Hugo Chavez, president of Venezuela, does not seem to be a stable sort, but he does have a flare for the dynamic. Opening the current meeting of OPEC, he threatened the the West saying ”If the U.S. attacks Iran or Venezuela, the price of oil will jump to hundreds of dollars, not just 100,” according to the AP.
The US is unlikely to attack the South American country, but, with tensions around Iran’s role in terrorist activity in Iraq, it is possible that there could be a dust up between the countries.
Chavez’s comments point once again to the likelihood that oil is going higher and not lower over the next few months. There is no reason to believe that OPEC will increase production or that the the West and China will decrease their use of crude. The man from Venezuela wants to remind everyone that any political instability among the cartel’s members could make matters much, much worse.
Douglas A. McIntyre