Daily Archives: March 14, 2007

Cramer Wants Prince Out at Citigroup, We Do Too (again)

On tonight’s MAD MONEY on CNBC, Jim Cramer is going to replace Bank of America (BAC) with CITIGROUP (C) as his favorite banking stock because of Chuck Prince.  This is because he thinks it can run $9.00 when Chuck Prince is fired.  Besides the $26 million last year, Prince has made more than $93 million while his stock has moved only 3.7% and the banking index is up huge.  And now the bid to buy Nikko Cordial in a bidding war against themselves is bad.  Cramer says that he was wrong to let Chuck Prince escape from the hangman and he is back as the #1 CEO ON THE WALL OF SHAME.

If this sounds familiar to you, it may be because Chuck Prince is one of our 10 CEO’s THAT NEED TO LEAVE that still hasn’t been fired.  4 of our 10 CEO’s are out (3 fired, 1-Panero of XMSR is leaving after the merger), so Prince is one of our remaining 6.  Here is what we said as to why Prince needs to leave Citigroup and here is our full list of the 10 CEO’s whose stocks would rise if they left with a brief description.

On my interview on CNBC, I even noted that Wall Street was wheeling Chuck Prince’s casket down the street and he hasn’t shown up for his own funeral.

Jon C. Ogg
March 14, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Investors Choosing Growth & Risk Over Value & Defensive Stocks

DJIA                    12,133.40; Up 57.44 (0.48%)
NASDAQ            2,371.74; Up 21.17 (0.90%)
S&P500              1,387.17; Up 9.22 (0.67%)
10YR-Bond        4.522%; Up 0.0270
NYSE Volume    3,726,042,000
NASD Volume    2,301,636,000

Interestingly enough, after more than a 100 point drop in the DJIA and then after a huge recovery buying session that led the markets back into positive territory, out of the 20 FIRST LINE DEFENSIVE STOCKS TO OWN IN A CRUMMY MARKET there were only 10 of the 20 that closed up for the day.  Out of the 10 down on the day there were 3 of the 10 down members that were barely negative, but that doesn’t matter in advance/decline lines.  Out of the 15 SECOND LINE DEFENSE STOCKS 11 of the 15 components closed up.

Out of the 30 DJIA components, there were 20 of the 30 components that closed up for the session.  Out of the NASDAQ 100 Index, there were 72 of the components that closed in positive territory.  This is puzzling that the techs are leading the turn this quickly out of the chute, assuming it isn’t a one-off day.  Are people seeking growth over value right off the bat?  Or are they going back into risk?  Out of the subprime lenders, many of these closed back up with double-digit gains.  Maybe investors are nowhere as risk averse as the defensive market players would have assumed.

Below is the effect of all of these stocks in the value sectors:

20 FIRST LINE DEFENSIVE STOCKS FOR A CRUMMY MARKET
Ticker     Close   Change   Volume
KO       $47.04      $(0.02)   16,276,000
PEP     $62.69      $0.53      5,619,900
JNJ      $60.71      $(0.06)   16,215,904
MRK     $43.27      $(0.10)   12,334,600
PFE     $24.86      $(0.08)    49,773,296
PG       $61.36      $0.19      10,522,000
CAG     $24.18      $(0.15)   5,751,100
BUD     $50.50      $0.45      3,145,661
HRL     $36.49      $0.11      228,100
CPB     $39.10      $(0.14)   1,570,200
K         $50.67      $0.13      2,292,900
GIS     $55.32      $0.28      1,794,900
DUK    $19.39      $0.05     8,992,700
CL      $65.33      $(0.54)     3,223,196
MO      $83.90      $(0.14)   34,761,100
RAI      $59.66      $0.37      2,513,336
MCD    $43.65      $0.17    6,574,100
CLX     $61.71      $(0.10)  1,304,200
KFT     $30.20      $(0.73)   20,493,100
TAP     $87.70      $1.77      1,242,200

15 SECOND LINE DEFENSIVE STOCKS            
Ticker     Close    Change   Volume            
LTR     $43.59      $0.10      1,850,600
FLO     $28.66      $0.10      263,000
THS     $28.47      $0.15      73,400
DLM     $11.10      $(0.03)   486,900
NVO     $84.83      $0.48      56,500
ALO     $25.34      $(0.06)   813,500
PYX     $13.66      $(0.06)   288,500
AACC   $15.11      $0.15    100,175
CSH     $39.58      $1.00      652,100
YUM     $57.60      $0.25      2,231,500
HME     $54.59      $0.01      834,600
DTE     $46.32      $0.20      1,936,100
WTR     $21.69      $0.14      1,050,700
SNH     $22.70      $0.13      560,100

Jon C. Ogg
March 14, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

The 52-Week Low Club

The number of mortgage companies making the list is becoming unfair, but one of the most widely traded stocks in America also made the list.

Sirius (SIRI) Maybe it’s the merger. Maybe it’s that the merger won’t happen. Down to $3.21 from a 52-week high of $5.57.

Doral Financial (DRL) Nothing new here. The company warned about a cash crisis a few days ago. Dropped to $1.19 today, down from 52-week high of $11.79.

Americredit (ACF) Another victim of the subprime debacle. Not as bad as most. Hit a low of $20.45 today, down from a 12-month high of $31.70.

The Progressive Corp. (PGR) What a relief. A car insurance company. Bad earnings. Dropped to $21.15 down from 52-week high of $27.86.

VaalCo Energy (EGY) Wall St. did not like earnings. Fell to $4.68 today, from 52-week high of $10.45.

McClatchy (MNI) The big newspaper chain seems to make it every few days. Now down to $33.95 from a 12-month high of $51.53.

Warner Music Group (WMG) Been trying to buy rival EMI, but Wall St. seems not to like the idea. Down to $17 from a 52-week high of $31.

Viewpoint (VWPT) Internet marketing tech company has poor earnings. Drops to $.38 from a 12-month high of $1.93.

Audiocodes (AUDC) Makes tech for sending voice over packet networks. Revises forecast down. Falls to $7.24 off a 52-week high of $14.64.

Xinhua Finance Media Ltd (XFML) Chinese media company, just went private. Down to $10 from $13 a few days ago.

Drugstore.com (DSCM) Forecast a Q1 loss some time ago and CFO left. Nothing holding the shares above water. Down to $2.35 from 52-week high of $4.02.

Progressive Gaming (PGIC) Back on the list again. Fourth quarter worse than the year before. Shares down to $5.21 from a 52-week high of $11.40.

Douglas A. McIntyre

An IPO To Profit From Outsourcing & OffShoring (ETEL)

If you think that offshoring and outsourcing may be slowing, think again.  We have already seen waves and waves of IT-outsourcing to India, Romania, Ukraine, and elsewhere.  We have seen waves of manufacturing offshoring to China, even to the point that Mexican factories are not able to compete with the labor costs.  Everyone has likely dealt with a representative from a call center in India or from a Pacific Rim country.

This week there is a filing for an IPO of what the company refers to as "Business Process Outsourcing" which is really an OUTSOURCED CALL CENTER operator.   This company is called eTelecare Global Solutions, Inc. and it plans to list its ADS shares under the ticker "ETEL" on NASDAQ. 

The underwriters are Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, Robert W. Baird, and JMP Securities.  This offering lists 5.5 Million ADS Shares, which represents 11 million ordinary shares; the indicated price range is listed as $12.50 to $14.50 per share as of the filing date.  eTelecare is based in Bagumbayan, Quezon City in the Philippines.

eTelecare provides call centers for operations such as technical support, financial advisory services, warranty support, customer service, sales, customer retention and marketing surveys and research.  It operates from four delivery centers in the Philippines and seven delivery centers in the United States, with approximately 6,800 employees in the Philippines and approximately 3,000 employees in the United States as of December 31, 2006.  It even lists its largest clients: American Express Company, AOL, Cingular Wireless, Dell, Intuit, Sprint Nextel Corporation and Vonage Holdings together representing approximately 91% in terms of revenue for 2006.

eTelecare was profitable in 2006: revenue was $195.1 million, operating margin was 9.9% and net income was $12.2 million. For 2005, net revenue was $152.2 million, operating margin was 2.7%, and net loss was $1.8 million.  This one may be subject to the same rigors of the IPO market and to "emerging markets" but it is the first of its kind in call-center outsourcing and offshoring.  If this works and if it gets a lot of publicity you can imagine there are probably 100 or more companies in India and elsewhere that are looking at this to see if they can come public too.

Here is the guts of its own described business model in the prospectus: We were founded in 1999 by alumni of the management consulting firm McKinsey & Company, who implemented analytical tools and a focus on quantifiable value for the client in the customer care BPO market. Our business model has three key elements: a focus on delivering complex, voice-based BPO services via a multi-shore delivery platform; making significant investments in the quality of our people and processes; and entering into contracts that contain pricing terms that our clients agree are based on the value we create per dollar spent by the client, rather than a pricing model focused solely on being able to deliver the least expensive service offering, or a cost-based commodity pricing model, that we believe is most often emphasized in our industry.  In 2005, our five largest clients collectively represented 83% of our revenue, with Cingular representing 50% of our revenue and Dell representing 17% of our revenue. In 2006, our revenue became less concentrated, with our five largest clients collectively representing 80% of our revenue and our two largest clients, Cingular (now AT&T) and Dell, representing 42% and 18% of our revenue, respectively.

As a public company, its fiduciary responsibility to investors is to grow and to make more money; so it doesn’t care if it replaces jobs and thinking that it will care is not worth the time.  Here is its growth plan:  win new client relationships and further penetrate our existing client base (get more offshore call centers, and increase offshoring with current customers); expand into new industries (more new untapped offshoring); expand into new markets and delivery geographies (Open in new offshore countries and take this more global); and continue to invest in human capital development (teach call-center employees English and support functions).  If you think for a second that outsourcing is slowing, guess again.  At least US-based call center workers now have a hedge they can invest in if they are worried about their job being outsourced. 

Jon C. Ogg
March 14, 2007

Yahoo! Tops All Competition In “Average Visits Per User”

In a new measurement of how people use the internet, comScore has come out with a new metric, "average visites per unique visitor". In February, Yahoo! sites (YHOO) topped this list with a figure of 28.6, followed by Facebook at 23.6, and Microsoft sites at 21.8. Google sites ranked sixth.

Among total unique visitors, Yahoo! sites kept their lead with 128.6 million unique visitors in February, followed by the Time Warner network with 117.9 million.

Top 10 Properties by Unique Visitors (000)

February 2007

Total U.S.– Home, Work and University Locations

Source: comScore Media Metrix

Top 10 Properties by Average Visits per Visitor

February 2007

Total U.S.– Home, Work and University Locations

Source: comScore Media Metrix

Rank

Property

Unique Visitors

(000)

Rank

Property

Average Visits/Visitor

Total Internet Users

175,653

Total Internet Visits

64.2

1

Yahoo! Sites

128,559

1

Yahoo! Sites

28.6

2

Time Warner Network

117,942

2

Facebook.com

23.6

3

Google Sites

114,694

3

Microsoft Sites

21.8

4

Microsoft Sites

114,155

4

Time Warner Network

19.4

5

eBay

79,559

5

Weatherbug Property

17.7

6

Fox Interactive Media

77,969

6

Google Sites

17.7

7

Amazon Sites

48,905

7

Fox Interactive Media

16.9

8

Ask Network

48,722

8

Comcast Corporation

16.9

9

Wikipedia Sites

43,656

9

EA Online

13.6

10

New York Times Digital

39,769

10

Earthlink

12.1

Source: comScore

Douglas A. McIntyre

Cramer’s Dirty Dozen

On today’s STOP TRADING segment on CNBC, Jim Cramer issued what he calls a "Dirty Dozen" of stocks to avoid.  He made some of these in sub-prime liar-loan companies as well on TheStreet.com.  Here is his list that the short sellers are targeting, although Cramer said this isn’t his list per se and he actually thinks some of these are well managed.  Many of these are up huge today as well:

Indymac (NDE)
CarterMac (CHC)
Friedman Billings Ramsey Group Inc. (FBR)
Fremont General (FMT)
Redwood Trust (RWT)
New Castle (NCT)
American Home Mortgage (AHM)
Grammercy (GKK)
Rait Financial (RAS)
Thornburg (TMA)
CapitalSource (CSE)

There is one missing here, but that’s 11 of the 12.  Today is the second anniversary of the MAD MONEY show. 

Jon C. Ogg
March 14, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

SkypeFind + SkypePrime = Skype Desperate

From Internet Outsider

Skype In a move that says more about the revenue potential of its core business than any numbers reported to date, Skype announced the launch of two new products that have little to do with the core service and are already widely available elsewhere: local product reviews and a monetize-yourself expert network directory. 

This strategy, of course, mimics the one that resulted in eBay buying Skype in the first place ("Core business decelerating?  Quick, acquire a fast-growing company in a completely unrelated business and then think of a way to explain it!").  Just because there is precedent for this strategy doesn’t mean it’s a good one.

The local restaurant/product/etc review business is a tough nut to crack, and companies with far more resources than Skype’s have found it slow going.  Keen and other companies, meanwhile, have been at the telephone-expert opportunity for years, and they haven’t hit the jackpot. 

If Skype didn’t have another business to run, none of this would matter.  But it does.  And this Skype user, at least, can think of a hundred things that Skype could do to improve its basic service before it rushes off to compete with Google, Yahoo, Ingenio, and others in un-related businesses.

So then why would Skype do this?  Perhaps because, as its skeptics have long suggested, it is finding VOIP revenue hard to generate.  The last batch of numbers made it look as though things were fine, but today’s announcements suggest that they aren’t.

Cuban Shreds GooTube; I Respectfully Differ

From Internet Outsider

Gootube1tmMark Cuban’s cheers on Viacom in the GooTube war with a lengthy diatribe on the naive idiocy of all-content-should-be-free idealists, GooTube’s arrogance, and how Viacom has "already won."  I agree with much of what Mark says, but I do think there are places here’s where he’s oversimplifying and/or missing an important point.  To wit:

  1. No smart pundit I know is arguing that GooTube should be able to stream Viacom’s content for free in perpetuity.  On the contrary, the smart folks are simply hoping that Viacom and GooTube can work out a deal in which Viacom content is available on GooTube.  Viacom appears to be happy to do such a deal–as long as Google forks over, say, $500 million, in advance.  GooTube, meanwhile, appears to be happy to do it as long as Viacom demands, say, nothing in return.  The hope is that the two companies can meet in the middle.
  1. Whether or not GooTube is able to host Viacom’s content, it will do just fine.  Currently, GooTube is in a similar position to a cable company selling a basic cable service and a menu of premium services.  The cable company will make more if you buy premium services (and it will share some of the revenue with the content providers–just as GooTube will), but it will do just fine if you only buy basic cable.  What the company has to do to get you to buy basic cable is assemble enough content that you find the service worthwhile.  GooTube has already done this, and it will continue to attract millions of users whether or not another Viacom clip runs on the service ever again.

Here’s what I would like to see–and I would be grateful to anyone who could refer me to (or send me) the info: a detailed analysis of GooTube’s traffic streams.  Specifically, a breakdown that shows the percentage of total views that are user-generated or licensed versus unlicensed.  I continue to think that no single content company, no matter how powerful, has the leverage to force GooTube to sign a distribution deal at any price.  If I’m wrong, however–if, say, Viacom’s content accounts for, say, 35% of total streams–it would be nice to know that sooner rather than later. 

Cramer on Viacom Suing Google

On today’s Wall Street Confidential video on TheStreet.com, Cramer keyed in on Viacom (VIA) versus Google (GOOG): Cramer thinks Viacom has the wrong approach here in suing Google.  He thinks VIA still gets the first run, but not the second run and it should be enough.  Cramer thinks VIA will have more good quarters, but this approach against Google is wrong.  When Cramer was asked about HIS OWN videos being on YouTube, Cramer said "That’s Good."  As a reminder, Cramer has already said he thinks that VIA stock is coming back.

Cramer said there is a dirty dozen in sub-prime lenders.  He doesn’t think this bounce in the names are right.  Cramer thinks many of these stocks are at their option strike prices but many are still at risk and shouldn’t be up this much.

Jon C. Ogg
March 14, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Why Wall St. Hates Viacom

It does not seem to matter who Viacom (VIA-B) fires or who they sue. The stock goes nowhere. Over the last year, it is up by about 1%. Other media companies including Time Warner (TWX) and Disney (DIS) are beating the Dow. Operating results can’t be blamed In 2006, Viacom’s revenue was up to $11.467 billion. Operating income rose to $2.772 billion and net income increased to $1.57 billion. Each of the Viacom’s four major units showed some gain highlighted by the feature film unit. So, it is not operating results. Those are good.

But, Wall St. does not like change, especially ongoing dramatic change. It sampedes the cattle and adds to an uneasy environment around a company. That is Viacom’s problem.

Viacom has become a kind of "surprise of the month club" company. It sacked its CEO, Tom Feston. A lot of the senior management at MTV were let go. Tom Cruise got fired from Paramount. He was a bit of a nut, but also happened to be one of the biggest box office stars of all time. Gail Berman, the head of Paramount Pictures was fired as well.

Then, Viacom sued YouTube. Hard to say what that will get them.

The list may be longer, but this is a good start.

And, there is the trouble with Sumner Redstone. A recent profile in Vanity Fair described him this way: "he looks frail and has a senior moment or three, losing his train of thought, repeating stories, and asking that a question or two be repeated". Not exactly the picture investors want painted of a big public company CEO.

Investors read these kinds of things. Vanity Fair has a big reputation.

Viacom calls a fellow named Philippe Dauman its CEO. But, no one buys that. Redstone runs everything.

Viacom’s board has a tough problem. Redstone controls the company through two classes of shares. The board has a fiduciary responsibility to make sure the person in control of the company has the tools to do the job. The question of whether age has caught up to him is certainly a reasonable one.

Redstone can fire all the people he wants to. He can restructure. He can even sue YouTube. But, convincing investors that he is still the right man for the job has become very, very hard.

The emperor has no clothes.

Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Legislation to Repeal Online Gambling Ban May Be Coming

The Financial Times online edition (subscription required for full article) has noted from an interview that Barney Frank, the democratic House Financial Services Committee chairman, is working on legislation to repeal the ban on online gambling in the US that was passed last year.  "Working on" is hard to define without more information

It is not clear at all if this is a "total repeal" or just a loosening of the laws.  It is also a question as to whether or not this legislation could even make it to the White House through Congressional votes, and it is unclear of this would be for 2008 and beyond or if it was sooner.  But either way, you have to look no further than Cryptologic (CRYP) to see how this could impact other stocks in the sector (they make online gaming software) if there is any truth to this.  CRYP has even managed to defy a weak market if you look at the shares.

In Australia, companies like Betcorp and Lasseters Corp were hit hard last year because of the ban.  In the UK, companies like PartyGaming Plc and 888 Holdings were also hit in 2006 over such issues.  Gigamedia (GIGM) and American Wagering (BETM) were also noted in a story late yesterday along with pari-mutuel horseracing company Youbet.com (UBET).  We have all missed the PartyPoker commercials as well.

Once again, take heed that "an interview" and "legislation" can be taken way out of context and there is always the possibility that this could be dead before it even gets started. My own call in so far has partially confirmed this, but with no details yet known.  Many of the European online gaming stocks also made some rather large moves last week because of some loosening of regulations in the EU.  There is not even assurance that it will make it to the form of a bill, so if you take any of this as "gospel" or as "fact" then the point has not been stressed enough that there may be no follow-through in reality.

I did put in a phone call to Congressman Frank’s office and was told that this is true, but I have not been able to get the details from the Financial Services Committee as of yet.  I am awaiting a call back to give more details. 

Jon C. Ogg
March 14, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Advertisers Fleeing TV, Radio for Internet, etc.

From Internet Outsider

Run_away Emily Steel of the WSJ reported startling numbers from TNS Media Intelligence showing just how fast major advertisers are pulling money out of traditional media and throwing it into paid search, digital media, and other "unmeasured" advertising.  This trend has been underway for years, and the figures are backward-looking, but it’s no wonder that traditional media conglomerates like Viacom are starting to panic:

In a sign of how major advertisers are shifting money out of traditional media, ad tracking firm TNS Media Intelligence reported that the nation’s 50 biggest advertisers cut their spending on "measured" media such as TV, print and Internet display ads by 1.5% in 2006 — though U.S. ad spending grew 4.1% overall.

While some of the decline may reflect overall cutbacks in ad spending by big marketers, it likely signals that big companies such as Procter & Gamble are reallocating some of their ad budgets to new Internet ad venues which aren’t measured by TNS — such as paid-search advertising, social networking and online video.

Not surprisingly, the report showed that growth in ad spending on traditional media, particularly newspapers and radio, continued to slow dramatically while spending on Internet display ads is accelerating. But it also highlighted a significant slowdown in ad growth among cable channels, after several years of robust increases.

Are We Already in A Recession?

From Investment Intelligencer

Crystal_ball Recessions are not only hard to predict, they’re also sometimes hard to identify until after-the-fact.  For example, as Dan Gross describes in this NYT piece, back 2000, very few economists saw any trouble on the economic horizon.  Many economists, in fact, kept pooh-poohing the idea of a recession until the government figured out (through data revisions) that we were already in one. 

These days, few economists are expecting a recession.  The sub-prime woes, the bull theory goes, are limited to a tiny segment of the mortgage market, the housing recession won’t spill over into the rest of the economy, the ever-optimistic consumer is charging right along…etc.  The stock market, of course, is telling a different story.  The market doesn’t always get it right, but it probably gets it right more often than economists (which isn’t a knock against economists: If predicting the future were easy, everyone would do it).

In any case, given what happened last time (optimistic economists and investors + tanking market + deteriorating fundamentals), perhaps we should stop asking whether we are going to have a recession and start wondering whether we are already in one.

IPO Filing: Polypore International (PPO)

This morning we have an IPO filing from Polypore International, Inc., which has indicated an NYSE listing under the "PPO" stock ticker.  It lists $362.25 million as the amount to be raised, but this is often a nominal amount indicated just for filing purposes.  You can review the full SEC Filing if you want to read the full details.

So far its list J.P.Morgan as the sole lead underwriter.  Polypore develops, manufactures and markets specialized microporous membranes used in separation and filtration processes in two primary segments: energy storage and separations media.  The energy storage segment accounted for approximately 72% of 2006 sales. Primary applications in this segment are lithium batteries and lead-acid batteries for laptop computers, mobile phones, power tools, and hybrid electric vehicles.  The separations media segment accounted for approximately 28% of 2006 net sales. Primary applications for its membranes and membrane modules in this segment are hemodialysis, blood oxygenation, plasmapheresis and various high-performance microfiltration, ultrafiltration and gasification/degasification applications.

Its customers are located globally with strategically located manufacturing facilities in North America, Europe and Asia. In 2006, Polypore generated total net sales of $479.7 million and a net loss of $29.6 million; its Adjusted EBITDA was $139.8 million, as defined in its senior secured credit facilities.

Jon C. Ogg
March 14, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Ford: Bring Back Bill Ford

GM (GM) came out with good results today, vindicating its CEO Richard Wagoner.

Investors are still waiting at Ford. Alan Mullaly joined as CEO early in September of last year. Within a few days, Ford’s (F) stock hit $9.20. Since then, the stock is off 16% while the Dow is up 5%.

Get Bill Ford back in the corner office.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Charles Prince 2006 Payday: A Raise For 2007

Charles Prince got $26 million for his performance as CEO of Citigroup (C). Over the course of the year, Citi’s stock did rise from $49 to $56.

So far in 2007, Citi’s stock is off over 12%. That is substantially more than the Dow, JP Morgan (JPM), of Bank of America (BAC).

Prince deserves another raise.

Douglas A. McIntyre

New Vonage Product For Small & Mobile Businesses

This morning Vonage (VG-NYSE) has announced an Internet Telephone adaptor with a wireless router that is co-branded with Motorola (MOT-NYSE).  This one may be the first product that can have some cross-over appeal to a broader audience.  The router will make it easy for customers to use fax, telephone and Internet services at the same time.  The new VT2542 enables Voice-over-IP (VoIP) telephony and includes a 4-port wired and 802.11 b/g wireless access point for home networking connectivity. The device is available online for $59.99 After a $40 instant rebate with a $9.95 shipping and handling fee and a $29.99 activation fee.

This router can connect up to two Vonage lines, including telephone and fax via high-speed Internet and has four LAN ports and an 802.11b/g Wireless port for additional computers or other network devices.  Customers can use their Internet connection for their computer and phones at the same time (same as before) and is geared toward consumers who want the added advantage of easily setting up a secure wireless network.

With the exception of the new portable Vonage V-Phone that comes on a 256MB flash drive, this may actually be the first product that can actually appeal to broader base of small business customers looking to save money over using traditional telecom services.  This one is fully mobile with any broadband connection in the world.  If you want to review more of the specs and more of the features you can look online at the link on the Vonage web site.  The stock is actually down another 1.4% at $4.10, so right now this one is being ignored by a cautious  stock market.

Jon C. Ogg
March 14, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Home Depot: Bring Back Nardelli

Home Depot’s stock is down about 7% since CEO Robert Nardellit left. The Dow is off less than 3% for the same period and Lowe’s is down about 1%.

When Nardellit left BUDD BUGATCH, FURNISHINGS RESEARCH DIR., RAYMOND JAMES told the Nighly Business report that: "Next year I think the stock will do well. I think the valuation of the stock should be in the 50s, so we see about a 20 to 25 percent upside from here in the relatively near term."

Maybe next time, Budd.  It may be hard to blame the housing slowdown on the company and the related fall to every single aspect that services any subprime mortgage houses, but shareholders were already restless.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Sirius: Another 52-Week Low

Sirius (SIRI) hit another 52-week low this morning dropping to $3.25. The stock is now down $1 from its 2007 intraday high set on January 16, a drop of 23%.

Douglas A. McIntyre

New Slacker Music Service Takes Aim at Apple, Microsoft, Napster & Others

There is a new service for digital music called SLACKER that is taking aim at many music formats.  They are treading right into the space of Apple’s (AAPL) iTunes, Microsoft’s (MSFT) Zune, Napster (NAPS), Yahoo! (YHOO), Digital Music Group (DMGI), and somewhat even Sirius (SIRI) and XM Satellite (XMSR). 

SLACKER is launching a jukebox software platform to manage your entire music library and they have the Slacker Web Player available with a premium subscription to radio services and on-demand access to your favorite songs.  They also are launching the Slacker Portable Player soon that is a sleek black MP3 player with a large 4 inch screen that will have a price range for storage needs in the $150 to $300 range.  They even deliver content to the portable player via satellite in the Slacker Car Kit.

There is a basic free service that is ad-supported or they have subscriber services for $7.50 per month that allow you to download songs from their radio stations they offer that can be saved to your computer.  Slacker is a VC-backed operation based out of San Diego, CA that has some of the cool buzz because someone will finally be attempting to integrate the PC-Portabke-Satellite package for music.  The major problem is that they are entering a crowded space at what may be too late of a stage against competitors that can literally chew them up. 

There is one more issue here: Its Name….Slacker.  Napster may be a hamstrung name now, and "slacker" the name is even one step down.  If this one doesn’t work out fast it is going to be dubbed "Loser" and that will be that.  We wish them luck, and they are going to need it against these entrenched companies already dominating the sector.

http://www.slacker.com

Jon C. Ogg
March 14, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.