Oil Jumps Above $80: Cold Weather And Overheating Economies
Oil prices are back above $80. This time the rise is blamed on cold weather in the Northern Hemisphere. Weather forecasters predict that the winter of 2010 may be especially cold. Global warming in reverse. Oil prices may not drop…
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Oil prices may not drop back toward $70 as the spring thaw begins in March and April. The quick improvement in GDP growth in India and China may prevent that.
China’s GDP will grow over 10% next year and India’s by 8% or better. Recent data on manufacturing in China shows that the sector is recovering so quickly that China will need more crude for transportation of goods from factories to the coast and for the petrochemicals used in many manufacturing facilities. The global demand for crude could rise more rapidly than was expected just a few months ago.
The cold will move oil prices higher. The economy will keep crude moving up after that
Douglas A. McIntyre
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