Special Report

COVID-19: San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA Metro Area Among the Safest in America

The U.S. reported over 16,000 new cases of coronavirus on June 10, bringing the total count to more than 33.0 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 592,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 5.6 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 5.6 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While new data shows that the risk of contracting COVID-19 is high in almost every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks and superspreader events. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA metro area consists of Santa Clara County and San Benito County. As of June 10, there were 6,330.3 confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 San Jose residents, the 28th lowest rate of all 383 metro areas with available data. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

The incidence of coronavirus cases depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara metro area, San Benito County has the highest incidence of COVID-19 cases. As of June 10, there were 10,093.4 cases per 100,000 residents in San Benito County, the most of any county in San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, and far greater than the county with the lowest incidence. In Santa Clara County, there were 6,212.4 cases per 100,000 residents — the least of any county in San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In the San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara metro area, unemployment peaked at 12.0% in April 2020. As of March 2021, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 5.4%.

To determine how the incidence of COVID-19 in the San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA metro area compares to the rest of the country, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked metro areas based on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents.To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in California where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

FIPS MSA Population Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of Jun 10 Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of Jun 10 per 100,000 residents Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of Jun 10 Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of Jun 10 per 100,000 residents
20940 El Centro, CA 180,701 28,764 15,918.0 738 408.4
25260 Hanford-Corcoran, CA 150,691 23,137 15,353.9 247 163.9
40140 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 4,560,470 599,856 13,153.4 9,393 206.0
12540 Bakersfield, CA 887,641 110,458 12,444.0 1,399 157.6
32900 Merced, CA 271,382 32,225 11,874.4 473 174.3
33700 Modesto, CA 543,194 63,076 11,612.1 1,068 196.6
31080 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 13,249,614 1,517,933 11,456.4 29,501 222.7
47300 Visalia, CA 461,898 49,854 10,793.3 848 183.6
31460 Madera, CA 155,433 16,572 10,661.8 245 157.6
23420 Fresno, CA 984,521 102,659 10,427.3 1,717 174.4
41500 Salinas, CA 433,410 43,777 10,100.6 419 96.7
44700 Stockton, CA 742,603 74,257 9,999.6 1,426 192.0
37100 Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA 847,263 81,511 9,620.5 1,025 121.0
49700 Yuba City, CA 172,469 16,025 9,291.5 160 92.8
41740 San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA 3,316,073 280,878 8,470.2 3,764 113.5
42200 Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA 444,829 34,547 7,766.4 459 103.2
46700 Vallejo, CA 441,829 33,518 7,586.2 258 58.4
42020 San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA 282,165 21,383 7,578.2 261 92.5
34900 Napa, CA 139,623 9,963 7,135.6 80 57.3
39820 Redding, CA 179,212 12,526 6,989.5 230 128.3
40900 Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA 2,315,980 154,689 6,679.2 2,339 101.0
41940 San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 1,987,846 125,837 6,330.3 2,220 111.7
42220 Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA 499,772 30,569 6,116.6 323 64.6
42100 Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA 273,962 16,200 5,913.2 208 75.9
17020 Chico, CA 225,817 12,533 5,550.1 194 85.9
41860 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA 4,701,332 253,010 5,381.7 3,981 84.7