4 Out of the World’s 50 Most Dangerous Cities Are in the US

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The Citizens Council for Public Safety and Criminal Justice, based in Mexico, has put out its list of the world’s 50 most dangerous cities. The rank is based on murder rates. Four of the cities are in the United States: St. Louis, Baltimore, New Orleans and Detroit.

Three of those also are on the 24/7 Wall St. list of the 25 Most Dangerous Cities, which is based on U.S. data: St. Louis, Baltimore and Detroit. And these three American cities are among the top four most dangerous cities on the 24/7 Wall St. list.

The Citizens Council for Public Safety and Criminal Justice list:

City

Country Homicide Population

Rate

1 Los Cabos Mexico 365 328,245 111.33
2 Caracas Venezuela 3,387 3,046,104 111.19
3 Acapulco Mexico 910 853,646  106.63
4 Native Brazil 1,378 1,343,573 102.56
5 Tijuana Mexico 1,897 1,882,492 100.77
6 Peace Mexico 259 305,455 84.79
7 Strength Brazil 3,270 3,917,279 83.48
8 Victory Mexico 301 361,078 83.32
9 Guiana Venezuela 728 906,879 80.28
10 Belém Brazil 1,743 2,441,761 71.38
11 Vitória da Conquista Brazil 245 348,718 70.26
12 Culiacán Mexico 671 957,613 70.10
13 St. Louis United States 205 311,404 65.83
14 Maceió Brazil 658 1,029,129 63.94
15 Cape Town South Africa 2,493 4,004,793 62.25
16 Kingston Jamaica 705 1,180,771 59.71
17 San Salvador The Savior 1,057 1,789,588 59.06
18 Aracaju Brazil 560 951,073 58.88
19 Feira de Santana Brazil 369 627477 58.81
20 Juarez Mexico 814 1,448,859 56.16
21 Baltimore United States 341 614,664 55.48
22 Recife Brazil 2,180 3,965,699 54.96
23 Maturín Venezuela 327 600,722 54.43
24 Guatemala Guatemala 1,705 3,187,293 53.49
25 savior Brazil 2,071 4,015,205 51.58
26 San Pedro Sula Honduras 392 765,864 51.18
27 Valencia Venezuela 784 1,576,071 49.74
28 Cali Colombia 1,261 2,542,876 49.59
29 Chihuahua Mexico 460 929,884 49.48
30 João Pessoa Brazil 554 1,126,613 49.17
31 Obregón Mexico 166 339,000 48.96
32 San Juan Puerto Rico 169 347,052 48.70
33 Barquisimeto Venezuela 644 1,335,348 48.23
34 Manaus Brazil 1,024 2,130,264 48.07
35 Central District Honduras 588 1,224,897 48.00
36 Tepic Mexico 237 503,330 47.09
37 Palmira Colombia 144 308,669 46.65
38 Reynosa Mexico 294 701,525 41.95
39 Porto Alegre Brazil 1,748 4,268,083 40.96
40 Macapá Brazil 191 474,706 40.24
41 New Orleans United States 157 391,495 40.10
42 Detroit United States 267 672,795 39.69
43 Mazatlan Mexico 192 488,281 39.32
44 Durban South Africa 1,396 3,661,911 38.12
45 Campos dos Goytacazes Brazil 184 490,288 37.53
46 Nelson Mandela Bay South Africa 474 1,263,051 37.53
47 Campina Grande Brazil 153 410.332 37.29
48 Teresina Brazil 315 850,198 37.05
49 Vitória Brazil 707 1,960,213 36.07
50 Cúcuta Colombia 290 833,743 34.78

The 24/7 Wall St. methodology:

To identify the 25 most dangerous U.S. cities, 24/7 Wall St. reviewed violent crime rates in cities with at least 100,000 people from the FBI’s 2016 Uniform Crime Report released September 25, 2017. The total number and the rates of murder, non-negligent manslaughter, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault, which are included in the violent crime rate, as well as burglaries, larceny, and motor vehicle theft — all classified as property crime — also came from the FBI’s report. We also considered these data for each year from 2012 through 2016. Population, and the number of police officers in each city in 2016, 2015, and in 2008 came from the FBI.

Annual unemployment rates for 2016 came from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Median household income, poverty rates, and the percentage of households earning less than $10,000 a year came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey (ACS) and are five-year averages for the period 2011 to 2015.

And the summaries of the three American cities on the list from 24/7 Wall St.:

 4. Baltimore, Maryland
> Violent crime rate: 1,780 per 100,000
> 2016 murders: 318
> Poverty rate: 23.7%
> Unemployment rate: 6.3%

Baltimore is one of several large cities that accounted for a substantial portion of the nationwide increase in violent crime in 2016. While the number of violent crimes nationwide rose 4.1% from 2015 to 2016, violent crime in Baltimore increased 15.4% — nearly the most of any U.S. city. In total, there were 1,780 violent crimes reported per 100,000 Baltimore residents in 2016, far more than the national rate of 386 incidents per 100,000 Americans. Like many large metro areas, most of the gun violence in Baltimore is concentrated in the city’s poorest areas. According to one Baltimore Sun investigation, approximately 80% of gun-related homicides in Baltimore since 2011 have occurred in just 25% of the city’s neighborhoods.

2. St. Louis, Missouri
> Violent crime rate: 1,913 per 100,000
> 2016 murders: 188
> Poverty rate: 27.1%
> Unemployment rate: 5.4%

There were 1,913 violent crimes per 100,000 residents in St. Louis in 2016, the second most of any city. One factor contributing to the high incidence of crime in St. Louis is gun-related homicide. St. Louis has the highest murder rate nationwide, and it has risen in recent years even as gun violence in other large, high-crime cities leveled off. There were 60 homicides per 100,000 St. Louis residents in 2016, more than 10 times the national homicide rate. One difference between St. Louis and other major metro areas is the city’s relatively permissive gun control legislation. Individuals, for example, are allowed to carry a gun in a car without a permit, an illegal act in Chicago, Detroit, Baltimore, and New York City, according to state laws.

1. Detroit, Michigan
> Violent crime rate: 2,047 per 100,000
> 2016 murders: 303
> Poverty rate: 40.3%
> Unemployment rate: 10.9%

Detroit, one of the several major metropolitan areas that are largely responsible for the increase in violent crime nationwide last year, surpassed St. Louis as the most dangerous city in 2016. The number of violent crimes rose 16.3% from 2015 to 2016, far more than the 4.1% national increase and one of the sharpest spikes of any U.S. city. The increase was largely due to a rise in the number of aggravated assaults, which increased by 30.6% year-over-year. In total, there were 2,047 violent crimes per 100,000 Detroit residents in 2016, by far the most of any city in the country and more than five times the national rate of 386 incidents per 100,000 residents.