Bitcoin Value Could Drop to Zero

May 22, 2018 by Douglas A. McIntyre

Vanguard is the nation’s largest mutual fund company, which is the primary reason people in the market listen to the opinions of its management and researchers. Its chief economist made the argument that the value of bitcoin could go to zero.

Joseph Davis, the global chief economist and global head of Vanguard Investment Strategy Group, wrote in answer to the question “What do you think about bitcoin?”:

I’m enthusiastic about the blockchain technology that makes bitcoin possible. In fact, Vanguard is using such technology. As for bitcoin the currency? I see a decent probability that its price goes to zero.

It is a stunning criticism of the largest cryptocurrency based on market value. Davis’s primary reason is that central banks could begin to regulate bitcoin and the trading methods that make its existence possible.

Davis also argued that the value of bitcoin is not based on any real-world factors:

The investment case for cryptocurrencies is weak. Unlike stocks and bonds, currencies generate no cash flows such as interest payments or dividends that can explain their prices. National currencies derive their prices from the underlying economic activity of the countries that issue them. Cryptocurrency prices, on the other hand, are generally not based on economic fundamentals. To date, their prices have depended more on speculation about their eventual adoption and use. The speculation creates volatility that, ironically, undermines their value as a currency.

After a peak value of over $19,000 set in December, prices have dropped to $8,500. Based on past trading patterns of tremendous and rapid changes in valuation, volatility will continue to be a hallmark of the market.

The value of the bitcoin market has topped $400 billion, so traders could see massive fortunes wiped out if Davis is correct.

Essential Tips for Investing: Sponsored

A financial advisor can help you understand the advantages and disadvantages of investment properties. Finding a qualified financial advisor doesn’t have to be hard. SmartAsset’s free tool matches you with up to three financial advisors who serve your area, and you can interview your advisor matches at no cost to decide which one is right for you. If you’re ready to find an advisor who can help you achieve your financial goals, get started now.

Investing in real estate can diversify your portfolio. But expanding your horizons may add additional costs. If you’re an investor looking to minimize expenses, consider checking out online brokerages. They often offer low investment fees, helping you maximize your profit.