Special Report

How COVID-19 Is Being Underreported in Most States

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Montana
> Total excess deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 83 — 9th fewest (4.1% more than expected)
> Confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 16 — 3rd fewest (19.3% of excess deaths)
> Excess deaths excluding confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 67 — 7th fewest (80.7% of excess deaths)
> Testing rate as of May 18: 2,651 per 100,000 residents — 12th fewest
> Positive test rate as of May 18: 1.7% — 3rd lowest
> Population density: 7.2 persons per square mile — 3rd fewest

Nebraska
> Total excess deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 82 — 7th fewest (2.4% more than expected)
> Confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 96 — 13th fewest (117.1% of excess deaths)
> Excess deaths excluding confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: none
> Testing rate as of May 18: 3,636 per 100,000 residents — 20th most
> Positive test rate as of May 18: 15.1% — 12th highest
> Population density: 24.9 persons per square mile — 8th fewest

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Nevada
> Total excess deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 197 — 16th fewest (3.7% more than expected)
> Confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 301 — 23rd fewest (152.8% of excess deaths)
> Excess deaths excluding confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: none
> Testing rate as of May 18: 2,661 per 100,000 residents — 14th fewest
> Positive test rate as of May 18: 8.6% — 23rd highest
> Population density: 27.4 persons per square mile — 9th fewest

New Hampshire
> Total excess deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 240 — 21st fewest (9.0% more than expected)
> Confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 131 — 15th fewest (54.6% of excess deaths)
> Excess deaths excluding confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 109 — 29th most (45.4% of excess deaths)
> Testing rate as of May 18: 3,647 per 100,000 residents — 19th most
> Positive test rate as of May 18: 7.4% — 24th lowest
> Population density: 145.1 persons per square mile — 19th most

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New Jersey
> Total excess deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 13,370 — 2nd most (48.0% more than expected)
> Confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 9,116 — 2nd most (68.2% of excess deaths)
> Excess deaths excluding confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Mar. 1 to May 9: 4,254 — 3rd most (31.8% of excess deaths)
> Testing rate as of May 18: 5,675 per 100,000 residents — 7th most
> Positive test rate as of May 18: 29.3% — the highest
> Population density: 1021.3 persons per square mile — the most