December Housing Starts Stumble, but 2017 Posts 10-Year High

January 18, 2018 by Paul Ausick

The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development reported Tuesday morning that new housing starts in December fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.192 million. That was a decrease of 8.2% from the upwardly revised November rate of 1.299 million and a decrease of 6.0% compared with the December 2016 rate of 1.268 million.

For the full year, 1.202 million housing units were started, up 2.4% compared with 2016, as well as a 10-year high.

The revision to the November rate added 2,000 new housing starts from the previously reported total. The consensus estimate from a survey of economists expected a rate of around 1.28 million.

Single-family housing starts fell month over month by 112,000 in December to 836,000. The decrease reflects a drop of 24.2% in the Northeast and 16.6% in the South.

The seasonally adjusted rate of new building permits ticked down to 1.302 million, 0.1% lower than the upwardly revised November rate of 1.303 million and up 2.8% from the December 2016 rate of 1.266 million. An estimated 1.263 million permits were issued in 2017, up 4.7% year over year.

Permits for new single-family homes rose in December from a revised annual rate of 865,000 in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 881,000. The rate rose 2.8% year over year.

Multifamily starts, for buildings with five or more units, decreased by 21.6% year over year in December and rose by 2.6% compared with November. This number is more volatile than the single-family number and has moved mostly sideways since 2013.

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