, SKS, SNIC, VICL)

These are some of the top pre-market analyst upgrades and positive research calls we have seen from Wall Street early this Friday morning with more than two hours until the market opens:

ARM Holdings (ARMH) Started as Overweight at Barclays.
ASML Holding (ASML) Started as Overweight at Barclays.
Boston Scientific (BSX) Started as Outperform at Baird.
Clorox (CLX) Raised to Outperform at Oppenheimer.
Goodrich (GR) Started as Outperform at Oppenheimer.
Infineon (IFX) Started as Overweight at Barclays.
Lazard (LAZ) Started as Outperform at Oppenheimer; removed from Goldman Sachs Conviction Buy List.
Saks (SKS) Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank.
Sonic Solutions (SNIC) Raised to Outperform at William Blair.
Vical (VICL) Started as Overweight at Thomas Weisel.

JON C. OGG

Media Digest 5/20/2009 Reuters, WSJ, NYTimes, FT, Bloomberg

newspaperReuters:   The Treasury is keeping banks guessing about when they can repay TARP funds.

Reuters:   Bank of America (BAC) has raised more than $13 billion in share sales.

Reuters:   Hewlett-Packard’s (HPQ) financial outlook disappointed the market.

Reuters:   Terminated Chrysler dealers will challenge the sale of the company’s assets.

Reuters:   Obama is considering an agency to protect consumer’s financial interests.

Reuters:   Microsoft (MSFT) may unveil a new search engine.

Reuters:   Facebook’s CEO said an IPO is several years away. Read More »

Top 10 Analyst Upgrades/Downgrades (AMZN, BEBE, DYN, ENR, JNPR, JNJ, LVS, NFLX, PG, SKS)

These are the top ten analyst upgrades and downgrades we have seen from Wall Street this Monday morning:

Amazon.com (AMZN) Raised to Buy at Citigroup.
bebe Stores (BEBE) Raised to Outperform at FBR.
Dynegy (DYN) Cut to Hold at Jefferies.
Energizer (ENR) Cut to Sell at UBS.
Juniper Networks (JNPR) Cut to Perform at Oppenheimer.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Raised to Outperform at Wachovia.
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan.
Netflix (NFLX) Started as Buy at Merriman Curhan Ford.
Procter & Gamble (PG) Raised to Buy at Sun Trust Robinson Humphrey.
Saks (SKS) Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan.

Jon C. Ogg
April 20, 2009

S&P Pans Retailer Ratings (DDS, M, JWN, JCP, SHLD, BONT, KSS, SKS)

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services has put six department store companies on CreditWatch with negative implications and has changed the outlook on three department store companies to negative from stable.  Moody’s & Fitch either downgraded or warned of possible downgrades.  Dillard’s Inc. (NYSE: DDS), Macy’s Inc. (NYSE: M), Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN), J.C. Penney Co. Inc. (NYSE: JCP), Sears Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: SHLD), Bon-Ton Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: BONT), Kohl’s Corp. (NYSE: KSS), and Saks Inc. (NYSE: SKS) were all part of the S&P call late today.

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Media Digest 1/16/2009 Reuters, WSJ, NYTimes, FT, Bloomberg

EmpireAccording to Reuters, Bank of America will get a huge financial aid package from the government.

Reuters reports that Congress is advancing legislation to release the balance of the TARP funding.

Reuters says that Intel (INTC) sees margins improving in the second half.

Reuters reports that the Minneapolis Star Tribune filed for Chapter 11.

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If 25% Of American Retailers Go Bankrupt, Which Companies Make The List?

R218533_85502524/7 Wall St. has already provided a list of retailers who may well not make it through 2009. According to The Wall Street Journal, "AlixPartners LLP, a Michigan-based turnaround consulting firm, estimates that 25.8% of 182 large retailers it tracks are at significant risk of filing for bankruptcy or facing financial distress in 2009 or 2010."

So, which chains are at risk as the year draws to a close, especially now that holiday numbers are even worse than expected?

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Saks (SKS): A Poison Pill For A Dying Company

R218533_855025_2Saks (SKS), which was up until recently one of the world’s premier brands for high-end shoppers, has voted itself a "poison pill". The purpose of this may be to block Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim from taking the company over.

According to The Wall Street Journal, "Just days after Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim Helu raised his stake in Saks Inc. to nearly 18%, the beleaguered luxury retailer has adopted a shareholder rights plan intended to thwart a potential takeover."

The board at Saks should let him have the company.

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The Black Friday Ten: Retailers Who May Not See 2009 (BONT)(DDS)(TLB)(PIR)(CPWM)(WSM)(CHS)(SKS)(EBHI)(RAD)

Angrybear_3A year ago, not many people would have thought Circuit City would be in bankruptcy now. Linens ‘n Things, Mervyn’s, Whitehall Jewelers and Steve & Barry’s have either shut down or are closing huge numbers of locations since they moved into Chapter 11.

The most astonishing fact about the retail industry now is that the environment has gotten much worse than it was when each of these businesses began to fail. Sales at stores across the country will be down this holiday season. Some analysts believe that the numbers will be as bad as for any fourth quarter in thirty-five years.

Adding to the problem of slow consumer spending brought on by the recession is an unprecedented liquidity crisis. Retailers who need access to capital for inventory, rent, and personnel costs are finding that it is nearly impossible to get access to funds without a pristine balance sheet and a history of substantial positive cash flow.

These troubles point to a number of other retail chains going out of business between now and early next year. Sales on Black Friday, the day after Thanksgiving, which is considered the bellwether of holiday sales, will determine the fate of several companies which are now viewed as the weakest operators in the industry.

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Media Digest 11/19/2008 Reuters, WSJ, New York Times, FT, Bloomberg.

NewspaperAccording to Reuters, Toyota (TM) cut production and Nissan was downbeat about its prospects.

Reuters reports that if a new CEO at Yahoo! (YHOO) wants to be well-regarded by shareholders, he or she must be willing to do a deal with Microsoft (MSFT).

Reuters reports that oil is trading steady around $54.

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The 52-Week Low Club (SIRI)(GM)(C)(CIT)(SKS)(XTLB)

Sad_clownSirius (SIRI) traded down to $.20 on concern that a bankruptcy at GM (GM) could ruin its already troubled business. The 52-week high is $2.94.

Citigroup (C) Still concerns that bank can hold off a government rescue due to consumer debt balance sheet issues. Drops to $7.89 from 52-week high of $35.29.

CIT Group (CIT) Analyst said CIT’s ability to become a commercial bank is critical to its future. What it it does not work out? Drops to $2.43 from 52-week high of $30.75.

Saks (SKS) Bad earnings, concern about debt. Down to $2.71 from 52-week high of $22.19.

Xtl Biopharmaceuticals (XTLB) Important drug fails trial and analyst downgrade. The daily double. Falls to $.11 from 52-week high of $4.96.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Consumers Not Even Window Shopping (WMT, COST, TGT, SKS, JWN, JCP, KSS, DDS, M)

BurningmoneyThe retail sales numbers on Main Street are truly going to hell in a hand basket.  The only bright spot is Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT), and that is just indicative of a tapped out consumer that is heading over to the trade-down shop for all their needs.  Think of it as the new general store.  Target (NYSE: TGT) and Costco (NASDAQ: COST) posted worse-than-expected sales.    If you were looking for good news out of the department stores, let’s just say that you can find great news if you pretend that those minus signs in front of each number are not really there.

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Top 10 Pre-Market Analyst Upgrades (BWA, CSTR, ESRX, JNPR, M, MAS, NSR, SKS, SYMC, UNH)

These are ten of the top Wall Street analyst upgrades we are seeing from this Friday morning with more than two hours to the open:

  • Borg Warner (BWA) Raised to Buy at Goldman Sachs.
  • Coinstar (CSTR) Raised to Neutral from Sell at Goldman Sachs.
  • Express Scripts (ESRX) Raised to Overweight at Thomas Weisel.
  • Juniper Networks (JNPR) Raised to Buy at UBS.
  • Macy’s (M) Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan.
  • Masco (MAS) Raised to Neutral from Sell at UBS.
  • NeuStar (NSR) Raised to Outperform at Baird.
  • Saks Inc. (SKS) Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan.
  • Symantec (SYMC) Raised to Outperform at FBR.
  • UnitedHealth (UNH) Raised to Buy at Goldman Sachs.

Jon C. Ogg
October 17, 2008

Carlos Slim Adds to Saks Stake (SKS)

Saks_logoSaks Inc. (NYSE: SKS) may have gotten a better endorsement than if Warren Buffett or Bill Gates bought into the retailer.  Mexican billionaire and the second richest man in the world Carlos Sliim has added some $4.9 million worth of Saks stock.  The shares. purchased via a trust called Inmobiliaria controlled by his family, came to 690,000 shares with prices from $6.99  to $7.20.  This now takes the total control from the Slim family trust up to 17 million shares.

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Top Pre-Market Analyst Downgrades (BGFV, CME, QSII, TUP, SKS)

These are some of the negative calls and downgrades we have seen this Wednesday morning:

  • Big 5 Sporting Goods (BGFV) cut to sell at UBS.
  • CME Group (CME) cut to market perform at KBW.
  • Quality Systems (QSII) cut to hold at Jefferies.
  • Tupperware (TUP) cut to neutral at JPMorgan.
  • Saks (SKS) started as underweight at JPMorgan.

Jon C. Ogg
September 17, 2008

Saks (SKS) May Have Overly High Hopes For Its New York Flagship Store

R218533_855025_4

Luxury retailer Saks Inc. (SKS) today reported abysmal results, indicating that higher-end consumers are starting to feel the economic pinch as well. The company is betting that that its flagship Saks Fifth Avenue store in New York is going to help lead the company out of its funk even as Wall Street continues to flounder.

The company had a net loss of $31.7 million, or 23 cents per share, compared with a net loss of $24.6 million, or 17 cents, a year earlier. Revenue fell 3.6 percent to $662 million and same-store sales dropped 4 percent. The results missed Wall Street expectations and the shares are tanking.

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