Home Depot Inc
Q1 2023 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +7.12%.
Did HD Beat Earnings? Q1 2023 Results
The Home Depot delivered a mixed first quarter for fiscal 2023, narrowly beating earnings expectations while falling short on revenue as a challenging operating environment weighed on results. The home improvement retailer posted diluted EPS of $3.82, edging past the $3.80 consensus estimate by 0.53%, but revenue of $37.26 billion missed analyst expectations of $38.28 billion by 2.68% and declined 4.2% from the prior-year period. The single biggest culprit was a combination of lumber deflation and severe weather across California that disproportionately dragged on the company's Western division, contributing to a comparable-store sales decline of 4.5% and a volume-driven drop in customer transactions of 4.8%, with average ticket essentially unchanged at $91.92. The soft quarter prompted management to widen its full-year outlook, now guiding for sales and comparable sales to decline between 2% and 5%, operating margin between 14.0% and 14.3%, and diluted EPS to fall between 7% and 13% versus fiscal 2022, reflecting continued uncertainty around consumer demand and lingering macroeconomic pressures that have broadly pressured discretionary-adjacent retail spending.
- Lumber deflation negatively impacted sales
- Unfavorable weather particularly in the Western division due to extreme weather in California
- More broad-based pressure across the business compared to Q4 2022
- Customer transactions declined 4.8% while average ticket was essentially flat at $91.92
- Comparable sales in the U.S. decreased 4.6%
“After a three-year period of unprecedented growth for our sector, during which we grew sales by over $47 billion, we expected that fiscal 2023 would be a year of moderation for the home improvement market. Our sales for the quarter were below our expectations primarily driven by lumber deflation and unfavorable weather, particularly in our Western division as extreme weather in California disproportionately impacted our results.”
Home Depot CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
The Home Depot updated its fiscal 2023 guidance to reflect a wider range of potential outcomes due to lumber deflation, unfavorable weather impacts on Q1 sales, further softening of demand, and continued uncertainty regarding consumer demand. Updated guidance: sales and comparable sales to decline between 2% and 5% vs. fiscal 2022; operating margin rate between 14.0% and 14.3%; tax rate of approximately 24.5%; interest expense of approximately $1.8 billion; diluted EPS percent decline between 7% and 13% vs. fiscal 2022.
HD YoY Financials
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.