Daily Archives: November 2, 2009

Bill Gates Goes Deeper Into Autos (AN, MSFT, KMX, BRK-A)

Bill Gates ImageWe noted just last week that Bill Gates was getting more entrenched in the waste disposal sector.  It turns out that Mr. Gates is getting deeper into the auto-retailing sector as well.  In an SEC filing after the closing bell, Gates added some 500,000 shares to his stake of AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE: AN).  His Cascade Investment LLC investment vehicle bought 483,800 at a weighted average price of $17.608 and bought another 16,200 shares at a weighted average price of $18.217.  Both transaction dates took place on October 29, 2009.
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Stanley Wants Bigger Tool Works (SWK, BDK, SNA)

Money ImageThe tool sector for builders and home repair is about to get a lot smaller for investors looking for diversification of company choices to invest in.  The Stanley Works (NYSE: SWK) and The Black & Decker Corporation (NYSE: BDK) have proposed a merger which would unite the brands.  The companies see accretion to earnings per share of about $1.00 per share by year three with some $350 million in cost synergies.  This deal is a stock for stock merger where Black & Decker shareholders would receive a fixed shares ratio of 1.275 shares Of Stanley common stock per 1 share held of Black & Decker common stock.
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Chinese Hotel IPO: 7 Days Group Holdings Limited (SVN, HMIN)

china map7 Days Group Holdings Limited is national economy hotel chain based in China, and it has just filed to come public via an Inital Public Offering.  No terms were disclosed other than it will sell up to $100 million in common stock via ADRs.  It plans to list its stock under the “SVN” ticker on the New York Stock Exchange with J.P. Morgan and Citigroup as the lead underwriters.

To many investors, this will sound  like the story of Home Inns & Hotels Management Inc. (NASDAQ: HMIN).
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Mixed Earnings Metrics on Chesapeake (CHK)

Nat Gas PicChesapeake Energy Corporation (NYSE: CHK) has put to bed at least some of the concerns over how much lower natural gas prices seen earlier this year were going to affect its earnings performance.  But there is some data here for bulls and bears alike.  The company’s third quarter adjusted net income was $440 Million, or $0.70 EPS on Revenue of $1.8 billion.  Thomson Reuters had estimates pegged at $0.65 EPS and $1.96 billion in revenues.
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Bankruptcy Watch

VeraSun Energy Corporation (OTC: VSUNQ), which filed for Chapter 11 protection on July 31st 2009, announced that the 158 million shares of common stock in the company have been cancelled.  The shares currently trade at $0.0055.  No new shares will be issued.

On October 30th Otter Tail Ag Enterprises LLC, an enthanol producer, filed for relief under Chapter 11 with the United States Bankruptcy Court, District of Minnesota.  

Garrett W. McIntyre

Recently Completed SPAC Deals Tripped up by De-Listing Threats (TMI, WLBC, CNWHF)

SPACupdate.com provides daily reports and e-mails covering blank checks, their targets and relevant trading data.  The team has provided 24/7 Wall Street with many examples of solid developments in special purpose acquisition companies, but today we have examples of how not all deals will be positive in the sector.  Two blank checks that recently completed deals have been threatened with de-listing by the AMEX.  SPACs’ buoyancy after deal completions—and even value gains after favorable merger votes are tallied—have created arbitrage opportunities for unit holders who can split shares from warrants and sell each off at a markup in excess of 25% of a unit’s redemption value.

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CIT Highlights Risks in Junkier Financial Stocks (CIT, FNM, FRE, ABK, C, ETFC, AIG, PMI)

Burning Money PicIt is of little surprise that CIT Group, Inc. (NYSE: CIT) is seeing clobbered today.  The company has finally filed its pre-packaged Chapter 11 bankruptcy package and that has CIT shares down a sharp 63% at $0.26 on triple its average volume.  By now, the game is probably known by everyone that bankruptcy usually leaves shareholders of common stock out in the cold.  Should it be of any surprise that the “other troubled financial stocks” are seeing their shares head south?

It was just a week ago that I discussed the Fannie-Freddie equity conundrum.  Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) are down further.  After all, these two are in government conservatorship.  It is even easy to argue that these are just being kept alive so that Uncle Sam doesn’t have to include the obligations on the Fed’s balance sheet.  And how many investors in these companies really believe that they are holding anything more than a long-term warrant or LEAP option that is way out of the money?  Fannie Mae is down 7.4% at $1.00 and Freddie Mac is down almost 9% at $1.12, and neither are on active volume today.
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Did Obama Further Temper Unemployment Expectations?

Jobless Line PicToday’s market weakness is being attributed to a myriad of issues, with most profit taking being attributed to added valuation after huge gains not meeting up to the current economy.  But there have been several other issues to consider with President Obama today saying that the economic gains are not enough and that more is needed… “We are just not where we need to be yet. We’ve got a long way to go, “ said Obama.  But more specifically, Obama noted that job losses are likely to continue and called the job growth, or lack thereof, distressing.

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Coal IPO Hikes Planned Sale (CLD, RTP, ACI)

Coal ImageIt seems that there is no caution in all the pending Initial Public Offerings coming to market.  Cloud Peak Energy, Inc. is raising the amount targeted for its capital raise of up to $650 million from an initial target of $500 million when the filing was first made in August 2009.  This one will trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “CLD”  and the listed underwriters in the amended prospectus are Credit Suisse, Morgan Stanley, and RBC Capital Markets.
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24/7 Wall St. TV: Another Pay Outrage: University Presidents Making Over $1 Million

24/7 WallSt TVWall St. executives are apparently in for their best pay day in history, despite the fact that the collapse of the credit markets and the beginning of one of the worst recessions in US history are barely a year old. Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) posted record profits for its fiscal year and it is anticipated that a number of partners there will make tens of millions of dollars. Outside analysts expect the Goldman comp poll will be about $22 billion which is over $700,00o for each person at the investment bank.

The huge Wall St. pay packages may push Congress to attempt to limit financial executive pay. The Treasury has already appointed a pay czar to limited compensation among senior management at financial firms which have not paid back TARP funds. The Fed may begin to offer guidance to companies that it regulates, in part to cut down risky behavior that sometimes results in short-term profits.

Many public companies have cut top management pay has profits have been undermined by the recession. Many chief executives will also lose a big portion of their compensations because the value of their stock options has been destroyed by the falling market.

One place that pay limits do not seem to have reached is universities. A new study by the Chronicle of Higher Education shows that 23 college presidents made over $1 million in the 2007-2008 fiscal year. Based on data released by Harvard, Yale, and other elite universities, these extravagant payments were made during the same period that many educational institutions lost a large part of their endowments in the stock market meltdown. Read More »

Ancestry.com on IPO Deck (ACOM)

Ancestrycom LogoThis week we are expecting to see the market absorb the pending initial public offering from Ancestry.com Inc.  The company has a very unique niche and business model in that it operates a subscription-based online research system for family history.  Investors need to be aware that Ancestry.com Inc. is offering 4,074,074 shares and the selling stockholders are offering 3,333,333 shares in the IPO in an expected price range of $12.50 to $14.50 per share.  Ancestry.com will take the stock ticker “ACOM” on NASDAQ, which is the same ticker that was used for the former Agency.com when it was public.
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Can Hyatt IPO Beat Current IPO Doldrums? (H, HOT, MAR)

Hyatt LogoLate Friday night, after a really poor market day, Hyatt Hotels issued an amended S-1 for its planned initial public offering.  Because of last week’s market volatility, we are getting mixed signals about both the ultimate pricing and about which night the hotel operator will price its deal.  The deal is still set for 38 million shares in a price range expected as $23.00 and $26.00.  The company will also trade under the ticker “H” on the NYSE.

Hyatt is controlled by the Pritzker family.  It has a huge underwriting syndicate with Goldman Sachs as lead manager.  Co-managers are listed as Deutsche Bank, J.P. Morgan, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Citigroup, UBS, HASBC, Piper Jaffray, Wells Fargo, and Scotia Capital.  Other companies also listed on the prospectus are Robert W. Baird, Loop Capital Markets, M.R. Beal, Ramirez & Co., Siebert Capital Markets, and The Williams Capital Group.  The underwriting group has an overallotment option to purchase up to an additional 5.7 million shares of common stock.

The mid-point of this IPO will generate roughly a $4.11 billion market cap, and the net tangible book value as of September 30, 2009 was approximately $4.5 billion (roughly $26.98 per share).  This is less than 80% of the value of Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc. (NYSE: HOT) $5.4 billion market cap and less than half of Marriott International, Inc. (NYSE: MAR) $9 billion market cap.
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Today’s Best Market Rumors (11/2/2009) (LVS)(PFE)(PLX)(BK)(ODFL)(PALM)(AAPL)

newspaperUpdated throughout the day.

Updated 1.05 PM EST:  Las Vagas Sands (NYSE:LVS) will try to raise $2.5 billion though an IPO in Hong Kong  (AP)

Updated 11.12 AM EST: Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) is considering a joint venture with Protalix Biotherapeutics (AMAX:PLX) and may buy the Israeli company. (Reuters)

Updated 9.50 AM EST: The Fed will keep rates as they are  (CBNC)

A deal for Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) to take control of NBCU from GE (NYSE:GE) is imminent, as usual.  (NYTimes)

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) is considering buying Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM) tax credits (WSJ)

Bank of NY Mellon’s (NYSE:BK) CEO turned down a chance to be considered for the Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) CEO job.  (WSJ)

Roger Nightingale, economist at Pointon York, says the world faces a 1930s type depression if government stimulus packages are pulled too soon  (CNBC)

A draft order to approve AT&T’s (NYSE:T) $2.8 billion acquisition of Centennial Communications Corp is circulating at the Federal Communications Commission. (The Deal)

Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) top advertising strategist is not leaving his job.  (AppleInsider)

Sprint (NASDAQ:S) is starting to downplay the importance of the Palm (NASDAQ:PALM) Pre compared to other smartphones it is marketing.  (Barron’s)

Shares of Old Dominion (NASDAQ:ODFL) could move from $27 to $40 in a year  (BusinessWeek)

The market share of Apple’s Mac has not been hurt by the release of Microsoft’s (NASDAQ:MSFT) Windows 7.

You can join our open email distribution list to get updates on top analyst upgrades and downgrades, top day trader alerts, IPO’s, secondary offerings, Warren Buffett and other guru activity, M&A and more.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Top Day Trader Alerts (CIT, DNDN, F, HGSI, MOT)

This is a strange morning for day trader alerts.  There are not dozens and dozens of stocks in the big news, but those that are moving are moving big.  We have links through on each stock over at VSInvestor.com for more data and analysis on price and volume:

CIT Group Inc. (NYSE: CIT) is actually very thin volume as no NYSE trades are seen, but it is down by almost half on its bankruptcy filing.

Dendreon Corp. (NASDAQ: DNDN) is trading over 5% higher after filing for PROVENGE approval with the FDA.

Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) is trading up about 7% this morning on high volume.  It actually made money.

Human Genome Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ: HGSI) is trading up over 30% at multi-year highs on its positive lupus study data at the higher dose.

Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT) is running rather well today.  The troubled phone and communications maker is up about 5% on an analyst upgrade and on a report in Barron’s.

You can join our open email distribution list to get updates on top analyst upgrades and downgrades, top day trader alerts, IPO’s, secondary offerings, Warren Buffett and other guru activity, M&A and more.

JON C. OGG

Top 10 Analyst Upgrades, Downgrades, Initiations (BIIB, INCY, MOT, CMCSA, JWN, ODP, PALM, RIMM, RCL, YUM)

These are this Monday’s top ten analyst upgrades, downgrades, and initiations seen from Wall Street research firms:

Biogen Idec (NASDAQ: BIIB) Raised to Buy at Jefferies.
Incyte Corporation (NASDAQ: INCY) Started as Outperform at Leerink Swann.
Motorola (NYSE: MOT) Raised to Buy at Citigroup.
Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) Cut to Hold at Kaufman Bros.
Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN) Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank.
Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) Cut to Underperform at Credit Suisse.
Research-in-Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) Cut to Sell at Citigroup.
Royal Caribbean (NYSE: RCL) Raised to Outperform at Wells Fargo.
YUM! Brands (NYSE: YUM) Raised to Outperform at RBC Capital.

You can join our open email distribution list to get updates on top analyst upgrades and downgrades, top day trader alerts, IPO’s, secondary offerings, Warren Buffett and other guru activity, M&A and more.

JON C. OGG

America’s Largest Companies Hold $994 Billion In Cash

 

The five hundred largest non-financial companies in the U.S. hold $994 billion in cash and short term investments, up about 8 percent from last year, according to an exclusive study conducted by The Wall Street Journal. Some of the largest tech companies like Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) have tens of billions on their balance sheets.

There is nothing new about corporations holding high cash balances during a recession, since companies want to maintain a buffer against falling sales and earnings losses. But it raises the question of what will happen to the cash as the economy recovers.

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Ben Bernanke Is a Walking Economic Fallacy

By John Tamny of Forbes
The great economist Henry Hazlitt once observed that “Economics is haunted by more fallacies than any other study known to man.” Were Hazlitt alive today, he surely would have a field day addressing the numerous economic fallacies offered up by our very own Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke.
From his frequent assertions that economic growth is the cause of inflation, to his support of spending “stimulus” as though wealth redistribution actually drives economic activity, to his belief that simple money creation enhances the economy, it’s fair to say that the world’s most powerful central banker buys into a quite a few of these fallacies. Historians will write volumes on former President George W. Bush’s biggest mistakes in office, and while the left and right will have plenty to work with, it’s likely that for some at least, Bush’s appointment of Bernanke will loom large.

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A Little Miracle At Ford (F)

fordThe UAW rank-and-file may have given Ford a little fit over the weekend by voting down a contract with the No.2 US car company.

Monday dawned a better day as Ford may the surprise announcement that it made $1 billion in the third quarter. The firm reported net income of $997 million, or $.28 per share, an improvement of $1.2 billion from the third quarter of 2008. Pre-tax operating profit totaled $1.1 billion, an improvement of $3.9 billion from a year ago. It was Ford’s first pre-tax operating profit since the first quarter of 2008. Read More »

Microsoft’s (MSFT) Ballmer: IT Spending May Never Come Back

bearIn a statement that must send chills up the spines of other tech CEOs, Microsoft’s (NASDAQ:MSFT) Steve Ballmer said that the vicious recession may have reset IT spending to a level which will never recovery to where it was in the period just before the downturn.

“While we will see growth, we will not see recovery,” Ballmer said. Read More »

Michael Jackson Film Moves Toward $200 Million In Ticket Sales

TVSony (NYSE:SNE) just announced its fourth consecutive quarterly loss. Part of that was due to red ink at its studio division. Its best chance for a blockbuster film in the current quarter is almost certainly the Michael Jackson rehearsal film “This Is It.” Jackson did not disappoint. Global ticket sales went above $100 million worldwide for the first five days after release.

The Jackson movie is only scheduled to be in theaters worldwide for two weeks. Many industry experts believe that the run will be extended if ticket sales continue to be as brisk as they were over the weekend. Read More »