Daily Archives: December 11, 2008

Facing Concerns About It Future, Bank Of America (BAC) To Cut 35,000 Jobs

Unemply_2Anyone curious about the health of the financial services industry got a look this afternoon.

Bank of America (BAC) will cut 35,000 jobs over the next three years.

According to the company,"The reductions are coming from both companies and affect all lines of business and staff units."

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The 52-Week Low Club (GIL)(LUV)(PTIE)(CRUS)

Sad_clownGildan Activewear (GIL) Warns next quarter will be weak. Drops to $7.76 from 52-week high of $42.74.

Southwest Airlines (LUV) Airline traffic dropping, oil prices going up. Falls off to $7.13 from 52-week high $16.77

Pain Therapeutics (PTIE) FDA gives bad news on drug. Sells down to $5.50 from 52-week high of $10.99.

Cirrus Logic (CRUS) Profits concerns. Plunges to $2.34 from 52-week high of $7.63.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Auto Bailout Bill Dies

95129c_2According to several sources, the Republican members of the Senate have effectively killed the Detroit bailout bill

The New York Times reports that "The prospects of a $14 billion government rescue of the American auto industry seemed to vaporize as the Senate Republican leader, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, spoke out forcefully against the bill, effectively dooming its chances despite the urgings of the White House."

Douglas A. McIntyre

Jamie Dimon Outlines 2009 Concerns (JPM)

Money_stack_picJamie Dimon, CEO & Chairman of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM), gave an exclusive interview today to Erin Burnett on CNBC   He gave some interesting data on his outlook for what lies ahead in the banking sector and for his bank.

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Nortel Signals One More Reverse Split After NYSE Listing Notice (NT)

Burning_money_pic_3Nortel Networks Corporation (NYSE: NT) is going to be back at the stock game again.  The troubled Canadian telecom equipment provider announced today that it was notified today by New York Stock Exchange that its stock is below the $1.00 price criteria listing standard on the NYSE.  If you have been following this, you will see below how this situation seems to just get worse and worse.

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UBS Echoes Meredith Whitney: More 2009 Bank Losses (CMA, FHN, FITB, KEY, MI, RF, ZION, BAC, WFC, JPM)

Burning_money_pic_2UBS has a research report out for the banking sector, and the report may take away some thunder from those who are hoping that banks will return to profits sooner rather than later.  This estimates that large banks are likely to report losses in the fourth quarter and next year.  It also notes that many banks need to cut their sacred dividends even further.  Most of these banking stocks are trading lower today.

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Will GM’s Supplier Debts Eat All Its Bailout Cash?

Gm20jpeg20imageBased on GM’s last quarterly financial statement, the car company had $28 billion in payables. Most of those were to suppliers. If the firm is trying to hold onto its cash, that figure could be higher by $10 billion. There are rumors that GM is paying some of its parts companies six months after billing.

Bloomberg mentions today that certainly suppliers, worried about a Chapter 11 filing, are asking for cash on receipt.

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Which Metals & Mining Stock Look Best For 2009? (RTP, BHP, ABX, GG, BTU, MEE)

In our preview of energy stocks for 2009 we were able to come up with a company that might actually provide a decent return to investors. Looking at some of the major mining stocks, however, is a somewhat bleaker experience.  We have reviewed Rio Tinto plc (NYSE:RTP), BHP Billiton Ltd. (NYSE:BHP), Barrick Gold Corp. (NYSE:ABX), Goldcorp Inc. (NYSE:GG), Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE:BTU), Massey Energy Co. (NYSE:MEE) to see which of the major miners have the best and worst prospects for 2009.

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Diabetes Trifecta (AMLN, LLY, ALKS)

Amylin Pharmaceuticals, Inc., (NASDAQ: AMLN) has been a battered biotech lately.  But shares have just now gotten back above the single-digit threshold and are up more than 80% from recent lows.  This morning Amylin and partner Eli Lilly & Co. (NYSE: LLY) announced that the US FDA feedback on the DURATION-1 study is appropriate to use as the basis for demonstrating comparability between intermediate-scale clinical trial material made in Alkermes’ (NASDAQ: ALKS) manufacturing facility, and commercial-scale drug product made at Amylin’s manufacturing facility. 

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Exploring Anadarko’s Balance Sheet (APC, STO)

Energy company asset sales have become just about the only news in the energy business. No mergers, no acquisitions, no bankruptcies, just sales. Companies are trying to position themselves and their portfolio of assets for an upturn in the economy, whenever that might happen.  Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC) announced yesterday that it had sold its 50% interest in a field offshore of Brazil to Norway’s StatoilHydro (NYSE:STO).

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JA Solar: Cloudy Days Ahead (JASO)

Solar_panel_picIn an announcement late yesterday, JA Solar Holdings (NASDAQ:JASO) cut its revenue estimate for the fourth quarter to $124 million, down from a range of $191.5-$220.9 billion. The company did not change its guidance on expected gross margin (5%-7%) and break-even non-GAAP earnings.

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Jobless Lines Running At 3-Decade Highs

UnemplyThe new data for weekly jobless claims is still showing many pink slips are coming.  The Labor Department said that new claims reached a 26-year high of 573,000.  That is 58,000 above the revised 515,000 of last week. Expectations were somewhere in the vicinity of 525,000.

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Lululemon, The Recession, and Yoga (LULU)

Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ: LULU) managed to beat earnings estimates this morning, but the guidance leaves little to be desired.  The yoga-wear company reported profit of $0.13 per share and posted a 34% annual gain in revenues of $87 million.  First Call had estimates of $0.12 for profit and $86.5 million in sales. 

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Looming Bailout Is the Death of the Big Three

by John Tamny  RealClearMarkets

Back in the early days of this decade when executive malfeasance was the scandal du jour, there was a rush among many CEOs to support Sarbanes-Oxley, a bill that would allegedly make them more honest. Sarbox on its own would have and did spook the markets, but unspoken of at the time was the oily eagerness among top CEOs to endorse a law’s passage that would to some degree treat them like criminals.

To some, the way in which executives prostrated themselves before Congress was the biggest scandal of all. More soothing to an investor would have been mass protest on the part of company chiefs offended that their integrity was being questioned by a political class famous for lacking anything of the kind. We’ll never know, but it’s fair to wonder if part of the reason stocks sold off before and after Sarbox’s passage had to do with investors wondering if CEOs were in fact corrupt; their lack of protest a suspicious signal.

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P&G Not As Recession-Proof As Thought (PG)

P_and_g_logoProcter & Gamble Co. (NYSE: PG) was supposed to be about as immune to a recession as any company could be.  It is in the category behind food and water and a few others.  Everyone knows there is no such thing as "truly recession proof" and the company fessed up this morning that its is not immune to the current economy. 

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Posted Without Comment: Deflation

According to Reuters, The "nasty" U.S. recession will tighten its grip next year as unemployment rises and weak home and stock prices imperil consumers, finance firms and debt-laden businesses, a UCLA Anderson Forecast report released on Thursday said.

"Additionally, a sustained retreat in prices for goods and services is a very real possibility that would further drag on the economy, according to the forecasting unit’s report."

"Where only last quarter we were worried about inflation, we are now worried about its very rare opposite: deflation," the report said. Falling prices would cut demand and discourage employers from hiring.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Early Bird Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades (BLL, ONXX, RTP, TEF, ALV, ETEL)

These are some of the early bird analyst calls we are seeing from Wall Street analysts this Thursday morning:

  • Ball Corporation (NYSE: BLL) Raised to Buy at Citigroup.
  • Onyx Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ONXX) Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan.
  • Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank.
  • Telefonica (NYSE: TEF) Raised to Outperform at Credit Suisse.
  • Autoliv (NYSE: ALV) Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley.
  • eTelecare Global Solutions (NASDAQ: ETEL) Cut to Neutral at Baird.

Jon C. Ogg
December 11, 2008

Costco (COST): Making The Poor Feel Rich

Cammonopoly_wideweb__430x3250Wal-Mart (WMT) reported strong same-store numbers for its most recently reported period. New data from MasterCard (MA) indicates that almost every other retailer in the country was bloodied during the early part of November.

One more retailer did well, even against the resistance of a deep recession. Costco (COST) reported that in its fiscal first quarter, same-store sales inched higher by 1% and total sales were up 3.6%.

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California Crisis & California Muni Funds (BCK, BFZ, BCL, BJZ, BZA, MYC, CEV, EVM, CCA, IIC, NAC, NQC, NCA, NVC, PCQ, PCK, VCV)

California_imageBurning_money_picWith ‘the Governator’ saying California is on the verge of financial Armageddon, there is concern about billions of investor dollars in municipal bond funds.  This raises many questions about that sustainability of municipal bonds that are issued specifically in California, which are widely held by closed-end funds (and open-end mutual funds).  There are many California-only closed-end funds that trade actively.  Keep in mind that some funds have seen dividend interruptions and others may based upon discount to net asset values and an inability from some funds to pay dividend series.

We have outlined some of the many California funds and sorted the screened funds by name and ticker, with prices, 52-week trading ranges, indicated dividend yield (some suspended), and by market cap.

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China Oil Imports Drop

ChinaChina used to be heated by wood and coal fires. It looks like those days are coming back

Reuters says that China oil imports hit their lowest level this year.

The news is more confirmation that the 10%-a-year GDP growing country is in real economic trouble. The frenzy of business activity which would never falter is slowing to a crawl.

China’s export engine is losing steam because the suddenly impoverished world does not need its goods. Perhaps worse, the Chinese middle class is so pinched that the nation’s imports from around the world are about to drive off a cliff.

Douglas A. McIntyre