September PPI — From Inflation to Deflation

October 15, 2014 by Jon C. Ogg

The U.S. Department of Labor has release the wholesale inflation reading via the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the month of September. The headline reading was -0.1%, versus a Bloomberg consensus estimate for a gain of 0.1%. The core PPI reading, ex-food and energy, was flat at 0.0% in September, versus an expected gain of 0.1%.

Unfortunately, these are not adding to inflation in any meaningful way as the Federal Reserve may be hoping for. Is it a sad day when the market participants actually want higher prices?

Gasoline prices were down 2.6% for the largest drop in about a year and a half. Food prices were down 0.7% at the wholesale level. The PPI at the consumption level, a reading that is touted as most closely following consumer price trends, was down 0.2% in September.

If you go back over the course of a year, PPI was up a total of 1.6% from September of 2013, lower than the 1.8% annual figure from August and lower than the 1.7% figure from July. The Federal Reserve has a 2% inflation target, with an upper band of 2.5% or so.

A slowing China and Europe are continuing to weigh on growth and inflation alike. Some investors may start to wonder if the Federal Reserve will be able to begin raising interest rates as soon as they hoped for late in the first half of 2015.

ALSO READ: America’s Poorest Cities

Take This Retirement Quiz To Get Matched With A Financial Advisor (Sponsored)

Take the quiz below to get matched with a financial advisor today.

Each advisor has been vetted by SmartAsset and is held to a fiduciary standard to act in your best interests.

Here’s how it works:
1. Answer SmartAsset advisor match quiz
2. Review your pre-screened matches at your leisure. Check out the advisors’ profiles.
3. Speak with advisors at no cost to you. Have an introductory call on the phone or introduction in person and choose whom to work with in the future

Take the retirement quiz right here.