recession

Survey of Economists Sees Recession Odds Higher for 2021 Than 2020

The National Association for Business Economics (NABE) releases monthly data that is used to forecast expected strength or weakness in the economy in the near future. Despite the media being ...
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As U.S. GDP Chugs Along, Global Growth in 2020 Looks Muted from China, India and Elsewhere

It wasn't that long ago that the financial media and mainstream media were touting an imminent recession. While the media was just absolutely wrong collectively about the recession calls, and ...
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Why Goldman Sachs Sees Lower Recession Risks and Strong Stock Market Gains in 2020

The media is having to continue to back away from all of those endless predictions of an immediate recession. One of the top firms on Wall Street is not only ...
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As GDP Holds Up, Those Imminent Recession Calls Looking Very Premature

While Wednesday was supposed to be a day about a Federal Reserve rate cut by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was also the day that brought the first ...
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Backward and Forward, San Francisco Fed Paper Assesses Negative US Interest Rates

The lowest interest rates can ever go is zero-point-zero percent. That's how things work in a vacuum. In the real world, negative interest rates are alive and well, and we ...
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IMF 2019-2020 Outlook: Recession or Synchronized Slowdown?

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released an update to its latest World Economic Outlook with lower growth expected in 2019. What is interesting about the global outlook, despite all ...
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Bad Economic News Turns Into Good News, Interest Rate Cut Odds Looking Strong

Sometimes there is a situation where bad news is good news in the financial markets. After the first contraction was seen in manufacturing this week, it turns out that services ...
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Stock Market Struggles as Much Weaker Services Growth Piles on Manufacturing Contraction

The markets had tried to stage a recovery on Thursday, but after an 800-point drop in the Dow Jones industrial average in two days, more weak economic data quickly knocked ...
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Economic Confidence Hits Lowest Level Since Government Shutdown

The economic confidence of Americans has hit the lowest level since the federal government shutdown ended in January. Some of the drop has to do with worries about a recession. ...
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How Consumers Look Today as Recession Risks Become More Prominent

With the endless media calls for a recession, one would think most Americans would at least be preparing for a downturn. Either the public thinks the media's use of the ...
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The Real Recession Odds: Perception Versus Reality

If Paul Revere were alive today, the financial media would have quoted him as saying, "A recession is coming! A recession is coming!" There is just one major problem. Not ...
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Will a Manufacturing Recession Lead to a Overall US Recession?

As much as the mainstream media has loved using the term "recession," they are actually getting some economic data that finally may help to back up their case. That said, ...
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These States Already May Be in Recession

The fact that there are 50 states in America means that there are 50 different economic outcomes. Just because the entire country has low unemployment, high consumer confidence and rising ...
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Despite Trade and Recession Fears, Durable Goods Support Higher GDP Growth

Many reports in the media suggest the decade-long recovery and growth of the U.S. economy is in trouble. Gross domestic product (GDP), the official metric for measuring or scoring the ...
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Which Internet Leaders Will Do Best (and Worst) in the Next Recession

The financial media has used the term "recession" more than it should be allowed to. That said, the pain of the Great Recession makes for more than just water-cooler talk ...
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