First Solar Sales Weakness to Drag on Peers

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By Jon C. Ogg Updated Published
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First Solar Inc. (Nasdaq: FSLR) is out with its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2012. The solar PV-panel maker said that its net sales hit a record $1.1 billion in the quarter, but the big problem here is that Thomson Reuters was calling for sales of $1.32 billion. Wall Street does not care if that is a gain of $236 million from the third quarter of 2012 and a gain of $415 million from the fourth quarter of 2011. The comparable non-GAAP earnings came to $2.04 per share for the quarter and $4.90 per share for full-year 2012. Thomson Reuters was calling for $1.76 per share for the quarter and $4.61 per share for the year.

The sales gain was said to be primarily due to increased revenue recognition for the Topaz project and from higher third-party module sales. Cash and Marketable Securities at the end of 2012 came to $1 billion and its cash flow from operations was $328 million in the fourth quarter.

First Solar gave guidance for sales of $650 to $750 million with 25% to 27% gross margin, and earnings were put in a range of $0.70 to $0.90 per share. The estimates from Thomson Reuters are $828.9 million in sales and $0.94 per share in earnings. Other guidance is as follows: OPEX of $90 to $100 million; Operating income of $70 to $100 million; Tax rate between 11% and 13%; Cash flow from Operations of $0 to $100 million; and CAPEX of $80 to $100 million.

Shares of First Solar ran up way too much since the election with gains of 50% before backing off of late. The stock was down 4.2% to $31.36 at the close and the after-hours reaction has shares down over 5% more at $29.55 against a 52-week range of $11.43 to $37.18. The Thomson Reuters consensus price target before the effect of earnings and guidance was $26.45 for First Solar shares.

Solar stocks already saw their great growth and stocks are now a mere fraction of their former highs. It is going to be very difficult for these companies to sell themselves as cheap value stocks.

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About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. www.247wallst.com.

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