There will be no lower oil price in consumer stockings for Christmas.
In an interview with the Financial Times, Ali Naimi, the Saudi oil minister, said “there will be absolutely no discussion” by heads of states or their oil ministers on short-term supply and demand at the organisation’s summit.
And Reuters writes OPEC President Mohammed bin Dhaen al-Hamli said on Tuesday the group would take its next decision on output policy in December, further dampening hopes of a surprise production increase at this week’s OPEC summit.
The announcements will pinch big oil consuming nations, especially the US and China.
There is little talk of the Chinese economy slowing its 10% per annum expansion, but if oil stays above $90 a barrel, that could change. The government now underwrites relatively low gas and diesel prices through its big state-owned oil companies. But, it is not clear how long the delta between real prices and artificial support can work.
In the US, gas prices are now likely to be above $4 a gallon for some time. And, the holiday travel period is coming.
A cold winter across the US, China, and Europe could also be a large driver of demand.
OPEC wants the West to cut back on nuclear and bio-fuel development to make sure oil prices stay high for the next two decades.
The cartel may get its wish.
Douglas A. McIntyre