How COVID-19 Is Being Underreported in Most States

Alabama
> Total excess deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 468 — 24th most (4.3% more than expected)
> Confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 385 — 25th most (82.3% of excess deaths)
> Excess deaths excluding confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 83 — 20th fewest (17.7% of excess deaths)
> Testing rate as of May 18: 3,199 per 100,000 residents — 24th fewest
> Positive test rate as of May 18: 7.7% — 25th highest
> Population density: 93.2 persons per square mile — 25th most

Alaska
> Total excess deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 56 — 4th fewest (6.5% more than expected)
> Confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 10 — 2nd fewest (17.9% of excess deaths)
> Excess deaths excluding confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 46 — 6th fewest (82.1% of excess deaths)
> Testing rate as of May 18: 4,829 per 100,000 residents — 11th most
> Positive test rate as of May 18: 1.1% — the lowest
> Population density: 1.1 persons per square mile — the fewest

Arizona
> Total excess deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 1,201 — 17th most (8.7% more than expected)
> Confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 532 — 20th most (44.3% of excess deaths)
> Excess deaths excluding confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 669 — 12th most (55.7% of excess deaths)
> Testing rate as of May 18: 2,831 per 100,000 residents — 19th fewest
> Positive test rate as of May 18: 6.9% — 22nd lowest
> Population density: 62.9 persons per square mile — 19th fewest

Arkansas
> Total excess deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 223 — 18th fewest (3.4% more than expected)
> Confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 88 — 12th fewest (39.5% of excess deaths)
> Excess deaths excluding confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 135 — 27th most (60.5% of excess deaths)
> Testing rate as of May 18: 2,907 per 100,000 residents — 20th fewest
> Positive test rate as of May 18: 5.5% — 15th lowest
> Population density: 56.7 persons per square mile — 17th fewest

California
> Total excess deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 3,307 — 8th most (5.9% more than expected)
> Confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 2,630 — 7th most (79.5% of excess deaths)
> Excess deaths excluding confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 677 — 11th most (20.5% of excess deaths)
> Testing rate as of May 18: 3,123 per 100,000 residents — 22nd fewest
> Positive test rate as of May 18: 6.4% — 16th lowest
> Population density: 241.7 persons per square mile — 11th most