Nike Stock Stuck In Channel Ahead of Earnings (NKE)

March 19, 2008 by Douglas A. McIntyre

After today’s close of trading, we’ll get to see the earnings report out of Nike (NYSE: NKE).  First Call has estimates at $0.81 EPS and $4.36 Billion in revenues.  Next quarter is also its fiscal year end and estimates are $0.97 EPS on $4.85 Billion in revenues.  While estimates for Fiscal May-2008 are $3.58 EPS, its May-2009 fiscal estimates from First Call are $3.89 EPS on $19.86 Billion.

One thing has become front and center for Nike, and that is its international sales and it seeing a big earnings jump because the US Dollar has weakened over and over.

With shares up about 1% today at $62.50, they have traded between $51.50 to $67.93 over the last 52-weeks.  For most of the last year this has traded between $55.00 and $65.00.  Analysts have an average price target of close to $71.00.  Keep in mind that options expire tomorrow, but it looks like traders are braced for a  move of up to $2.00 in either direction.

The leader in sports apparel has a current year P/E ratio of 17.5 if it hits its mark, and ahead to next year its forward P/E ratio is 16 on a rounded basis.  The value is in having the perhaps world’s strongest sporting apparel and sporting goods brand.  The question over value versus price boils down to how much of a market premium you think it deserves because of that brand leader strength. 

Jon C. Ogg
March 19, 2008

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