Special Report

These Are the Counties in the Tulsa, OK Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Slowest

After adding over 514,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 34.2 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 600,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a faster rate. In the past week, there were an average of 20.0 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — an increase from the week prior, when there were an average of 10.3 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Tulsa, OK, metro area consists of Tulsa County, Rogers County, Wagoner County, and four other counties. In the past week, there were an average of 25.1 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Tulsa residents, greater than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is an increase from the week prior, when there were an average of 13.5 daily new cases per 100,000 Tulsa residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Tulsa metro area, COVID-19 is growing the slowest in Okmulgee County. There were an average of 11.8 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Okmulgee County during the past week, the least of the seven counties in Tulsa with available data.

Case growth in the Tulsa metro area varies widely at the county level. In Rogers County, for example, there were an average of 39.7 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the most of any county in Tulsa and far more than the case growth rate in Okmulgee County.

While Okmulgee County has the slowest case growth in the Tulsa area, it does not have the lowest incidence of cases overall. As of July 29, there were a total of 10,291.9 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Okmulgee County, the second fewest of the seven counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 10,550.2 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Okmulgee County, unemployment peaked at 15.2% in April 2020. As of April 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 5.6%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the slowest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending July 29. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Oklahoma where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending July 29 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending July 22 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Okmulgee County 38,749 11.8 12.5 10,291.9 219.4
2 Wagoner County 78,958 18.3 14.7 10,793.1 157.0
3 Osage County 47,226 20.3 5.4 10,407.4 173.6
4 Tulsa County 646,419 24.8 13.5 12,135.3 177.6
5 Creek County 71,427 26.6 12.6 10,258.0 232.4
6 Pawnee County 16,412 27.0 1.7 11,193.0 322.9
7 Rogers County 91,353 39.7 19.1 12,209.8 214.6