Special Report

COVID-19: How Cases in the Bakersfield, CA Metro Area Compare to Other Major Metros

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The U.S. reported over 587,000 new cases of coronavirus over the seven days ending November 16, bringing the total count to more than 46.7 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 756,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise, albeit at a slowing rate. In the past week, there were an average of 12.9 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — a decrease from the week prior, when there were an average of 23.8 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While new data shows that the risk of contracting COVID-19 is high in almost every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks and superspreader events. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Bakersfield, CA metro area consists of just Kern County. As of November 16, there were 17,313.4 confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 Bakersfield residents, 19.5% higher than the national rate. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 14,487.5 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In the Bakersfield metro area, unemployment peaked at 18.5% in May 2020. As of May 2021, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 10.2%.

To determine how the incidence of COVID-19 in the Bakersfield, CA metro area compares to the rest of the country, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked metro areas based on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents.To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in California where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

FIPS MSA Population Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of November 16 Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of November 16 per 100,000 residents Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of November 16 Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of November 16 per 100,000 residents
25260 Hanford-Corcoran, CA 150,691 34,573 22,943.0 347 230.3
20940 El Centro, CA 180,701 37,398 20,696.1 766 423.9
47300 Visalia, CA 461,898 84,621 18,320.3 1,033 223.6
12540 Bakersfield, CA 887,641 153,681 17,313.4 1,733 195.2
33700 Modesto, CA 543,194 89,701 16,513.6 1,387 255.3
31460 Madera, CA 155,433 25,546 16,435.4 293 188.5
40140 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 4,560,470 748,998 16,423.7 11,060 242.5
32900 Merced, CA 271,382 44,256 16,307.6 644 237.3
23420 Fresno, CA 984,521 153,840 15,625.9 2,205 224.0
49700 Yuba City, CA 172,469 24,946 14,464.0 266 154.2
44700 Stockton, CA 742,603 105,829 14,251.1 1,799 242.3
39820 Redding, CA 179,212 25,443 14,197.2 406 226.5
31080 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 13,249,614 1,841,417 13,897.9 32,505 245.3
37100 Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA 847,263 102,908 12,145.9 1,183 139.6
41740 San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA 3,316,073 399,477 12,046.7 4,280 129.1
41500 Salinas, CA 433,410 51,891 11,972.7 609 140.5
17020 Chico, CA 225,817 24,982 11,062.9 296 131.1
42020 San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA 282,165 30,878 10,943.2 351 124.4
46700 Vallejo, CA 441,829 47,021 10,642.4 350 79.2
40900 Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA 2,315,980 245,790 10,612.8 3,238 139.8
42200 Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA 444,829 46,441 10,440.2 537 120.7
34900 Napa, CA 139,623 13,227 9,473.4 103 73.8
42220 Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA 499,772 42,422 8,488.3 410 82.0
42100 Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA 273,962 21,658 7,905.5 223 81.4
41940 San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 1,987,846 156,925 7,894.2 1,982 99.7
41860 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA 4,701,332 355,330 7,558.1 4,035 85.8

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