Consumer Products

Lower Volume Hurts Philip Morris Results

philip morris cigarette manufacturing
Source: courtesy of philip morris international
Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE: PM) reported first-quarter results before markets opened this morning. The tobacco products firm posted adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.29 on revenue of $7.6 billion. In the same period a year ago the company reported EPS of $1.25 on $7.45 billion in revenues. Thomson Reuters had consensus estimates for EPS of $1.34 and revenue of $7.52 billion.

On a GAAP basis, EPS totaled $1.28. The company also said that currency exchange rates cut earnings by $0.07 a share.

Cigarette shipment volume fell 6.5% year-over-year globally and by 42.5% in the Philippines, where a new excise tax cut shipments by 10 billion units. European volume fell 10.1% and Asian shipments fell 10.4%. Only the Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa posted a gain, and that a small one of 1.4%. The company was able to make up some of the decrease by raising prices.

The company lowered its full fiscal year EPS guidance to a range of $5.55 to $5.65, compared with full-year 2012 EPS of $5.22. The forecast includes a $0.19 per share reduction due to currency exchange rates. The consensus estimate had called for full-year EPS of $5.73 on revenues of $32.37 billion.

The company’s CEO noted:

Our first quarter was relatively difficult, with our headline results marred by a number of known factors, including inventory movements, the 2012 leap year effect, currency and a slowly improving – but nevertheless substantial erosion in our — volume in the Philippines. Despite this apparent weakness, our pricing actions and market share momentum provide us with the confidence to reiterate our annual constant-currency adjusted diluted EPS growth rate target of 10-12%.

What makes tobacco companies so attractive to investors is their dividend, and Philip Morris pays a quarterly dividend of $0.85. The company repurchased 16.7 million shares of its own stock in the first quarter at a cost of $1.5 billion. Philip Morris plans to spend $18 billion on share repurchases in a three-year program that began in the third quarter of last year. So far the company has spent $4.35 billion on share buybacks.

The company’s shares closed down about 1% last night, at $94.04 and are inactive so far this morning. The stock’s 52-week range is $81.10-$96.60. Thomson Reuters had a consensus analyst price target of around $97.60 before today’s report.

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