New Home Sales Rise, and Prices Rocketed Higher in September

October 26, 2016 by Paul Ausick

The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development reported Wednesday morning that sales of new homes in September rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 593,000, an increase of 3.1% above the revised August rate of 575,000 and an increase of 29.8% compared with the September 2015 rate of 457,000. The consensus estimate from a survey of economists expected a rate of around 601,000. The August rate was revised downward by 34,000.

At the peak in 2005, new home sales posted a seasonally adjusted annual rate of nearly 1.4 million.

The Census Bureau also reported that the median sales price for new homes sold in September rose by a whopping $29,500 from $284,000 in August to $313,500, and the average sales price rose by $24,100 to $377,700. At the end of September the number of new homes for sale totaled 235,000 and represented a supply of 4.8 months at the current sales rate.

In September, 43% of the estimated 46,000 monthly sales were sales for homes priced at less than $300,000. The percentage is 11 points lower than the August rate. Sales of homes priced between $300,000 and $399,999 rose by five points to 24% of all sales. Sales of homes in the range of $400,000 to $499,999 rose fell from 13% of sales to 11%, and sales rose from 10% to 12% for homes sold in a range of $500,000 to $749,999. Home sales for properties priced above $750,000 accounted for 5% of all new home sales in September, the same as the August rate.

The increase in sales of higher-priced homes is the primary factor in the sharp rise in median and average prices in September. That likely means that there were not a lot of first-time buyers moving into new homes last month.

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