All Work

Austin Smith

The DOJ Is Going to Rip Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOG) to Shreds

: Google faces a possible breakup due to an antitrust case, which could impact its market power. The Pixel 6, featuring advanced AI, struggles against the iPhone due to low market share. Investors should…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

The Countries Doing the Most for NATO

: 23 NATO members now meet the 2% defense spending target, including the U.S., U.K., and Greece. Poland leads with over 4%, and the Baltic states have significantly increased spending due to proximity to…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

The Countries Short-Changing NATO the Most

: Major NATO members falling short of the 2% target include Canada, Italy, Spain, and Belgium. Reasons include Canada’s low urgency, Italy’s high debt, and Spain’s historical reluctance. Smaller nations like Croatia and Portugal…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

Republican Skepticism on Ukraine Is Deeply Misunderstood

: House and Senate results will shape U.S. support for Ukraine and Taiwan. Bipartisan support exists, but deals will be challenging. A divided government may slow, but not stop, international agreements. Also: With tensions…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

How Did NATO Get Here?

: NATO members committed to 2% GDP defense spending in 2014; now 23 of 32 meet the goal. U.S., U.K., and Greece were initially the only countries meeting this target. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX) Is Going to Come Crashing Back

: Starbucks struggles with high prices and competition, even under new leadership. The new CEO faces challenges and progress is expected to be slow. Concerns over the CEO’s decision to work from California, not…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

Can Ukraine Survive a Second Trump Term?

: A Trump victory may push for a peace deal with Ukraine ceding territory to Russia. Trump criticized Biden’s support for Ukraine’s cross-border actions. European nations also limit military aid to prevent escalation. Also:…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

Walgreens (NASDAQ: WBA) Stock Dividend Cuts Are Coming

: Walgreens faces challenges after overexpanding, including buying Boots in Europe. They cut their dividend and may need to do so again unless they sell assets. Walgreens is laying off staff and closing 2,000…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

Prediction: A New Media CEO Is Imminent

: Warner Brothers struggles against tech giants like Netflix, Apple, and Amazon in the movie and streaming industry. Tech companies’ vast resources outmatch traditional studios, making Warner’s business challenging. Prediction: CEO David Zaslav may…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

Wall St. Cheers Palantir’s (NYSE:PLTR) ‘A-Ha’ Moment

: Palantir, originally focused on government data, is now expanding into AI and other sectors, driving recent stock gains. Earnings jumped 27%, with AI hype boosting its valuation. The company is diversifying beyond government…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

If Trump Wins Again, What Happens To NATO?

: The U.S. is NATO’s largest financial contributor. Trump proposes a “two-tier” NATO, limiting U.S. protection for non-contributing members. A Trump victory could increase pressure on NATO members to meet spending obligations. Also: The…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

CNN Is An Unrecognizable Train Wreck Now

: CNN, owned by Warner Brothers Discovery, struggles with declining viewership as people shift to online news. Once respected, CNN now ranks third among cable networks, despite multiple reinventions. The network’s leftward shift has…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

It’s Clearly The Most Disastrous Merger Of The Last Few Years

: The AT&T and Discovery merger has been a financial disaster, leading to major losses and a $9.1 billion write-off. Promised synergies haven’t materialized, and traditional media assets are losing value rapidly. The merger’s…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

Retirees Should Run Away From These So-Called ‘Investments’

: Annuities have high fees and low liquidity; they’re often better for brokers than investors. Consider low-cost mutual funds or treasury funds for more flexibility. Avoid annuities unless absolutely necessary. Instead, look at true…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

The US Government Is Paying Buffett $13B a Year Right Now

: Warren Buffett sold half of his Apple stake and now holds $277 billion in T-bills, earning $12-13 billion annually in interest. His move suggests he sees limited value in the current market, with…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

A $250 Million Cannon Is Pointed At Google

: Perplexity, an AI company, raised $250 million to build a better search engine than Google. AI’s potential could challenge Google’s long-standing dominance. A non-political, effective alternative may attract users and threaten Google’s market…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

Buffett Signals a 2008 Sized Collapse

: Most big companies seem overvalued, with the S&P 500 trading at high multiples. Warren Buffett’s recent stock sales hint he’s preparing for a potential market downturn. He may be waiting for a major…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) Is About To Get Pinched

: Google faces legal challenges and new AI competition, threatening its search dominance and market cap. Justice Department ruling and emerging search engines like Perplexity could erode Google’s revenue. We’ll monitor how these developments…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

Homebuyers Are Avoiding the Very Thing That Could Make Them Rich

: ARMs are becoming attractive again with expected rate declines, offering lower initial payments. Ideal for early homebuyers, but plan for possible rate increases after the initial period. Consider future income and potential refinancing;…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago

This One Trade Could Be the Best Move of 2025

: Consider a pairs trade: long Microsoft, short Alphabet, due to Google’s antitrust issues. The Justice Department’s ruling could weaken Google, making this strategy potentially profitable. We’ll revisit after the case reaches the appeals…

Austin Smith · 2 years ago