Special Report

COVID-19: How Cases in the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Metro Area Compare to Other Major Metros

The U.S. reported over 289,000 new cases of coronavirus on July 20, bringing the total count to more than 33.7 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 603,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 7.5 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 4.5 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While new data shows that the risk of contracting COVID-19 is high in almost every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks and superspreader events. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX metro area consists of Dallas County, Tarrant County, Collin County, and eight other counties. As of July 20, there were 11,629.1 confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 Dallas residents, 11.3% higher than the national rate. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 10,449.4 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

The incidence of coronavirus cases depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area, Kaufman County has the highest incidence of COVID-19 cases. As of July 20, there were 13,510.1 cases per 100,000 residents in Kaufman County, the most of any county in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, and far greater than the county with the lowest incidence. In Hunt County, there were 6,767.1 cases per 100,000 residents — the least of any county in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area, unemployment peaked at 13.2% in April 2020. As of May 2021, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 5.6%.

To determine how the incidence of COVID-19 in the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX metro area compares to the rest of the country, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked metro areas based on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents.To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Texas where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

FIPS MSA Population Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of July 20 Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of July 20 per 100,000 residents Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of July 20 Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of July 20 per 100,000 residents
29700 Laredo, TX 273,526 47,609 17,405.7 806 294.7
21340 El Paso, TX 836,062 137,216 16,412.2 2,750 328.9
31180 Lubbock, TX 316,474 51,220 16,184.6 851 268.9
41660 San Angelo, TX 117,986 17,106 14,498.3 275 233.1
11100 Amarillo, TX 263,776 36,200 13,723.8 783 296.8
17780 College Station-Bryan, TX 258,029 33,047 12,807.5 360 139.5
33260 Midland, TX 173,816 20,232 11,639.9 293 168.6
10180 Abilene, TX 170,669 19,848 11,629.5 513 300.6
19100 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 7,320,663 851,326 11,629.1 11,037 150.8
48660 Wichita Falls, TX 141,999 16,472 11,600.1 398 280.3
18580 Corpus Christi, TX 428,548 49,341 11,513.5 1,007 235.0
41700 San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX 2,468,193 278,776 11,294.7 4,618 187.1
47380 Waco, TX 268,361 30,080 11,208.8 520 193.8
36220 Odessa, TX 160,579 17,818 11,096.1 379 236.0
32580 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX 855,176 94,839 11,090.0 2,927 342.3
15180 Brownsville-Harlingen, TX 421,666 43,147 10,232.5 1,699 402.9
47020 Victoria, TX 99,674 9,907 9,939.4 247 247.8
26420 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX 6,884,138 637,010 9,253.3 9,307 135.2
46340 Tyler, TX 227,449 21,019 9,241.2 491 215.9
45500 Texarkana, TX-AR 149,292 13,726 9,194.1 307 205.6
13140 Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX 395,174 35,875 9,078.3 714 180.7
30980 Longview, TX 284,796 25,288 8,879.3 661 232.1
43300 Sherman-Denison, TX 131,014 11,549 8,815.1 347 264.9
12420 Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX 2,114,441 171,551 8,113.3 1,999 94.5
28660 Killeen-Temple, TX 444,716 35,531 7,989.6 574 129.1