Daily Archives: June 17, 2007

The 24/7 Wall St. Twenty-Five Best Financial Blogs

It has been over nine months since we published our feature “The Twenty Best Financial Blogs”. A great deal has changed. Some of the blogs on the list are gone or no longer have regular posts. Others have grown and become better.

One of the most important changes to the landscape is that major media financial websites now run many more blogs, and several, particularly TheStreet.com’s daily column by James Altucher and The Wall Street Journal’s Market Beat written by David Gaffen, have given independent blogs writing about the market, exposure that was not available a year ago.

Our list is a list of independent blogs. Several major media outlets have excellent blog sections. Herb Greenberg at MarketWatch. David Gaffen at WSJ.com, and several blogs at Business 2.0 and BusinessWeek.com, and BloggingStocks at AOL (24/7 contributes content to this site). But, these blogs have a level of financial support that independent blogs do not. Their writers are paid. They have exposure due to their relationship with larger websites. They are excellent, but really should not be compared with websites operated by one person or a small group of individuals. However, they should certainly be lauded for the exposure that they give to independent blogs.

Financial information on blog sites is not readily available. Most financial blogs are much too small to bring in enough direct revenue to support their writers. Some have newsletters, but it is impossible to know what they yield. A number have AdSense links on their sites, but, based on data gathered from a few financial blogs, if a site is not in the top 25,000 sites in audience as measured by Alexa.com, it is unlikely to have enough revenue to support even one or two people.

Financial blogs end up being either labors of love or ways to promote small money management or paid newsletter businesses. It would seem to be a tough way to make a living.

Technorati, the big blog tracking service, now lists over 86 million blogs. Although the site does not break out numbers for financial blogs, these may be approaching a million in total. The term “financial blogs” entered into Google brings back 117 million results.

Over the last two months 24/7 Wall St. has looked at several hundred financial blog websites. The lists came from those blogs mentioned at TheStreet.com, the Wall Street Journal, and SeekingAlpha. We also reviewed the lists of “favorites” at long-established financial blogs like BloggingStocks, and sites being linked to by The Kirk Report, Minyanville, and other financial commentary sites.

After we narrowed the number of financial blogs down to about 100, we tracked posts for several weeks before picking the final twenty-five.

Original content was our most important measurement. Content that was well-written, well-researched and crisp. Blogs that were mostly aggregations of content from mainstream media did not make the cut. The majority of the copy had to be directly written by the blog’s author(s).  Anonymous blogs did not make the cut. It is too difficult to understand the agenda of a blog where readers cannot figure out the writer’s identity and potential motivations. The final major yard stick was frequency of posting. If a blog had very good content, but the author only posts once or twice a month, it becomes too hard to follow without referring back to the same story and waiting for weeks for it to change.

Here are the 24/7 Top Twenty-Five Financial Blogs. They do not appear in any order. We have added their Alexa rankings to give readers some idea of how much traffic each one gets.

Footnoted.org. Still the leader of web blogs that review SEC filings for hidden gems. Michelle Leder has uncovered a number of stories that were picked up in mainstream media. Doesn’t get any better than this. Alexa rank: 477,383.

Stock Market Beat. Focuses on tech stocks and semiconductor and economic trends, but author William Trent does fine work on everything from bonds to transports. Alexa rank: 259,152.

The Kirk Report. From Charles E. Kirk, this blog covers daily market trends and is especially good at rounding up dozens of observations from other blogs and commentary sites. Gets special consideration for giving exposure to smaller blogs. Alexa rank: 129,617.

Bill Cara. Daily market commentary and frequent sector analysis. Cara has a view toward the long history of the markets which readers will find almost nowhere else. Alexa rank: 124,755.

The Peridot Capitalist.  Written by Chad Brand, who runs an investment advisory service, this blog looks at companies and market news with a trader’s eye. Often talks about his own long and short positions. Well-written and brutally honest. Alexa rank: 273,243.

Equity Investment Ideas. Author Yaser Anwar sometimes takes himself too seriously, but he publishes remarks on everything from individual companies to international monetary policy to technical analysis. Very well-researched. Alexa rank: 275,258.

SeekingAlpha. Grandfather of blog aggregation. David Jackson’s creation also publishes comments from in-house staff. Only blog company that has brought in VC money, in this case from Benchmark. Well-funded, it operates in a category of its own. This blog is a full-fledged business. Alexa rank: 5,923.

TickerSense. Published by Birinyi Associates money management operation, this site does Weekly Blog Sentiment Poll and outstanding overviews of Wall St. trends, stocks, bonds, and ETFs. Alexa rank: 189,667.

Street Insider 13D Tracker. Timely pieces on major positions taken in public companies. Also tracks sometimes acrimonious fights between companies and holders. Alexa rank: 1,748,050.

Biohealth Investor. As good as any investment blog at covering biotech industry. Picks up blogs from several other sites, including 24/7. Unusually in-depth. Alexa rank: 235,249.

The AAO Weblog. Covers accounting industry, SEC activity, and government policy. Written by CPA Jack T. Ciesielski.

Internet Outsider. Henry Blodget’s comments on internet and media stocks. Witty on top of the strong analysis. Alexa rank: 98,959.

Traderfeed. Too bad there are not more analysts where author Brett Steenbarger came from. The best on the psychology of trading and historical patterns in markets. Brilliantly thought out content. Alexa rank: 110,748.

Random Roger’s Big Picture. The site covers a little bit too much of Roger’s personal life, but it’s worth going through that. Very good on foreign currency, overseas markets, and ETFs. Alexa rank: 231,124.

Bill Rempel NO DooDah’s. Has a section on music he likes, but looking beyond that this blog is particularly good on market trends, some individual stocks, and predictive trading models. Alexa rank: 1,112,924.

10Q Detective. A look under the hood at SEC filings, particularly 10Q, 10Ks, and proxies. Well-written and extremely in-depth. Strong reporting on accounting aspects of filings. Written by David Phillips. Alexa rank: 1,204,728.

Ant & Sons. Weird name, strong financial site. Mostly individual stock investments with a lot on micro-caps. Frequently updated as business news hits that market. Alexa: 205,250.

Crossing Wall Street. One of the most broad-based financial blogs. Heavy on earnings, market and economic analysis, and index analysis. Alexa rank: 402,425.

The Kingsland Report. Solid analysis. Very broad spectrum. Hits individual stocks, government policy, mortgage industry, market comments. Alexa rank: 352,226.

Infectious Greed. Paul Kedrosky’s blog. Funny stuff. Irreverent. Heavy orientation on current news. Focus on media, internet, the stock market. Alexa rank: 47,273.

Financial Skeptic. Droll and quick-witted. Look at individual companies, buy-out firm activity, and insider buying and selling at major companies. Alexa rank: 5,746,682.

Naked Shorts. Good coverage of hedge funds, scoundrels, Wall Street missteps. Alexa rank: 546,947.

Carl Futia. One of the best technical investing and financial forecasting blogs. Posts very regularly. Alexa rank: 514,391.

Investment Jungle. Looks at companies through lenses of return on invested capital, return on investment, EPS, P/E, and other metrics. Strong analysis. Very disciplined. Alexa rank: 188,828.

Stocks and Blogs. Especially good at looking at which stocks to buy and sell, and when. A fair amount of focus on foreign company stocks, which tend to be a rarely covered subject in most financial blogs. Alexa ranking; 1,617,871.

Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Previewing Tyco Spin-Off Ahead of Analyst Meetings

Stock Tickers: TYC, COV, COV-WI, TEL, TEL-WI, GE

Tyco International Ltd. (TYC-NYSE) hosts its analyst meetings on Tuesday, June 19, to showcase its new spin-off companies.  Late last week we saw trading begin in the two spin-offs.  The "Tyco Healthcare" is named Covidien Ltd. and is trading under a when-issued ticker "COV" or on most symbols as "COV-WI."  The "Tyco Electronics unit" is appropriately named Tyco Electonics and trades as "TEL" or "TEL-WI."   The remaining company for all of the security and fire company is remaining Tyco International and keeping the "TYC" ticker.

Covidien (COV) closed out at $46.50 on Friday and Tyco Electronics (TEL) closed out at $38.80 on Friday.

In our free email newsletter we sent out last week, we noted that the break-up value for all of the combined Tyco International units could could fetch up to $36.00 or $37.00, but the stock was looking like it was set in a bumper car range of $32.00 to $35.00.  It just seems as though there is a phantom premium in the stock based solely on the actual spin-offs as an event rather than as the spin-offs’ true values.

Last week we also noted that Goldman Sachs had reiterated a "Buy" rating on the stock with a much more positive outlook.  Goldman noted that Tyco could even have a premium to their $35.00 target, which they even noted as ‘conservative.’    Our $36.00 to $37.00 note was sent on June 12 when the market was trading off, so the better stock market will be a boost for it.  Here was what we noted: If the market was not in a back-and-forth mode and if this wasn’t taking place into the 4th of July it might be a tad different.  But, only a tad.

A group of dissident bondholders late last week also noted that they are trying to get Tyco’s deal delayed, but the company said they remain on track after two delays already.  The company is also taking a $370 million after-tax charge this quarter related to sale of a power systems unit out of the electronics unit

We’ll send out more individual previews before and after the analyst meetings when we get to see the full presentations and hear what other plans are coming for each unit. 

Tyco trades too in-line with General Electric (GE) for the relative value to be incredibly higher than the market value of today, and shares have come up more than 36% from the lows over the last year before the spin-off was set in stone.

Jon C. Ogg
June 17, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

GE (GE) And Pearson (PSO): A Competing Bid For Dow Jones (DJ)

It is the deal that the employees and editors at Dow Jones (DJ) want. The controlling Bancroft family would love to tell Rupert Murdoch to head along home.

GE (GE) and Pearson (PSO) are looking at a buy-out of Dow Jones that would put the company together with Pearson’s Financial Times GE’s CNBC to create a privately-held joint venture. The Bancroft family would keep a minority interest.

For weeks it has appeared that no other company would step forward to offer to bid against Murdoch because the premium he has offered is to hight.

It would not be surprising if the economics of the deal are slightly better for Pearson and GE than they would be for Murdoch’s News Corp. Dow Jones wants to avoid his ownership that much.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Penny Stock Promotors Gone Wild III

A few more of the amazing penny stock offers available on the web. Must be there things aren’t regulated.

PennyStockCenter The guys will find stocks that will deliver 500%, 800%, 1000% even 1500% profits in the next year. They even guarantee it.

Penny-Stock-Picks Flipping dirt cheap stock. Make $200 into a $43,000 pile of cash.

Wall Street Window The penny stock IPO market has made more millionaires than any other sector of the stock market. If, so, it has also probably sent more people to the poor house.

Penny Stock Center. This newsletter will help investors ride that "bad boy" until they get 200%, 800% up to 6000% profits with a minimum of down-side risk. The "bad boy" could probably fall 90% as well.

Douglas A. McIntyre

This Week on StockHouse June 11 to 15

Investors may have had a case of whiplash this week, as markets gyrated wildly, trying to sort out the slide in treasuries, a possible rate increase, and the continuing squeeze in gasoline refining.

On StockHouse, editors Sean Mason and Keri Korteling pulled the stats and made a list of the weekly Top Five (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19822), highlighting top BullBoards posters, blogs, and stories on the site.

One of the hot BullBoards this week, said Sean Mason, was the discussion forum for Vancouver-based gold miner (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/article.asp?edtID=19841) GoldQuest (TSX: V.GQC).

On Monday, Danny Deadlock offered up a quick summary (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19822) of some of the names he’s been following for readers of the Micro-cap Monday column.

While Danny was reviewing the prospects for uranium and palladium prices, investment advisor Harold Leishman, of Canaccord Capital, wrote that mining IPOs (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19825) provide an excellent opportunity for investors to add this flourishing sector to their portfolios.

And Don Rodgers’ Trading Discipline column looked at how three junior companies with exposure to the oilsands (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19826) had fared as oil prices rose.

Editors at Institutional Research Partners wrote the first of a series of articles about the oilfield services industry (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19828 ) for Micro-cap Spotlight.

Harry Boxer, who is this week’s Weekly Wizard, was the first of two columnists to highlight stun-gun maker (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19829) Taser (NASDAQ: TASR) this week.

In their Totally Technology column, Leon Hamerling & J. Paul examined the French Connection (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19847) to Taser’s recent share price increases.

The columnists were also busy sorting through the announcements at an important conference on Alzheimer’s disease. In Bio Check, they concluded that there’s not yet a magic bullet to fight the debilitating disease, but that investors could invest in therapies for Alzheimer’s by picking a basket of stocks (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19831).

What does the downward trend in bonds mean for equities? Steven Saville said that eventually the two markets (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19832) will have to come into alignment, and that will most likely mean a drop for the stock market.

Investors in network services company Black Box (NASDAQ: BBOX) faced three strikes (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19833) since last winter, wrote the Securities Sleuth.

Investors can identify the ideal trading channel using technical support and resistance levels before choosing an options strike price (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19837), said George Leong in his Technical Thursday column.

Heading into the period of seasonal strength for biotech (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/article.asp?edtID=19842 ), Don Vialoux said that investors should put ETFs representing the sector on their watch lists now.

Due diligence is absolutely essential when choosing an appropriate stock investment. Financially Fit’s Nancy Zambell demystified the 10-K report (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19845). 

Another key investment decision is the cost to make a particular investment. John J. De Goey used his STANDUP Advice column to implore advisors and investors to talk about costs. (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19846).

And, Doug Casey believes cash is trash and so are most of your investments, so go stock up on gold in The Casey Files. (http://www.stockhouse.ca/shfn/editorial.asp?edtID=19850)

Yahoo! (YHOO) Keeps It Lead: May Internet Traffic

comScore’s new traffic figures for May show Yahoo! (YHOO) maintaining a comfortable lead in total unique visitors over Time Warner (TWX), and Google (GOOG). Yahoo! had over 130 million unique visitors in the US, ahead of its two rivals who each came in at just above 120 million. Microsoft (MSFT) ranked fourth with 113 million.

The study raises the question once again as to why Google does so much better financially than the Yahoo! and Time Warner sites (which include AOL). The answer would appear to be targetting, The effective yield-per-page-view for the text ads on Google must be superior to the same ads on Yahoo! and AOL. The two web portals run dislay ads as well.

Another factor is that Yahoo! and AOL have huge numbers of "remainders", which are pages which have not been purchased in advance by advertisers. These pages are sold off at very low rates through networks including ValueClick and Advertising.com. Google’s text ad formula appears to work well enough so that it is not plagued by these low yield advertisers.

The numbers do, in fact, indicate that size is not always what matters, at least in terms of what advertisers will pay for.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Amazon (AMZN), Dell (DELL), Expedia (EXPE), Ebay (Ebay): E-Commerce Puts On The Brakes

Accoring to Jupiter Media, the rate at which online sales are growing will drop to 9% by 2010. That growth rate is 25% now. Forrester Research says online book sales will rise 11% this year. Last year that rate was 40%.

An article in The New York Times contends that e-commerce sales are slowing in almost every category as internet purchases take up a larger percentage of overall retail sales and bricks-and-morter operations get better at drawing consumers to stores.

If the analysis is accurate, companies like Ebay (EBAY), Amazon (AMZN), and Dell (DELL) may be in for real trouble. And, firms like Expedia (EXPE) could watch their revenue growth drop to zero.

If a drop-off in the sharp growth of e-commerce continues, the company’s with stocks that have run up the most are probably those at greatest risk. Dell is at its 52-week high. Amazon is up over 100% in the last year. Expedia is up over 60%.

There could be some collateral damage, and much of that may happen at Google (GOOG). E-commerce operators use the huge search site to place text ads that send them customers. If the overall trend of purchasing goods and service on the internet is slowing, so will the need for this kind of marketing..

E-commerce growth had to slow sometime, but most investors did not think its would happen so soon.

Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at douglasamcintyre@247wallst.com. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.