Once a major company with the size, depth and, most of all, deep pockets like Kinder Morgan Inc. (NYSE: KMI) plunges in and makes a huge deal come together with pending acquisitions, all you need is a quote from the CEO Rich Kinder like “Fertile field to do a little grazing in” and you have sparked a wave of merger and acquisition (M&A) speculation in the energy master limited partnership (MLP) arena.
A new report from the MLP team at UBS says that the analysts expect the healthy M&A atmosphere to continue. By their estimation, 67 M&A deals have so far been announced and/or completed versus 91 in 2013. The key statistic is the dollar amount of the transactions is already 44% above last year’s numbers. While Kinder Morgan’s deal was a consolidation of its existing businesses, the UBS team feels that other top companies will be looking to add-on companies that can complement existing business and supply needed growth.
Based on a wide variety of metrics and a framework of the current landscape, UBS has four MLPs that could be in the running to be acquired.
Crestwood Midstream Partners L.P. (NYSE: CMLP) hits the UBS screens as a potential candidate. The company is engaged in the gathering, processing, treating, compression, storage and transportation of natural gas; storage, transportation and terminalling of natural gas liquids; and gathering, storage and terminalling of crude oil. The company announced earlier this year a further expansion of its Willow Lake Project, located in the Permian Delaware Basin, which includes the conversion of a portion of its Las Animas natural gas gathering system into rich gas service and the construction of an initial cryogenic natural gas processing plant.
Investors are paid a large 7.25% distribution (remember that MLP distributions may include return of principal). The Thomson/First Call consensus price target is at $24.23. The stock closed Monday at $22.60 a share.
NGL Energy Partners L.P. (NYSE: NGL) is a newer name to the MLP field, having completed the company’s IPO in 2011. NGL owns and operates a vertically integrated energy organization with five primary businesses: crude oil logistics, water solutions, NGL logistics, refined products/renewables and retail propane. With such a wide variety of product and service silos, the company may be an easy bolt-on deal for a larger MLP looking to increase the business lines.
Investors in NGL are paid a very solid 5.55% distribution. The consensus price target is $46.58. Shares closed Monday at $42.37.
NuStar Energy L.P. (NYSE: NS) is a stock flirting with 52-week highs and defying sellers. NuStar and other companies are building docks, storage tanks and other facilities in Corpus Christi to take advantage of the oil boom in the Eagle Ford shale formation, which is about 100 miles away. The port shipped out 350,000 barrels of crude a day last year, up from under 10,000 at the start of 2012, according to port data. For companies looking to add on in this silo, NuStar may be a perfect fit.
NuStar investors are paid a 6.7% distribution. The consensus price target is $66.78, and the stock closed trading on Monday at $65.35.
SemGroup Corp. (NYSE: SEMG) is a midstream service company providing the energy industry the means to move products from the wellhead to the wholesale marketplace. SemGroup provides diversified services for end-users and consumers of crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids, refined products and asphalt. Services include purchasing, selling, processing, transporting, terminalling and storing energy. With its solid expansion over the past two years, a larger company may find this a perfect add-on to complement existing services.
Investors are paid a small 1.27% distribution. The consensus price target for the stock, which has had an outstanding year, is $95.80. Shares closed Monday at $84.51.
While there is absolutely no guarantee that any of the companies will be acquired, the UBS overall view of how they could be meshed into another companies’ existing services makes good sense. Plus, for investors looking for top MLP stocks to own, even if they are not acquired, they are solid investment choices.
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