Federal Reserve

Fed Models Suddenly Call for Stronger Than Expected GDP Growth

Posted: June 14, 2019 at 12:20 pm

With all the media's calls for a recession in the coming quarters, the public frequently gets very mixed information and opinions about the real state of the economy. The first ...
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Household Wealth Rose by a Stunning 4.5% So Far in 2019

Posted: June 6, 2019 at 1:00 pm

The Federal Reserve's Flow of Funds report issued each quarter might not sound like the most exciting topic to discuss over a happy hour, but something inside that report should ...
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Fed’s Beige Book Shows Businesses Discounting Tariff Pressure, For Now

Posted: June 5, 2019 at 2:42 pm

The Federal Reserve has released its latest Beige Book on June 5, 2019. While the overall trend is for businesses to continue to see modest growth ahead, investors might want ...
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ADP Payrolls Report Sets Awful Stage for Labor Department Report

Posted: June 5, 2019 at 10:25 am

The monthly ADP National Employment Report gets to act as a preliminary view for the U.S. Department of Labor's Employment Situation Report. While the reports are not expected to be ...
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Fed Chair Powell Evaluates Changes to Fed Policies and Toolkit

Posted: June 4, 2019 at 10:45 am

With the markets on edge with trade wars, breaking up or heavily regulating companies, dealing with an inverted yield curve and dealing other nontraditional market risks, many eyes should be ...
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Atlanta and New York Federal Reserve Banks Point to Much Slower GDP Trends

Posted: May 31, 2019 at 12:20 pm

The first quarter of 2019 was a serious surprise in growth, with gross domestic product coming in at 3.1%. While it was revised down from the first preliminary reading of ...
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Fed Index Points to Slower Growth in April

Posted: May 20, 2019 at 10:00 am

Investors overlook the monthly Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) readings because it is one of the reports prepared by one regional branch of the Federal Reserve, but it is ...
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Consumer Credit Trends Looking Rather Bleak for a Strong Economy

Posted: May 7, 2019 at 3:32 pm

Economic release by the Federal Reserve, outside of the formal FOMC interest rate changes, may be boring on the surface. The flip-side to that is that the Fed's economic reports ...
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FOMC Watch: Jerome Powell Shows the Federal Reserve’s Policy Conundrum in 2019

Posted: May 1, 2019 at 2:18 pm

This has been a confusing and somewhat puzzling year. After so much negativity and caution heading into the start of the year, the economy managed to eke out a gain ...
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Why Friday’s Employment Report Has to Be Strong

Posted: May 1, 2019 at 1:55 pm

It is an interesting time in the financial markets. The U.S. stock indexes are basically at or close to all-time highs, but the Federal Reserve tilted its tightening bias to ...
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Growing Negative Yields in Europe Bring More Problems for This Week’s FOMC Decision on Interest Rates

Posted: April 29, 2019 at 11:30 am

In 2018, it seemed as though Europe would be able to dig out of its slower growth measures and remove its endless quantitative easing with negative interest rates. The fourth ...
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Jerome Powell and FOMC Tell the Markets They Are Out of the Rate-Hiking Business

Posted: March 20, 2019 at 2:27 pm

  If you read our recent preview for the FOMC meeting, you wouldn't be too shocked that the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) didn't raise interest rates ...
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With Federal Reserve Expected to Be on Hold, Positive Trends for Gold in 2019

Posted: March 19, 2019 at 10:50 am

This week will bring yet another Federal Reserve Open Markets Committee (FOMC) decision on interest rates. The current expectation is for Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the FOMC to keep ...
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Fed Chair Powell Sounds Extremely Different at Start of 2019 Versus 2018

Posted: February 26, 2019 at 10:55 am

In 2018, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and his fellow Federal Reserve regional presidents seemed hell-bent on slowing down the economy with endless interest rate hikes rather than just trying ...
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Slower Texas Manufacturing Growth Followed by More Optimism Ahead

Posted: February 25, 2019 at 11:05 am

The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas has released its latest Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey, and factory activity in the Texas region continued to expand in February. Its key production index ...
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