Maybe it is time after a 50%+ gain in the major equity indexes, or maybe it is just everyone getting into the October bearish mode. We are hearing more and more calls for a very weak equities market ahead. One of our affiliates just ran a detailed audio/video presentation showing what the charts are expecting for Q4-2009 in the S&P 500, the US Dollar Index, Gold, and even bond yields. Unfortunately this is a bad prediction for stocks and can be tracked directly by the SPDR (NYSE: SPY), or Spyders. This prediction also has some gloom forecast for the US Dollar Index, which can be tracked in the PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (NYSE: UUP) and in the PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish (NYSE: UDN). That is partly for the call for much higher Gold, which can be tracked most easily in the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD). The prediction for bonds was not as finite, but at record lows we can’t really argue with the logic that yields can only go one way unless sideways is considered a directional change.
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