Prediction traders now give Republicans a 9% shot at holding Congress, so a split government in January is close to priced in while Trump floats military action against Cuba.

BREAKING: Trump says US will "take care" of Cuba after Iran at rally ahead of midterms 9% chance Republicans hold Congress. https://t.co/xIhNx6sOtL
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Custom HBM base dies moving to a 3nm logic node means TSMC captures content inside every memory stack Nvidia buys, and Samsung's internal foundry review is the swing factor for who makes it.

Samsung will reportedly use TSMC’s $TSM 3nm node for base dies for Nvidia’s $NVDA next-gen custom NVHBM chips, though Samsung is also said to be evaluating if its internal foundry could handle manufacturing. $MU
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An $80 billion first-half net loss at one of the biggest private AI labs, with $72 billion of it noncash, is the number that sets the bar for how investors price the rest of the AI buildout.

RT @Beth_Kindig: According to the WSJ, Anthropic reported a net loss of more than $80 billion in 1H, though $72 billion of this came from a…
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Traders are now pricing a two-thirds chance that Washington flips, and with 10 days left, tax, energy and healthcare policy exposure is the fastest-moving variable in sector positioning.

BREAKING: Democrats surge in odds of sweeping both the House & Senate, with just 10 days until the midterm elections. 66% chance. https://t.co/0VsfxSpQSA
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Dividend income

4 Data Center REITs With Growing Dividends and an AI Tailwind

AI data centers consume enough power to light entire cities, and the landlords collecting rent on those facilities are quietly growing their dividends. Four REITs sit at the center of this buildout, but their payout safety and growth outlooks differ in ways that matter.

Downside hedges are now the priciest since early July, and crowded bearish positioning is exactly the setup that fuels violent squeezes in silver and the miners levered to it.

The short silver trade is becoming crowded. Silver's 3-month silver put-call skew is up to -3 points, its highest level since early July. This metric measures the relative cost of put options to call options and is up +10 points over the last 4 weeks, signaling growing demand https://t.co/kSjMpq3DZZ
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Crypto

Is Bitcoin Dead? CZ Says Those Calls Have Marked the Best Times to Buy

Crypto traders and Wall Street are once again searching Google for “Is Bitcoin dead?” This renewed concern comes despite Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO: BTC) impressive 11,786% gain over the past decade. Bitcoin is currently trading at $80,530, 36.1% below its all-time high. It has dropped 3…